Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 6–10 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.5% |
21.6–25.5% |
21.1–26.0% |
20.7–26.5% |
19.8–27.5% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
22.3% |
20.5–24.3% |
20.0–24.9% |
19.6–25.4% |
18.7–26.3% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
17.9% |
16.3–19.8% |
15.8–20.3% |
15.4–20.8% |
14.7–21.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.8% |
7.6–10.2% |
7.3–10.6% |
7.0–11.0% |
6.5–11.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
8.7% |
7.5–10.1% |
7.2–10.5% |
6.9–10.8% |
6.4–11.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.5% |
5.5–7.8% |
5.2–8.2% |
5.0–8.5% |
4.6–9.1% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.7% |
3.6–6.1% |
3.4–6.3% |
3.0–6.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.1% |
2.5–4.1% |
2.3–4.4% |
2.1–4.6% |
1.8–5.1% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.3% |
1.7–3.1% |
1.6–3.3% |
1.4–3.6% |
1.2–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
38 |
2% |
98% |
|
39 |
5% |
96% |
|
40 |
11% |
91% |
|
41 |
9% |
81% |
|
42 |
22% |
72% |
|
43 |
10% |
50% |
Median |
44 |
19% |
41% |
|
45 |
12% |
22% |
|
46 |
5% |
10% |
|
47 |
2% |
5% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
2% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
35 |
4% |
97% |
|
36 |
8% |
92% |
|
37 |
11% |
84% |
|
38 |
10% |
73% |
|
39 |
10% |
63% |
|
40 |
15% |
53% |
Median |
41 |
16% |
39% |
|
42 |
6% |
22% |
|
43 |
7% |
16% |
|
44 |
5% |
9% |
|
45 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
46 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
28 |
2% |
97% |
|
29 |
3% |
95% |
|
30 |
15% |
92% |
|
31 |
7% |
77% |
|
32 |
14% |
70% |
|
33 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
34 |
8% |
46% |
|
35 |
15% |
39% |
|
36 |
17% |
24% |
|
37 |
5% |
7% |
|
38 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
12 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
13 |
11% |
96% |
|
14 |
14% |
85% |
|
15 |
13% |
71% |
|
16 |
25% |
57% |
Median |
17 |
13% |
32% |
|
18 |
11% |
19% |
|
19 |
6% |
7% |
|
20 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
13 |
11% |
94% |
|
14 |
14% |
83% |
|
15 |
22% |
69% |
Median |
16 |
23% |
46% |
|
17 |
11% |
24% |
|
18 |
8% |
13% |
|
19 |
4% |
5% |
|
20 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
6% |
98% |
|
10 |
14% |
92% |
|
11 |
24% |
78% |
|
12 |
24% |
54% |
Median |
13 |
19% |
30% |
|
14 |
8% |
11% |
|
15 |
2% |
3% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
16% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
83% |
|
4 |
0% |
83% |
|
5 |
0% |
83% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
83% |
|
7 |
18% |
83% |
|
8 |
27% |
65% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
38% |
|
10 |
12% |
15% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
12% |
100% |
|
1 |
36% |
88% |
|
2 |
15% |
53% |
Median |
3 |
28% |
37% |
|
4 |
0% |
9% |
|
5 |
0% |
9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
7 |
6% |
9% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
16% |
100% |
|
1 |
32% |
84% |
|
2 |
52% |
53% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
111 |
100% |
106–115 |
105–116 |
103–117 |
100–118 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
105 |
100% |
101–110 |
100–111 |
99–112 |
96–114 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
103 |
100% |
99–108 |
98–109 |
96–110 |
94–111 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
99 |
100% |
94–103 |
93–104 |
91–105 |
88–107 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
91 |
98% |
88–96 |
86–98 |
85–100 |
83–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
91 |
98% |
87–95 |
86–97 |
85–98 |
82–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
90 |
90% |
84–95 |
84–96 |
83–97 |
81–99 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
78 |
4% |
73–83 |
72–84 |
71–86 |
69–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
77 |
2% |
73–81 |
71–83 |
69–84 |
68–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
76 |
0.2% |
71–80 |
70–81 |
69–82 |
67–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
70 |
0% |
66–75 |
65–76 |
64–77 |
62–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
58 |
0% |
54–63 |
53–64 |
52–65 |
51–69 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
58 |
0% |
55–62 |
53–63 |
52–64 |
50–67 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
56 |
0% |
51–61 |
51–62 |
50–63 |
49–65 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
55 |
0% |
50–60 |
49–60 |
48–62 |
47–64 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
43 |
0% |
39–47 |
38–49 |
37–49 |
36–52 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
36 |
0% |
33–41 |
32–43 |
30–44 |
28–47 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0% |
100% |
|
98 |
0% |
100% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
100 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
102 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
103 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
104 |
2% |
97% |
|
105 |
3% |
95% |
|
106 |
7% |
92% |
|
107 |
5% |
85% |
|
108 |
6% |
80% |
|
109 |
7% |
74% |
|
110 |
13% |
67% |
|
111 |
13% |
54% |
|
112 |
16% |
41% |
Median |
113 |
6% |
25% |
|
114 |
6% |
18% |
|
115 |
6% |
12% |
|
116 |
3% |
6% |
|
117 |
2% |
3% |
|
118 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
119 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
120 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
98 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
99 |
3% |
98% |
|
100 |
4% |
95% |
|
101 |
5% |
91% |
|
102 |
12% |
86% |
|
103 |
7% |
75% |
|
104 |
12% |
67% |
|
105 |
9% |
55% |
|
106 |
10% |
47% |
Median |
107 |
9% |
37% |
|
108 |
8% |
28% |
|
109 |
6% |
20% |
|
110 |
4% |
14% |
|
111 |
5% |
10% |
|
112 |
3% |
5% |
|
113 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
116 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
97 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
98 |
5% |
96% |
|
99 |
6% |
91% |
|
100 |
6% |
85% |
|
101 |
11% |
79% |
|
102 |
13% |
68% |
|
103 |
9% |
55% |
|
104 |
11% |
46% |
Median |
105 |
13% |
35% |
|
106 |
8% |
22% |
|
107 |
4% |
14% |
|
108 |
4% |
11% |
|
109 |
2% |
6% |
|
110 |
3% |
4% |
|
111 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
91 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
92 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
93 |
4% |
96% |
|
94 |
3% |
92% |
|
95 |
5% |
89% |
|
96 |
6% |
84% |
|
97 |
12% |
78% |
|
98 |
10% |
66% |
|
99 |
12% |
55% |
|
100 |
9% |
43% |
Median |
101 |
13% |
33% |
|
102 |
6% |
21% |
|
103 |
7% |
15% |
|
104 |
6% |
9% |
|
105 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
106 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
3% |
94% |
|
88 |
7% |
91% |
|
89 |
14% |
84% |
|
90 |
9% |
70% |
|
91 |
11% |
60% |
|
92 |
14% |
50% |
Median |
93 |
13% |
36% |
|
94 |
6% |
23% |
|
95 |
4% |
17% |
|
96 |
4% |
13% |
|
97 |
3% |
9% |
|
98 |
2% |
5% |
|
99 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
100 |
2% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
80 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
85 |
2% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
96% |
|
87 |
3% |
93% |
|
88 |
11% |
90% |
|
89 |
8% |
79% |
|
90 |
10% |
71% |
|
91 |
12% |
60% |
|
92 |
8% |
48% |
Median |
93 |
11% |
40% |
|
94 |
11% |
30% |
|
95 |
9% |
18% |
|
96 |
5% |
10% |
|
97 |
2% |
5% |
|
98 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
99 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
83 |
3% |
98% |
|
84 |
6% |
95% |
|
85 |
6% |
90% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
84% |
|
87 |
4% |
74% |
|
88 |
10% |
70% |
|
89 |
10% |
60% |
|
90 |
9% |
50% |
Median |
91 |
7% |
42% |
|
92 |
10% |
35% |
|
93 |
8% |
25% |
|
94 |
6% |
17% |
|
95 |
5% |
11% |
|
96 |
2% |
6% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
2% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
3% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
96% |
|
73 |
12% |
93% |
|
74 |
6% |
82% |
|
75 |
4% |
76% |
|
76 |
8% |
71% |
Last Result |
77 |
8% |
63% |
|
78 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
79 |
9% |
45% |
|
80 |
6% |
36% |
|
81 |
11% |
30% |
|
82 |
5% |
19% |
|
83 |
6% |
14% |
|
84 |
3% |
8% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
87 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
71 |
2% |
96% |
|
72 |
4% |
94% |
|
73 |
4% |
91% |
|
74 |
4% |
87% |
|
75 |
6% |
83% |
|
76 |
13% |
76% |
|
77 |
14% |
63% |
|
78 |
11% |
50% |
|
79 |
9% |
39% |
Median |
80 |
14% |
30% |
|
81 |
7% |
16% |
|
82 |
3% |
9% |
|
83 |
2% |
6% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
96% |
|
71 |
5% |
94% |
|
72 |
11% |
89% |
|
73 |
7% |
78% |
|
74 |
7% |
71% |
|
75 |
6% |
63% |
|
76 |
14% |
57% |
Median |
77 |
10% |
44% |
|
78 |
9% |
33% |
|
79 |
8% |
24% |
|
80 |
10% |
16% |
|
81 |
4% |
7% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
6% |
97% |
|
66 |
7% |
91% |
|
67 |
6% |
85% |
|
68 |
13% |
79% |
|
69 |
9% |
66% |
|
70 |
12% |
57% |
|
71 |
10% |
44% |
Median |
72 |
12% |
34% |
|
73 |
6% |
22% |
|
74 |
5% |
16% |
|
75 |
3% |
11% |
|
76 |
4% |
8% |
|
77 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
78 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
53 |
3% |
97% |
|
54 |
6% |
94% |
|
55 |
6% |
88% |
|
56 |
7% |
82% |
|
57 |
16% |
75% |
|
58 |
13% |
59% |
|
59 |
13% |
46% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
32% |
|
61 |
6% |
26% |
|
62 |
5% |
20% |
|
63 |
7% |
14% |
|
64 |
3% |
7% |
|
65 |
2% |
4% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
4% |
95% |
|
55 |
5% |
91% |
|
56 |
10% |
86% |
|
57 |
13% |
76% |
|
58 |
19% |
63% |
|
59 |
14% |
44% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
31% |
Last Result |
61 |
10% |
24% |
|
62 |
4% |
14% |
|
63 |
5% |
9% |
|
64 |
3% |
5% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
2% |
98% |
|
51 |
6% |
95% |
|
52 |
5% |
89% |
|
53 |
7% |
84% |
|
54 |
7% |
78% |
|
55 |
9% |
70% |
|
56 |
13% |
62% |
|
57 |
12% |
49% |
Median |
58 |
13% |
37% |
|
59 |
7% |
24% |
|
60 |
4% |
17% |
|
61 |
5% |
13% |
|
62 |
4% |
8% |
|
63 |
2% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
49 |
2% |
97% |
|
50 |
7% |
94% |
|
51 |
4% |
87% |
|
52 |
7% |
83% |
|
53 |
8% |
76% |
|
54 |
12% |
69% |
|
55 |
12% |
56% |
Median |
56 |
16% |
44% |
|
57 |
8% |
28% |
|
58 |
6% |
21% |
|
59 |
4% |
15% |
|
60 |
6% |
11% |
|
61 |
2% |
5% |
|
62 |
2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
38 |
2% |
97% |
|
39 |
6% |
95% |
|
40 |
8% |
89% |
|
41 |
12% |
81% |
|
42 |
12% |
69% |
|
43 |
16% |
57% |
|
44 |
11% |
42% |
Median |
45 |
9% |
30% |
|
46 |
7% |
21% |
|
47 |
4% |
14% |
|
48 |
5% |
10% |
|
49 |
3% |
5% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
31 |
2% |
97% |
|
32 |
3% |
95% |
|
33 |
13% |
93% |
|
34 |
9% |
80% |
|
35 |
9% |
70% |
Last Result |
36 |
13% |
61% |
|
37 |
9% |
48% |
Median |
38 |
10% |
40% |
|
39 |
10% |
30% |
|
40 |
7% |
20% |
|
41 |
5% |
13% |
|
42 |
2% |
8% |
|
43 |
2% |
6% |
|
44 |
2% |
4% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 6–10 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 797
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.95%