Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 17–23 February 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
24.0% |
21.9–26.3% |
21.4–27.0% |
20.9–27.5% |
19.9–28.7% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
18.9% |
17.1–21.1% |
16.5–21.7% |
16.1–22.2% |
15.2–23.3% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
15.8% |
14.0–17.8% |
13.5–18.3% |
13.1–18.8% |
12.3–19.8% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
14.3% |
12.7–16.3% |
12.2–16.8% |
11.8–17.3% |
11.1–18.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.5% |
5.4–8.0% |
5.1–8.4% |
4.8–8.7% |
4.4–9.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.4% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.0–8.2% |
4.7–8.6% |
4.2–9.3% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.8% |
3.8–6.1% |
3.6–6.4% |
3.4–6.8% |
3.0–7.4% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.5% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.3–6.1% |
3.1–6.4% |
2.7–7.0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.5% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–5.0% |
2.3–5.3% |
2.0–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
39 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
40 |
4% |
96% |
|
41 |
6% |
92% |
|
42 |
26% |
86% |
|
43 |
18% |
60% |
Median |
44 |
25% |
42% |
|
45 |
3% |
16% |
|
46 |
3% |
13% |
|
47 |
5% |
10% |
|
48 |
2% |
5% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
50 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
5% |
98% |
|
29 |
10% |
93% |
|
30 |
19% |
84% |
|
31 |
4% |
64% |
|
32 |
12% |
60% |
Median |
33 |
18% |
48% |
|
34 |
12% |
31% |
|
35 |
9% |
19% |
|
36 |
2% |
10% |
|
37 |
3% |
9% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
39 |
3% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
|
23 |
2% |
98% |
|
24 |
4% |
96% |
|
25 |
12% |
92% |
|
26 |
4% |
80% |
|
27 |
6% |
76% |
|
28 |
7% |
70% |
|
29 |
28% |
63% |
Median |
30 |
21% |
34% |
|
31 |
8% |
14% |
|
32 |
2% |
6% |
|
33 |
2% |
4% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
20 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
21 |
3% |
98% |
|
22 |
7% |
94% |
|
23 |
13% |
87% |
|
24 |
8% |
75% |
|
25 |
16% |
66% |
|
26 |
11% |
50% |
Median |
27 |
23% |
39% |
Last Result |
28 |
11% |
17% |
|
29 |
3% |
6% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
4% |
98% |
|
9 |
10% |
94% |
|
10 |
28% |
84% |
|
11 |
22% |
56% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
17% |
34% |
|
13 |
4% |
17% |
|
14 |
10% |
13% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
8% |
98% |
|
9 |
13% |
90% |
|
10 |
26% |
78% |
|
11 |
24% |
52% |
Median |
12 |
8% |
27% |
|
13 |
14% |
19% |
|
14 |
3% |
5% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
7% |
98.9% |
|
3 |
0% |
92% |
|
4 |
0% |
92% |
|
5 |
0% |
92% |
|
6 |
6% |
92% |
|
7 |
20% |
86% |
|
8 |
21% |
66% |
Median |
9 |
25% |
44% |
|
10 |
14% |
19% |
|
11 |
4% |
5% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
20% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
79% |
|
4 |
0% |
79% |
|
5 |
0% |
79% |
|
6 |
3% |
79% |
|
7 |
24% |
76% |
|
8 |
36% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
10% |
16% |
|
10 |
3% |
6% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
19% |
97% |
|
2 |
14% |
78% |
|
3 |
37% |
64% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
27% |
|
5 |
0% |
27% |
|
6 |
8% |
27% |
|
7 |
11% |
19% |
|
8 |
6% |
8% |
Last Result |
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
101 |
100% |
96–107 |
95–107 |
94–108 |
90–111 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
97 |
100% |
91–101 |
91–104 |
90–106 |
87–108 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
96 |
99.8% |
92–101 |
90–102 |
89–104 |
86–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
93 |
99.1% |
88–98 |
87–99 |
86–101 |
84–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
90 |
95% |
86–96 |
85–96 |
83–98 |
80–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
85 |
67% |
81–91 |
80–92 |
78–94 |
76–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
82 |
25% |
78–87 |
77–88 |
76–90 |
74–93 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
79 |
5% |
73–83 |
73–84 |
71–86 |
68–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
75 |
0.7% |
70–80 |
69–81 |
68–83 |
66–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
72 |
0% |
68–75 |
66–77 |
65–78 |
63–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
68 |
0% |
62–73 |
62–74 |
61–75 |
58–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
65 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–70 |
56–71 |
53–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
58 |
0% |
53–62 |
51–64 |
51–65 |
49–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
54 |
0% |
51–58 |
50–60 |
49–61 |
47–63 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
42 |
0% |
39–47 |
37–49 |
36–49 |
33–52 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
39 |
0% |
33–43 |
31–45 |
30–46 |
28–49 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
94 |
2% |
98% |
|
95 |
2% |
96% |
|
96 |
7% |
94% |
|
97 |
5% |
87% |
|
98 |
9% |
82% |
|
99 |
12% |
73% |
|
100 |
10% |
61% |
|
101 |
9% |
51% |
|
102 |
6% |
42% |
Median |
103 |
4% |
36% |
|
104 |
8% |
32% |
|
105 |
2% |
24% |
|
106 |
12% |
22% |
|
107 |
7% |
10% |
|
108 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
109 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
91 |
9% |
97% |
|
92 |
3% |
88% |
|
93 |
6% |
85% |
|
94 |
3% |
80% |
|
95 |
19% |
77% |
|
96 |
7% |
58% |
|
97 |
7% |
51% |
Median |
98 |
7% |
44% |
|
99 |
14% |
36% |
|
100 |
8% |
22% |
|
101 |
4% |
14% |
|
102 |
3% |
9% |
|
103 |
2% |
7% |
|
104 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
105 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
106 |
2% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
90 |
4% |
97% |
|
91 |
3% |
93% |
|
92 |
11% |
90% |
|
93 |
7% |
80% |
|
94 |
7% |
72% |
|
95 |
9% |
65% |
|
96 |
7% |
56% |
|
97 |
9% |
49% |
|
98 |
7% |
39% |
Median |
99 |
13% |
33% |
|
100 |
5% |
19% |
|
101 |
7% |
14% |
|
102 |
2% |
7% |
|
103 |
2% |
5% |
|
104 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
87 |
2% |
97% |
|
88 |
6% |
95% |
|
89 |
5% |
89% |
|
90 |
8% |
84% |
|
91 |
2% |
76% |
|
92 |
22% |
74% |
|
93 |
7% |
51% |
|
94 |
9% |
44% |
Median |
95 |
2% |
35% |
|
96 |
6% |
33% |
|
97 |
16% |
26% |
|
98 |
4% |
10% |
|
99 |
3% |
6% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
101 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
103 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
97% |
|
85 |
2% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
93% |
|
87 |
3% |
87% |
|
88 |
16% |
84% |
|
89 |
14% |
67% |
|
90 |
8% |
54% |
|
91 |
3% |
45% |
Median |
92 |
8% |
42% |
|
93 |
15% |
34% |
|
94 |
5% |
19% |
|
95 |
4% |
14% |
|
96 |
6% |
10% |
|
97 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
98 |
2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
80 |
2% |
96% |
|
81 |
9% |
94% |
|
82 |
4% |
85% |
|
83 |
7% |
81% |
|
84 |
7% |
74% |
|
85 |
20% |
67% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
47% |
Median |
87 |
7% |
43% |
|
88 |
15% |
36% |
|
89 |
7% |
21% |
|
90 |
3% |
14% |
|
91 |
3% |
11% |
|
92 |
3% |
8% |
|
93 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
94 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
95 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
76 |
2% |
98% |
|
77 |
3% |
97% |
|
78 |
5% |
94% |
|
79 |
6% |
89% |
Last Result |
80 |
10% |
83% |
|
81 |
7% |
73% |
|
82 |
18% |
66% |
|
83 |
10% |
48% |
Median |
84 |
13% |
38% |
|
85 |
3% |
25% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
22% |
|
87 |
6% |
11% |
|
88 |
3% |
6% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
71 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
73 |
6% |
96% |
|
74 |
4% |
90% |
|
75 |
5% |
86% |
|
76 |
15% |
81% |
|
77 |
8% |
66% |
|
78 |
3% |
58% |
|
79 |
8% |
55% |
|
80 |
14% |
46% |
Median |
81 |
16% |
33% |
|
82 |
3% |
16% |
|
83 |
6% |
13% |
|
84 |
2% |
7% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
6% |
94% |
|
71 |
4% |
89% |
|
72 |
11% |
85% |
|
73 |
6% |
74% |
|
74 |
6% |
68% |
|
75 |
21% |
62% |
Median |
76 |
11% |
41% |
Last Result |
77 |
4% |
30% |
|
78 |
12% |
27% |
|
79 |
2% |
14% |
|
80 |
4% |
12% |
|
81 |
4% |
9% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
66 |
3% |
97% |
|
67 |
4% |
95% |
|
68 |
7% |
91% |
Last Result |
69 |
11% |
84% |
|
70 |
5% |
73% |
|
71 |
10% |
69% |
|
72 |
19% |
59% |
Median |
73 |
21% |
40% |
|
74 |
5% |
19% |
|
75 |
7% |
14% |
|
76 |
2% |
8% |
|
77 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
78 |
2% |
4% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
62 |
7% |
96% |
|
63 |
12% |
90% |
|
64 |
2% |
78% |
|
65 |
8% |
76% |
|
66 |
4% |
68% |
|
67 |
6% |
64% |
|
68 |
9% |
58% |
|
69 |
10% |
49% |
Median |
70 |
12% |
39% |
|
71 |
9% |
27% |
|
72 |
5% |
17% |
|
73 |
7% |
13% |
|
74 |
2% |
6% |
|
75 |
2% |
4% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
57 |
2% |
97% |
|
58 |
2% |
96% |
|
59 |
5% |
94% |
|
60 |
6% |
89% |
|
61 |
9% |
83% |
|
62 |
8% |
74% |
|
63 |
5% |
66% |
|
64 |
7% |
61% |
|
65 |
11% |
55% |
|
66 |
12% |
44% |
Median |
67 |
12% |
32% |
|
68 |
6% |
20% |
|
69 |
7% |
13% |
|
70 |
2% |
6% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
52 |
4% |
94% |
|
53 |
11% |
90% |
|
54 |
4% |
80% |
|
55 |
5% |
76% |
|
56 |
7% |
71% |
|
57 |
5% |
64% |
|
58 |
11% |
58% |
Median |
59 |
10% |
47% |
|
60 |
18% |
37% |
|
61 |
7% |
19% |
|
62 |
4% |
12% |
|
63 |
2% |
8% |
|
64 |
3% |
6% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
50 |
3% |
96% |
|
51 |
6% |
93% |
|
52 |
17% |
88% |
|
53 |
10% |
71% |
|
54 |
19% |
61% |
Median |
55 |
17% |
42% |
|
56 |
7% |
25% |
|
57 |
6% |
18% |
|
58 |
4% |
12% |
|
59 |
2% |
8% |
|
60 |
2% |
6% |
Last Result |
61 |
2% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
37 |
3% |
97% |
|
38 |
3% |
94% |
|
39 |
7% |
90% |
|
40 |
16% |
84% |
|
41 |
6% |
68% |
|
42 |
14% |
61% |
|
43 |
12% |
48% |
Median |
44 |
7% |
36% |
|
45 |
11% |
29% |
|
46 |
7% |
17% |
|
47 |
2% |
10% |
|
48 |
2% |
8% |
|
49 |
3% |
6% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
30 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
31 |
2% |
96% |
|
32 |
2% |
93% |
|
33 |
3% |
92% |
|
34 |
6% |
88% |
|
35 |
3% |
82% |
Last Result |
36 |
4% |
79% |
|
37 |
2% |
75% |
|
38 |
13% |
73% |
|
39 |
21% |
61% |
|
40 |
12% |
40% |
Median |
41 |
9% |
28% |
|
42 |
6% |
20% |
|
43 |
6% |
13% |
|
44 |
2% |
7% |
|
45 |
2% |
5% |
|
46 |
2% |
4% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 17–23 February 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 628
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 3.09%