Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 14–18 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 25.4% | 23.7–27.2% | 23.2–27.7% | 22.8–28.2% | 22.0–29.1% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 16.8% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.6–19.3% | 13.9–20.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 10.8% | 9.6–12.2% | 9.3–12.5% | 9.0–12.9% | 8.5–13.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 42–50 | 40–53 |
| Høyre | 45 | 36 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 31–42 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 31 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 18 | 17–21 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 13 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 3–13 |
| Rødt | 1 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 5% | 98% | |
| 43 | 4% | 93% | |
| 44 | 43% | 89% | Median |
| 45 | 10% | 46% | |
| 46 | 4% | 36% | |
| 47 | 4% | 32% | |
| 48 | 17% | 28% | |
| 49 | 2% | 10% | Last Result |
| 50 | 6% | 8% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 6% | 98% | |
| 34 | 6% | 93% | |
| 35 | 24% | 86% | |
| 36 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 37 | 25% | 41% | |
| 38 | 5% | 17% | |
| 39 | 3% | 12% | |
| 40 | 5% | 8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 2% | 97% | |
| 28 | 10% | 95% | |
| 29 | 19% | 86% | |
| 30 | 4% | 67% | |
| 31 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 32 | 24% | 41% | |
| 33 | 5% | 17% | |
| 34 | 9% | 12% | |
| 35 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 7% | 98% | |
| 17 | 20% | 90% | |
| 18 | 28% | 71% | Median |
| 19 | 25% | 43% | |
| 20 | 6% | 18% | |
| 21 | 4% | 11% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 23 | 3% | 6% | |
| 24 | 3% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 12 | 22% | 96% | |
| 13 | 24% | 74% | Median |
| 14 | 9% | 50% | |
| 15 | 8% | 40% | |
| 16 | 29% | 33% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 24% | 97% | |
| 9 | 54% | 73% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 18% | |
| 11 | 5% | 9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 85% | |
| 4 | 0% | 85% | |
| 5 | 0% | 85% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 85% | |
| 7 | 10% | 85% | |
| 8 | 50% | 74% | Median |
| 9 | 18% | 25% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 24% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 75% | |
| 4 | 0% | 71% | |
| 5 | 0% | 71% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 71% | |
| 7 | 16% | 71% | |
| 8 | 47% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 7% | 7% | |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 73% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 8% | 24% | |
| 3 | 10% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 6% | |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 106 | 100% | 102–110 | 102–110 | 101–111 | 98–114 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 101 | 100% | 98–104 | 97–106 | 95–107 | 95–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 100 | 100% | 96–102 | 94–104 | 94–105 | 93–107 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 97 | 100% | 94–101 | 93–101 | 91–101 | 88–104 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 93 | 99.6% | 88–98 | 88–99 | 87–100 | 85–102 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 91 | 98.7% | 87–93 | 86–94 | 85–96 | 83–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 87 | 90% | 85–90 | 82–92 | 82–94 | 81–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 77 | 3% | 75–81 | 74–82 | 73–85 | 71–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 62 | 76 | 0.4% | 71–81 | 70–81 | 69–82 | 67–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 76 | 0.1% | 73–79 | 72–80 | 72–81 | 69–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 72 | 0% | 68–75 | 68–76 | 68–78 | 65–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 63 | 0% | 59–67 | 59–67 | 58–68 | 55–71 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 61 | 0% | 58–65 | 56–66 | 55–66 | 53–68 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 60 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–64 | 55–65 | 53–67 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 54 | 0% | 52–59 | 51–61 | 50–61 | 48–63 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 44 | 0% | 40–48 | 39–50 | 38–52 | 37–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 40 | 0% | 32–43 | 32–44 | 31–45 | 29–47 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 6% | 95% | |
| 103 | 3% | 89% | |
| 104 | 5% | 86% | |
| 105 | 10% | 80% | Median |
| 106 | 22% | 70% | |
| 107 | 7% | 48% | |
| 108 | 23% | 41% | |
| 109 | 2% | 19% | |
| 110 | 13% | 16% | |
| 111 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 112 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 97 | 2% | 95% | |
| 98 | 23% | 94% | Median |
| 99 | 4% | 71% | |
| 100 | 2% | 66% | |
| 101 | 30% | 64% | |
| 102 | 6% | 34% | |
| 103 | 16% | 27% | |
| 104 | 3% | 12% | |
| 105 | 3% | 9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 6% | |
| 107 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 108 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 2% | 94% | |
| 96 | 2% | 92% | |
| 97 | 24% | 90% | Median |
| 98 | 7% | 66% | |
| 99 | 8% | 59% | |
| 100 | 23% | 51% | |
| 101 | 5% | 27% | |
| 102 | 16% | 23% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 6% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 4% | 96% | |
| 94 | 10% | 92% | |
| 95 | 4% | 82% | |
| 96 | 3% | 78% | Median |
| 97 | 25% | 75% | |
| 98 | 6% | 50% | |
| 99 | 24% | 44% | |
| 100 | 3% | 19% | |
| 101 | 13% | 16% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 88 | 12% | 97% | |
| 89 | 4% | 85% | |
| 90 | 5% | 82% | |
| 91 | 3% | 77% | |
| 92 | 21% | 74% | |
| 93 | 5% | 53% | |
| 94 | 5% | 48% | Median |
| 95 | 17% | 43% | |
| 96 | 6% | 26% | |
| 97 | 6% | 21% | |
| 98 | 9% | 15% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 98.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 97% | |
| 87 | 2% | 90% | |
| 88 | 16% | 88% | Median |
| 89 | 14% | 71% | |
| 90 | 3% | 57% | |
| 91 | 26% | 54% | |
| 92 | 8% | 28% | |
| 93 | 14% | 20% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 95 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 97 | 2% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 83 | 3% | 95% | |
| 84 | 2% | 92% | |
| 85 | 22% | 90% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 16% | 68% | |
| 87 | 20% | 52% | |
| 88 | 10% | 31% | |
| 89 | 9% | 21% | |
| 90 | 2% | 12% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 3% | 7% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 6% | 96% | |
| 75 | 2% | 90% | |
| 76 | 15% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 77 | 24% | 74% | |
| 78 | 17% | 50% | |
| 79 | 10% | 33% | |
| 80 | 11% | 23% | |
| 81 | 6% | 12% | |
| 82 | 2% | 7% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 71 | 9% | 95% | |
| 72 | 6% | 85% | |
| 73 | 6% | 79% | |
| 74 | 17% | 74% | Median |
| 75 | 5% | 57% | |
| 76 | 5% | 52% | |
| 77 | 21% | 47% | |
| 78 | 3% | 26% | |
| 79 | 5% | 23% | |
| 80 | 4% | 18% | |
| 81 | 12% | 15% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 6% | 95% | |
| 74 | 6% | 89% | |
| 75 | 17% | 83% | Median |
| 76 | 24% | 66% | |
| 77 | 16% | 42% | |
| 78 | 14% | 26% | |
| 79 | 5% | 12% | |
| 80 | 4% | 7% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 68 | 13% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 84% | |
| 70 | 24% | 81% | |
| 71 | 6% | 56% | |
| 72 | 25% | 50% | Median |
| 73 | 3% | 25% | |
| 74 | 4% | 22% | |
| 75 | 10% | 18% | |
| 76 | 4% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 13% | 96% | |
| 60 | 2% | 84% | |
| 61 | 23% | 81% | |
| 62 | 7% | 59% | |
| 63 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 30% | |
| 65 | 5% | 20% | |
| 66 | 3% | 14% | |
| 67 | 6% | 11% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 14% | 93% | |
| 59 | 6% | 79% | |
| 60 | 21% | 73% | |
| 61 | 11% | 52% | |
| 62 | 16% | 42% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 26% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 11% | |
| 66 | 6% | 8% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 18% | 93% | |
| 57 | 11% | 75% | Median |
| 58 | 5% | 65% | |
| 59 | 7% | 59% | |
| 60 | 19% | 52% | Last Result |
| 61 | 10% | 33% | |
| 62 | 4% | 24% | |
| 63 | 4% | 20% | |
| 64 | 12% | 15% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 5% | 96% | |
| 52 | 18% | 91% | |
| 53 | 4% | 73% | |
| 54 | 24% | 69% | Median |
| 55 | 10% | 45% | |
| 56 | 16% | 35% | |
| 57 | 4% | 19% | |
| 58 | 3% | 15% | |
| 59 | 4% | 12% | |
| 60 | 2% | 7% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 12% | 93% | |
| 41 | 5% | 81% | |
| 42 | 2% | 76% | |
| 43 | 5% | 74% | |
| 44 | 26% | 69% | |
| 45 | 19% | 43% | Median |
| 46 | 9% | 24% | |
| 47 | 4% | 16% | |
| 48 | 6% | 12% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 32 | 12% | 97% | |
| 33 | 3% | 85% | |
| 34 | 2% | 82% | |
| 35 | 5% | 80% | Last Result |
| 36 | 1.4% | 76% | |
| 37 | 8% | 74% | |
| 38 | 3% | 66% | |
| 39 | 8% | 63% | |
| 40 | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 41 | 20% | 40% | |
| 42 | 5% | 20% | |
| 43 | 8% | 14% | |
| 44 | 3% | 6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Amedia and Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 14–18 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 262,144
- Error estimate: 2.12%