Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI, 21–23 October 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 22.6% 20.8–24.7% 20.3–25.3% 19.8–25.8% 18.9–26.7%
Høyre 25.0% 21.1% 19.3–23.1% 18.8–23.6% 18.3–24.1% 17.5–25.1%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 17.7% 16.0–19.6% 15.5–20.1% 15.1–20.5% 14.4–21.5%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 10.3% 9.0–11.9% 8.7–12.3% 8.4–12.7% 7.8–13.5%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 7.1% 6.0–8.4% 5.7–8.8% 5.5–9.1% 5.0–9.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 6.4% 5.4–7.7% 5.1–8.1% 4.9–8.4% 4.4–9.0%
Rødt 2.4% 6.2% 5.2–7.4% 4.9–7.8% 4.6–8.1% 4.2–8.7%
Venstre 4.4% 3.7% 2.9–4.7% 2.7–5.0% 2.5–5.3% 2.2–5.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 2.7% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.2% 1.5–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 49 42 38–44 37–45 37–45 34–47
Høyre 45 36 34–40 33–41 32–42 30–43
Senterpartiet 19 34 30–37 29–38 28–38 26–39
Fremskrittspartiet 27 18 15–21 15–22 14–22 13–24
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 12 10–15 10–15 9–16 8–17
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 11 9–13 9–14 8–14 7–16
Rødt 1 11 9–13 8–13 8–14 7–15
Venstre 8 2 2–8 2–8 2–9 1–10
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 1 0–3 0–3 0–7 0–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.8%  
34 0.2% 99.6%  
35 0.4% 99.4%  
36 0.7% 99.0%  
37 4% 98%  
38 6% 94%  
39 10% 88%  
40 17% 77%  
41 7% 60%  
42 10% 53% Median
43 24% 43%  
44 9% 19%  
45 8% 10%  
46 1.3% 2%  
47 0.6% 1.0%  
48 0.2% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.5% 99.8%  
31 1.2% 99.3%  
32 1.2% 98%  
33 6% 97%  
34 8% 91%  
35 15% 83%  
36 21% 67% Median
37 17% 47%  
38 8% 29%  
39 8% 22%  
40 5% 14%  
41 5% 9%  
42 3% 4%  
43 1.1% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.5%  
45 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100% Last Result
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.6% 99.7%  
27 0.8% 99.1%  
28 1.3% 98%  
29 2% 97%  
30 6% 95%  
31 7% 89%  
32 14% 82%  
33 11% 68%  
34 18% 57% Median
35 16% 39%  
36 12% 22%  
37 6% 11%  
38 4% 5%  
39 0.7% 1.1%  
40 0.3% 0.5%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.0% 99.7%  
14 3% 98.7%  
15 9% 95%  
16 14% 87%  
17 15% 73%  
18 17% 58% Median
19 22% 41%  
20 9% 20%  
21 5% 10%  
22 3% 6%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.7% 0.9%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.5% 100%  
9 4% 99.5%  
10 12% 95%  
11 20% 83%  
12 25% 64% Median
13 19% 38%  
14 9% 19%  
15 7% 10%  
16 2% 3%  
17 1.0% 1.3%  
18 0.2% 0.3%  
19 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.5% 99.9%  
8 2% 99.4%  
9 10% 97%  
10 16% 87%  
11 30% 70% Last Result, Median
12 18% 40%  
13 14% 22%  
14 6% 8%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0.2% 100%  
3 0% 99.8%  
4 0% 99.8%  
5 0% 99.8%  
6 0% 99.8%  
7 1.1% 99.8%  
8 7% 98.7%  
9 23% 92%  
10 19% 69%  
11 21% 50% Median
12 18% 29%  
13 7% 11%  
14 3% 4%  
15 0.7% 0.9%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.2% 100%  
2 62% 98.8% Median
3 1.2% 37%  
4 0% 36%  
5 0% 36%  
6 0.6% 36%  
7 23% 35%  
8 8% 12% Last Result
9 3% 4%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100%  
1 56% 88% Median
2 17% 33%  
3 12% 16%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0.7% 4%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 81 109 100% 105–113 103–114 102–115 99–117
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 101 100% 95–103 94–105 93–106 91–108
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 80 99 100% 94–102 93–103 92–104 89–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 97 99.9% 92–101 91–102 90–103 88–106
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 107 94 99.6% 89–98 88–99 87–100 85–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 89 90% 85–93 83–94 81–95 79–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 87 70% 82–90 81–91 79–92 77–94
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 77 0.7% 72–80 70–82 69–83 67–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 62 75 0.4% 71–80 70–81 69–82 66–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 76 0% 71–79 69–80 68–81 66–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 89 72 0% 68–77 66–78 66–79 63–81
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 60 0% 56–64 55–66 54–67 52–70
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 58 0% 55–63 53–64 52–65 50–67
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 54 0% 50–59 50–60 49–61 47–63
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 53 0% 49–56 48–56 47–58 45–60
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 61 42 0% 38–47 38–48 37–50 35–52
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 35 39 0% 34–44 33–45 32–46 30–48

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.1% 99.9%  
98 0.1% 99.8%  
99 0.4% 99.7%  
100 0.4% 99.3%  
101 0.7% 98.9%  
102 1.5% 98%  
103 2% 97%  
104 3% 94%  
105 7% 92%  
106 9% 85%  
107 5% 76%  
108 8% 71%  
109 20% 63%  
110 13% 44% Median
111 8% 31%  
112 6% 22%  
113 10% 16%  
114 3% 6%  
115 0.9% 3%  
116 0.8% 2%  
117 0.9% 1.1%  
118 0.1% 0.2%  
119 0% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9% Last Result
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.8%  
91 0.3% 99.6%  
92 0.7% 99.4%  
93 2% 98.7%  
94 2% 97%  
95 6% 94%  
96 4% 88%  
97 9% 84%  
98 5% 76%  
99 12% 71%  
100 7% 59% Median
101 14% 52%  
102 16% 38%  
103 13% 22%  
104 3% 9%  
105 2% 6%  
106 2% 3%  
107 0.5% 1.4%  
108 0.5% 0.9%  
109 0.3% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 0.1% 99.8%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 0.8% 99.4%  
91 0.8% 98.6%  
92 2% 98%  
93 4% 95%  
94 5% 92%  
95 5% 87%  
96 9% 82%  
97 7% 73%  
98 12% 66%  
99 9% 54% Median
100 16% 44%  
101 11% 28%  
102 12% 17%  
103 2% 5%  
104 1.3% 3%  
105 1.4% 2%  
106 0.3% 0.7%  
107 0.2% 0.4%  
108 0.1% 0.2%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Majority
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.7%  
88 0.5% 99.5%  
89 2% 99.1%  
90 1.1% 98%  
91 3% 96%  
92 5% 94%  
93 5% 89%  
94 6% 84%  
95 9% 78%  
96 10% 69%  
97 14% 59%  
98 19% 46% Median
99 7% 27%  
100 9% 21%  
101 5% 11%  
102 1.3% 6%  
103 3% 5%  
104 1.2% 2%  
105 0.3% 0.9%  
106 0.5% 0.6%  
107 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.3% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.6% Majority
86 0.9% 99.3%  
87 1.2% 98%  
88 2% 97%  
89 5% 95%  
90 6% 89%  
91 8% 83% Median
92 6% 75%  
93 17% 69%  
94 19% 53%  
95 8% 34%  
96 9% 26%  
97 5% 17%  
98 5% 11%  
99 3% 6%  
100 1.5% 4%  
101 1.0% 2%  
102 0.3% 1.1%  
103 0.6% 0.8%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9% Last Result
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.8%  
80 1.0% 99.5%  
81 1.2% 98%  
82 1.4% 97%  
83 2% 96%  
84 4% 94%  
85 6% 90% Majority
86 8% 84%  
87 9% 75%  
88 8% 66%  
89 10% 58% Median
90 18% 48%  
91 16% 31%  
92 4% 14%  
93 5% 10%  
94 3% 6%  
95 2% 3%  
96 0.5% 1.2%  
97 0.3% 0.7%  
98 0.2% 0.4%  
99 0.2% 0.2%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0% 100%  
75 0.1% 99.9%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0.4% 99.7%  
78 0.9% 99.3%  
79 1.2% 98% Last Result
80 2% 97%  
81 4% 95%  
82 5% 91%  
83 8% 86%  
84 8% 78%  
85 7% 70% Majority
86 10% 63%  
87 13% 53% Median
88 15% 40%  
89 7% 25%  
90 9% 19%  
91 5% 10%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.7% 2%  
94 0.7% 0.8%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.6% 99.7%  
68 0.8% 99.2%  
69 1.3% 98%  
70 2% 97%  
71 3% 95%  
72 6% 92%  
73 5% 86%  
74 5% 81%  
75 10% 76%  
76 6% 66% Last Result
77 17% 59% Median
78 11% 42%  
79 16% 31%  
80 5% 15%  
81 3% 10%  
82 3% 7%  
83 2% 3%  
84 1.1% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.7% Majority
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.6% 99.8%  
67 0.3% 99.2%  
68 1.0% 98.9%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 96%  
71 5% 94%  
72 5% 88%  
73 9% 83%  
74 8% 74%  
75 19% 66%  
76 17% 47% Median
77 6% 31%  
78 8% 25%  
79 6% 16%  
80 5% 10%  
81 2% 5%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 0.9% 2%  
84 0.3% 0.7%  
85 0.3% 0.4% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.6% 99.5%  
67 0.7% 98.9%  
68 2% 98% Last Result
69 2% 96%  
70 4% 94%  
71 5% 91%  
72 8% 86%  
73 5% 77%  
74 11% 72%  
75 10% 61%  
76 12% 51% Median
77 18% 39%  
78 9% 20%  
79 6% 12%  
80 2% 6%  
81 2% 3%  
82 0.9% 1.1%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0.5% 99.9%  
64 0.4% 99.4%  
65 1.2% 99.1%  
66 3% 98%  
67 1.3% 95%  
68 5% 94%  
69 9% 89% Median
70 7% 79%  
71 19% 73%  
72 14% 54%  
73 10% 41%  
74 9% 31%  
75 6% 22%  
76 5% 16%  
77 5% 11%  
78 3% 6%  
79 1.0% 3%  
80 2% 2%  
81 0.5% 0.9%  
82 0.2% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.9% 99.8%  
53 0.8% 98.9%  
54 0.9% 98%  
55 3% 97%  
56 10% 94%  
57 6% 83% Median
58 8% 77%  
59 13% 69%  
60 20% 56%  
61 8% 37%  
62 5% 29%  
63 9% 24%  
64 7% 15%  
65 3% 8%  
66 2% 5%  
67 1.4% 3%  
68 0.7% 2%  
69 0.4% 1.1%  
70 0.4% 0.7%  
71 0.1% 0.3%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.8%  
51 0.8% 99.4%  
52 1.3% 98.6%  
53 3% 97%  
54 3% 94%  
55 9% 91%  
56 8% 82% Median
57 14% 73%  
58 13% 60%  
59 12% 47%  
60 10% 35%  
61 6% 25%  
62 7% 19%  
63 5% 12%  
64 3% 6%  
65 2% 4%  
66 1.2% 2%  
67 0.5% 1.0%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 1.0% 99.3%  
49 2% 98%  
50 6% 96%  
51 7% 90%  
52 12% 83%  
53 12% 71%  
54 10% 59% Median
55 13% 49%  
56 13% 36%  
57 4% 23%  
58 8% 19%  
59 3% 12%  
60 4% 8%  
61 3% 5%  
62 0.7% 2%  
63 0.9% 1.3%  
64 0.2% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0.2% 99.8%  
45 0.4% 99.7%  
46 0.6% 99.2%  
47 2% 98.6%  
48 5% 97%  
49 5% 92%  
50 9% 87%  
51 8% 78%  
52 16% 70%  
53 12% 53% Median
54 15% 42%  
55 9% 26%  
56 13% 17%  
57 2% 5%  
58 2% 3%  
59 0.4% 1.2%  
60 0.6% 0.8% Last Result
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.6%  
36 1.0% 99.2%  
37 3% 98%  
38 10% 95%  
39 10% 85% Median
40 8% 75%  
41 17% 67%  
42 10% 50%  
43 7% 40%  
44 10% 33%  
45 8% 23%  
46 4% 15%  
47 3% 11%  
48 4% 8%  
49 2% 4%  
50 2% 3%  
51 0.3% 0.9%  
52 0.5% 0.7%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 0.2% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.7%  
31 0.7% 99.3%  
32 2% 98.5%  
33 3% 97%  
34 4% 93%  
35 8% 89% Last Result
36 6% 81%  
37 7% 75% Median
38 13% 68%  
39 10% 55%  
40 9% 45%  
41 10% 36%  
42 7% 26%  
43 6% 19%  
44 6% 13%  
45 3% 7%  
46 2% 4%  
47 0.6% 1.4%  
48 0.3% 0.8%  
49 0.1% 0.5%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations