Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS, 30 September–4 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.3% |
21.5–25.2% |
21.0–25.8% |
20.5–26.3% |
19.7–27.3% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.1% |
18.4–22.0% |
18.0–22.6% |
17.5–23.0% |
16.8–23.9% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
15.6% |
14.0–17.3% |
13.6–17.8% |
13.2–18.2% |
12.5–19.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.5% |
7.5–10.9% |
7.3–11.2% |
6.8–11.9% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.9% |
7.8–10.3% |
7.4–10.7% |
7.2–11.1% |
6.6–11.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
7.2% |
6.2–8.5% |
5.9–8.9% |
5.7–9.2% |
5.2–9.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.2% |
5.2–7.4% |
4.9–7.7% |
4.7–8.0% |
4.3–8.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.9% |
3.1–4.9% |
2.9–5.2% |
2.7–5.4% |
2.4–5.9% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
1.9–3.8% |
1.8–4.0% |
1.5–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
3% |
98% |
|
39 |
8% |
96% |
|
40 |
13% |
87% |
|
41 |
12% |
74% |
|
42 |
31% |
61% |
Median |
43 |
5% |
31% |
|
44 |
15% |
26% |
|
45 |
2% |
11% |
|
46 |
3% |
10% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
7% |
|
49 |
2% |
6% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
51 |
3% |
3% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
29 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
31 |
3% |
98% |
|
32 |
22% |
94% |
|
33 |
14% |
72% |
|
34 |
5% |
58% |
|
35 |
11% |
53% |
Median |
36 |
3% |
42% |
|
37 |
21% |
39% |
|
38 |
9% |
19% |
|
39 |
5% |
10% |
|
40 |
4% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
24 |
12% |
98% |
|
25 |
5% |
86% |
|
26 |
2% |
81% |
|
27 |
4% |
79% |
|
28 |
3% |
75% |
|
29 |
4% |
73% |
|
30 |
24% |
68% |
Median |
31 |
2% |
44% |
|
32 |
6% |
42% |
|
33 |
9% |
36% |
|
34 |
19% |
28% |
|
35 |
2% |
9% |
|
36 |
2% |
7% |
|
37 |
5% |
5% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
8% |
99.3% |
|
13 |
8% |
91% |
|
14 |
20% |
83% |
|
15 |
20% |
63% |
Median |
16 |
18% |
43% |
|
17 |
8% |
25% |
|
18 |
11% |
16% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
20 |
4% |
5% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
12 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
13 |
24% |
96% |
|
14 |
13% |
72% |
|
15 |
25% |
59% |
Median |
16 |
22% |
34% |
|
17 |
4% |
11% |
|
18 |
2% |
8% |
|
19 |
2% |
6% |
|
20 |
3% |
3% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
25% |
98% |
|
11 |
27% |
74% |
Median |
12 |
13% |
47% |
|
13 |
15% |
34% |
|
14 |
13% |
19% |
|
15 |
3% |
6% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
9 |
10% |
95% |
|
10 |
35% |
85% |
|
11 |
31% |
50% |
Median |
12 |
10% |
19% |
|
13 |
6% |
9% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
5% |
92% |
|
3 |
16% |
87% |
|
4 |
0% |
70% |
|
5 |
0% |
70% |
|
6 |
1.5% |
70% |
|
7 |
38% |
69% |
Median |
8 |
26% |
31% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
10 |
4% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
50% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
44% |
46% |
|
3 |
0% |
2% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
7 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
109 |
100% |
106–115 |
106–118 |
104–118 |
101–120 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
106 |
100% |
102–110 |
99–110 |
98–111 |
96–114 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
99 |
100% |
95–103 |
95–107 |
94–107 |
91–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
98 |
100% |
95–103 |
93–105 |
92–106 |
89–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
90 |
91% |
86–96 |
83–96 |
83–98 |
79–99 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
88 |
76% |
84–92 |
83–95 |
82–95 |
79–96 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
88 |
87% |
83–92 |
81–93 |
79–93 |
78–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
79 |
7% |
72–84 |
71–86 |
69–86 |
67–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
72 |
0% |
68–78 |
67–79 |
65–81 |
63–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
71 |
0% |
64–74 |
63–76 |
63–76 |
61–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
56 |
0% |
54–61 |
54–63 |
53–65 |
50–65 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
58 |
0% |
53–63 |
51–63 |
51–63 |
48–66 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
52 |
0% |
47–56 |
47–58 |
47–58 |
44–60 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
50 |
0% |
46–54 |
46–56 |
46–56 |
43–58 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
42 |
0% |
38–47 |
38–47 |
36–48 |
34–49 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
38 |
0% |
34–42 |
31–43 |
29–46 |
28–46 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
103 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
106 |
12% |
96% |
|
107 |
13% |
84% |
|
108 |
14% |
71% |
|
109 |
12% |
57% |
Median |
110 |
9% |
45% |
|
111 |
11% |
36% |
|
112 |
2% |
25% |
|
113 |
9% |
23% |
|
114 |
4% |
14% |
|
115 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
116 |
2% |
10% |
|
117 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
118 |
4% |
6% |
|
119 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
120 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
121 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
122 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
123 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
98 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
100 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
101 |
3% |
93% |
|
102 |
9% |
91% |
|
103 |
22% |
81% |
|
104 |
5% |
59% |
|
105 |
3% |
54% |
Median |
106 |
20% |
51% |
|
107 |
2% |
32% |
|
108 |
13% |
29% |
|
109 |
2% |
16% |
|
110 |
11% |
15% |
|
111 |
2% |
3% |
|
112 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
114 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
116 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
95 |
15% |
97% |
|
96 |
10% |
82% |
|
97 |
4% |
72% |
|
98 |
10% |
67% |
Median |
99 |
15% |
57% |
|
100 |
5% |
42% |
|
101 |
16% |
37% |
|
102 |
5% |
21% |
|
103 |
7% |
16% |
|
104 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
106 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
107 |
5% |
7% |
|
108 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
110 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
93 |
5% |
97% |
|
94 |
1.0% |
92% |
|
95 |
14% |
91% |
|
96 |
11% |
77% |
|
97 |
14% |
66% |
|
98 |
13% |
52% |
Median |
99 |
12% |
39% |
|
100 |
6% |
27% |
|
101 |
6% |
21% |
|
102 |
4% |
15% |
|
103 |
3% |
11% |
|
104 |
2% |
8% |
|
105 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
106 |
4% |
4% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
83 |
6% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
92% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
90% |
|
87 |
16% |
89% |
|
88 |
6% |
73% |
|
89 |
4% |
67% |
|
90 |
18% |
63% |
Median |
91 |
4% |
45% |
|
92 |
3% |
40% |
|
93 |
21% |
37% |
|
94 |
4% |
16% |
|
95 |
2% |
12% |
|
96 |
7% |
11% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
98 |
3% |
4% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
80 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
83 |
4% |
97% |
|
84 |
16% |
93% |
|
85 |
12% |
76% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
64% |
|
87 |
8% |
63% |
Median |
88 |
19% |
54% |
|
89 |
17% |
35% |
|
90 |
3% |
19% |
|
91 |
5% |
15% |
|
92 |
4% |
10% |
|
93 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
95 |
4% |
5% |
|
96 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
81 |
4% |
97% |
|
82 |
2% |
93% |
|
83 |
2% |
91% |
|
84 |
2% |
90% |
|
85 |
10% |
87% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
77% |
|
87 |
13% |
73% |
|
88 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
89 |
7% |
47% |
|
90 |
8% |
39% |
|
91 |
18% |
31% |
|
92 |
6% |
13% |
|
93 |
6% |
8% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
72 |
4% |
94% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
74 |
2% |
89% |
|
75 |
8% |
87% |
|
76 |
14% |
79% |
Last Result |
77 |
5% |
66% |
|
78 |
3% |
61% |
|
79 |
17% |
58% |
Median |
80 |
13% |
41% |
|
81 |
3% |
27% |
|
82 |
4% |
25% |
|
83 |
10% |
21% |
|
84 |
4% |
11% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
7% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
68 |
16% |
95% |
Last Result |
69 |
5% |
79% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
73% |
|
71 |
4% |
72% |
|
72 |
25% |
68% |
Median |
73 |
6% |
43% |
|
74 |
9% |
37% |
|
75 |
3% |
28% |
|
76 |
12% |
25% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
14% |
|
78 |
6% |
13% |
|
79 |
2% |
7% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
81 |
3% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
11% |
95% |
|
65 |
2% |
84% |
|
66 |
13% |
82% |
|
67 |
4% |
68% |
|
68 |
6% |
64% |
|
69 |
6% |
58% |
Median |
70 |
2% |
52% |
|
71 |
14% |
50% |
|
72 |
14% |
36% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
23% |
|
74 |
14% |
21% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
76 |
5% |
7% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
54 |
13% |
97% |
|
55 |
30% |
84% |
|
56 |
9% |
54% |
|
57 |
3% |
46% |
Median |
58 |
13% |
43% |
|
59 |
4% |
30% |
|
60 |
16% |
26% |
Last Result |
61 |
3% |
10% |
|
62 |
2% |
7% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
65 |
3% |
4% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
4% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
94% |
|
53 |
2% |
91% |
|
54 |
10% |
89% |
|
55 |
13% |
78% |
|
56 |
9% |
66% |
|
57 |
2% |
56% |
|
58 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
59 |
8% |
43% |
|
60 |
3% |
35% |
|
61 |
14% |
32% |
|
62 |
4% |
18% |
|
63 |
12% |
14% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
47 |
11% |
98% |
|
48 |
15% |
87% |
|
49 |
6% |
72% |
|
50 |
3% |
66% |
|
51 |
11% |
62% |
Median |
52 |
6% |
51% |
|
53 |
11% |
45% |
|
54 |
2% |
34% |
|
55 |
21% |
31% |
|
56 |
2% |
10% |
|
57 |
2% |
9% |
|
58 |
4% |
6% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
46 |
14% |
98% |
|
47 |
15% |
83% |
|
48 |
6% |
69% |
|
49 |
4% |
63% |
|
50 |
10% |
59% |
Median |
51 |
6% |
49% |
|
52 |
11% |
43% |
|
53 |
21% |
32% |
|
54 |
2% |
11% |
|
55 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
56 |
5% |
7% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
38 |
12% |
96% |
|
39 |
3% |
84% |
|
40 |
20% |
81% |
|
41 |
5% |
61% |
|
42 |
9% |
56% |
|
43 |
6% |
47% |
Median |
44 |
7% |
41% |
|
45 |
5% |
34% |
|
46 |
14% |
28% |
|
47 |
11% |
14% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
29 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
31 |
2% |
96% |
|
32 |
2% |
94% |
|
33 |
2% |
92% |
|
34 |
17% |
90% |
|
35 |
4% |
73% |
Last Result |
36 |
6% |
69% |
|
37 |
5% |
63% |
|
38 |
11% |
58% |
Median |
39 |
12% |
47% |
|
40 |
7% |
36% |
|
41 |
9% |
29% |
|
42 |
12% |
19% |
|
43 |
2% |
7% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
46 |
3% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 September–4 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 829
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.27%