Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS, 28 October–1 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 22.6% 20.8–24.6% 20.3–25.2% 19.9–25.7% 19.0–26.6%
Høyre 25.0% 21.1% 19.4–23.1% 18.9–23.6% 18.5–24.1% 17.6–25.1%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 19.5% 17.8–21.4% 17.3–21.9% 16.9–22.4% 16.1–23.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 9.2% 8.0–10.6% 7.7–11.1% 7.4–11.4% 6.9–12.1%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 6.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.5–8.5% 5.3–8.8% 4.8–9.5%
Rødt 2.4% 6.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.2% 5.1–8.5% 4.6–9.2%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 5.6% 4.7–6.8% 4.4–7.1% 4.2–7.4% 3.8–8.0%
Venstre 4.4% 3.4% 2.7–4.3% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–4.8% 2.0–5.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 2.9% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–4.0% 1.9–4.3% 1.6–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 49 41 39–45 37–45 36–46 34–48
Høyre 45 36 34–40 34–41 33–42 31–44
Senterpartiet 19 36 34–39 33–40 32–41 31–43
Fremskrittspartiet 27 16 14–19 13–19 13–20 11–21
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 12 10–14 9–15 9–15 8–16
Rødt 1 11 10–13 9–14 9–15 8–16
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 10 8–11 8–12 7–13 2–14
Venstre 8 2 2–7 2–7 1–8 1–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 1 1–3 0–7 0–7 0–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.7%  
35 0.4% 99.4%  
36 2% 99.0%  
37 3% 97%  
38 4% 94%  
39 16% 91%  
40 15% 75%  
41 13% 60% Median
42 7% 47%  
43 15% 39%  
44 14% 24%  
45 7% 10%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.9% 1.4%  
48 0.4% 0.5%  
49 0% 0.1% Last Result
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.8%  
31 0.5% 99.6%  
32 0.9% 99.1%  
33 3% 98%  
34 11% 95%  
35 16% 84%  
36 21% 68% Median
37 18% 47%  
38 10% 29%  
39 8% 20%  
40 5% 12%  
41 2% 7%  
42 2% 5%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0.3% 0.6%  
45 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100% Last Result
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.5% 99.7%  
32 2% 99.2%  
33 3% 97%  
34 9% 93%  
35 13% 84%  
36 24% 71% Median
37 19% 47%  
38 17% 28%  
39 4% 12%  
40 3% 7%  
41 3% 5%  
42 1.0% 2%  
43 0.6% 1.0%  
44 0.3% 0.4%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.8% 99.9%  
12 2% 99.2%  
13 5% 98%  
14 11% 93%  
15 21% 82%  
16 20% 61% Median
17 15% 41%  
18 12% 25%  
19 9% 13%  
20 3% 4%  
21 1.2% 1.5%  
22 0.2% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.6% 99.9%  
9 5% 99.4%  
10 13% 95%  
11 20% 81%  
12 28% 62% Median
13 19% 33%  
14 6% 14%  
15 6% 8%  
16 1.3% 2%  
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.2% 100%  
8 2% 99.8%  
9 6% 98%  
10 15% 92%  
11 30% 77% Median
12 19% 46%  
13 19% 28%  
14 6% 9%  
15 2% 3%  
16 0.5% 0.7%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.8% 99.9%  
3 0.2% 99.1%  
4 0% 98.9%  
5 0% 98.9%  
6 0% 98.9%  
7 2% 98.9%  
8 20% 96%  
9 18% 76%  
10 26% 58% Median
11 23% 33% Last Result
12 5% 10%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.7% 0.9%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 2% 99.6%  
2 74% 97% Median
3 0.5% 24%  
4 0% 23%  
5 0% 23%  
6 3% 23%  
7 15% 20%  
8 4% 4% Last Result
9 0.5% 0.7%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100%  
1 51% 92% Median
2 17% 41%  
3 15% 24%  
4 0% 8%  
5 0% 8%  
6 0.4% 8%  
7 7% 8%  
8 1.1% 1.2% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 81 111 100% 107–115 106–116 105–117 102–119
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 101 100% 98–105 96–106 95–107 93–109
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 80 99 100% 96–103 94–104 93–105 91–107
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 80 99 100% 95–103 94–104 93–105 91–107
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 107 94 99.9% 91–98 89–100 88–101 87–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 92 98.9% 88–96 87–97 85–97 84–100
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 87 87% 84–91 83–92 82–94 79–95
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 80 7% 76–84 75–85 74–87 72–88
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 78 0.8% 74–81 73–82 73–83 71–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 62 75 0.1% 71–78 69–80 68–80 65–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 89 70 0% 66–74 65–75 64–76 62–78
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 58 0% 54–62 53–63 52–64 50–66
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 56 0% 52–60 51–62 51–62 48–64
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 53 0% 49–57 48–58 48–60 46–61
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 51 0% 48–55 47–55 45–56 42–58
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 61 41 0% 38–46 37–48 36–48 35–50
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti 35 41 0% 38–46 37–47 36–48 34–51

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 100%  
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0.2% 99.9%  
102 0.3% 99.7%  
103 0.7% 99.5%  
104 0.7% 98.8%  
105 3% 98%  
106 5% 95%  
107 4% 91%  
108 5% 87%  
109 9% 82%  
110 15% 73% Median
111 12% 59%  
112 15% 47%  
113 9% 32%  
114 12% 23%  
115 5% 11%  
116 4% 7%  
117 1.4% 3%  
118 1.0% 2%  
119 0.4% 0.6%  
120 0.2% 0.3%  
121 0% 0.1%  
122 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100% Last Result
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 100%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.3% 99.8%  
93 0.4% 99.5%  
94 1.5% 99.1%  
95 2% 98%  
96 2% 96%  
97 3% 94%  
98 7% 91%  
99 7% 84%  
100 9% 77% Median
101 19% 68%  
102 12% 50%  
103 13% 38%  
104 10% 25%  
105 7% 15%  
106 4% 7%  
107 2% 3%  
108 0.7% 2%  
109 0.5% 0.9%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.4% 99.7%  
92 1.0% 99.4%  
93 2% 98%  
94 3% 97%  
95 4% 94%  
96 5% 90%  
97 7% 85%  
98 10% 78%  
99 20% 69% Median
100 12% 49%  
101 11% 37%  
102 10% 26%  
103 7% 16%  
104 5% 9%  
105 2% 4%  
106 2% 2%  
107 0.5% 0.8%  
108 0.2% 0.3%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0.1% 100%  
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.8%  
91 0.5% 99.5%  
92 0.8% 99.1%  
93 2% 98%  
94 3% 96%  
95 6% 93%  
96 4% 87%  
97 10% 83%  
98 14% 73% Median
99 11% 60%  
100 16% 48%  
101 12% 32%  
102 8% 20%  
103 6% 12%  
104 2% 5%  
105 2% 4%  
106 0.7% 2%  
107 0.7% 0.9%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9% Majority
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.7% 99.7%  
88 1.5% 99.0%  
89 4% 97%  
90 3% 94%  
91 6% 90% Median
92 11% 85%  
93 16% 74%  
94 9% 57%  
95 15% 48%  
96 10% 33%  
97 8% 23%  
98 6% 15%  
99 4% 9%  
100 2% 6%  
101 2% 4%  
102 0.5% 1.4%  
103 0.4% 0.9%  
104 0.3% 0.5%  
105 0.1% 0.2%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.2% 99.8%  
84 0.7% 99.7%  
85 2% 98.9% Majority
86 2% 97%  
87 4% 95%  
88 6% 92%  
89 7% 86%  
90 11% 79% Median
91 11% 67%  
92 17% 56%  
93 14% 39%  
94 8% 25%  
95 7% 17%  
96 4% 10%  
97 4% 6%  
98 0.9% 2%  
99 0.6% 1.2%  
100 0.3% 0.6%  
101 0.2% 0.3%  
102 0.1% 0.1%  
103 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
80 0.4% 99.4%  
81 1.2% 98.9%  
82 2% 98%  
83 4% 96%  
84 5% 92%  
85 7% 87% Majority
86 9% 80%  
87 23% 71% Median
88 11% 48%  
89 15% 36%  
90 5% 21%  
91 7% 16%  
92 5% 9%  
93 2% 4%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.7% 1.1%  
96 0.3% 0.4%  
97 0% 0.1%  
98 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.2% 99.8%  
72 0.3% 99.7%  
73 1.0% 99.4%  
74 3% 98%  
75 4% 95%  
76 4% 91% Last Result
77 11% 87%  
78 10% 76% Median
79 14% 67%  
80 14% 53%  
81 13% 39%  
82 9% 26%  
83 7% 17%  
84 3% 10%  
85 3% 7% Majority
86 0.9% 5%  
87 3% 4%  
88 0.6% 0.9%  
89 0.2% 0.4%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.2% 99.8%  
71 0.4% 99.6%  
72 2% 99.2%  
73 3% 98%  
74 6% 94%  
75 6% 89%  
76 15% 83%  
77 9% 67% Median
78 14% 58%  
79 20% 44%  
80 8% 24%  
81 7% 16%  
82 5% 9%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.6% 0.8% Majority
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100% Last Result
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.5% 99.5%  
67 0.5% 99.0%  
68 2% 98.5%  
69 2% 96%  
70 4% 94%  
71 6% 91%  
72 8% 85%  
73 10% 77%  
74 15% 67% Median
75 9% 51%  
76 16% 42%  
77 11% 26%  
78 6% 15%  
79 3% 9%  
80 4% 6%  
81 1.5% 2%  
82 0.7% 1.0%  
83 0.2% 0.3%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.7% 99.8%  
63 0.7% 99.1%  
64 2% 98%  
65 2% 96%  
66 6% 94%  
67 8% 88% Median
68 12% 80%  
69 16% 67%  
70 11% 51%  
71 14% 40%  
72 9% 27%  
73 4% 17%  
74 6% 13%  
75 3% 7%  
76 2% 4%  
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.4% 0.9%  
79 0.3% 0.5%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.7%  
51 1.0% 99.3%  
52 1.4% 98%  
53 4% 97%  
54 5% 93%  
55 12% 88% Median
56 9% 76%  
57 15% 68%  
58 12% 53%  
59 15% 41%  
60 9% 27%  
61 5% 18%  
62 4% 13%  
63 4% 9%  
64 3% 5%  
65 0.7% 2%  
66 0.7% 1.2%  
67 0.2% 0.5%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.8%  
49 0.3% 99.4%  
50 2% 99.0%  
51 3% 98%  
52 6% 94%  
53 6% 89%  
54 14% 83% Median
55 16% 68%  
56 10% 53%  
57 18% 43%  
58 8% 25%  
59 5% 17%  
60 4% 12%  
61 2% 8%  
62 3% 6%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 0.9% 1.3%  
65 0.2% 0.4%  
66 0.1% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.6% 99.6%  
47 0.6% 99.0%  
48 4% 98%  
49 5% 95%  
50 14% 90%  
51 7% 75%  
52 17% 68% Median
53 15% 51%  
54 7% 36%  
55 14% 29%  
56 5% 16%  
57 4% 11%  
58 3% 7%  
59 2% 5%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.3% 0.6%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 99.8%  
43 0.3% 99.5%  
44 0.6% 99.2%  
45 2% 98.6%  
46 1.3% 97%  
47 3% 96%  
48 9% 93%  
49 9% 84%  
50 13% 74%  
51 19% 62% Median
52 15% 42%  
53 7% 28%  
54 9% 21%  
55 8% 12%  
56 2% 4%  
57 1.0% 2%  
58 0.8% 1.1%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.6%  
36 2% 99.2%  
37 3% 97%  
38 11% 94%  
39 11% 83% Median
40 11% 72%  
41 13% 61%  
42 11% 47%  
43 6% 36%  
44 10% 30%  
45 7% 20%  
46 4% 13%  
47 3% 9%  
48 4% 6%  
49 1.0% 2%  
50 0.8% 1.3%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.5% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.3% Last Result
36 2% 98%  
37 3% 95%  
38 12% 92%  
39 8% 80% Median
40 13% 72%  
41 16% 58%  
42 7% 43%  
43 8% 36%  
44 5% 28%  
45 12% 24%  
46 6% 12%  
47 2% 6%  
48 2% 4%  
49 0.8% 2%  
50 0.6% 1.3%  
51 0.3% 0.7%  
52 0.3% 0.5%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations