Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 2–8 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
25.2% |
23.2–27.4% |
22.6–28.0% |
22.1–28.6% |
21.2–29.6% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
24.4% |
22.4–26.5% |
21.8–27.1% |
21.3–27.7% |
20.4–28.7% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
14.6% |
13.0–16.5% |
12.6–17.0% |
12.2–17.4% |
11.5–18.4% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.5% |
9.1–12.1% |
8.7–12.5% |
8.4–13.0% |
7.8–13.8% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.2% |
6.1–8.6% |
5.7–9.0% |
5.5–9.3% |
5.0–10.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
5.6% |
4.6–6.9% |
4.3–7.2% |
4.1–7.6% |
3.7–8.2% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.5% |
3.2–5.8% |
3.0–6.1% |
2.7–6.7% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.9% |
3.1–5.0% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.7–5.6% |
2.3–6.2% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.5% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.3–5.1% |
2.0–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
40 |
3% |
96% |
|
41 |
4% |
93% |
|
42 |
9% |
89% |
|
43 |
8% |
80% |
|
44 |
11% |
72% |
|
45 |
12% |
60% |
Median |
46 |
15% |
48% |
|
47 |
17% |
33% |
|
48 |
3% |
16% |
|
49 |
4% |
13% |
Last Result |
50 |
1.4% |
9% |
|
51 |
3% |
7% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
4% |
97% |
|
37 |
6% |
93% |
|
38 |
4% |
87% |
|
39 |
5% |
83% |
|
40 |
4% |
78% |
|
41 |
2% |
74% |
|
42 |
6% |
72% |
|
43 |
5% |
66% |
|
44 |
16% |
61% |
Median |
45 |
16% |
44% |
Last Result |
46 |
5% |
28% |
|
47 |
5% |
23% |
|
48 |
9% |
18% |
|
49 |
6% |
9% |
|
50 |
2% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
19 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
20 |
3% |
98% |
|
21 |
2% |
96% |
|
22 |
6% |
94% |
|
23 |
5% |
88% |
|
24 |
7% |
83% |
|
25 |
14% |
76% |
|
26 |
14% |
62% |
Median |
27 |
8% |
48% |
|
28 |
11% |
40% |
|
29 |
6% |
29% |
|
30 |
5% |
23% |
|
31 |
6% |
18% |
|
32 |
2% |
12% |
|
33 |
7% |
10% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
2% |
98% |
|
15 |
10% |
96% |
|
16 |
23% |
87% |
|
17 |
9% |
64% |
|
18 |
11% |
55% |
Median |
19 |
17% |
44% |
|
20 |
14% |
27% |
|
21 |
4% |
14% |
|
22 |
5% |
9% |
|
23 |
3% |
5% |
|
24 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
10 |
5% |
96% |
|
11 |
17% |
91% |
Last Result |
12 |
37% |
74% |
Median |
13 |
13% |
37% |
|
14 |
9% |
24% |
|
15 |
6% |
14% |
|
16 |
5% |
8% |
|
17 |
2% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
7 |
4% |
97% |
|
8 |
21% |
93% |
|
9 |
19% |
73% |
|
10 |
31% |
53% |
Median |
11 |
13% |
23% |
|
12 |
5% |
10% |
|
13 |
4% |
5% |
|
14 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
33% |
98% |
|
3 |
0% |
65% |
|
4 |
0% |
65% |
|
5 |
0% |
65% |
|
6 |
2% |
65% |
|
7 |
16% |
62% |
Median |
8 |
26% |
46% |
|
9 |
12% |
21% |
|
10 |
6% |
8% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
1 |
17% |
99.4% |
|
2 |
7% |
83% |
|
3 |
32% |
76% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
44% |
|
5 |
0% |
44% |
|
6 |
2% |
44% |
|
7 |
24% |
43% |
|
8 |
11% |
19% |
Last Result |
9 |
6% |
8% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
1 |
15% |
99.1% |
|
2 |
61% |
84% |
Median |
3 |
0.2% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
23% |
|
5 |
0% |
23% |
|
6 |
4% |
23% |
|
7 |
12% |
19% |
|
8 |
6% |
7% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
100 |
100% |
95–106 |
94–107 |
92–108 |
89–110 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
98 |
99.9% |
93–104 |
91–106 |
90–107 |
87–110 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
96 |
99.4% |
91–101 |
88–102 |
87–103 |
84–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
94 |
98.8% |
88–99 |
87–101 |
86–102 |
84–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
91 |
95% |
85–96 |
84–98 |
83–100 |
80–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
86 |
60% |
79–93 |
79–94 |
78–95 |
75–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
85 |
51% |
79–90 |
77–91 |
77–93 |
74–95 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
78 |
5% |
73–84 |
71–85 |
69–86 |
68–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
77 |
4% |
70–83 |
69–84 |
68–86 |
66–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
72 |
0.1% |
67–78 |
65–79 |
65–80 |
62–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
69 |
0% |
63–74 |
62–75 |
61–77 |
59–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
64 |
0% |
59–71 |
56–71 |
55–72 |
53–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
62 |
0% |
54–67 |
53–69 |
52–69 |
50–71 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
58 |
0% |
53–63 |
52–64 |
51–66 |
49–68 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
51 |
0% |
45–56 |
44–58 |
43–59 |
41–62 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
34 |
0% |
28–40 |
27–43 |
26–44 |
24–47 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
92 |
1.4% |
98.5% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
9% |
94% |
|
96 |
6% |
85% |
|
97 |
13% |
79% |
|
98 |
4% |
65% |
|
99 |
10% |
61% |
|
100 |
8% |
51% |
Median |
101 |
12% |
43% |
|
102 |
4% |
32% |
|
103 |
4% |
28% |
|
104 |
3% |
24% |
|
105 |
10% |
21% |
|
106 |
5% |
11% |
|
107 |
3% |
6% |
|
108 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
109 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
89 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
90 |
2% |
98% |
|
91 |
4% |
96% |
|
92 |
3% |
93% |
|
93 |
3% |
90% |
|
94 |
4% |
88% |
|
95 |
7% |
84% |
|
96 |
12% |
77% |
Median |
97 |
4% |
65% |
|
98 |
14% |
61% |
|
99 |
5% |
47% |
|
100 |
6% |
43% |
|
101 |
8% |
37% |
|
102 |
11% |
29% |
|
103 |
4% |
18% |
|
104 |
4% |
14% |
|
105 |
2% |
10% |
|
106 |
3% |
8% |
|
107 |
2% |
5% |
|
108 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
97% |
|
89 |
2% |
95% |
|
90 |
2% |
92% |
|
91 |
7% |
91% |
|
92 |
9% |
84% |
|
93 |
5% |
75% |
Median |
94 |
8% |
70% |
|
95 |
12% |
62% |
|
96 |
3% |
51% |
|
97 |
10% |
47% |
|
98 |
6% |
37% |
|
99 |
10% |
31% |
|
100 |
4% |
22% |
|
101 |
10% |
17% |
|
102 |
5% |
8% |
|
103 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
107 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
Majority |
86 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
87 |
3% |
97% |
|
88 |
8% |
93% |
|
89 |
2% |
85% |
|
90 |
4% |
83% |
|
91 |
11% |
79% |
|
92 |
3% |
68% |
|
93 |
10% |
65% |
Median |
94 |
5% |
55% |
|
95 |
14% |
50% |
|
96 |
6% |
35% |
|
97 |
2% |
29% |
|
98 |
9% |
26% |
|
99 |
10% |
17% |
|
100 |
2% |
7% |
|
101 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
102 |
2% |
4% |
|
103 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
104 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
83 |
2% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
7% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
87% |
|
87 |
14% |
84% |
|
88 |
6% |
70% |
|
89 |
5% |
64% |
|
90 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
91 |
12% |
52% |
|
92 |
10% |
40% |
|
93 |
4% |
30% |
|
94 |
3% |
26% |
|
95 |
12% |
23% |
|
96 |
5% |
12% |
|
97 |
1.5% |
7% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
99 |
2% |
5% |
|
100 |
2% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
77 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
98% |
|
79 |
6% |
95% |
|
80 |
4% |
89% |
|
81 |
3% |
86% |
|
82 |
3% |
82% |
|
83 |
3% |
79% |
|
84 |
16% |
76% |
Median |
85 |
8% |
60% |
Majority |
86 |
11% |
52% |
|
87 |
3% |
41% |
|
88 |
5% |
38% |
|
89 |
4% |
33% |
|
90 |
9% |
29% |
|
91 |
6% |
20% |
|
92 |
3% |
14% |
|
93 |
5% |
11% |
|
94 |
2% |
6% |
|
95 |
2% |
4% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
77 |
4% |
98% |
|
78 |
2% |
94% |
|
79 |
5% |
93% |
Last Result |
80 |
6% |
88% |
|
81 |
2% |
82% |
|
82 |
8% |
80% |
|
83 |
18% |
72% |
Median |
84 |
4% |
54% |
|
85 |
12% |
51% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
39% |
|
87 |
5% |
31% |
|
88 |
10% |
26% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
17% |
|
90 |
8% |
15% |
|
91 |
3% |
8% |
|
92 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
93 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
94 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
73 |
5% |
93% |
|
74 |
12% |
88% |
|
75 |
3% |
77% |
|
76 |
4% |
74% |
|
77 |
10% |
70% |
Median |
78 |
12% |
60% |
|
79 |
7% |
48% |
|
80 |
5% |
41% |
|
81 |
6% |
36% |
|
82 |
14% |
30% |
|
83 |
4% |
16% |
|
84 |
7% |
13% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
4% |
|
87 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
69 |
2% |
96% |
|
70 |
5% |
94% |
|
71 |
4% |
89% |
|
72 |
4% |
85% |
|
73 |
6% |
82% |
|
74 |
13% |
76% |
Median |
75 |
9% |
63% |
|
76 |
3% |
54% |
Last Result |
77 |
6% |
51% |
|
78 |
10% |
45% |
|
79 |
3% |
35% |
|
80 |
5% |
33% |
|
81 |
14% |
28% |
|
82 |
2% |
14% |
|
83 |
6% |
12% |
|
84 |
2% |
6% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
5% |
98% |
|
66 |
3% |
93% |
|
67 |
3% |
91% |
|
68 |
9% |
87% |
Last Result |
69 |
3% |
78% |
|
70 |
8% |
75% |
|
71 |
14% |
67% |
Median |
72 |
7% |
53% |
|
73 |
10% |
46% |
|
74 |
9% |
36% |
|
75 |
8% |
26% |
|
76 |
4% |
19% |
|
77 |
2% |
15% |
|
78 |
7% |
13% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
80 |
2% |
4% |
|
81 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
62 |
3% |
97% |
|
63 |
5% |
94% |
|
64 |
10% |
89% |
|
65 |
3% |
79% |
|
66 |
4% |
76% |
|
67 |
4% |
72% |
Median |
68 |
12% |
68% |
|
69 |
8% |
57% |
|
70 |
10% |
49% |
|
71 |
4% |
39% |
|
72 |
13% |
35% |
|
73 |
6% |
21% |
|
74 |
9% |
15% |
|
75 |
2% |
6% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
77 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
3% |
97% |
|
57 |
2% |
94% |
|
58 |
2% |
92% |
|
59 |
3% |
90% |
|
60 |
3% |
88% |
|
61 |
11% |
84% |
|
62 |
6% |
74% |
|
63 |
11% |
68% |
|
64 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
65 |
14% |
50% |
|
66 |
5% |
36% |
|
67 |
7% |
31% |
|
68 |
4% |
24% |
|
69 |
4% |
20% |
|
70 |
2% |
16% |
|
71 |
10% |
14% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
53 |
3% |
97% |
|
54 |
5% |
94% |
|
55 |
2% |
89% |
|
56 |
2% |
87% |
|
57 |
5% |
85% |
|
58 |
2% |
80% |
|
59 |
9% |
78% |
|
60 |
7% |
69% |
|
61 |
11% |
62% |
|
62 |
5% |
51% |
Median |
63 |
11% |
46% |
|
64 |
14% |
35% |
|
65 |
6% |
21% |
|
66 |
3% |
14% |
|
67 |
2% |
11% |
|
68 |
2% |
9% |
|
69 |
5% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
51 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
52 |
3% |
96% |
|
53 |
4% |
92% |
|
54 |
3% |
89% |
|
55 |
10% |
86% |
|
56 |
7% |
76% |
|
57 |
16% |
69% |
Median |
58 |
19% |
54% |
|
59 |
8% |
35% |
|
60 |
11% |
27% |
Last Result |
61 |
4% |
16% |
|
62 |
2% |
12% |
|
63 |
4% |
10% |
|
64 |
2% |
7% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
44 |
3% |
97% |
|
45 |
4% |
94% |
|
46 |
4% |
90% |
|
47 |
7% |
85% |
|
48 |
5% |
79% |
|
49 |
16% |
73% |
Median |
50 |
4% |
57% |
|
51 |
7% |
53% |
|
52 |
5% |
46% |
|
53 |
8% |
41% |
|
54 |
14% |
33% |
|
55 |
3% |
19% |
|
56 |
6% |
15% |
|
57 |
4% |
9% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
59 |
3% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
26 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
28 |
6% |
95% |
|
29 |
5% |
89% |
|
30 |
2% |
84% |
|
31 |
5% |
81% |
Median |
32 |
5% |
76% |
|
33 |
10% |
72% |
|
34 |
18% |
61% |
|
35 |
8% |
44% |
Last Result |
36 |
6% |
36% |
|
37 |
2% |
30% |
|
38 |
10% |
27% |
|
39 |
3% |
17% |
|
40 |
4% |
14% |
|
41 |
3% |
9% |
|
42 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
43 |
2% |
5% |
|
44 |
2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 2–8 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 698
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 1.37%