Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 10–16 March 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 24.3% 22.6–26.1% 22.1–26.6% 21.7–27.1% 21.0–27.9%
Høyre 25.0% 18.8% 17.3–20.5% 16.9–20.9% 16.5–21.4% 15.8–22.2%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 17.5% 16.0–19.1% 15.6–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.6–20.8%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–16.0%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 7.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
Venstre 4.4% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 3.4% 2.8–4.3% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–5.2%
Rødt 2.4% 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 49 44 42–48 41–48 40–49 39–50
Høyre 45 35 32–37 31–38 30–38 28–41
Senterpartiet 19 33 30–35 29–36 28–37 27–38
Fremskrittspartiet 27 24 21–26 20–27 20–28 19–29
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 13 12–15 11–16 11–16 10–18
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 13 11–15 11–16 10–16 9–17
Venstre 8 2 2–7 2–8 1–8 1–9
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 3 1–7 1–8 1–8 0–9
Rødt 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.3% 99.9%  
39 0.8% 99.6%  
40 1.5% 98.8%  
41 6% 97%  
42 6% 91%  
43 13% 85%  
44 24% 73% Median
45 15% 49%  
46 15% 34%  
47 5% 19%  
48 11% 14%  
49 2% 3% Last Result
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.2% 0.5%  
52 0.2% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.4% 99.9%  
29 1.1% 99.5%  
30 3% 98%  
31 6% 96%  
32 8% 90%  
33 15% 82%  
34 11% 67%  
35 34% 56% Median
36 8% 22%  
37 7% 14%  
38 5% 7%  
39 1.2% 2%  
40 0.6% 1.2%  
41 0.5% 0.6%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100% Last Result
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.6%  
28 2% 98.9%  
29 7% 97%  
30 6% 90%  
31 23% 84%  
32 9% 61%  
33 24% 52% Median
34 8% 28%  
35 14% 20%  
36 3% 6%  
37 2% 3%  
38 0.6% 1.1%  
39 0.3% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.4% 99.9%  
19 1.0% 99.5%  
20 4% 98%  
21 9% 95%  
22 10% 86%  
23 9% 76%  
24 31% 67% Median
25 18% 36%  
26 11% 18%  
27 3% 7% Last Result
28 3% 4%  
29 0.7% 0.9%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0.1% 0.1%  
32 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 2% 99.8%  
11 8% 98%  
12 11% 91%  
13 39% 79% Median
14 22% 41%  
15 11% 19%  
16 6% 8%  
17 1.2% 2%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.5% 100%  
10 2% 99.5%  
11 9% 97% Last Result
12 26% 88%  
13 21% 62% Median
14 26% 41%  
15 10% 15%  
16 4% 5%  
17 0.9% 1.1%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 79% 97% Median
3 2% 17%  
4 0.2% 15%  
5 0% 15%  
6 0% 15%  
7 7% 15%  
8 6% 8% Last Result
9 1.4% 1.5%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 20% 99.1%  
2 8% 79%  
3 60% 70% Median
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0% 11%  
7 5% 11%  
8 4% 5% Last Result
9 1.0% 1.2%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 73% 100% Last Result, Median
2 25% 27%  
3 0% 1.4%  
4 0% 1.4%  
5 0% 1.4%  
6 0% 1.4%  
7 0.8% 1.4%  
8 0.5% 0.6%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 107 100% 103–111 102–111 101–112 98–114
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 81 105 100% 101–109 100–110 99–111 97–112
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 80 104 100% 100–108 98–108 97–110 95–111
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 107 97 100% 93–100 92–101 91–102 89–104
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 93 99.7% 90–97 89–99 88–100 85–102
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 92 99.0% 88–95 87–96 86–98 83–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 91 98% 86–94 86–95 85–96 82–97
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 80 7% 77–83 77–86 74–87 72–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 89 77 0.9% 74–81 72–82 71–83 70–86
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 77 0.4% 74–80 73–81 72–82 70–84
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 88 64 0% 60–68 59–69 58–70 57–72
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 61 0% 57–64 56–66 55–67 53–69
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 58 0% 54–61 53–62 53–63 51–64
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 59 0% 54–61 53–62 52–63 50–65
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 61 40 0% 37–44 36–45 35–46 34–48
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 35 38 0% 35–43 34–44 34–46 31–49

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100% Last Result
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.1% 99.8%  
98 0.3% 99.7%  
99 1.0% 99.4%  
100 0.6% 98%  
101 2% 98%  
102 4% 96%  
103 4% 92%  
104 10% 88%  
105 12% 78%  
106 7% 66% Median
107 32% 59%  
108 6% 27%  
109 6% 20%  
110 5% 15%  
111 6% 10%  
112 2% 4%  
113 1.2% 2%  
114 0.8% 1.1%  
115 0.2% 0.3%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.2% 99.9%  
96 0.2% 99.7%  
97 1.2% 99.5%  
98 0.7% 98%  
99 1.4% 98%  
100 3% 96%  
101 3% 93%  
102 7% 90%  
103 11% 83%  
104 10% 72% Median
105 27% 62%  
106 10% 35%  
107 7% 24%  
108 6% 18%  
109 6% 12%  
110 2% 6%  
111 3% 4%  
112 0.4% 0.9%  
113 0.3% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.2%  
115 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.8%  
95 0.5% 99.6%  
96 1.1% 99.1%  
97 0.8% 98%  
98 2% 97%  
99 3% 95%  
100 5% 92%  
101 7% 87%  
102 11% 79%  
103 11% 68% Median
104 29% 58%  
105 9% 29%  
106 5% 20%  
107 5% 15%  
108 6% 10%  
109 2% 5%  
110 2% 3%  
111 0.4% 0.6%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.8% 99.7%  
90 1.0% 98.9%  
91 2% 98%  
92 5% 96%  
93 5% 91%  
94 8% 87%  
95 17% 79%  
96 7% 62%  
97 26% 55% Median
98 7% 30%  
99 10% 23%  
100 4% 13%  
101 5% 9%  
102 1.5% 4%  
103 1.4% 2%  
104 0.5% 0.8%  
105 0.3% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.8%  
85 0.3% 99.7% Majority
86 0.4% 99.4%  
87 1.1% 99.0%  
88 2% 98%  
89 2% 96%  
90 4% 93%  
91 10% 89%  
92 12% 79%  
93 25% 67% Median
94 10% 42%  
95 11% 32%  
96 9% 21%  
97 5% 12%  
98 2% 7%  
99 2% 5%  
100 1.5% 3%  
101 0.9% 2%  
102 0.4% 0.6%  
103 0.2% 0.3%  
104 0.1% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.3% 99.8%  
84 0.4% 99.5%  
85 0.9% 99.0% Majority
86 2% 98%  
87 6% 96%  
88 5% 90%  
89 8% 85%  
90 9% 78%  
91 11% 69% Median
92 31% 58%  
93 5% 27%  
94 7% 22%  
95 8% 15%  
96 3% 7%  
97 2% 5%  
98 2% 3%  
99 0.3% 0.7%  
100 0.2% 0.4%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 0% 100%  
81 0.3% 99.9%  
82 0.4% 99.7%  
83 0.6% 99.3%  
84 1.1% 98.6%  
85 2% 98% Majority
86 6% 95%  
87 7% 89%  
88 8% 82%  
89 10% 74%  
90 11% 64% Median
91 30% 53%  
92 4% 23%  
93 7% 19%  
94 6% 12%  
95 2% 6%  
96 1.5% 4%  
97 2% 2%  
98 0.3% 0.4%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.9%  
72 0.5% 99.6%  
73 0.6% 99.1%  
74 1.1% 98%  
75 0.8% 97%  
76 1.2% 97% Last Result
77 7% 95%  
78 15% 89%  
79 17% 74%  
80 21% 57% Median
81 8% 36%  
82 15% 28%  
83 4% 13%  
84 2% 9%  
85 1.4% 7% Majority
86 2% 5%  
87 1.3% 3%  
88 1.5% 2%  
89 0.4% 0.7%  
90 0.2% 0.3%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.3% 99.8%  
70 0.4% 99.6%  
71 2% 99.2%  
72 2% 97%  
73 3% 95%  
74 8% 92%  
75 7% 85%  
76 5% 78%  
77 31% 72% Median
78 11% 41%  
79 8% 30%  
80 8% 22%  
81 5% 14%  
82 6% 10%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.4% 0.9% Majority
86 0.3% 0.5%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 0.6% 99.6%  
71 1.3% 98.9%  
72 2% 98%  
73 3% 96%  
74 7% 93%  
75 9% 85%  
76 13% 76%  
77 27% 63% Median
78 5% 36%  
79 15% 31%  
80 7% 16%  
81 5% 10%  
82 3% 5%  
83 1.1% 2%  
84 0.5% 0.9%  
85 0.3% 0.4% Majority
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0.4% 99.5%  
58 3% 99.1%  
59 2% 96%  
60 6% 94%  
61 6% 88%  
62 7% 82%  
63 10% 75%  
64 27% 65% Median
65 10% 38%  
66 11% 28%  
67 6% 17%  
68 3% 10%  
69 3% 7%  
70 1.4% 4%  
71 0.6% 2%  
72 1.1% 2%  
73 0.2% 0.5%  
74 0.2% 0.3%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 0.7% 99.2%  
55 2% 98%  
56 2% 96%  
57 6% 94%  
58 5% 88%  
59 8% 83%  
60 8% 75%  
61 31% 67% Median
62 7% 36%  
63 11% 30%  
64 10% 18%  
65 2% 9%  
66 3% 6%  
67 1.3% 3%  
68 0.4% 2%  
69 0.9% 1.2%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.1% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.4% 99.9%  
51 0.5% 99.5%  
52 1.0% 99.0%  
53 3% 98%  
54 7% 95%  
55 8% 88%  
56 11% 80%  
57 6% 69% Median
58 31% 63%  
59 4% 32%  
60 15% 28% Last Result
61 7% 13%  
62 2% 6%  
63 3% 4%  
64 0.7% 1.0%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.4% 99.8%  
51 1.0% 99.4%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 96%  
54 3% 93%  
55 6% 90%  
56 7% 84%  
57 11% 77%  
58 9% 66%  
59 30% 57% Median
60 8% 27%  
61 10% 19%  
62 5% 9%  
63 1.2% 4%  
64 2% 2%  
65 0.5% 1.0%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0.2% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.9% 99.7%  
35 2% 98.8%  
36 4% 97%  
37 6% 93%  
38 12% 87%  
39 10% 75%  
40 33% 65% Median
41 7% 32%  
42 8% 25%  
43 6% 18%  
44 4% 11%  
45 4% 8%  
46 2% 4%  
47 1.0% 2%  
48 0.5% 0.9%  
49 0.2% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.2%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.2% 99.9%  
31 0.3% 99.7%  
32 0.7% 99.4%  
33 1.1% 98.7%  
34 6% 98%  
35 5% 92% Last Result
36 18% 87%  
37 8% 68%  
38 29% 61% Median
39 5% 31%  
40 7% 26%  
41 6% 19%  
42 2% 13%  
43 3% 11%  
44 3% 8%  
45 1.4% 5%  
46 1.5% 4%  
47 1.0% 2%  
48 0.3% 1.1%  
49 0.3% 0.8%  
50 0.3% 0.5%  
51 0% 0.1%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations