Opinion Poll by Norfakta, 3–4 December 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 22.6% | 20.8–24.6% | 20.3–25.1% | 19.8–25.6% | 19.0–26.6% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 21.4% | 19.6–23.3% | 19.1–23.8% | 18.7–24.3% | 17.8–25.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 19.3% | 17.6–21.1% | 17.1–21.7% | 16.7–22.1% | 15.9–23.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 10.1% | 8.9–11.6% | 8.5–12.0% | 8.2–12.4% | 7.7–13.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.3–9.4% | 6.0–9.7% | 5.5–10.4% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.4–7.4% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.5% | 2.5–6.1% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.5% | 2.5–6.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.5% | 2.5–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 39 | 35–43 | 33–44 | 33–45 | 32–47 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 39 | 34–41 | 34–43 | 33–43 | 31–45 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 38 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–41 | 29–43 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–21 | 12–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 2–11 | 1–12 |
| Rødt | 1 | 8 | 7–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 6 | 2–8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–10 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 3% | 94% | |
| 35 | 4% | 91% | |
| 36 | 13% | 88% | |
| 37 | 3% | 75% | |
| 38 | 10% | 72% | |
| 39 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 40 | 12% | 42% | |
| 41 | 9% | 31% | |
| 42 | 8% | 22% | |
| 43 | 7% | 14% | |
| 44 | 3% | 7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 46 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 34 | 7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 4% | 90% | |
| 36 | 3% | 86% | |
| 37 | 4% | 82% | |
| 38 | 22% | 79% | |
| 39 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 40 | 19% | 39% | |
| 41 | 12% | 20% | |
| 42 | 2% | 8% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 32 | 6% | 97% | |
| 33 | 7% | 92% | |
| 34 | 5% | 85% | |
| 35 | 5% | 80% | |
| 36 | 13% | 75% | |
| 37 | 12% | 62% | |
| 38 | 25% | 50% | Median |
| 39 | 15% | 26% | |
| 40 | 5% | 11% | |
| 41 | 4% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 8% | 98% | |
| 14 | 10% | 91% | |
| 15 | 16% | 81% | |
| 16 | 9% | 65% | |
| 17 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 22% | 43% | |
| 19 | 10% | 22% | |
| 20 | 5% | 12% | |
| 21 | 5% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 13% | 98% | |
| 11 | 10% | 85% | Last Result |
| 12 | 33% | 75% | Median |
| 13 | 13% | 41% | |
| 14 | 18% | 28% | |
| 15 | 5% | 10% | |
| 16 | 3% | 5% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 7 | 7% | 96% | |
| 8 | 23% | 89% | |
| 9 | 30% | 66% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 35% | |
| 11 | 6% | 8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 8% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 7 | 20% | 90% | |
| 8 | 59% | 70% | Median |
| 9 | 9% | 11% | |
| 10 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 33% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 66% | |
| 4 | 0% | 65% | |
| 5 | 0% | 65% | |
| 6 | 25% | 65% | Median |
| 7 | 26% | 40% | |
| 8 | 5% | 14% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 11% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 25% | 89% | |
| 3 | 27% | 64% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 37% | |
| 5 | 0% | 37% | |
| 6 | 24% | 37% | |
| 7 | 10% | 13% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 105 | 100% | 100–107 | 98–108 | 96–109 | 93–112 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 102 | 100% | 98–105 | 97–107 | 95–109 | 94–112 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 101 | 100% | 97–104 | 96–106 | 94–106 | 91–109 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 97 | 99.8% | 93–100 | 92–101 | 90–102 | 86–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 96 | 99.7% | 91–99 | 90–100 | 89–102 | 86–103 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 89 | 78% | 83–93 | 82–93 | 81–96 | 78–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 89 | 84% | 84–91 | 83–93 | 81–94 | 79–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 80 | 12% | 74–85 | 73–85 | 72–87 | 69–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 76 | 0% | 71–79 | 70–80 | 69–81 | 66–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 73 | 0.3% | 70–78 | 69–79 | 67–80 | 66–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 64 | 0% | 62–69 | 61–71 | 60–73 | 57–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 61 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–68 | 55–70 | 54–73 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 56 | 0% | 50–61 | 50–62 | 49–63 | 47–66 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 51 | 0% | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 43–59 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 48 | 0% | 43–53 | 42–55 | 41–56 | 40–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 46 | 0% | 40–52 | 39–53 | 38–54 | 35–56 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 97 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 98 | 2% | 96% | |
| 99 | 3% | 94% | |
| 100 | 7% | 91% | |
| 101 | 5% | 84% | |
| 102 | 7% | 79% | |
| 103 | 6% | 72% | |
| 104 | 12% | 66% | |
| 105 | 9% | 53% | |
| 106 | 24% | 44% | Median |
| 107 | 13% | 20% | |
| 108 | 3% | 7% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 95 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 96 | 2% | 97% | |
| 97 | 3% | 95% | |
| 98 | 4% | 93% | |
| 99 | 11% | 88% | |
| 100 | 12% | 78% | |
| 101 | 6% | 66% | |
| 102 | 20% | 60% | |
| 103 | 20% | 40% | Median |
| 104 | 7% | 20% | |
| 105 | 4% | 13% | |
| 106 | 4% | 9% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 108 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 109 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 95 | 2% | 97% | |
| 96 | 3% | 95% | |
| 97 | 8% | 92% | |
| 98 | 10% | 84% | |
| 99 | 11% | 74% | |
| 100 | 11% | 63% | |
| 101 | 15% | 52% | Median |
| 102 | 9% | 36% | |
| 103 | 6% | 27% | |
| 104 | 14% | 22% | |
| 105 | 2% | 7% | |
| 106 | 3% | 6% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 108 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 92 | 2% | 96% | |
| 93 | 7% | 93% | |
| 94 | 8% | 86% | |
| 95 | 5% | 78% | |
| 96 | 13% | 74% | |
| 97 | 13% | 60% | |
| 98 | 23% | 47% | Median |
| 99 | 14% | 25% | |
| 100 | 4% | 10% | |
| 101 | 3% | 6% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 90 | 3% | 97% | |
| 91 | 7% | 93% | |
| 92 | 7% | 86% | |
| 93 | 7% | 79% | |
| 94 | 9% | 72% | |
| 95 | 8% | 63% | |
| 96 | 13% | 55% | |
| 97 | 22% | 42% | Median |
| 98 | 10% | 20% | |
| 99 | 4% | 10% | |
| 100 | 2% | 6% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 96% | |
| 83 | 6% | 94% | |
| 84 | 10% | 88% | |
| 85 | 2% | 78% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 75% | |
| 87 | 4% | 67% | |
| 88 | 9% | 63% | |
| 89 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 90 | 8% | 34% | |
| 91 | 7% | 26% | |
| 92 | 6% | 18% | |
| 93 | 7% | 12% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 96 | 2% | 3% | |
| 97 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 10% | 94% | |
| 85 | 3% | 84% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 81% | |
| 87 | 8% | 70% | |
| 88 | 12% | 62% | |
| 89 | 29% | 51% | Median |
| 90 | 7% | 22% | |
| 91 | 7% | 15% | |
| 92 | 2% | 9% | |
| 93 | 3% | 6% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 97% | |
| 74 | 9% | 92% | |
| 75 | 3% | 83% | |
| 76 | 3% | 81% | Last Result |
| 77 | 8% | 77% | |
| 78 | 8% | 70% | |
| 79 | 7% | 62% | |
| 80 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 37% | |
| 82 | 5% | 25% | |
| 83 | 6% | 20% | |
| 84 | 3% | 15% | |
| 85 | 7% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 69 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 4% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 92% | |
| 72 | 8% | 88% | |
| 73 | 3% | 81% | |
| 74 | 9% | 78% | |
| 75 | 16% | 69% | |
| 76 | 8% | 53% | |
| 77 | 22% | 45% | Median |
| 78 | 10% | 23% | |
| 79 | 5% | 13% | |
| 80 | 3% | 7% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 2% | 95% | |
| 70 | 4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 10% | 90% | |
| 72 | 22% | 80% | |
| 73 | 13% | 58% | |
| 74 | 8% | 45% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 37% | |
| 76 | 7% | 28% | |
| 77 | 7% | 21% | |
| 78 | 7% | 14% | |
| 79 | 3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 13% | 93% | |
| 63 | 24% | 80% | |
| 64 | 9% | 56% | |
| 65 | 12% | 47% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 34% | |
| 67 | 7% | 28% | |
| 68 | 5% | 21% | |
| 69 | 7% | 16% | |
| 70 | 3% | 9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 11% | 94% | |
| 58 | 9% | 83% | |
| 59 | 8% | 74% | |
| 60 | 15% | 66% | |
| 61 | 9% | 51% | |
| 62 | 7% | 41% | Median |
| 63 | 13% | 34% | |
| 64 | 7% | 21% | |
| 65 | 3% | 14% | |
| 66 | 3% | 11% | |
| 67 | 2% | 8% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 50 | 7% | 97% | |
| 51 | 9% | 89% | |
| 52 | 9% | 80% | |
| 53 | 2% | 71% | |
| 54 | 10% | 69% | |
| 55 | 4% | 59% | |
| 56 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 57 | 14% | 49% | |
| 58 | 7% | 35% | |
| 59 | 9% | 28% | |
| 60 | 3% | 19% | |
| 61 | 9% | 16% | |
| 62 | 3% | 7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 47 | 2% | 97% | |
| 48 | 11% | 95% | |
| 49 | 5% | 83% | |
| 50 | 20% | 79% | |
| 51 | 27% | 59% | Median |
| 52 | 10% | 32% | |
| 53 | 6% | 22% | |
| 54 | 4% | 17% | |
| 55 | 6% | 13% | |
| 56 | 2% | 6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 6% | 94% | |
| 44 | 5% | 89% | |
| 45 | 6% | 84% | |
| 46 | 12% | 77% | |
| 47 | 7% | 65% | |
| 48 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 42% | |
| 50 | 7% | 34% | |
| 51 | 6% | 26% | |
| 52 | 10% | 21% | |
| 53 | 3% | 11% | |
| 54 | 2% | 8% | |
| 55 | 3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 39 | 2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 8% | 95% | |
| 41 | 4% | 87% | |
| 42 | 16% | 83% | |
| 43 | 2% | 67% | |
| 44 | 3% | 64% | |
| 45 | 9% | 62% | |
| 46 | 3% | 53% | |
| 47 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 48 | 9% | 43% | |
| 49 | 8% | 34% | |
| 50 | 7% | 27% | |
| 51 | 9% | 20% | |
| 52 | 5% | 11% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–4 December 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 810
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 2.44%