Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 9–13 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 40–49 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| Høyre | 45 | 43 | 38–46 | 37–48 | 36–48 | 35–50 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 25 | 21–30 | 20–31 | 20–32 | 19–34 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 2–13 |
| Rødt | 1 | 9 | 7–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 | 2–12 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–6 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 14% | 97% | |
| 41 | 8% | 83% | |
| 42 | 9% | 75% | |
| 43 | 14% | 66% | |
| 44 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 45 | 10% | 36% | |
| 46 | 4% | 26% | |
| 47 | 8% | 22% | |
| 48 | 3% | 14% | |
| 49 | 6% | 11% | Last Result |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 7% | 97% | |
| 38 | 3% | 91% | |
| 39 | 5% | 87% | |
| 40 | 7% | 83% | |
| 41 | 6% | 76% | |
| 42 | 8% | 70% | |
| 43 | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 44 | 15% | 46% | |
| 45 | 9% | 32% | Last Result |
| 46 | 14% | 23% | |
| 47 | 4% | 10% | |
| 48 | 3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 20 | 8% | 98.5% | |
| 21 | 7% | 90% | |
| 22 | 9% | 83% | |
| 23 | 7% | 75% | |
| 24 | 13% | 68% | |
| 25 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 26 | 8% | 43% | |
| 27 | 13% | 35% | |
| 28 | 8% | 22% | |
| 29 | 2% | 14% | |
| 30 | 5% | 12% | |
| 31 | 4% | 7% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 13% | 96% | |
| 18 | 14% | 84% | |
| 19 | 16% | 70% | |
| 20 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 21 | 18% | 47% | |
| 22 | 14% | 29% | |
| 23 | 10% | 15% | |
| 24 | 3% | 5% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 10 | 15% | 95% | |
| 11 | 25% | 81% | Last Result |
| 12 | 23% | 55% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 32% | |
| 14 | 9% | 15% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 6% | 98% | |
| 8 | 19% | 92% | |
| 9 | 23% | 73% | Median |
| 10 | 27% | 50% | |
| 11 | 15% | 23% | |
| 12 | 6% | 8% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 93% | |
| 5 | 0% | 93% | |
| 6 | 0% | 93% | |
| 7 | 8% | 92% | |
| 8 | 23% | 85% | |
| 9 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 35% | |
| 11 | 7% | 9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 28% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 72% | |
| 4 | 0% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 72% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 72% | |
| 7 | 28% | 72% | Median |
| 8 | 25% | 43% | Last Result |
| 9 | 12% | 18% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23% | 100% | |
| 1 | 55% | 77% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 21% | |
| 3 | 8% | 9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 99 | 100% | 94–104 | 92–105 | 92–106 | 89–109 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 95 | 100% | 90–102 | 89–102 | 88–103 | 87–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 91 | 97% | 87–96 | 85–98 | 84–99 | 82–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 90 | 95% | 86–95 | 84–97 | 83–98 | 81–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 89 | 88% | 84–94 | 83–96 | 83–97 | 80–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 80 | 17% | 77–86 | 76–87 | 74–88 | 72–90 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 79 | 12% | 76–85 | 74–85 | 72–86 | 70–89 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 80 | 12% | 75–85 | 73–86 | 72–86 | 70–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 70 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–76 | 63–77 | 62–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–77 | 63–77 | 60–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 69 | 0% | 65–74 | 63–75 | 62–76 | 61–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 69 | 0% | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–76 | 60–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 63 | 0% | 58–67 | 56–67 | 55–68 | 54–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 55 | 0% | 51–60 | 50–61 | 50–63 | 49–64 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 51 | 0% | 45–54 | 44–57 | 43–58 | 41–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 32 | 0% | 27–38 | 26–40 | 25–41 | 24–43 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 92 | 4% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 94% | |
| 94 | 5% | 90% | |
| 95 | 8% | 86% | |
| 96 | 4% | 78% | |
| 97 | 6% | 74% | |
| 98 | 11% | 69% | |
| 99 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 100 | 11% | 39% | |
| 101 | 5% | 28% | |
| 102 | 4% | 23% | |
| 103 | 7% | 18% | |
| 104 | 5% | 12% | |
| 105 | 2% | 6% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 2% | 96% | |
| 90 | 8% | 94% | |
| 91 | 6% | 86% | |
| 92 | 11% | 80% | |
| 93 | 6% | 69% | |
| 94 | 10% | 63% | |
| 95 | 7% | 53% | |
| 96 | 9% | 45% | Median |
| 97 | 5% | 36% | |
| 98 | 6% | 31% | |
| 99 | 4% | 25% | |
| 100 | 4% | 21% | |
| 101 | 7% | 17% | |
| 102 | 5% | 10% | |
| 103 | 4% | 5% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 87 | 8% | 93% | |
| 88 | 7% | 85% | Last Result |
| 89 | 9% | 78% | |
| 90 | 10% | 69% | |
| 91 | 14% | 59% | Median |
| 92 | 12% | 44% | |
| 93 | 4% | 33% | |
| 94 | 11% | 29% | |
| 95 | 5% | 18% | |
| 96 | 4% | 13% | |
| 97 | 3% | 9% | |
| 98 | 3% | 6% | |
| 99 | 2% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 96% | |
| 85 | 4% | 95% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 91% | |
| 87 | 7% | 84% | |
| 88 | 6% | 77% | |
| 89 | 13% | 71% | |
| 90 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 91 | 10% | 42% | |
| 92 | 4% | 32% | |
| 93 | 8% | 27% | |
| 94 | 7% | 20% | |
| 95 | 5% | 12% | |
| 96 | 2% | 7% | |
| 97 | 2% | 5% | |
| 98 | 2% | 3% | |
| 99 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 83 | 4% | 98% | |
| 84 | 7% | 94% | |
| 85 | 2% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 85% | |
| 87 | 8% | 78% | |
| 88 | 7% | 70% | |
| 89 | 20% | 63% | |
| 90 | 6% | 42% | Median |
| 91 | 8% | 36% | |
| 92 | 5% | 28% | |
| 93 | 6% | 23% | |
| 94 | 8% | 17% | |
| 95 | 2% | 8% | |
| 96 | 4% | 6% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 76 | 4% | 95% | |
| 77 | 7% | 91% | |
| 78 | 13% | 84% | |
| 79 | 11% | 72% | Last Result |
| 80 | 11% | 60% | |
| 81 | 9% | 49% | Median |
| 82 | 10% | 40% | |
| 83 | 6% | 30% | |
| 84 | 7% | 24% | |
| 85 | 6% | 17% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 11% | |
| 87 | 3% | 7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 75 | 4% | 94% | |
| 76 | 8% | 90% | |
| 77 | 16% | 82% | Last Result |
| 78 | 8% | 66% | |
| 79 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 80 | 13% | 48% | |
| 81 | 10% | 35% | |
| 82 | 5% | 25% | |
| 83 | 6% | 20% | |
| 84 | 3% | 14% | |
| 85 | 7% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 73 | 4% | 97% | |
| 74 | 2% | 94% | |
| 75 | 8% | 92% | |
| 76 | 6% | 83% | |
| 77 | 5% | 77% | |
| 78 | 8% | 72% | |
| 79 | 6% | 64% | |
| 80 | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 81 | 7% | 37% | |
| 82 | 8% | 30% | |
| 83 | 8% | 22% | |
| 84 | 2% | 15% | |
| 85 | 7% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 6% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 96% | |
| 66 | 7% | 92% | |
| 67 | 9% | 85% | |
| 68 | 12% | 75% | |
| 69 | 9% | 64% | |
| 70 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 42% | |
| 72 | 5% | 29% | |
| 73 | 5% | 24% | |
| 74 | 4% | 18% | |
| 75 | 6% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 5% | 94% | |
| 66 | 7% | 88% | |
| 67 | 4% | 82% | |
| 68 | 5% | 77% | |
| 69 | 11% | 72% | |
| 70 | 18% | 61% | |
| 71 | 11% | 43% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 31% | |
| 73 | 4% | 26% | |
| 74 | 8% | 22% | |
| 75 | 5% | 14% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | |
| 77 | 4% | 6% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 5% | 91% | |
| 66 | 6% | 86% | |
| 67 | 18% | 79% | |
| 68 | 9% | 61% | Last Result |
| 69 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 70 | 9% | 40% | |
| 71 | 8% | 31% | |
| 72 | 4% | 22% | |
| 73 | 5% | 18% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 6% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 93% | |
| 65 | 9% | 89% | |
| 66 | 2% | 80% | |
| 67 | 6% | 78% | |
| 68 | 11% | 71% | |
| 69 | 15% | 60% | |
| 70 | 15% | 45% | Median |
| 71 | 5% | 30% | |
| 72 | 3% | 25% | |
| 73 | 7% | 21% | |
| 74 | 6% | 14% | |
| 75 | 6% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 95% | |
| 58 | 4% | 93% | |
| 59 | 4% | 89% | |
| 60 | 6% | 85% | |
| 61 | 10% | 79% | |
| 62 | 13% | 69% | |
| 63 | 18% | 56% | Median |
| 64 | 4% | 38% | |
| 65 | 9% | 34% | |
| 66 | 8% | 25% | |
| 67 | 13% | 17% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 4% | 98% | |
| 51 | 7% | 94% | |
| 52 | 6% | 88% | |
| 53 | 7% | 81% | |
| 54 | 10% | 74% | |
| 55 | 15% | 64% | |
| 56 | 12% | 49% | Median |
| 57 | 6% | 38% | |
| 58 | 8% | 32% | |
| 59 | 8% | 24% | |
| 60 | 9% | 16% | Last Result |
| 61 | 3% | 7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 2% | 97% | |
| 45 | 7% | 95% | |
| 46 | 6% | 88% | |
| 47 | 9% | 83% | |
| 48 | 8% | 73% | |
| 49 | 7% | 66% | |
| 50 | 8% | 58% | |
| 51 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 52 | 4% | 38% | |
| 53 | 17% | 34% | |
| 54 | 7% | 16% | |
| 55 | 2% | 9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 58 | 4% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 5% | 93% | |
| 28 | 11% | 89% | |
| 29 | 9% | 78% | |
| 30 | 6% | 69% | |
| 31 | 12% | 63% | |
| 32 | 5% | 51% | |
| 33 | 5% | 46% | Median |
| 34 | 6% | 41% | |
| 35 | 5% | 35% | Last Result |
| 36 | 12% | 30% | |
| 37 | 4% | 18% | |
| 38 | 6% | 14% | |
| 39 | 3% | 8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Amedia and Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 9–13 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 1.40%