Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI, 18–20 November 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
22.0% |
20.1–24.1% |
19.6–24.6% |
19.1–25.1% |
18.2–26.2% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.9% |
19.0–22.9% |
18.5–23.5% |
18.0–24.0% |
17.2–25.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
19.2% |
17.4–21.2% |
16.9–21.7% |
16.5–22.2% |
15.7–23.2% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
9.7% |
8.4–11.3% |
8.1–11.7% |
7.8–12.1% |
7.2–12.9% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.3% |
7.1–9.8% |
6.8–10.2% |
6.5–10.6% |
6.0–11.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
5.3% |
4.4–6.5% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.9–7.2% |
3.5–7.8% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
5.0% |
4.1–6.2% |
3.8–6.6% |
3.6–6.9% |
3.2–7.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.5% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.4–5.1% |
2.1–5.6% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.9% |
1.7–4.1% |
1.4–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
34 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
3% |
96% |
|
37 |
3% |
93% |
|
38 |
7% |
90% |
|
39 |
15% |
83% |
|
40 |
19% |
68% |
Median |
41 |
7% |
49% |
|
42 |
18% |
42% |
|
43 |
9% |
25% |
|
44 |
11% |
16% |
|
45 |
3% |
5% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
33 |
5% |
97% |
|
34 |
11% |
92% |
|
35 |
19% |
81% |
|
36 |
12% |
62% |
Median |
37 |
8% |
49% |
|
38 |
15% |
41% |
|
39 |
9% |
27% |
|
40 |
6% |
17% |
|
41 |
7% |
11% |
|
42 |
2% |
4% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
30 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
31 |
3% |
98% |
|
32 |
4% |
95% |
|
33 |
7% |
91% |
|
34 |
14% |
83% |
|
35 |
11% |
69% |
|
36 |
17% |
58% |
Median |
37 |
18% |
41% |
|
38 |
10% |
22% |
|
39 |
6% |
13% |
|
40 |
3% |
7% |
|
41 |
2% |
4% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
5% |
98% |
|
14 |
7% |
93% |
|
15 |
12% |
86% |
|
16 |
18% |
74% |
|
17 |
23% |
57% |
Median |
18 |
10% |
33% |
|
19 |
13% |
24% |
|
20 |
5% |
11% |
|
21 |
3% |
5% |
|
22 |
2% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
5% |
98% |
Last Result |
12 |
8% |
94% |
|
13 |
11% |
85% |
|
14 |
29% |
74% |
Median |
15 |
15% |
46% |
|
16 |
16% |
31% |
|
17 |
9% |
15% |
|
18 |
4% |
6% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
4 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
96% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
7 |
5% |
96% |
|
8 |
28% |
91% |
|
9 |
24% |
63% |
Median |
10 |
19% |
39% |
|
11 |
14% |
20% |
|
12 |
3% |
5% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
8% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0% |
92% |
|
6 |
1.1% |
92% |
|
7 |
12% |
91% |
|
8 |
25% |
79% |
|
9 |
26% |
55% |
Median |
10 |
16% |
29% |
|
11 |
8% |
13% |
|
12 |
4% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
33% |
98.7% |
|
2 |
11% |
66% |
|
3 |
30% |
55% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
24% |
|
5 |
0% |
24% |
|
6 |
3% |
24% |
|
7 |
12% |
21% |
|
8 |
7% |
9% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
15% |
98% |
|
2 |
79% |
82% |
Median |
3 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
109 |
100% |
103–113 |
102–114 |
100–115 |
98–117 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
103 |
100% |
99–108 |
97–110 |
95–111 |
93–113 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
100 |
100% |
95–105 |
93–106 |
92–106 |
90–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
100 |
100% |
95–103 |
93–104 |
92–106 |
90–107 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
95 |
99.7% |
90–99 |
89–101 |
88–103 |
85–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
91 |
97% |
87–95 |
85–96 |
84–97 |
82–99 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
89 |
90% |
84–94 |
83–95 |
81–96 |
78–99 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
79 |
9% |
75–84 |
74–87 |
73–88 |
69–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
76 |
0.2% |
73–80 |
71–81 |
70–82 |
67–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
73 |
0% |
68–77 |
66–79 |
65–80 |
62–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
68 |
0% |
63–73 |
62–74 |
61–76 |
58–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
59 |
0% |
54–63 |
54–65 |
52–67 |
50–69 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
56 |
0% |
51–60 |
50–62 |
49–64 |
47–66 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
54 |
0% |
49–58 |
48–59 |
47–62 |
45–64 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
55 |
0% |
51–59 |
50–60 |
49–61 |
46–64 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
42 |
0% |
38–46 |
37–47 |
36–49 |
34–51 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
41 |
0% |
37–45 |
36–47 |
35–48 |
33–51 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
100 |
1.5% |
98.9% |
|
101 |
2% |
97% |
|
102 |
3% |
95% |
|
103 |
3% |
92% |
|
104 |
4% |
89% |
|
105 |
4% |
85% |
|
106 |
6% |
80% |
|
107 |
9% |
74% |
|
108 |
14% |
65% |
Median |
109 |
5% |
50% |
|
110 |
16% |
45% |
|
111 |
10% |
29% |
|
112 |
9% |
19% |
|
113 |
5% |
10% |
|
114 |
2% |
5% |
|
115 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
116 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
117 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
118 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
94 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
95 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
96 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
97 |
2% |
96% |
|
98 |
2% |
94% |
|
99 |
4% |
92% |
|
100 |
11% |
88% |
|
101 |
6% |
77% |
|
102 |
14% |
71% |
Median |
103 |
13% |
57% |
|
104 |
8% |
44% |
|
105 |
9% |
37% |
|
106 |
9% |
28% |
|
107 |
8% |
19% |
|
108 |
4% |
11% |
|
109 |
2% |
7% |
|
110 |
2% |
5% |
|
111 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
112 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
114 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
92 |
1.5% |
98.9% |
|
93 |
2% |
97% |
|
94 |
3% |
95% |
|
95 |
2% |
92% |
|
96 |
5% |
90% |
|
97 |
4% |
84% |
|
98 |
7% |
80% |
|
99 |
14% |
73% |
Median |
100 |
17% |
59% |
|
101 |
11% |
42% |
|
102 |
9% |
32% |
|
103 |
8% |
23% |
|
104 |
5% |
15% |
|
105 |
5% |
10% |
|
106 |
3% |
5% |
|
107 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
108 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
93 |
2% |
96% |
|
94 |
2% |
94% |
|
95 |
4% |
91% |
|
96 |
7% |
87% |
|
97 |
6% |
80% |
|
98 |
7% |
74% |
|
99 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
100 |
18% |
55% |
|
101 |
14% |
37% |
|
102 |
5% |
23% |
|
103 |
10% |
18% |
|
104 |
4% |
9% |
|
105 |
2% |
5% |
|
106 |
2% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
89 |
4% |
97% |
|
90 |
4% |
93% |
|
91 |
8% |
89% |
|
92 |
8% |
81% |
|
93 |
13% |
73% |
|
94 |
8% |
60% |
Median |
95 |
9% |
52% |
|
96 |
16% |
43% |
|
97 |
8% |
27% |
|
98 |
5% |
19% |
|
99 |
6% |
14% |
|
100 |
3% |
9% |
|
101 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
102 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
103 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
105 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
85 |
3% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
94% |
|
87 |
3% |
91% |
|
88 |
9% |
89% |
|
89 |
7% |
80% |
|
90 |
14% |
73% |
Median |
91 |
14% |
59% |
|
92 |
18% |
45% |
|
93 |
5% |
27% |
|
94 |
10% |
21% |
|
95 |
5% |
12% |
|
96 |
4% |
7% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
83 |
2% |
96% |
|
84 |
4% |
94% |
|
85 |
4% |
90% |
Majority |
86 |
17% |
86% |
|
87 |
6% |
68% |
|
88 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
89 |
16% |
54% |
|
90 |
9% |
38% |
|
91 |
7% |
28% |
|
92 |
5% |
22% |
|
93 |
5% |
16% |
|
94 |
3% |
12% |
|
95 |
5% |
9% |
|
96 |
2% |
4% |
|
97 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
74 |
2% |
97% |
|
75 |
5% |
94% |
|
76 |
4% |
89% |
Last Result |
77 |
11% |
85% |
|
78 |
14% |
74% |
|
79 |
13% |
61% |
Median |
80 |
9% |
47% |
|
81 |
10% |
38% |
|
82 |
7% |
28% |
|
83 |
5% |
21% |
|
84 |
8% |
17% |
|
85 |
2% |
9% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
7% |
|
87 |
2% |
5% |
|
88 |
2% |
3% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
3% |
97% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
73 |
6% |
92% |
|
74 |
8% |
86% |
|
75 |
9% |
78% |
|
76 |
22% |
69% |
Median |
77 |
15% |
48% |
|
78 |
9% |
32% |
|
79 |
8% |
24% |
|
80 |
7% |
16% |
|
81 |
6% |
9% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
65 |
2% |
98% |
|
66 |
2% |
96% |
|
67 |
3% |
93% |
|
68 |
3% |
90% |
|
69 |
5% |
88% |
|
70 |
9% |
82% |
|
71 |
10% |
73% |
|
72 |
9% |
63% |
Median |
73 |
16% |
54% |
|
74 |
9% |
39% |
|
75 |
6% |
30% |
|
76 |
11% |
24% |
|
77 |
4% |
12% |
|
78 |
2% |
9% |
|
79 |
3% |
6% |
|
80 |
3% |
4% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
62 |
6% |
97% |
|
63 |
5% |
90% |
|
64 |
4% |
86% |
|
65 |
5% |
82% |
|
66 |
12% |
77% |
|
67 |
6% |
65% |
Median |
68 |
15% |
59% |
|
69 |
13% |
44% |
|
70 |
11% |
31% |
|
71 |
4% |
20% |
|
72 |
5% |
15% |
|
73 |
4% |
10% |
|
74 |
2% |
6% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
8% |
96% |
|
55 |
4% |
88% |
|
56 |
7% |
83% |
|
57 |
10% |
76% |
|
58 |
12% |
66% |
Median |
59 |
17% |
53% |
|
60 |
6% |
37% |
|
61 |
10% |
31% |
|
62 |
8% |
21% |
|
63 |
4% |
13% |
|
64 |
2% |
9% |
|
65 |
3% |
7% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
49 |
2% |
98% |
|
50 |
2% |
95% |
|
51 |
4% |
93% |
|
52 |
5% |
89% |
|
53 |
12% |
84% |
|
54 |
8% |
72% |
|
55 |
12% |
64% |
Median |
56 |
13% |
52% |
|
57 |
13% |
39% |
|
58 |
12% |
26% |
|
59 |
3% |
15% |
|
60 |
4% |
12% |
|
61 |
2% |
7% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
63 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
47 |
2% |
98% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
|
49 |
4% |
94% |
|
50 |
6% |
90% |
|
51 |
11% |
84% |
|
52 |
10% |
73% |
|
53 |
9% |
63% |
Median |
54 |
15% |
54% |
|
55 |
11% |
39% |
|
56 |
13% |
28% |
|
57 |
3% |
15% |
|
58 |
5% |
12% |
|
59 |
2% |
7% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
49 |
2% |
98% |
|
50 |
3% |
96% |
|
51 |
4% |
93% |
|
52 |
5% |
89% |
|
53 |
10% |
83% |
|
54 |
17% |
74% |
Median |
55 |
13% |
57% |
|
56 |
9% |
44% |
|
57 |
10% |
35% |
|
58 |
11% |
25% |
|
59 |
7% |
14% |
|
60 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
61 |
2% |
4% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
37 |
3% |
97% |
|
38 |
9% |
94% |
|
39 |
10% |
85% |
|
40 |
9% |
74% |
|
41 |
7% |
65% |
Median |
42 |
14% |
58% |
|
43 |
16% |
44% |
|
44 |
4% |
29% |
|
45 |
10% |
24% |
|
46 |
7% |
14% |
|
47 |
3% |
8% |
|
48 |
2% |
5% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
98% |
Last Result |
36 |
4% |
97% |
|
37 |
9% |
93% |
|
38 |
8% |
84% |
|
39 |
8% |
76% |
|
40 |
15% |
68% |
|
41 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
42 |
12% |
40% |
|
43 |
5% |
28% |
|
44 |
7% |
23% |
|
45 |
6% |
16% |
|
46 |
4% |
10% |
|
47 |
3% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos MMI
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 18–20 November 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 719
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.80%