Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 14–20 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 25.0% 26.6% 24.9–28.5% 24.4–29.0% 23.9–29.4% 23.1–30.3%
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 24.5% 22.8–26.3% 22.3–26.8% 21.9–27.3% 21.1–28.2%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Venstre 4.4% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Rødt 2.4% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 45 48 45–51 44–52 42–53 41–55
Arbeiderpartiet 49 44 41–47 40–48 40–50 39–51
Senterpartiet 19 25 23–28 22–29 21–31 20–31
Fremskrittspartiet 27 21 19–24 18–25 18–25 17–27
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 8–16
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 9 7–10 4–11 2–11 2–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 3 1–8 1–9 1–9 1–10
Venstre 8 2 2–7 2–7 2–8 1–9
Rødt 1 2 1–7 1–7 1–8 1–9

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.3% 99.9%  
41 0.5% 99.7%  
42 3% 99.2%  
43 1.5% 97%  
44 4% 95%  
45 7% 91% Last Result
46 13% 84%  
47 12% 71%  
48 21% 60% Median
49 12% 38%  
50 12% 27%  
51 6% 15%  
52 5% 9%  
53 3% 5%  
54 0.9% 1.5%  
55 0.4% 0.6%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 0.3% 99.9%  
39 2% 99.5%  
40 4% 98%  
41 7% 94%  
42 17% 87%  
43 12% 70%  
44 12% 58% Median
45 10% 45%  
46 14% 35%  
47 12% 21%  
48 5% 10%  
49 2% 4% Last Result
50 2% 3%  
51 0.6% 1.1%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.2% 100% Last Result
20 0.7% 99.8%  
21 3% 99.1%  
22 4% 96%  
23 10% 93%  
24 8% 82%  
25 30% 74% Median
26 19% 44%  
27 11% 24%  
28 5% 13%  
29 5% 8%  
30 0.9% 4%  
31 2% 3%  
32 0.2% 0.4%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.2% 100%  
17 0.9% 99.7%  
18 6% 98.8%  
19 6% 93%  
20 24% 87%  
21 15% 63% Median
22 11% 47%  
23 9% 36%  
24 19% 27%  
25 6% 8%  
26 2% 2%  
27 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
28 0.1% 0.2%  
29 0% 0%  

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.6% 100%  
9 4% 99.4%  
10 14% 96%  
11 25% 82% Last Result
12 30% 57% Median
13 14% 27%  
14 11% 13%  
15 1.4% 3%  
16 1.0% 1.1%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100% Last Result
2 3% 99.9%  
3 1.2% 97%  
4 0.8% 96%  
5 0% 95%  
6 0% 95%  
7 5% 95%  
8 27% 90%  
9 27% 62% Median
10 26% 35%  
11 8% 9%  
12 0.9% 1.4%  
13 0.4% 0.5%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 13% 99.8%  
2 9% 87%  
3 43% 78% Median
4 0% 35%  
5 0% 35%  
6 0.1% 35%  
7 10% 35%  
8 20% 25% Last Result
9 4% 5%  
10 0.8% 0.9%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 87% 98% Median
3 1.1% 11%  
4 0% 10%  
5 0% 10%  
6 0% 10%  
7 6% 10%  
8 4% 5% Last Result
9 0.6% 0.7%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 27% 100% Last Result
2 63% 73% Median
3 0% 11%  
4 0% 11%  
5 0% 11%  
6 0.1% 11%  
7 7% 11%  
8 3% 4%  
9 0.8% 0.8%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 107 102 100% 99–106 97–107 96–108 94–111
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 95 99.7% 90–99 89–99 87–101 86–103
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 81 92 99.2% 89–97 87–98 86–99 84–100
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 80 90 94% 86–94 84–96 84–97 80–98
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 89 85 55% 81–89 80–91 79–92 77–93
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 84 45% 80–88 78–89 77–90 76–92
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 83 33% 78–87 77–88 76–90 74–91
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 81 16% 77–86 76–87 75–88 74–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 88 77 0.8% 72–80 71–82 70–83 69–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 75 0.1% 70–78 68–80 67–81 66–84
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 72 0% 68–76 67–77 66–78 63–81
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 70 0% 66–74 65–75 64–75 62–78
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 70 0% 65–74 64–74 63–75 61–78
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 56 0% 53–60 51–61 51–62 49–63
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 61 54 0% 51–59 50–60 49–61 47–64
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 35 32 0% 28–36 28–38 27–40 26–42

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.3% 99.7%  
95 0.6% 99.3%  
96 2% 98.7%  
97 2% 96%  
98 2% 95%  
99 11% 92% Median
100 15% 82%  
101 10% 67%  
102 15% 57%  
103 16% 41%  
104 11% 26%  
105 4% 15%  
106 5% 10%  
107 2% 5% Last Result
108 1.4% 3%  
109 0.8% 2%  
110 0.3% 0.8%  
111 0.2% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0.2% 100%  
84 0.1% 99.8%  
85 0.2% 99.7% Majority
86 0.4% 99.5%  
87 2% 99.1%  
88 1.0% 97% Last Result
89 0.7% 96%  
90 6% 95%  
91 5% 89%  
92 13% 84%  
93 8% 72% Median
94 7% 63%  
95 16% 56%  
96 10% 40%  
97 15% 30%  
98 5% 16%  
99 5% 10%  
100 2% 5%  
101 2% 3%  
102 0.3% 0.9%  
103 0.2% 0.6%  
104 0.3% 0.4%  
105 0.1% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100% Last Result
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 0.4% 99.6%  
85 0.6% 99.2% Majority
86 3% 98.5%  
87 2% 95%  
88 2% 93%  
89 6% 91%  
90 11% 85%  
91 17% 74%  
92 8% 57% Median
93 6% 49%  
94 15% 43%  
95 12% 28%  
96 6% 16%  
97 4% 10%  
98 2% 6%  
99 3% 4%  
100 0.4% 0.9%  
101 0.2% 0.5%  
102 0.1% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.2%  
104 0% 0.1%  
105 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0.3% 99.3%  
83 1.3% 99.0%  
84 3% 98%  
85 3% 94% Majority
86 3% 91%  
87 6% 88%  
88 9% 82%  
89 20% 73%  
90 10% 53% Median
91 4% 43%  
92 14% 39%  
93 8% 25%  
94 7% 16%  
95 4% 9%  
96 1.4% 5%  
97 3% 4%  
98 0.6% 0.8%  
99 0.1% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.2%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.2% 99.8%  
76 0.2% 99.7%  
77 0.3% 99.5%  
78 1.1% 99.2%  
79 2% 98%  
80 4% 96%  
81 4% 92%  
82 8% 88%  
83 15% 81% Median
84 10% 65%  
85 10% 55% Majority
86 7% 45%  
87 6% 39%  
88 18% 32%  
89 5% 14% Last Result
90 4% 10%  
91 2% 5%  
92 2% 3%  
93 1.4% 2%  
94 0.1% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0.1% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 1.4% 99.7%  
77 2% 98%  
78 2% 97%  
79 4% 95%  
80 5% 90% Last Result
81 18% 86%  
82 6% 68%  
83 7% 61% Median
84 10% 55%  
85 10% 45% Majority
86 15% 35%  
87 8% 19%  
88 4% 12%  
89 4% 8%  
90 2% 4%  
91 1.1% 2%  
92 0.3% 0.8%  
93 0.2% 0.5%  
94 0.2% 0.3%  
95 0.1% 0.2%  
96 0% 0.1%  
97 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 0.2% 99.6%  
75 1.2% 99.4%  
76 3% 98%  
77 2% 96% Last Result
78 6% 94%  
79 4% 88%  
80 9% 84%  
81 10% 75% Median
82 6% 65%  
83 18% 59%  
84 8% 40%  
85 14% 33% Majority
86 5% 19%  
87 6% 14%  
88 4% 8%  
89 2% 4%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.3% 0.8%  
92 0.1% 0.5%  
93 0.1% 0.3%  
94 0.3% 0.3%  
95 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 1.5% 99.5%  
75 2% 98%  
76 3% 96%  
77 5% 94%  
78 5% 89%  
79 13% 83% Last Result
80 14% 70%  
81 8% 56% Median
82 8% 48%  
83 9% 39%  
84 14% 30%  
85 4% 16% Majority
86 6% 12%  
87 4% 6%  
88 1.2% 3%  
89 1.1% 2%  
90 0.2% 0.4%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.1% 99.8%  
68 0.2% 99.7%  
69 0.4% 99.5%  
70 3% 99.1%  
71 2% 96%  
72 4% 94%  
73 6% 90%  
74 12% 84% Median
75 15% 72%  
76 6% 57%  
77 8% 51%  
78 17% 43%  
79 11% 26%  
80 6% 15%  
81 2% 9%  
82 2% 7%  
83 3% 5%  
84 0.6% 1.5%  
85 0.4% 0.8% Majority
86 0.1% 0.4%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0.1% 99.9%  
66 0.9% 99.8%  
67 1.4% 98.8%  
68 4% 97%  
69 3% 94%  
70 6% 91%  
71 7% 85%  
72 10% 78% Median
73 11% 68%  
74 6% 57%  
75 21% 51%  
76 7% 29% Last Result
77 9% 22%  
78 5% 13%  
79 3% 8%  
80 0.8% 5%  
81 3% 4%  
82 0.8% 2%  
83 0.3% 0.8%  
84 0.4% 0.6%  
85 0.1% 0.1% Majority
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.4% 99.8%  
64 0.3% 99.4%  
65 0.5% 99.2%  
66 2% 98.7%  
67 4% 96%  
68 6% 92%  
69 4% 87%  
70 14% 82%  
71 10% 68% Median
72 16% 58%  
73 8% 41%  
74 7% 33%  
75 9% 26%  
76 10% 17%  
77 3% 7%  
78 2% 4%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.7% 1.3% Last Result
81 0.4% 0.6%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.2%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0% Majority

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0.2% 99.9%  
62 0.2% 99.7%  
63 1.2% 99.5%  
64 2% 98%  
65 5% 96%  
66 7% 91%  
67 12% 84%  
68 11% 72% Last Result
69 11% 61% Median
70 11% 50%  
71 6% 39%  
72 14% 33%  
73 7% 19%  
74 6% 12%  
75 4% 7%  
76 0.8% 2%  
77 0.8% 2%  
78 0.7% 0.9%  
79 0.1% 0.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.3% 99.9%  
61 1.3% 99.6%  
62 0.4% 98%  
63 0.7% 98%  
64 3% 97%  
65 4% 94%  
66 5% 89%  
67 6% 84%  
68 16% 79%  
69 10% 63% Median
70 17% 52%  
71 9% 36%  
72 7% 27% Last Result
73 7% 20%  
74 9% 13%  
75 2% 4%  
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0.4% 1.1%  
78 0.4% 0.7%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.2% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 1.3% 99.5%  
51 4% 98%  
52 4% 94%  
53 7% 91%  
54 16% 84%  
55 16% 68%  
56 8% 52% Median
57 17% 44%  
58 5% 27%  
59 12% 23%  
60 4% 10% Last Result
61 3% 6%  
62 1.3% 3%  
63 0.9% 1.4%  
64 0.2% 0.4%  
65 0.2% 0.3%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.4% 99.6%  
48 1.0% 99.2%  
49 2% 98%  
50 5% 96%  
51 9% 92%  
52 8% 83%  
53 13% 75% Median
54 13% 62%  
55 6% 49%  
56 9% 43%  
57 4% 33%  
58 16% 29%  
59 6% 13%  
60 3% 7%  
61 2% 4% Last Result
62 1.0% 2%  
63 0.7% 1.2%  
64 0.3% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.9%  
26 1.2% 99.5%  
27 3% 98%  
28 7% 95%  
29 7% 89%  
30 18% 81% Median
31 11% 64%  
32 9% 53%  
33 6% 44%  
34 7% 38%  
35 16% 32% Last Result
36 6% 16%  
37 3% 10%  
38 2% 6%  
39 2% 5%  
40 2% 3%  
41 0.2% 0.8%  
42 0.2% 0.6%  
43 0.2% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations