Opinion Poll by Norstat, 27 August–2 September 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 24.5% 22.3–26.8% 21.7–27.5% 21.2–28.1% 20.2–29.2%
Høyre 25.0% 20.9% 18.9–23.2% 18.3–23.8% 17.8–24.4% 16.9–25.5%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 15.9% 14.1–17.9% 13.6–18.5% 13.1–19.0% 12.3–20.0%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 11.5% 9.9–13.3% 9.5–13.8% 9.1–14.3% 8.5–15.2%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 6.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.7–7.9% 4.4–8.3% 3.9–9.0%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 5.4% 4.4–6.8% 4.1–7.2% 3.8–7.5% 3.4–8.2%
Rødt 2.4% 4.4% 3.5–5.7% 3.2–6.0% 3.0–6.4% 2.6–7.0%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 3.9% 3.0–5.1% 2.8–5.4% 2.6–5.8% 2.2–6.4%
Venstre 4.4% 3.4% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.9% 2.2–5.2% 1.9–5.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 49 45 42–48 40–51 39–53 37–55
Høyre 45 37 34–41 32–42 32–43 30–45
Senterpartiet 19 29 26–34 24–35 23–35 21–37
Fremskrittspartiet 27 20 17–24 16–24 15–25 13–27
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 11 8–12 7–13 7–14 6–16
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 9 7–11 6–12 3–12 2–14
Rødt 1 7 2–9 2–10 2–10 1–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 3 1–8 1–9 1–9 1–10
Venstre 8 2 2–7 2–8 1–8 1–9

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.7% 99.9%  
38 1.1% 99.2%  
39 3% 98%  
40 3% 96%  
41 2% 92%  
42 3% 90%  
43 8% 87%  
44 25% 79%  
45 31% 54% Median
46 9% 23%  
47 3% 14%  
48 3% 11%  
49 1.2% 8% Last Result
50 1.3% 6%  
51 0.8% 5%  
52 1.2% 4%  
53 1.1% 3%  
54 1.2% 2%  
55 0.5% 0.7%  
56 0.2% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.8%  
30 0.5% 99.6%  
31 1.4% 99.1%  
32 4% 98%  
33 4% 94%  
34 9% 90%  
35 15% 82%  
36 14% 66%  
37 18% 52% Median
38 8% 34%  
39 11% 26%  
40 5% 15%  
41 4% 10%  
42 2% 6%  
43 2% 4%  
44 0.7% 2%  
45 0.6% 1.1% Last Result
46 0.2% 0.5%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0% 0.2%  
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
20 0.2% 99.8%  
21 0.3% 99.6%  
22 1.1% 99.3%  
23 2% 98%  
24 2% 97%  
25 3% 95%  
26 13% 92%  
27 6% 79%  
28 10% 73%  
29 13% 63% Median
30 9% 50%  
31 6% 41%  
32 13% 35%  
33 8% 22%  
34 9% 15%  
35 3% 5%  
36 1.4% 2%  
37 0.5% 0.7%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100%  
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 0.3% 99.7%  
14 0.9% 99.3%  
15 2% 98%  
16 4% 97%  
17 11% 93%  
18 11% 81%  
19 14% 70%  
20 11% 57% Median
21 13% 46%  
22 5% 33%  
23 12% 27%  
24 11% 15%  
25 3% 5%  
26 1.1% 2%  
27 0.8% 1.1% Last Result
28 0.2% 0.3%  
29 0% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.2% 99.9%  
3 0.1% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.6%  
5 0% 99.6%  
6 0.4% 99.6%  
7 6% 99.2%  
8 13% 93%  
9 14% 80%  
10 15% 66%  
11 18% 51% Last Result, Median
12 24% 33%  
13 7% 9%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.6% 1.2%  
16 0.4% 0.5%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100% Last Result
2 2% 99.9%  
3 0.9% 98%  
4 0.5% 97%  
5 0% 96%  
6 2% 96%  
7 18% 94%  
8 24% 76%  
9 16% 52% Median
10 21% 37%  
11 8% 16%  
12 6% 8%  
13 1.0% 2%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.1% 100% Last Result
2 26% 98.9%  
3 0.3% 73%  
4 0% 73%  
5 0.1% 73%  
6 9% 73%  
7 19% 63% Median
8 22% 44%  
9 16% 22%  
10 4% 6%  
11 1.5% 2%  
12 0.3% 0.5%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 11% 99.6%  
2 9% 88%  
3 31% 79% Median
4 0% 48%  
5 0.2% 48%  
6 11% 48%  
7 21% 37%  
8 11% 16% Last Result
9 3% 5%  
10 1.3% 2%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 4% 99.7%  
2 61% 96% Median
3 9% 35%  
4 0.3% 26%  
5 0.1% 26%  
6 9% 26%  
7 12% 17%  
8 3% 5% Last Result
9 2% 2%  
10 0.2% 0.3%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 81 100 99.9% 93–106 91–107 90–108 87–112
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 98 99.7% 93–105 91–107 89–107 86–110
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 107 94 98% 89–101 87–102 85–103 83–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 80 93 98% 88–99 86–101 85–102 82–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 92 90% 85–96 82–98 82–99 78–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 87 78% 83–94 81–95 79–97 76–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 85 52% 80–90 78–91 77–92 74–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 79 10% 74–84 72–87 71–87 68–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 89 74 1.2% 68–80 66–81 64–83 62–87
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 74 0.4% 70–79 68–80 67–81 64–84
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 88 65 0% 60–71 58–72 56–74 53–77
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 60 0% 55–65 54–67 53–69 50–72
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 57 0% 52–62 51–63 49–65 47–68
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 55 0% 51–59 49–61 48–63 46–66
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 61 45 0% 40–50 38–52 37–53 36–57
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 35 38 0% 31–44 30–45 29–47 27–49

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Majority
86 0.3% 99.8%  
87 0.2% 99.5%  
88 0.4% 99.4%  
89 0.9% 99.0%  
90 0.8% 98%  
91 4% 97%  
92 2% 94%  
93 3% 92%  
94 4% 89%  
95 8% 85%  
96 5% 77%  
97 4% 72%  
98 8% 68%  
99 5% 61%  
100 6% 55%  
101 8% 49% Median
102 11% 41%  
103 9% 30%  
104 7% 21%  
105 3% 14%  
106 5% 11%  
107 1.3% 6%  
108 2% 4%  
109 0.7% 2%  
110 0.4% 2%  
111 0.5% 1.2%  
112 0.4% 0.7%  
113 0.2% 0.3%  
114 0% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.1% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.1% 99.7% Majority
86 0.3% 99.6%  
87 0.5% 99.3%  
88 0.4% 98.7% Last Result
89 2% 98%  
90 1.4% 97%  
91 2% 95%  
92 3% 94%  
93 4% 91%  
94 3% 87%  
95 14% 84%  
96 11% 70%  
97 6% 59% Median
98 14% 54%  
99 5% 40%  
100 5% 35%  
101 6% 30%  
102 7% 23%  
103 3% 16%  
104 2% 13%  
105 3% 12%  
106 3% 9%  
107 3% 5%  
108 1.0% 2%  
109 0.6% 1.2%  
110 0.3% 0.6%  
111 0.1% 0.3%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 99.9%  
83 0.6% 99.5%  
84 0.6% 98.9%  
85 0.9% 98% Majority
86 0.9% 97%  
87 2% 96%  
88 2% 94%  
89 7% 92%  
90 4% 85%  
91 4% 81% Median
92 4% 77%  
93 9% 73%  
94 15% 64%  
95 7% 49%  
96 6% 43%  
97 9% 37%  
98 8% 28%  
99 7% 20%  
100 2% 13%  
101 4% 11%  
102 3% 7%  
103 1.2% 3%  
104 0.8% 2%  
105 0.6% 1.4%  
106 0.2% 0.7%  
107 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.7%  
82 0.3% 99.5%  
83 0.6% 99.3%  
84 0.8% 98.6%  
85 1.3% 98% Majority
86 3% 96%  
87 2% 94%  
88 5% 91%  
89 7% 86%  
90 6% 79%  
91 6% 73%  
92 8% 66%  
93 9% 58%  
94 4% 50% Median
95 13% 45%  
96 9% 33%  
97 5% 23%  
98 7% 19%  
99 4% 12%  
100 3% 8%  
101 2% 6%  
102 0.9% 3%  
103 1.1% 2%  
104 0.4% 1.2%  
105 0.1% 0.8%  
106 0.6% 0.7%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.5%  
80 0.6% 99.2% Last Result
81 0.8% 98.7%  
82 3% 98%  
83 1.3% 95%  
84 3% 93%  
85 4% 90% Majority
86 3% 87%  
87 5% 84%  
88 8% 79%  
89 8% 70%  
90 7% 62%  
91 4% 55%  
92 8% 51% Median
93 9% 42%  
94 10% 33%  
95 6% 23%  
96 8% 16%  
97 3% 8%  
98 2% 5%  
99 1.3% 4%  
100 1.0% 2%  
101 0.6% 1.4%  
102 0.3% 0.7%  
103 0.3% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.6%  
77 0.5% 99.4% Last Result
78 1.0% 98.9%  
79 0.9% 98%  
80 1.3% 97%  
81 2% 96%  
82 3% 94%  
83 3% 91%  
84 11% 89%  
85 6% 78% Majority
86 17% 71% Median
87 9% 55%  
88 4% 46%  
89 8% 42%  
90 6% 34%  
91 8% 27%  
92 3% 20%  
93 5% 16%  
94 4% 11%  
95 3% 7%  
96 2% 4%  
97 1.4% 3%  
98 0.5% 1.2%  
99 0.4% 0.7%  
100 0.1% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.2%  
102 0% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.6%  
75 0.4% 99.1%  
76 1.2% 98.7%  
77 2% 98%  
78 2% 96%  
79 3% 94% Last Result
80 7% 91%  
81 5% 84%  
82 11% 79%  
83 9% 68%  
84 7% 59%  
85 5% 52% Median, Majority
86 13% 47%  
87 6% 34%  
88 14% 28%  
89 3% 15%  
90 3% 12%  
91 5% 9%  
92 0.9% 3%  
93 0.9% 2%  
94 0.4% 2%  
95 0.8% 1.1%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.5%  
69 0.3% 99.3%  
70 1.2% 99.0%  
71 1.5% 98%  
72 2% 96%  
73 2% 94%  
74 8% 93%  
75 4% 85%  
76 12% 80% Last Result
77 5% 68% Median
78 7% 62%  
79 14% 56%  
80 6% 41%  
81 6% 36%  
82 6% 30%  
83 6% 25%  
84 9% 19%  
85 2% 10% Majority
86 2% 8%  
87 3% 5%  
88 1.2% 2%  
89 0.5% 0.9%  
90 0.2% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.3%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.8%  
62 0.4% 99.6%  
63 0.9% 99.2%  
64 0.9% 98%  
65 0.9% 97%  
66 2% 96%  
67 3% 94%  
68 6% 91%  
69 7% 85%  
70 4% 78%  
71 5% 74% Median
72 7% 70%  
73 10% 63%  
74 4% 53%  
75 15% 49%  
76 6% 34%  
77 7% 28%  
78 4% 20%  
79 3% 16%  
80 7% 13%  
81 2% 6%  
82 2% 4%  
83 0.6% 3%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.2% 1.2% Majority
86 0.3% 1.0%  
87 0.3% 0.7%  
88 0.2% 0.4%  
89 0% 0.2% Last Result
90 0% 0.1%  
91 0.1% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.3% 99.7%  
65 0.5% 99.3%  
66 0.8% 98.8%  
67 2% 98%  
68 2% 96% Last Result
69 3% 94%  
70 5% 92%  
71 11% 87%  
72 7% 76%  
73 12% 69%  
74 12% 57% Median
75 6% 45%  
76 7% 39%  
77 9% 32%  
78 10% 23%  
79 6% 13%  
80 3% 7%  
81 2% 4%  
82 0.9% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.0%  
84 0.2% 0.7%  
85 0.1% 0.4% Majority
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.2% 99.4%  
55 0.4% 99.3%  
56 2% 98.9%  
57 2% 97%  
58 3% 95%  
59 3% 93%  
60 4% 90%  
61 11% 86%  
62 5% 74% Median
63 7% 69%  
64 6% 62%  
65 8% 56%  
66 11% 48%  
67 9% 38%  
68 8% 29%  
69 4% 21%  
70 3% 17%  
71 5% 13%  
72 3% 8%  
73 1.3% 5%  
74 1.1% 3%  
75 1.1% 2%  
76 0.4% 1.2%  
77 0.3% 0.8%  
78 0.2% 0.4%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.6%  
51 0.7% 99.3%  
52 0.9% 98.6%  
53 2% 98%  
54 3% 96%  
55 6% 93%  
56 5% 87%  
57 6% 82%  
58 7% 76%  
59 11% 69% Median
60 14% 58%  
61 4% 44%  
62 8% 40%  
63 8% 32%  
64 9% 24%  
65 6% 15%  
66 2% 8%  
67 3% 6%  
68 0.9% 4%  
69 0.8% 3%  
70 0.8% 2%  
71 0.3% 1.0%  
72 0.3% 0.7%  
73 0.1% 0.4%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.7% 99.8%  
48 0.5% 99.1%  
49 2% 98.6%  
50 1.2% 97%  
51 3% 96%  
52 4% 92%  
53 10% 88%  
54 5% 78%  
55 7% 73%  
56 10% 66%  
57 11% 56% Median
58 10% 45%  
59 7% 35%  
60 10% 28%  
61 3% 18%  
62 9% 15%  
63 2% 6%  
64 2% 5%  
65 1.5% 3%  
66 0.5% 2%  
67 0.5% 1.2%  
68 0.4% 0.7%  
69 0.1% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 0.5% 99.6%  
47 1.3% 99.1%  
48 1.4% 98%  
49 2% 96%  
50 3% 94%  
51 6% 92%  
52 8% 86%  
53 11% 78%  
54 11% 67%  
55 9% 56%  
56 16% 47% Median
57 13% 31%  
58 6% 18%  
59 2% 12%  
60 2% 10% Last Result
61 2% 7%  
62 1.4% 5%  
63 2% 4%  
64 0.6% 2%  
65 0.4% 1.2%  
66 0.5% 0.8%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.3% 99.8%  
36 0.6% 99.6%  
37 3% 99.0%  
38 2% 96%  
39 3% 94%  
40 4% 91%  
41 4% 88%  
42 11% 84% Median
43 11% 73%  
44 10% 62%  
45 6% 51%  
46 14% 45%  
47 11% 31%  
48 4% 19%  
49 4% 15%  
50 2% 11%  
51 2% 9%  
52 2% 6%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.7% 2%  
55 0.7% 1.5%  
56 0.2% 0.8%  
57 0.4% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.8% 99.7%  
28 0.9% 98.9%  
29 1.3% 98%  
30 2% 97%  
31 8% 95%  
32 3% 87%  
33 6% 84%  
34 7% 78% Median
35 6% 71% Last Result
36 3% 64%  
37 9% 61%  
38 6% 52%  
39 5% 46%  
40 6% 41%  
41 16% 35%  
42 4% 19%  
43 5% 15%  
44 4% 10%  
45 2% 6%  
46 1.1% 4%  
47 0.9% 3%  
48 1.5% 2%  
49 0.5% 0.8%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations