Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 31 March–5 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 25.0% 27.3% 25.5–29.2% 25.0–29.7% 24.6–30.1% 23.8–31.1%
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 25.7% 24.0–27.5% 23.5–28.1% 23.1–28.5% 22.3–29.4%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 11.6% 10.4–13.0% 10.0–13.4% 9.8–13.7% 9.2–14.4%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Rødt 2.4% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Venstre 4.4% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 45 49 46–54 45–55 44–55 42–57
Arbeiderpartiet 49 48 43–51 42–52 41–53 41–54
Senterpartiet 19 25 22–27 22–29 21–30 20–32
Fremskrittspartiet 27 21 18–23 18–24 17–25 16–26
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 11 9–13 9–13 8–14 7–14
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 9 2–10 2–11 2–11 1–12
Rødt 1 2 2–8 2–9 1–9 1–10
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 1 1–3 1–7 0–7 0–8
Venstre 8 2 1–2 1–2 1–7 0–8

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 0.4% 99.7%  
43 1.4% 99.3%  
44 2% 98%  
45 2% 96% Last Result
46 6% 94%  
47 19% 88%  
48 11% 69%  
49 10% 57% Median
50 7% 47%  
51 11% 40%  
52 12% 29%  
53 6% 17%  
54 4% 11%  
55 5% 6%  
56 1.1% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.6%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 2% 99.6%  
42 5% 97%  
43 9% 92%  
44 14% 83%  
45 10% 69%  
46 3% 59%  
47 6% 56%  
48 16% 50% Median
49 8% 35% Last Result
50 13% 26%  
51 5% 13%  
52 5% 8%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.5% 0.8%  
55 0.2% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
20 0.7% 99.7%  
21 3% 99.0%  
22 13% 96%  
23 13% 83%  
24 10% 70%  
25 14% 60% Median
26 22% 46%  
27 15% 25%  
28 4% 10%  
29 3% 5%  
30 1.2% 3%  
31 0.5% 1.3%  
32 0.6% 0.8%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.4% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.5%  
18 10% 97%  
19 14% 87%  
20 16% 73%  
21 22% 57% Median
22 17% 35%  
23 11% 18%  
24 4% 8%  
25 2% 4%  
26 1.2% 1.5%  
27 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 0% 99.9%  
4 0% 99.9%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 0.4% 99.9%  
8 3% 99.4%  
9 13% 96%  
10 22% 83%  
11 33% 61% Last Result, Median
12 17% 27%  
13 7% 10%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.3% 0.4%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.6% 100% Last Result
2 10% 99.4%  
3 2% 90%  
4 0.2% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 10% 88%  
8 26% 78%  
9 34% 53% Median
10 13% 18%  
11 4% 6%  
12 1.4% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 5% 100% Last Result
2 62% 95% Median
3 0% 33%  
4 0% 33%  
5 0% 33%  
6 0% 33%  
7 18% 33%  
8 10% 15%  
9 4% 5%  
10 0.9% 1.0%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100%  
1 48% 96% Median
2 11% 47%  
3 30% 37%  
4 0% 7%  
5 0% 7%  
6 0% 7%  
7 4% 7%  
8 2% 2% Last Result
9 0.2% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100%  
1 10% 99.4%  
2 86% 89% Median
3 0.7% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0% 3%  
7 1.1% 3%  
8 1.4% 2% Last Result
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 107 99 100% 95–104 93–106 91–107 89–109
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 81 95 99.7% 90–99 89–100 87–101 85–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 93 98.8% 88–97 86–98 86–98 83–101
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 80 91 93% 85–96 83–97 83–97 81–99
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 87 71% 82–91 81–92 80–93 78–97
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 89 82 29% 78–87 77–88 76–89 72–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 82 26% 77–86 76–87 75–89 73–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 83 35% 78–87 75–88 75–89 73–91
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 88 74 0.3% 70–79 69–80 68–82 66–84
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 74 0.1% 69–78 69–79 67–80 65–83
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 72 0.1% 68–77 67–78 66–79 64–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 72 0% 67–76 66–77 65–79 63–80
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 70 0% 66–75 65–75 64–77 61–79
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 58 0% 53–62 52–63 51–64 50–65
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 61 53 0% 50–58 49–59 48–61 46–62
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 35 29 0% 25–33 25–34 25–36 24–38

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 0.3% 99.3%  
91 2% 99.0%  
92 1.3% 97%  
93 0.9% 96%  
94 2% 95%  
95 4% 93%  
96 7% 89%  
97 12% 82%  
98 15% 70% Median
99 8% 55%  
100 8% 48%  
101 11% 40%  
102 10% 29%  
103 5% 19%  
104 6% 14%  
105 3% 8%  
106 2% 5%  
107 0.8% 3% Last Result
108 0.9% 2%  
109 1.2% 2%  
110 0.2% 0.4%  
111 0.1% 0.2%  
112 0.1% 0.1%  
113 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.1% 99.9%  
84 0.2% 99.9%  
85 0.9% 99.7% Majority
86 0.3% 98.8%  
87 2% 98.5%  
88 2% 97%  
89 3% 95%  
90 6% 93%  
91 7% 87%  
92 12% 79%  
93 7% 68%  
94 9% 61%  
95 10% 52% Median
96 10% 41%  
97 5% 32%  
98 15% 27%  
99 6% 12%  
100 3% 7%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.8% 2%  
103 0.3% 0.8%  
104 0.2% 0.4%  
105 0.2% 0.3%  
106 0% 0.1%  
107 0% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 0.2% 99.8%  
83 0.3% 99.6%  
84 0.5% 99.3%  
85 1.0% 98.8% Majority
86 5% 98%  
87 2% 93%  
88 3% 91% Last Result
89 5% 88%  
90 9% 83%  
91 8% 75%  
92 12% 67%  
93 9% 55%  
94 13% 46% Median
95 11% 33%  
96 4% 23%  
97 12% 18%  
98 4% 7%  
99 0.6% 2%  
100 0.8% 2%  
101 0.6% 1.0%  
102 0.3% 0.5%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.7% Last Result
81 0.2% 99.6%  
82 1.1% 99.3%  
83 4% 98%  
84 1.0% 94%  
85 4% 93% Majority
86 3% 88%  
87 5% 86%  
88 6% 80%  
89 9% 75%  
90 13% 66%  
91 11% 53%  
92 8% 42%  
93 9% 34% Median
94 9% 25%  
95 2% 16%  
96 9% 14%  
97 4% 5%  
98 0.3% 2%  
99 0.7% 1.2%  
100 0.4% 0.5%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.2% 99.8%  
78 0.6% 99.6%  
79 2% 99.0%  
80 2% 98% Last Result
81 4% 96%  
82 7% 91%  
83 7% 85%  
84 7% 77%  
85 11% 71% Majority
86 10% 60% Median
87 11% 51%  
88 5% 40%  
89 11% 35%  
90 11% 23%  
91 3% 12%  
92 4% 9%  
93 3% 5%  
94 0.7% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.4%  
96 0.3% 0.8%  
97 0.3% 0.5%  
98 0.2% 0.2%  
99 0.1% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.5%  
74 0.6% 99.2%  
75 0.7% 98.6%  
76 3% 98%  
77 4% 95%  
78 3% 91%  
79 11% 88%  
80 11% 77%  
81 5% 65%  
82 11% 60% Median
83 10% 49%  
84 11% 40%  
85 7% 29% Majority
86 7% 23%  
87 7% 15%  
88 4% 9%  
89 2% 4% Last Result
90 2% 2%  
91 0.6% 1.0%  
92 0.2% 0.4%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 0.3% 99.8%  
73 0.6% 99.5%  
74 1.2% 98.9%  
75 1.1% 98%  
76 2% 97%  
77 6% 94% Last Result
78 5% 88%  
79 5% 83%  
80 12% 78%  
81 11% 66%  
82 10% 55%  
83 7% 45% Median
84 12% 38%  
85 8% 26% Majority
86 11% 18%  
87 2% 7%  
88 2% 4%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.5% 1.2%  
91 0.4% 0.6%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.8%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.5% 99.4%  
75 4% 98.9%  
76 1.5% 95%  
77 3% 93%  
78 3% 90%  
79 8% 87% Last Result
80 5% 79%  
81 9% 74%  
82 8% 65%  
83 16% 57%  
84 7% 42% Median
85 11% 35% Majority
86 5% 24%  
87 10% 18%  
88 5% 9%  
89 1.3% 4%  
90 1.4% 2%  
91 0.5% 0.8%  
92 0.2% 0.3%  
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.7%  
66 0.3% 99.6%  
67 0.8% 99.2%  
68 2% 98%  
69 3% 97%  
70 6% 93%  
71 15% 88%  
72 5% 73%  
73 10% 68% Median
74 10% 59%  
75 9% 48%  
76 7% 39%  
77 12% 32%  
78 7% 21%  
79 6% 13%  
80 3% 7%  
81 2% 5%  
82 2% 3%  
83 0.3% 1.5%  
84 0.9% 1.2%  
85 0.2% 0.3% Majority
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.6% 99.7%  
66 0.6% 99.1%  
67 1.0% 98%  
68 2% 97%  
69 8% 95%  
70 4% 88%  
71 7% 83%  
72 10% 77%  
73 7% 67%  
74 11% 60% Median
75 14% 49%  
76 10% 35% Last Result
77 13% 25%  
78 5% 12%  
79 3% 7%  
80 2% 4%  
81 0.8% 2%  
82 0.7% 2%  
83 0.5% 0.8%  
84 0.2% 0.3%  
85 0% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.7%  
64 0.4% 99.5%  
65 1.4% 99.2%  
66 1.4% 98%  
67 1.4% 96%  
68 8% 95%  
69 7% 87%  
70 14% 80%  
71 7% 66%  
72 11% 59% Median
73 9% 48%  
74 8% 38%  
75 11% 30%  
76 8% 20%  
77 7% 12%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.4% 3%  
80 0.8% 2% Last Result
81 0.6% 1.0%  
82 0.2% 0.4%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.4% 99.9%  
64 0.8% 99.4%  
65 2% 98.6%  
66 6% 97%  
67 3% 91%  
68 6% 88% Last Result
69 7% 81%  
70 7% 75%  
71 11% 68%  
72 12% 56%  
73 6% 44% Median
74 14% 38%  
75 6% 23%  
76 11% 18%  
77 2% 6%  
78 2% 4%  
79 1.5% 3%  
80 1.0% 1.4%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.4% 99.5%  
63 1.4% 99.1%  
64 1.2% 98%  
65 2% 96%  
66 8% 95%  
67 7% 86%  
68 14% 80%  
69 6% 65%  
70 12% 59% Median
71 9% 47%  
72 8% 38% Last Result
73 11% 30%  
74 7% 19%  
75 7% 12%  
76 2% 5%  
77 1.3% 3%  
78 0.8% 2%  
79 0.5% 0.7%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.7%  
51 2% 99.4%  
52 5% 97%  
53 5% 92%  
54 8% 87%  
55 8% 80%  
56 13% 72%  
57 4% 59%  
58 12% 55%  
59 5% 43% Median
60 11% 38% Last Result
61 15% 27%  
62 4% 12%  
63 5% 8%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.5% 0.8%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.3% 99.8%  
46 1.0% 99.5%  
47 1.0% 98.6%  
48 2% 98%  
49 3% 96%  
50 12% 93%  
51 14% 81%  
52 11% 67% Median
53 7% 56%  
54 7% 49%  
55 6% 42%  
56 15% 36%  
57 7% 21%  
58 6% 13%  
59 3% 7%  
60 1.1% 4%  
61 2% 3% Last Result
62 0.4% 0.9%  
63 0.2% 0.4%  
64 0.1% 0.2%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 2% 99.5%  
25 8% 98%  
26 7% 90%  
27 9% 82%  
28 15% 74% Median
29 24% 59%  
30 9% 35%  
31 4% 26%  
32 11% 22%  
33 5% 11%  
34 2% 6%  
35 2% 4% Last Result
36 1.2% 3%  
37 0.5% 1.4%  
38 0.7% 0.9%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations