Opinion Poll by Sentio, 10–16 September 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 22.6% | 21.0–24.4% | 20.5–24.9% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.3–26.2% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.1–23.3% | 18.7–23.7% | 17.9–24.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 42 | 38–45 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–48 |
| Høyre | 45 | 38 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 31 | 28–34 | 26–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 22 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 17–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 8–17 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Rødt | 1 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1–4 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 38 | 8% | 96% | |
| 39 | 7% | 88% | |
| 40 | 8% | 80% | |
| 41 | 15% | 73% | |
| 42 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 43 | 14% | 45% | |
| 44 | 18% | 31% | |
| 45 | 9% | 13% | |
| 46 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 4% | 94% | |
| 35 | 12% | 90% | |
| 36 | 11% | 78% | |
| 37 | 13% | 67% | |
| 38 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 39 | 10% | 44% | |
| 40 | 9% | 33% | |
| 41 | 17% | 24% | |
| 42 | 2% | 7% | |
| 43 | 4% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 3% | 95% | |
| 28 | 9% | 92% | |
| 29 | 8% | 83% | |
| 30 | 9% | 75% | |
| 31 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 32 | 13% | 45% | |
| 33 | 16% | 33% | |
| 34 | 9% | 17% | |
| 35 | 3% | 8% | |
| 36 | 4% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 10% | 96% | |
| 19 | 6% | 86% | |
| 20 | 9% | 80% | |
| 21 | 11% | 71% | |
| 22 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 23 | 15% | 47% | |
| 24 | 18% | 32% | |
| 25 | 6% | 14% | |
| 26 | 5% | 8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 13% | 92% | |
| 11 | 18% | 79% | Last Result |
| 12 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 43% | |
| 14 | 19% | 29% | |
| 15 | 7% | 10% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 10% | 99.4% | |
| 9 | 19% | 90% | |
| 10 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 49% | |
| 12 | 11% | 30% | |
| 13 | 13% | 19% | |
| 14 | 4% | 6% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 40% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 58% | |
| 4 | 0% | 58% | |
| 5 | 0% | 58% | |
| 6 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 16% | 42% | |
| 8 | 19% | 26% | |
| 9 | 6% | 7% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 17% | 98.7% | |
| 2 | 28% | 81% | |
| 3 | 35% | 54% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 19% | |
| 5 | 0% | 19% | |
| 6 | 2% | 19% | |
| 7 | 10% | 16% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 85% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 9% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 101 | 100% | 96–107 | 94–107 | 93–108 | 91–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 99 | 100% | 94–104 | 92–106 | 90–107 | 89–108 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 96 | 99.9% | 93–101 | 91–103 | 90–104 | 88–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 95 | 99.9% | 91–101 | 89–103 | 87–104 | 86–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 91 | 94% | 85–96 | 84–96 | 83–97 | 81–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 87 | 75% | 82–92 | 81–93 | 80–94 | 77–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 85 | 61% | 81–89 | 79–91 | 77–92 | 76–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 76 | 2% | 71–82 | 70–84 | 68–84 | 66–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 76 | 1.4% | 71–81 | 70–82 | 69–83 | 67–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 74 | 0% | 68–77 | 67–78 | 66–79 | 64–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 62 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 60–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 65 | 0% | 61–70 | 60–72 | 58–73 | 56–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 62 | 0% | 58–67 | 56–69 | 55–70 | 53–72 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 60 | 0% | 56–65 | 54–67 | 53–68 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 54 | 0% | 50–58 | 48–59 | 48–60 | 46–61 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 43 | 0% | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 37 | 0% | 32–41 | 31–42 | 31–43 | 30–46 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 94 | 3% | 97% | |
| 95 | 2% | 94% | |
| 96 | 5% | 93% | |
| 97 | 8% | 88% | |
| 98 | 6% | 81% | |
| 99 | 9% | 75% | |
| 100 | 14% | 65% | |
| 101 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 102 | 6% | 38% | |
| 103 | 3% | 32% | |
| 104 | 6% | 29% | |
| 105 | 6% | 22% | |
| 106 | 5% | 17% | |
| 107 | 8% | 12% | |
| 108 | 2% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 89 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 93 | 5% | 95% | |
| 94 | 4% | 90% | |
| 95 | 8% | 87% | |
| 96 | 14% | 79% | |
| 97 | 6% | 65% | |
| 98 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 99 | 6% | 53% | |
| 100 | 6% | 47% | |
| 101 | 7% | 40% | |
| 102 | 9% | 34% | |
| 103 | 9% | 25% | |
| 104 | 6% | 16% | |
| 105 | 2% | 10% | |
| 106 | 4% | 7% | |
| 107 | 2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 96% | |
| 92 | 3% | 93% | |
| 93 | 9% | 90% | |
| 94 | 7% | 81% | |
| 95 | 10% | 74% | |
| 96 | 19% | 64% | Median |
| 97 | 10% | 45% | |
| 98 | 12% | 35% | |
| 99 | 5% | 23% | |
| 100 | 6% | 18% | |
| 101 | 3% | 12% | |
| 102 | 2% | 9% | |
| 103 | 3% | 7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 89 | 2% | 96% | |
| 90 | 3% | 94% | |
| 91 | 4% | 91% | |
| 92 | 4% | 87% | |
| 93 | 10% | 83% | |
| 94 | 16% | 73% | |
| 95 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 96 | 7% | 50% | |
| 97 | 6% | 43% | |
| 98 | 6% | 36% | |
| 99 | 9% | 30% | |
| 100 | 9% | 21% | |
| 101 | 2% | 12% | |
| 102 | 3% | 9% | |
| 103 | 3% | 6% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 84 | 2% | 97% | |
| 85 | 7% | 94% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 88% | |
| 87 | 5% | 82% | |
| 88 | 8% | 77% | |
| 89 | 6% | 69% | |
| 90 | 7% | 63% | |
| 91 | 22% | 55% | Median |
| 92 | 8% | 33% | |
| 93 | 6% | 25% | |
| 94 | 4% | 20% | |
| 95 | 5% | 16% | |
| 96 | 7% | 11% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 82 | 7% | 94% | |
| 83 | 8% | 88% | |
| 84 | 4% | 80% | |
| 85 | 18% | 75% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 87 | 9% | 52% | |
| 88 | 7% | 43% | |
| 89 | 11% | 37% | |
| 90 | 8% | 26% | |
| 91 | 6% | 18% | |
| 92 | 5% | 12% | |
| 93 | 3% | 7% | |
| 94 | 2% | 4% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 77 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 97% | |
| 79 | 1.5% | 95% | Last Result |
| 80 | 2% | 94% | |
| 81 | 7% | 92% | |
| 82 | 5% | 85% | |
| 83 | 7% | 79% | |
| 84 | 11% | 72% | |
| 85 | 16% | 61% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 45% | |
| 87 | 8% | 35% | |
| 88 | 5% | 28% | |
| 89 | 13% | 23% | |
| 90 | 4% | 10% | |
| 91 | 3% | 5% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 70 | 5% | 96% | |
| 71 | 2% | 91% | |
| 72 | 16% | 89% | |
| 73 | 9% | 73% | |
| 74 | 5% | 64% | |
| 75 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 76 | 5% | 51% | |
| 77 | 9% | 46% | |
| 78 | 11% | 37% | |
| 79 | 5% | 26% | |
| 80 | 5% | 21% | |
| 81 | 5% | 16% | |
| 82 | 2% | 11% | |
| 83 | 4% | 9% | |
| 84 | 3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 71 | 6% | 95% | |
| 72 | 2% | 89% | |
| 73 | 9% | 86% | |
| 74 | 9% | 77% | |
| 75 | 6% | 68% | |
| 76 | 13% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 77 | 13% | 49% | |
| 78 | 14% | 36% | |
| 79 | 5% | 22% | |
| 80 | 4% | 17% | |
| 81 | 5% | 12% | |
| 82 | 4% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 95% | Last Result |
| 69 | 3% | 89% | |
| 70 | 8% | 85% | |
| 71 | 8% | 77% | |
| 72 | 8% | 70% | |
| 73 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 74 | 19% | 55% | |
| 75 | 20% | 36% | |
| 76 | 4% | 16% | |
| 77 | 3% | 12% | |
| 78 | 4% | 9% | |
| 79 | 3% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 5% | 96% | |
| 65 | 5% | 91% | |
| 66 | 4% | 86% | |
| 67 | 14% | 82% | |
| 68 | 10% | 67% | |
| 69 | 7% | 58% | |
| 70 | 6% | 51% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 45% | |
| 72 | 8% | 34% | |
| 73 | 8% | 26% | |
| 74 | 6% | 18% | |
| 75 | 3% | 12% | |
| 76 | 5% | 9% | |
| 77 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 4% | 93% | |
| 62 | 11% | 89% | |
| 63 | 15% | 78% | |
| 64 | 10% | 63% | |
| 65 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 66 | 5% | 41% | |
| 67 | 5% | 36% | |
| 68 | 12% | 31% | |
| 69 | 6% | 20% | |
| 70 | 5% | 14% | |
| 71 | 2% | 9% | |
| 72 | 4% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 94% | |
| 58 | 4% | 92% | |
| 59 | 13% | 88% | |
| 60 | 4% | 75% | |
| 61 | 18% | 71% | |
| 62 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 43% | |
| 64 | 7% | 33% | |
| 65 | 8% | 27% | |
| 66 | 6% | 18% | |
| 67 | 4% | 12% | |
| 68 | 2% | 8% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 53 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 54 | 3% | 97% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | |
| 56 | 4% | 91% | |
| 57 | 14% | 87% | |
| 58 | 6% | 73% | |
| 59 | 17% | 68% | |
| 60 | 11% | 50% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 40% | |
| 62 | 8% | 30% | |
| 63 | 5% | 23% | |
| 64 | 6% | 18% | |
| 65 | 4% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 94% | |
| 50 | 3% | 91% | |
| 51 | 5% | 88% | |
| 52 | 16% | 83% | |
| 53 | 10% | 67% | |
| 54 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 55 | 16% | 46% | |
| 56 | 5% | 30% | |
| 57 | 8% | 25% | |
| 58 | 10% | 17% | |
| 59 | 4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 5% | 95% | |
| 40 | 10% | 90% | |
| 41 | 13% | 80% | |
| 42 | 9% | 67% | |
| 43 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 49% | |
| 45 | 20% | 39% | |
| 46 | 5% | 19% | |
| 47 | 3% | 14% | |
| 48 | 5% | 11% | |
| 49 | 4% | 7% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 6% | 98% | |
| 32 | 3% | 92% | |
| 33 | 5% | 89% | |
| 34 | 11% | 84% | |
| 35 | 10% | 73% | Last Result |
| 36 | 12% | 64% | Median |
| 37 | 18% | 52% | |
| 38 | 9% | 34% | |
| 39 | 8% | 25% | |
| 40 | 5% | 17% | |
| 41 | 5% | 12% | |
| 42 | 3% | 7% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–16 September 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.28%