Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 5–11 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 21.7% | 20.0–23.5% | 19.6–24.0% | 19.2–24.4% | 18.4–25.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 20.9% | 19.2–22.6% | 18.8–23.1% | 18.4–23.5% | 17.6–24.4% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 20.6% | 19.0–22.4% | 18.6–22.9% | 18.2–23.3% | 17.5–24.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.6% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.3–11.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 6.5% | 5.6–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 5.1–8.3% | 4.7–8.9% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 40 | 37–43 | 35–44 | 34–44 | 32–45 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 38 | 36–42 | 35–42 | 35–43 | 33–45 |
| Høyre | 45 | 36 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 30–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 15 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–19 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 |
| Rødt | 1 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 4% | 97% | |
| 36 | 2% | 93% | |
| 37 | 6% | 91% | |
| 38 | 10% | 85% | |
| 39 | 21% | 75% | |
| 40 | 19% | 54% | Median |
| 41 | 11% | 35% | |
| 42 | 10% | 24% | |
| 43 | 8% | 14% | |
| 44 | 5% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 3% | 98% | |
| 36 | 14% | 95% | |
| 37 | 20% | 81% | |
| 38 | 25% | 61% | Median |
| 39 | 12% | 36% | |
| 40 | 8% | 24% | |
| 41 | 6% | 16% | |
| 42 | 6% | 10% | |
| 43 | 3% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 7% | 96% | |
| 34 | 20% | 89% | |
| 35 | 13% | 70% | |
| 36 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 37 | 16% | 47% | |
| 38 | 15% | 31% | |
| 39 | 4% | 15% | |
| 40 | 7% | 11% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 10% | 97% | |
| 14 | 25% | 87% | |
| 15 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 16 | 23% | 46% | |
| 17 | 8% | 23% | |
| 18 | 9% | 15% | |
| 19 | 4% | 6% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 12 | 7% | 97% | |
| 13 | 17% | 90% | |
| 14 | 15% | 73% | |
| 15 | 23% | 58% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 35% | |
| 17 | 12% | 16% | |
| 18 | 2% | 4% | |
| 19 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 15% | 91% | |
| 11 | 24% | 76% | |
| 12 | 32% | 52% | Median |
| 13 | 12% | 20% | |
| 14 | 5% | 8% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 27% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 73% | |
| 4 | 0% | 73% | |
| 5 | 0% | 73% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 73% | |
| 7 | 21% | 72% | |
| 8 | 30% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 15% | 21% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 6% | 89% | |
| 3 | 42% | 84% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 41% | |
| 7 | 22% | 41% | |
| 8 | 15% | 19% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 86% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 7 | 4% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 111 | 100% | 106–115 | 104–116 | 104–116 | 102–118 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 109 | 100% | 105–113 | 104–114 | 102–115 | 101–117 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 104 | 100% | 101–108 | 99–109 | 98–110 | 96–113 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 100 | 100% | 94–103 | 93–104 | 92–105 | 90–107 |
| Senterpartiet – Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 96 | 100% | 93–102 | 90–103 | 90–104 | 89–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 94 | 99.8% | 90–99 | 89–100 | 87–100 | 85–102 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 93 | 99.8% | 89–96 | 88–97 | 87–98 | 86–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 82 | 30% | 79–88 | 77–89 | 76–89 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 78 | 0.6% | 75–81 | 74–82 | 73–83 | 71–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 62 | 73 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–79 | 65–79 | 63–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 69 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–76 | 64–77 | 62–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 58 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–65 | 53–65 | 51–67 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 54 | 0% | 50–58 | 49–59 | 49–60 | 47–63 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 55 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 47–62 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–57 | 47–58 | 45–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 45 | 0% | 41–49 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 37–54 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 43 | 0% | 39–48 | 38–49 | 38–50 | 36–51 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 104 | 4% | 98% | |
| 105 | 2% | 94% | |
| 106 | 4% | 92% | |
| 107 | 5% | 88% | |
| 108 | 7% | 83% | |
| 109 | 8% | 76% | |
| 110 | 14% | 68% | |
| 111 | 12% | 54% | |
| 112 | 11% | 41% | |
| 113 | 17% | 31% | Median |
| 114 | 3% | 14% | |
| 115 | 4% | 10% | |
| 116 | 4% | 6% | |
| 117 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 118 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 119 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 102 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 103 | 2% | 97% | |
| 104 | 4% | 95% | |
| 105 | 8% | 91% | |
| 106 | 9% | 83% | |
| 107 | 5% | 74% | |
| 108 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 109 | 8% | 51% | |
| 110 | 10% | 44% | |
| 111 | 12% | 34% | |
| 112 | 9% | 22% | |
| 113 | 7% | 12% | |
| 114 | 2% | 6% | |
| 115 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 116 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 117 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 120 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 98 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 99 | 4% | 97% | |
| 100 | 3% | 93% | |
| 101 | 8% | 90% | |
| 102 | 13% | 82% | |
| 103 | 8% | 69% | |
| 104 | 12% | 61% | |
| 105 | 20% | 49% | Median |
| 106 | 7% | 29% | |
| 107 | 5% | 21% | |
| 108 | 9% | 16% | |
| 109 | 3% | 7% | |
| 110 | 2% | 4% | |
| 111 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 93 | 3% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 93% | |
| 95 | 3% | 90% | |
| 96 | 7% | 87% | |
| 97 | 6% | 80% | |
| 98 | 12% | 74% | |
| 99 | 8% | 61% | |
| 100 | 15% | 54% | |
| 101 | 20% | 39% | Median |
| 102 | 8% | 19% | |
| 103 | 4% | 11% | |
| 104 | 4% | 7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 92 | 2% | 94% | |
| 93 | 5% | 91% | |
| 94 | 18% | 86% | Median |
| 95 | 9% | 68% | |
| 96 | 11% | 59% | |
| 97 | 9% | 47% | |
| 98 | 11% | 39% | |
| 99 | 5% | 27% | |
| 100 | 5% | 22% | |
| 101 | 5% | 17% | |
| 102 | 6% | 12% | |
| 103 | 2% | 6% | |
| 104 | 2% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 3% | 93% | |
| 91 | 12% | 90% | |
| 92 | 13% | 78% | |
| 93 | 11% | 65% | Median |
| 94 | 13% | 54% | |
| 95 | 10% | 41% | |
| 96 | 5% | 31% | |
| 97 | 6% | 27% | |
| 98 | 7% | 20% | |
| 99 | 8% | 13% | |
| 100 | 4% | 6% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 88 | 4% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 92% | |
| 90 | 7% | 90% | |
| 91 | 12% | 82% | |
| 92 | 13% | 70% | |
| 93 | 25% | 58% | Median |
| 94 | 9% | 33% | |
| 95 | 8% | 24% | |
| 96 | 10% | 16% | |
| 97 | 2% | 6% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 99 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 100 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 77 | 3% | 97% | |
| 78 | 3% | 94% | |
| 79 | 6% | 91% | |
| 80 | 18% | 85% | |
| 81 | 5% | 67% | Median |
| 82 | 14% | 61% | |
| 83 | 10% | 48% | |
| 84 | 8% | 37% | |
| 85 | 8% | 30% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 21% | |
| 87 | 7% | 17% | |
| 88 | 5% | 10% | |
| 89 | 4% | 6% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 6% | 94% | |
| 76 | 12% | 88% | |
| 77 | 22% | 76% | |
| 78 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 79 | 16% | 42% | |
| 80 | 13% | 26% | |
| 81 | 5% | 13% | |
| 82 | 4% | 9% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 6% | 94% | |
| 68 | 5% | 88% | |
| 69 | 5% | 83% | |
| 70 | 5% | 78% | |
| 71 | 11% | 73% | |
| 72 | 9% | 61% | |
| 73 | 11% | 53% | |
| 74 | 9% | 41% | |
| 75 | 18% | 32% | Median |
| 76 | 5% | 14% | |
| 77 | 2% | 9% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 79 | 4% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 93% | |
| 67 | 8% | 89% | |
| 68 | 20% | 81% | Median |
| 69 | 15% | 61% | |
| 70 | 8% | 46% | |
| 71 | 12% | 39% | |
| 72 | 6% | 26% | |
| 73 | 7% | 20% | |
| 74 | 3% | 13% | |
| 75 | 3% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 4% | 98% | |
| 54 | 4% | 94% | |
| 55 | 3% | 90% | |
| 56 | 17% | 86% | Median |
| 57 | 11% | 69% | |
| 58 | 12% | 59% | |
| 59 | 14% | 46% | |
| 60 | 8% | 32% | |
| 61 | 7% | 24% | |
| 62 | 5% | 17% | |
| 63 | 4% | 12% | |
| 64 | 2% | 8% | |
| 65 | 4% | 6% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 6% | 98% | |
| 50 | 11% | 92% | |
| 51 | 7% | 81% | |
| 52 | 10% | 75% | |
| 53 | 12% | 64% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 52% | |
| 55 | 12% | 43% | |
| 56 | 13% | 31% | |
| 57 | 7% | 19% | |
| 58 | 5% | 11% | |
| 59 | 3% | 6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 94% | |
| 51 | 4% | 89% | |
| 52 | 8% | 85% | |
| 53 | 6% | 78% | |
| 54 | 14% | 72% | |
| 55 | 23% | 57% | Median |
| 56 | 12% | 35% | |
| 57 | 13% | 23% | |
| 58 | 5% | 10% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 2% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 47 | 7% | 98% | |
| 48 | 11% | 91% | |
| 49 | 8% | 80% | |
| 50 | 11% | 72% | |
| 51 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 52 | 8% | 48% | |
| 53 | 12% | 40% | |
| 54 | 12% | 28% | |
| 55 | 7% | 17% | |
| 56 | 5% | 10% | |
| 57 | 2% | 5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 98.5% | |
| 40 | 4% | 97% | |
| 41 | 9% | 93% | |
| 42 | 6% | 83% | |
| 43 | 12% | 77% | Median |
| 44 | 9% | 65% | |
| 45 | 9% | 56% | |
| 46 | 9% | 47% | |
| 47 | 17% | 38% | |
| 48 | 6% | 21% | |
| 49 | 6% | 15% | |
| 50 | 2% | 9% | |
| 51 | 3% | 7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 4% | 98% | |
| 39 | 5% | 94% | |
| 40 | 8% | 89% | |
| 41 | 11% | 81% | Median |
| 42 | 15% | 71% | |
| 43 | 17% | 56% | |
| 44 | 13% | 39% | |
| 45 | 7% | 26% | |
| 46 | 5% | 19% | |
| 47 | 4% | 14% | |
| 48 | 3% | 10% | |
| 49 | 4% | 7% | |
| 50 | 3% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 964
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.04%