Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 24 February–2 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 23.8% 21.8–25.9% 21.2–26.6% 20.7–27.1% 19.8–28.2%
Høyre 25.0% 19.9% 18.0–21.9% 17.5–22.5% 17.0–23.0% 16.2–24.0%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 16.4% 14.7–18.3% 14.2–18.9% 13.8–19.3% 13.0–20.3%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 13.2% 11.7–15.0% 11.2–15.5% 10.9–15.9% 10.2–16.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 8.4% 7.2–9.9% 6.8–10.3% 6.6–10.7% 6.0–11.5%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 4.9% 4.0–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.2–7.5%
Rødt 2.4% 4.6% 3.7–5.8% 3.5–6.2% 3.3–6.5% 2.9–7.1%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 4.1% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.8–5.8% 2.5–6.4%
Venstre 4.4% 2.8% 2.1–3.7% 1.9–4.0% 1.8–4.3% 1.5–4.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 49 43 40–46 39–47 38–48 36–51
Høyre 45 35 31–38 30–40 29–41 28–43
Senterpartiet 19 29 26–33 25–34 24–35 23–37
Fremskrittspartiet 27 24 20–26 19–27 19–28 17–30
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 15 12–18 12–18 11–19 10–20
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 9 3–11 2–11 2–12 2–13
Rødt 1 8 2–10 2–11 2–11 2–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 3 1–9 1–10 1–10 1–11
Venstre 8 2 1–2 1–3 0–7 0–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.6% 99.7%  
37 1.4% 99.1%  
38 2% 98%  
39 3% 96%  
40 9% 93%  
41 7% 84%  
42 15% 77%  
43 15% 62% Median
44 21% 47%  
45 11% 26%  
46 9% 15%  
47 2% 6%  
48 3% 5%  
49 0.9% 2% Last Result
50 0.6% 1.2%  
51 0.2% 0.6%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.3% 99.9%  
28 0.5% 99.5%  
29 2% 99.0%  
30 4% 97%  
31 4% 93%  
32 7% 88%  
33 7% 81%  
34 11% 74%  
35 19% 63% Median
36 13% 45%  
37 15% 32%  
38 7% 17%  
39 4% 10%  
40 3% 6%  
41 2% 3%  
42 0.7% 1.5%  
43 0.5% 0.8%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
46 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100% Last Result
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 0.8% 99.6%  
24 2% 98.9%  
25 3% 97%  
26 7% 94%  
27 10% 87%  
28 12% 77%  
29 19% 65% Median
30 14% 46%  
31 9% 32%  
32 8% 23%  
33 9% 15%  
34 3% 6%  
35 2% 4%  
36 0.7% 1.4%  
37 0.5% 0.7%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.3%  
19 5% 98%  
20 6% 93%  
21 7% 87%  
22 16% 80%  
23 13% 64%  
24 19% 50% Median
25 16% 32%  
26 6% 16%  
27 6% 10% Last Result
28 2% 4%  
29 1.4% 2%  
30 0.6% 0.9%  
31 0.2% 0.3%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 1.1% 99.9%  
11 3% 98.8% Last Result
12 6% 95%  
13 17% 89%  
14 14% 72%  
15 24% 58% Median
16 16% 34%  
17 8% 18%  
18 7% 10%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.1% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.4% 100% Last Result
2 8% 99.6%  
3 2% 92%  
4 1.3% 90%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 6% 88%  
8 20% 82%  
9 28% 63% Median
10 23% 35%  
11 7% 12%  
12 3% 4%  
13 1.1% 1.3%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100% Last Result
2 15% 99.7%  
3 0% 85%  
4 0% 85%  
5 0% 85%  
6 0.4% 85%  
7 15% 84%  
8 28% 70% Median
9 26% 42%  
10 10% 17%  
11 4% 6%  
12 2% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 10% 99.8%  
2 4% 90%  
3 41% 85% Median
4 0% 45%  
5 0% 45%  
6 0.1% 45%  
7 11% 45%  
8 18% 33% Last Result
9 9% 15%  
10 4% 6%  
11 1.1% 1.3%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 19% 96%  
2 72% 78% Median
3 1.1% 6%  
4 0% 4%  
5 0% 4%  
6 0.2% 4%  
7 3% 4%  
8 1.1% 1.3% Last Result
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 81 104 100% 98–108 96–109 95–111 93–112
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 101 100% 97–106 95–108 93–109 90–111
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 80 96 99.7% 90–101 89–103 88–104 85–106
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 107 95 99.9% 90–100 89–102 88–103 86–106
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 95 99.3% 90–100 88–101 87–102 84–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 87 83% 82–92 81–94 80–95 78–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 86 60% 81–92 79–93 78–95 76–96
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 77 7% 72–83 71–85 70–86 68–88
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 89 74 0.7% 69–79 68–81 67–82 64–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 73 0.1% 68–77 66–78 65–79 63–82
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 88 65 0% 61–71 60–73 58–74 57–76
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 60 0% 55–65 54–67 53–68 51–71
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 58 0% 53–63 53–65 51–66 49–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 58 0% 55–62 53–63 52–65 50–66
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 61 42 0% 38–47 37–49 36–50 34–53
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 35 36 0% 31–42 31–44 30–45 28–47

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.8%  
92 0.2% 99.8%  
93 0.6% 99.6%  
94 0.9% 99.0%  
95 1.1% 98%  
96 3% 97%  
97 2% 94%  
98 5% 92%  
99 6% 87%  
100 4% 81%  
101 4% 77%  
102 11% 73%  
103 9% 62%  
104 9% 52% Median
105 10% 43%  
106 6% 33%  
107 17% 28%  
108 2% 11%  
109 4% 9%  
110 1.2% 5%  
111 2% 3%  
112 1.2% 2%  
113 0.2% 0.4%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0.1%  
116 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100% Last Result
89 0.1% 99.9%  
90 0.3% 99.8%  
91 0.4% 99.5%  
92 0.7% 99.0%  
93 2% 98%  
94 0.9% 96%  
95 2% 95%  
96 3% 93%  
97 13% 90%  
98 9% 77%  
99 7% 69% Median
100 5% 61%  
101 14% 56%  
102 7% 42%  
103 6% 35%  
104 10% 29%  
105 7% 19%  
106 3% 12%  
107 4% 9%  
108 1.4% 5%  
109 2% 4%  
110 1.3% 2%  
111 0.2% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.3% 99.7% Majority
86 0.5% 99.4%  
87 0.9% 98.9%  
88 2% 98%  
89 3% 96%  
90 6% 93%  
91 2% 87%  
92 5% 85%  
93 3% 80%  
94 11% 76%  
95 7% 65%  
96 15% 58% Median
97 6% 43%  
98 14% 36%  
99 6% 22%  
100 5% 16%  
101 3% 11%  
102 2% 8%  
103 0.7% 5%  
104 3% 5%  
105 0.4% 1.1%  
106 0.4% 0.7%  
107 0.1% 0.3%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.2% 99.9% Majority
86 0.7% 99.7%  
87 0.8% 99.0%  
88 2% 98%  
89 3% 97%  
90 5% 94%  
91 10% 89%  
92 10% 79%  
93 7% 69% Median
94 7% 62%  
95 10% 55%  
96 9% 45%  
97 13% 35%  
98 3% 23%  
99 6% 20%  
100 4% 14%  
101 5% 10%  
102 1.4% 5%  
103 2% 4%  
104 0.7% 2%  
105 0.3% 1.2%  
106 0.4% 0.8%  
107 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
108 0% 0.2%  
109 0.2% 0.2%  
110 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.8%  
85 0.5% 99.3% Majority
86 1.1% 98.8%  
87 2% 98%  
88 1.3% 96%  
89 3% 95%  
90 4% 92%  
91 5% 88%  
92 5% 83%  
93 11% 78%  
94 9% 67%  
95 11% 58% Median
96 7% 47%  
97 19% 40%  
98 6% 22%  
99 5% 16%  
100 4% 11%  
101 4% 7%  
102 1.4% 3%  
103 0.7% 2%  
104 0.5% 0.9%  
105 0.2% 0.5%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.2%  
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.9%  
78 0.6% 99.6%  
79 0.8% 99.0% Last Result
80 2% 98%  
81 2% 96%  
82 5% 95%  
83 3% 90%  
84 5% 87%  
85 12% 83% Majority
86 13% 71%  
87 8% 58% Median
88 17% 50%  
89 5% 32%  
90 8% 27%  
91 7% 19%  
92 4% 13%  
93 3% 9%  
94 2% 6%  
95 3% 4%  
96 0.5% 2%  
97 0.6% 1.1%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.7%  
76 0.7% 99.5%  
77 0.5% 98.8% Last Result
78 2% 98%  
79 2% 96%  
80 2% 94%  
81 5% 92%  
82 6% 88%  
83 7% 82%  
84 15% 75% Median
85 3% 60% Majority
86 16% 57%  
87 4% 41%  
88 8% 37%  
89 7% 29%  
90 5% 22%  
91 6% 16%  
92 4% 10%  
93 2% 6%  
94 2% 4%  
95 0.7% 3%  
96 2% 2%  
97 0.2% 0.5%  
98 0.1% 0.3%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.9%  
68 0.8% 99.7%  
69 1.1% 98.9%  
70 1.5% 98%  
71 4% 96%  
72 2% 92%  
73 4% 90%  
74 5% 86%  
75 12% 81% Median
76 14% 68% Last Result
77 5% 55%  
78 9% 49%  
79 7% 40%  
80 7% 33%  
81 6% 26%  
82 5% 20%  
83 5% 15%  
84 2% 9%  
85 3% 7% Majority
86 3% 4%  
87 0.6% 1.2%  
88 0.3% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.2% 99.7%  
65 0.5% 99.5%  
66 0.7% 99.0%  
67 1.4% 98%  
68 4% 97%  
69 4% 93%  
70 5% 89%  
71 6% 84%  
72 19% 78%  
73 7% 59% Median
74 11% 53%  
75 9% 42%  
76 11% 33%  
77 5% 22%  
78 5% 17%  
79 4% 12%  
80 3% 8%  
81 1.3% 5%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.5% 1.2%  
85 0.4% 0.7% Majority
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 0.5% 99.3%  
65 2% 98.8%  
66 2% 96%  
67 2% 94%  
68 6% 92% Last Result
69 4% 86%  
70 7% 82%  
71 8% 75%  
72 16% 67% Median
73 14% 52%  
74 8% 38%  
75 10% 30%  
76 8% 20%  
77 5% 12%  
78 3% 7%  
79 3% 5%  
80 0.4% 2%  
81 0.5% 1.3%  
82 0.3% 0.7%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.2%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.2% 99.8%  
57 1.3% 99.6%  
58 2% 98%  
59 1.2% 96%  
60 4% 95%  
61 2% 91%  
62 17% 89%  
63 6% 72%  
64 10% 66% Median
65 9% 57%  
66 9% 48%  
67 11% 38%  
68 4% 27%  
69 4% 23%  
70 6% 19%  
71 5% 13%  
72 2% 8%  
73 3% 6%  
74 1.1% 3%  
75 0.8% 2%  
76 0.6% 1.0%  
77 0.2% 0.4%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.7% 99.8%  
52 1.3% 99.1%  
53 0.9% 98%  
54 2% 97%  
55 5% 94%  
56 4% 90%  
57 7% 86%  
58 7% 79%  
59 18% 72%  
60 5% 54%  
61 7% 49% Median
62 10% 42%  
63 10% 32%  
64 11% 22%  
65 3% 11%  
66 3% 8%  
67 3% 5%  
68 0.7% 3%  
69 0.8% 2%  
70 0.6% 1.3%  
71 0.4% 0.6%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.7% 99.8%  
50 1.4% 99.0%  
51 0.8% 98%  
52 2% 97%  
53 6% 95%  
54 4% 89%  
55 7% 85%  
56 5% 79%  
57 19% 73%  
58 6% 54%  
59 6% 48% Median
60 7% 41%  
61 12% 34%  
62 11% 22%  
63 3% 11%  
64 3% 8%  
65 2% 5%  
66 0.8% 3%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.6% 1.1%  
69 0.4% 0.6%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.7% 99.7%  
51 1.4% 99.0%  
52 1.4% 98%  
53 2% 96%  
54 4% 94%  
55 14% 90%  
56 9% 76%  
57 9% 67%  
58 13% 58% Median
59 17% 44%  
60 11% 27% Last Result
61 5% 16%  
62 5% 12%  
63 2% 7%  
64 2% 5%  
65 1.0% 3%  
66 1.2% 2%  
67 0.1% 0.3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.3% 99.9%  
34 0.5% 99.6%  
35 0.9% 99.2%  
36 2% 98%  
37 5% 97%  
38 4% 92%  
39 7% 88%  
40 16% 81% Median
41 10% 65%  
42 18% 55%  
43 7% 37%  
44 7% 30%  
45 5% 23%  
46 4% 18%  
47 5% 14%  
48 2% 9%  
49 3% 6%  
50 1.4% 4%  
51 1.5% 2%  
52 0.5% 1.0%  
53 0.2% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.4% 99.8%  
29 1.2% 99.4%  
30 1.0% 98%  
31 8% 97%  
32 4% 89%  
33 4% 85%  
34 15% 80% Median
35 13% 65% Last Result
36 7% 53%  
37 6% 46%  
38 11% 39%  
39 4% 28%  
40 7% 25%  
41 5% 17%  
42 4% 12%  
43 2% 8%  
44 3% 6%  
45 1.2% 3%  
46 0.8% 2%  
47 0.5% 0.8%  
48 0.1% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations