Opinion Poll by Norstat, 22–28 October 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.6% |
21.6–25.8% |
21.1–26.4% |
20.6–26.9% |
19.7–28.0% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
21.8% |
19.9–23.9% |
19.3–24.4% |
18.9–25.0% |
18.0–26.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
17.5% |
15.8–19.4% |
15.3–20.0% |
14.9–20.5% |
14.1–21.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
8.4% |
7.2–9.9% |
6.8–10.3% |
6.6–10.7% |
6.0–11.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.4% |
6.3–8.8% |
5.9–9.2% |
5.7–9.6% |
5.2–10.3% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.1% |
5.1–7.4% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.6–8.2% |
4.1–8.8% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.0% |
5.0–7.3% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.5–8.0% |
4.0–8.7% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.8% |
3.0–4.9% |
2.8–5.3% |
2.7–5.5% |
2.3–6.1% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
2.2–4.9% |
1.9–5.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
38 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
39 |
4% |
97% |
|
40 |
11% |
92% |
|
41 |
10% |
81% |
|
42 |
10% |
71% |
|
43 |
24% |
61% |
Median |
44 |
17% |
37% |
|
45 |
9% |
20% |
|
46 |
5% |
10% |
|
47 |
3% |
5% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
33 |
3% |
98% |
|
34 |
7% |
96% |
|
35 |
11% |
89% |
|
36 |
18% |
78% |
|
37 |
12% |
60% |
Median |
38 |
12% |
48% |
|
39 |
7% |
36% |
|
40 |
10% |
29% |
|
41 |
10% |
18% |
|
42 |
5% |
9% |
|
43 |
2% |
3% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
27 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
28 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
29 |
4% |
96% |
|
30 |
4% |
92% |
|
31 |
5% |
88% |
|
32 |
11% |
83% |
|
33 |
9% |
72% |
|
34 |
26% |
63% |
Median |
35 |
9% |
37% |
|
36 |
21% |
28% |
|
37 |
5% |
7% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
4% |
98% |
|
12 |
10% |
94% |
|
13 |
11% |
84% |
|
14 |
24% |
72% |
Median |
15 |
21% |
48% |
|
16 |
9% |
27% |
|
17 |
8% |
18% |
|
18 |
7% |
11% |
|
19 |
3% |
4% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
10 |
9% |
97% |
|
11 |
17% |
88% |
Last Result |
12 |
21% |
72% |
|
13 |
20% |
50% |
Median |
14 |
18% |
31% |
|
15 |
6% |
13% |
|
16 |
5% |
7% |
|
17 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
7 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
10% |
98% |
|
9 |
18% |
88% |
|
10 |
25% |
70% |
Median |
11 |
21% |
45% |
|
12 |
17% |
24% |
|
13 |
4% |
7% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
9% |
97% |
|
9 |
20% |
88% |
|
10 |
23% |
68% |
Median |
11 |
20% |
45% |
|
12 |
17% |
25% |
|
13 |
5% |
8% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
20% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
6% |
80% |
|
3 |
39% |
74% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
35% |
|
5 |
0% |
35% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
35% |
|
7 |
18% |
34% |
|
8 |
12% |
16% |
Last Result |
9 |
4% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
76% |
96% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
20% |
|
4 |
0% |
18% |
|
5 |
0% |
18% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
18% |
|
7 |
11% |
16% |
|
8 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
110 |
100% |
105–114 |
104–115 |
103–116 |
100–118 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
104 |
100% |
99–109 |
97–109 |
97–110 |
95–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
99 |
100% |
95–104 |
94–105 |
93–106 |
90–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
99 |
100% |
95–104 |
94–105 |
93–106 |
90–108 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
93 |
99.2% |
89–97 |
87–99 |
86–100 |
84–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
91 |
94% |
86–96 |
84–97 |
84–98 |
81–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
89 |
94% |
85–93 |
84–94 |
83–96 |
80–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
81 |
17% |
75–86 |
74–87 |
73–87 |
71–90 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
77 |
0.3% |
72–80 |
71–81 |
70–83 |
67–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
76 |
0.8% |
72–80 |
70–82 |
69–83 |
67–85 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
70 |
0% |
65–74 |
64–75 |
63–76 |
61–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
59 |
0% |
55–64 |
54–65 |
53–66 |
51–69 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
55 |
0% |
51–60 |
50–61 |
49–62 |
47–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
56 |
0% |
52–59 |
51–60 |
50–61 |
48–64 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
52 |
0% |
48–56 |
47–58 |
47–59 |
45–61 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
45 |
0% |
40–50 |
39–51 |
38–52 |
36–55 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
41 |
0% |
35–46 |
34–47 |
33–49 |
31–51 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
101 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
102 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
103 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
104 |
4% |
97% |
|
105 |
4% |
93% |
|
106 |
6% |
89% |
|
107 |
9% |
83% |
|
108 |
6% |
74% |
|
109 |
14% |
69% |
|
110 |
17% |
55% |
Median |
111 |
10% |
37% |
|
112 |
6% |
27% |
|
113 |
5% |
21% |
|
114 |
11% |
17% |
|
115 |
2% |
6% |
|
116 |
2% |
4% |
|
117 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
118 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
119 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
96 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
97 |
3% |
98% |
|
98 |
4% |
95% |
|
99 |
4% |
91% |
|
100 |
13% |
87% |
|
101 |
6% |
73% |
|
102 |
8% |
68% |
|
103 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
104 |
9% |
51% |
|
105 |
12% |
42% |
|
106 |
7% |
30% |
|
107 |
7% |
23% |
|
108 |
4% |
16% |
|
109 |
7% |
12% |
|
110 |
3% |
4% |
|
111 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
92 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
93 |
2% |
98% |
|
94 |
3% |
96% |
|
95 |
5% |
93% |
|
96 |
6% |
88% |
|
97 |
11% |
82% |
|
98 |
9% |
72% |
|
99 |
16% |
62% |
|
100 |
10% |
46% |
Median |
101 |
7% |
37% |
|
102 |
14% |
29% |
|
103 |
4% |
16% |
|
104 |
5% |
11% |
|
105 |
3% |
6% |
|
106 |
2% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
91 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
94 |
2% |
97% |
|
95 |
6% |
95% |
|
96 |
7% |
89% |
|
97 |
12% |
82% |
|
98 |
12% |
70% |
|
99 |
9% |
58% |
|
100 |
12% |
49% |
Median |
101 |
12% |
37% |
|
102 |
7% |
25% |
|
103 |
6% |
18% |
|
104 |
5% |
12% |
|
105 |
4% |
7% |
|
106 |
2% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
|
89 |
9% |
93% |
|
90 |
7% |
83% |
Median |
91 |
12% |
77% |
|
92 |
11% |
64% |
|
93 |
9% |
54% |
|
94 |
12% |
45% |
|
95 |
10% |
33% |
|
96 |
11% |
23% |
|
97 |
5% |
12% |
|
98 |
2% |
7% |
|
99 |
2% |
5% |
|
100 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
101 |
2% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
4% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.4% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
92% |
|
87 |
6% |
85% |
|
88 |
9% |
79% |
|
89 |
7% |
70% |
|
90 |
8% |
63% |
Median |
91 |
8% |
55% |
|
92 |
10% |
47% |
|
93 |
10% |
37% |
|
94 |
6% |
27% |
|
95 |
7% |
21% |
|
96 |
7% |
13% |
|
97 |
2% |
7% |
|
98 |
2% |
4% |
|
99 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
83 |
2% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
9% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
85% |
|
87 |
13% |
80% |
|
88 |
9% |
68% |
|
89 |
15% |
59% |
|
90 |
12% |
44% |
Median |
91 |
8% |
32% |
|
92 |
11% |
24% |
|
93 |
6% |
13% |
|
94 |
2% |
7% |
|
95 |
2% |
5% |
|
96 |
2% |
3% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
73 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
3% |
97% |
|
75 |
6% |
94% |
|
76 |
7% |
88% |
Last Result |
77 |
7% |
81% |
|
78 |
8% |
74% |
|
79 |
6% |
66% |
|
80 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
81 |
5% |
51% |
|
82 |
10% |
46% |
|
83 |
8% |
36% |
|
84 |
11% |
28% |
|
85 |
4% |
17% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
13% |
|
87 |
3% |
6% |
|
88 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
2% |
97% |
|
72 |
6% |
95% |
|
73 |
5% |
88% |
|
74 |
7% |
83% |
|
75 |
13% |
76% |
|
76 |
12% |
63% |
|
77 |
15% |
51% |
Median |
78 |
9% |
37% |
|
79 |
11% |
28% |
|
80 |
10% |
17% |
|
81 |
3% |
7% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
83 |
2% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
2% |
95% |
|
72 |
5% |
93% |
|
73 |
11% |
87% |
|
74 |
10% |
76% |
|
75 |
12% |
66% |
|
76 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
77 |
11% |
46% |
|
78 |
12% |
35% |
|
79 |
7% |
23% |
|
80 |
9% |
16% |
|
81 |
2% |
7% |
|
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
2% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
64 |
4% |
97% |
|
65 |
5% |
92% |
|
66 |
6% |
87% |
Median |
67 |
7% |
82% |
|
68 |
12% |
75% |
|
69 |
12% |
63% |
|
70 |
9% |
51% |
|
71 |
12% |
42% |
|
72 |
12% |
30% |
|
73 |
7% |
18% |
|
74 |
6% |
11% |
|
75 |
2% |
5% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
2% |
96% |
|
55 |
11% |
94% |
|
56 |
5% |
83% |
Median |
57 |
6% |
78% |
|
58 |
10% |
73% |
|
59 |
17% |
62% |
|
60 |
14% |
45% |
|
61 |
6% |
31% |
|
62 |
9% |
26% |
|
63 |
6% |
17% |
|
64 |
4% |
11% |
|
65 |
4% |
7% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
49 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
5% |
96% |
|
51 |
5% |
91% |
|
52 |
15% |
86% |
|
53 |
7% |
71% |
Median |
54 |
7% |
64% |
|
55 |
11% |
57% |
|
56 |
9% |
46% |
|
57 |
13% |
37% |
|
58 |
8% |
25% |
|
59 |
6% |
17% |
|
60 |
3% |
11% |
|
61 |
3% |
7% |
|
62 |
3% |
5% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
2% |
98% |
|
51 |
6% |
96% |
|
52 |
6% |
90% |
|
53 |
9% |
85% |
|
54 |
12% |
75% |
|
55 |
13% |
63% |
|
56 |
19% |
50% |
Median |
57 |
10% |
31% |
|
58 |
9% |
21% |
|
59 |
5% |
12% |
|
60 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
61 |
3% |
4% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
|
47 |
4% |
98% |
|
48 |
6% |
93% |
|
49 |
7% |
87% |
|
50 |
18% |
80% |
|
51 |
6% |
63% |
Median |
52 |
10% |
57% |
|
53 |
12% |
47% |
|
54 |
7% |
35% |
|
55 |
12% |
27% |
|
56 |
7% |
15% |
|
57 |
3% |
9% |
|
58 |
2% |
6% |
|
59 |
2% |
4% |
|
60 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
39 |
5% |
97% |
|
40 |
5% |
92% |
|
41 |
11% |
87% |
|
42 |
4% |
76% |
Median |
43 |
10% |
72% |
|
44 |
11% |
63% |
|
45 |
12% |
52% |
|
46 |
11% |
40% |
|
47 |
7% |
28% |
|
48 |
5% |
22% |
|
49 |
4% |
16% |
|
50 |
6% |
12% |
|
51 |
3% |
6% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
34 |
4% |
97% |
|
35 |
6% |
94% |
Last Result |
36 |
5% |
88% |
|
37 |
5% |
83% |
|
38 |
4% |
78% |
|
39 |
14% |
75% |
Median |
40 |
9% |
61% |
|
41 |
12% |
52% |
|
42 |
6% |
40% |
|
43 |
9% |
35% |
|
44 |
8% |
25% |
|
45 |
6% |
17% |
|
46 |
5% |
12% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 October 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 703
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.65%