Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 21–27 January 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
26.8% |
24.6–29.1% |
24.0–29.8% |
23.4–30.4% |
22.4–31.5% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
21.0% |
19.0–23.2% |
18.5–23.8% |
18.0–24.4% |
17.1–25.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
14.6% |
13.0–16.6% |
12.5–17.1% |
12.1–17.6% |
11.3–18.6% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
12.7% |
11.2–14.6% |
10.7–15.1% |
10.3–15.6% |
9.6–16.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.6% |
6.4–9.2% |
6.1–9.6% |
5.8–10.0% |
5.3–10.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.9% |
4.0–6.2% |
3.7–6.6% |
3.5–6.9% |
3.1–7.6% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.0% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.5% |
2.7–5.8% |
2.4–6.4% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
3.7% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.6–5.2% |
2.5–5.4% |
2.1–6.1% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.0% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.1–4.4% |
2.0–4.7% |
1.6–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
42 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
43 |
4% |
96% |
|
44 |
9% |
92% |
|
45 |
13% |
83% |
|
46 |
10% |
71% |
|
47 |
15% |
61% |
Median |
48 |
9% |
46% |
|
49 |
5% |
37% |
Last Result |
50 |
9% |
32% |
|
51 |
6% |
22% |
|
52 |
6% |
16% |
|
53 |
3% |
10% |
|
54 |
3% |
7% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
56 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
2% |
97% |
|
33 |
2% |
95% |
|
34 |
12% |
93% |
|
35 |
9% |
81% |
|
36 |
16% |
72% |
|
37 |
14% |
57% |
Median |
38 |
13% |
43% |
|
39 |
8% |
30% |
|
40 |
6% |
21% |
|
41 |
3% |
15% |
|
42 |
2% |
12% |
|
43 |
4% |
10% |
|
44 |
3% |
6% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
21 |
2% |
98% |
|
22 |
2% |
96% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
24 |
10% |
93% |
|
25 |
14% |
83% |
|
26 |
32% |
70% |
Median |
27 |
8% |
37% |
Last Result |
28 |
13% |
29% |
|
29 |
2% |
17% |
|
30 |
4% |
14% |
|
31 |
4% |
11% |
|
32 |
6% |
7% |
|
33 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
3% |
98% |
|
19 |
3% |
95% |
Last Result |
20 |
8% |
92% |
|
21 |
19% |
84% |
|
22 |
10% |
65% |
|
23 |
15% |
55% |
Median |
24 |
13% |
40% |
|
25 |
8% |
27% |
|
26 |
10% |
19% |
|
27 |
5% |
9% |
|
28 |
2% |
4% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
4% |
98.9% |
|
11 |
8% |
95% |
Last Result |
12 |
12% |
87% |
|
13 |
18% |
75% |
|
14 |
23% |
57% |
Median |
15 |
15% |
33% |
|
16 |
12% |
19% |
|
17 |
4% |
7% |
|
18 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
7% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
2% |
92% |
|
4 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
5 |
0% |
89% |
|
6 |
0% |
89% |
|
7 |
4% |
89% |
|
8 |
26% |
85% |
|
9 |
29% |
59% |
Median |
10 |
17% |
30% |
|
11 |
8% |
13% |
|
12 |
4% |
5% |
|
13 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
9% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
8% |
91% |
|
3 |
30% |
83% |
|
4 |
0% |
53% |
|
5 |
0% |
53% |
|
6 |
0% |
53% |
|
7 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
8 |
20% |
39% |
Last Result |
9 |
11% |
19% |
|
10 |
6% |
7% |
|
11 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
10% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
53% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
0% |
37% |
|
4 |
0% |
37% |
|
5 |
0% |
37% |
|
6 |
0% |
37% |
|
7 |
9% |
37% |
|
8 |
20% |
28% |
|
9 |
6% |
9% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
16% |
98.9% |
|
2 |
66% |
83% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
18% |
|
4 |
0% |
13% |
|
5 |
0% |
13% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
7 |
6% |
13% |
|
8 |
6% |
7% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
98 |
99.9% |
93–104 |
91–105 |
90–107 |
87–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
97 |
99.7% |
91–103 |
89–104 |
89–105 |
86–107 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
95 |
99.3% |
89–100 |
88–102 |
87–104 |
84–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
93 |
96% |
87–99 |
85–100 |
84–101 |
82–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
89 |
83% |
83–94 |
82–95 |
80–97 |
78–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
84 |
49% |
80–91 |
78–92 |
76–93 |
74–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
84 |
45% |
79–91 |
77–92 |
75–93 |
74–96 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
80 |
17% |
75–86 |
74–87 |
72–89 |
69–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
76 |
3% |
71–82 |
69–84 |
68–85 |
66–88 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
72 |
0.3% |
66–78 |
65–80 |
64–80 |
62–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
70 |
0.1% |
65–76 |
64–78 |
63–79 |
61–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
66 |
0% |
62–72 |
59–73 |
58–75 |
56–77 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
63 |
0% |
59–69 |
57–70 |
56–71 |
54–74 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
61 |
0% |
57–67 |
56–68 |
55–70 |
53–72 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
45 |
0% |
40–51 |
39–52 |
39–54 |
36–58 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
31 |
0% |
26–36 |
25–37 |
24–39 |
22–41 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
91 |
4% |
97% |
|
92 |
2% |
93% |
|
93 |
3% |
91% |
|
94 |
4% |
88% |
|
95 |
7% |
84% |
|
96 |
9% |
77% |
|
97 |
14% |
68% |
|
98 |
6% |
54% |
|
99 |
8% |
48% |
|
100 |
4% |
40% |
Median |
101 |
13% |
36% |
|
102 |
7% |
23% |
|
103 |
7% |
17% |
|
104 |
4% |
10% |
|
105 |
2% |
7% |
|
106 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
107 |
2% |
4% |
|
108 |
2% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
89 |
3% |
98% |
|
90 |
3% |
95% |
|
91 |
4% |
92% |
|
92 |
4% |
88% |
|
93 |
5% |
84% |
|
94 |
8% |
79% |
|
95 |
9% |
71% |
Median |
96 |
6% |
62% |
|
97 |
11% |
55% |
|
98 |
6% |
44% |
|
99 |
4% |
38% |
|
100 |
7% |
34% |
|
101 |
8% |
27% |
|
102 |
8% |
19% |
|
103 |
5% |
11% |
|
104 |
3% |
6% |
|
105 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
106 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
87 |
2% |
98% |
|
88 |
3% |
96% |
|
89 |
5% |
94% |
|
90 |
4% |
89% |
|
91 |
5% |
84% |
|
92 |
6% |
79% |
|
93 |
13% |
73% |
|
94 |
9% |
60% |
|
95 |
8% |
51% |
Median |
96 |
8% |
43% |
|
97 |
8% |
35% |
|
98 |
6% |
27% |
|
99 |
10% |
21% |
|
100 |
3% |
11% |
|
101 |
3% |
8% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
103 |
2% |
5% |
|
104 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
84 |
3% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
96% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
94% |
|
87 |
4% |
92% |
|
88 |
3% |
88% |
|
89 |
10% |
85% |
|
90 |
4% |
75% |
|
91 |
6% |
71% |
|
92 |
13% |
64% |
|
93 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
94 |
9% |
41% |
|
95 |
6% |
32% |
|
96 |
4% |
26% |
|
97 |
4% |
23% |
|
98 |
3% |
19% |
|
99 |
6% |
16% |
|
100 |
4% |
9% |
|
101 |
3% |
5% |
|
102 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
80 |
1.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
82 |
5% |
96% |
|
83 |
5% |
91% |
|
84 |
3% |
86% |
|
85 |
10% |
83% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
73% |
Median |
87 |
9% |
66% |
|
88 |
5% |
57% |
|
89 |
11% |
52% |
|
90 |
5% |
41% |
|
91 |
8% |
36% |
|
92 |
7% |
28% |
|
93 |
6% |
21% |
|
94 |
7% |
15% |
|
95 |
4% |
8% |
|
96 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
100 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
76 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
77 |
0.8% |
97% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
96% |
|
79 |
3% |
94% |
|
80 |
5% |
91% |
|
81 |
7% |
86% |
|
82 |
7% |
79% |
|
83 |
10% |
72% |
|
84 |
13% |
62% |
|
85 |
13% |
49% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
36% |
Median |
87 |
6% |
29% |
|
88 |
6% |
23% |
|
89 |
4% |
17% |
|
90 |
3% |
13% |
|
91 |
3% |
10% |
|
92 |
3% |
7% |
|
93 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
94 |
2% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
2% |
97% |
|
77 |
2% |
95% |
|
78 |
2% |
94% |
|
79 |
3% |
92% |
Last Result |
80 |
4% |
89% |
|
81 |
11% |
85% |
|
82 |
6% |
74% |
|
83 |
14% |
68% |
|
84 |
9% |
53% |
Median |
85 |
8% |
45% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
37% |
|
87 |
4% |
29% |
|
88 |
5% |
25% |
|
89 |
3% |
20% |
|
90 |
5% |
17% |
|
91 |
5% |
12% |
|
92 |
4% |
7% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
95% |
|
75 |
7% |
91% |
|
76 |
6% |
85% |
|
77 |
7% |
79% |
|
78 |
8% |
72% |
|
79 |
5% |
64% |
|
80 |
11% |
59% |
|
81 |
5% |
48% |
Median |
82 |
9% |
43% |
|
83 |
7% |
34% |
|
84 |
10% |
27% |
|
85 |
3% |
17% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
14% |
|
87 |
5% |
9% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
89 |
1.2% |
3% |
Last Result |
90 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
2% |
95% |
|
71 |
4% |
93% |
|
72 |
5% |
89% |
|
73 |
8% |
83% |
|
74 |
10% |
76% |
|
75 |
8% |
66% |
|
76 |
16% |
58% |
Last Result |
77 |
9% |
42% |
Median |
78 |
8% |
33% |
|
79 |
7% |
26% |
|
80 |
4% |
19% |
|
81 |
2% |
14% |
|
82 |
4% |
12% |
|
83 |
2% |
8% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
1.4% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
3% |
97% |
|
66 |
5% |
94% |
|
67 |
8% |
89% |
|
68 |
8% |
81% |
|
69 |
7% |
73% |
|
70 |
4% |
66% |
|
71 |
6% |
62% |
|
72 |
11% |
55% |
Median |
73 |
6% |
45% |
|
74 |
9% |
38% |
|
75 |
8% |
29% |
|
76 |
5% |
21% |
|
77 |
4% |
16% |
|
78 |
4% |
12% |
|
79 |
3% |
8% |
|
80 |
3% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
4% |
97% |
|
65 |
4% |
94% |
|
66 |
4% |
90% |
|
67 |
4% |
86% |
|
68 |
12% |
82% |
Last Result |
69 |
12% |
70% |
|
70 |
11% |
58% |
Median |
71 |
9% |
47% |
|
72 |
8% |
38% |
|
73 |
5% |
30% |
|
74 |
5% |
25% |
|
75 |
8% |
20% |
|
76 |
4% |
13% |
|
77 |
3% |
9% |
|
78 |
2% |
5% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
59 |
2% |
97% |
|
60 |
3% |
95% |
|
61 |
2% |
92% |
|
62 |
6% |
90% |
|
63 |
4% |
84% |
|
64 |
16% |
80% |
|
65 |
9% |
65% |
Median |
66 |
14% |
56% |
|
67 |
4% |
42% |
|
68 |
7% |
38% |
|
69 |
6% |
31% |
|
70 |
7% |
25% |
|
71 |
7% |
19% |
|
72 |
5% |
11% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
57 |
3% |
97% |
|
58 |
3% |
94% |
|
59 |
3% |
92% |
|
60 |
4% |
89% |
|
61 |
10% |
85% |
|
62 |
15% |
75% |
|
63 |
11% |
60% |
Median |
64 |
14% |
49% |
|
65 |
5% |
35% |
|
66 |
5% |
30% |
|
67 |
4% |
24% |
|
68 |
5% |
20% |
|
69 |
6% |
15% |
|
70 |
5% |
9% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
2% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
55 |
3% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
95% |
|
57 |
5% |
92% |
|
58 |
5% |
87% |
|
59 |
12% |
82% |
|
60 |
13% |
70% |
Last Result |
61 |
13% |
57% |
Median |
62 |
9% |
44% |
|
63 |
7% |
34% |
|
64 |
7% |
27% |
|
65 |
3% |
21% |
|
66 |
5% |
17% |
|
67 |
4% |
12% |
|
68 |
5% |
8% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
39 |
3% |
98% |
|
40 |
6% |
94% |
|
41 |
6% |
89% |
|
42 |
8% |
83% |
|
43 |
4% |
75% |
|
44 |
18% |
70% |
|
45 |
5% |
53% |
|
46 |
8% |
48% |
Median |
47 |
13% |
40% |
|
48 |
3% |
27% |
|
49 |
7% |
24% |
|
50 |
6% |
17% |
|
51 |
3% |
11% |
|
52 |
3% |
8% |
|
53 |
2% |
5% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
24 |
2% |
98% |
|
25 |
3% |
96% |
|
26 |
5% |
94% |
|
27 |
8% |
88% |
|
28 |
8% |
81% |
|
29 |
5% |
72% |
|
30 |
8% |
67% |
|
31 |
17% |
59% |
|
32 |
12% |
43% |
Median |
33 |
6% |
31% |
|
34 |
5% |
25% |
|
35 |
7% |
20% |
Last Result |
36 |
6% |
12% |
|
37 |
2% |
7% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 January 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 628
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.17%