Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI for Dagbladet, 22–24 June 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 25.2% | 23.5–27.0% | 23.0–27.5% | 22.6–28.0% | 21.8–28.9% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 46 | 43–50 | 41–51 | 41–52 | 39–54 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 46 | 43–51 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 40–53 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 24 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 20–30 | 19–31 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 15–25 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–19 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 10 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–8 |
| Rødt | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 95% | |
| 43 | 9% | 91% | |
| 44 | 21% | 83% | |
| 45 | 8% | 62% | Last Result |
| 46 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 47 | 13% | 43% | |
| 48 | 7% | 30% | |
| 49 | 7% | 22% | |
| 50 | 8% | 16% | |
| 51 | 5% | 8% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 2% | 97% | |
| 42 | 3% | 95% | |
| 43 | 9% | 91% | |
| 44 | 15% | 83% | |
| 45 | 7% | 68% | |
| 46 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 47 | 13% | 47% | |
| 48 | 7% | 34% | |
| 49 | 4% | 27% | Last Result |
| 50 | 8% | 24% | |
| 51 | 13% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 20 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 8% | 97% | |
| 22 | 9% | 89% | |
| 23 | 25% | 81% | |
| 24 | 18% | 56% | Median |
| 25 | 14% | 38% | |
| 26 | 10% | 24% | |
| 27 | 5% | 14% | |
| 28 | 5% | 9% | |
| 29 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 30 | 2% | 3% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98% | |
| 18 | 10% | 92% | |
| 19 | 17% | 81% | |
| 20 | 34% | 65% | Median |
| 21 | 12% | 30% | |
| 22 | 9% | 19% | |
| 23 | 6% | 10% | |
| 24 | 3% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 12 | 6% | 98% | |
| 13 | 8% | 93% | |
| 14 | 27% | 84% | |
| 15 | 22% | 57% | Median |
| 16 | 17% | 35% | |
| 17 | 7% | 17% | |
| 18 | 7% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 9 | 11% | 95% | |
| 10 | 42% | 84% | Median |
| 11 | 17% | 41% | |
| 12 | 13% | 24% | |
| 13 | 7% | 12% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 30% | 97% | |
| 2 | 14% | 67% | |
| 3 | 44% | 53% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 9% | |
| 7 | 5% | 9% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 29% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 56% | 70% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0% | 14% | |
| 7 | 8% | 14% | |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 40% | 45% | |
| 3 | 0% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 3% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 99 | 100% | 94–103 | 93–104 | 92–105 | 90–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 99 | 100% | 93–102 | 92–103 | 91–105 | 89–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 97 | 99.9% | 91–100 | 91–101 | 90–103 | 87–104 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 95 | 100% | 91–100 | 90–101 | 89–102 | 87–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 88 | 78% | 83–91 | 82–92 | 81–94 | 78–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 86 | 63% | 81–89 | 80–90 | 79–92 | 76–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 84 | 44% | 80–88 | 78–89 | 77–90 | 75–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 81 | 22% | 78–86 | 77–87 | 75–88 | 73–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 73 | 0% | 69–77 | 68–79 | 67–79 | 65–82 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 70 | 0% | 67–76 | 66–77 | 64–78 | 63–80 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 70 | 0% | 67–74 | 65–76 | 64–76 | 62–78 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 68 | 0% | 65–73 | 63–74 | 62–75 | 60–77 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 66 | 0% | 62–70 | 61–72 | 60–72 | 58–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 61 | 0% | 57–66 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 54–69 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 43–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 29 | 0% | 26–33 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 23–40 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 5% | 94% | |
| 95 | 8% | 89% | |
| 96 | 5% | 81% | |
| 97 | 13% | 76% | |
| 98 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 99 | 13% | 55% | |
| 100 | 7% | 41% | |
| 101 | 5% | 35% | |
| 102 | 19% | 30% | |
| 103 | 5% | 11% | |
| 104 | 2% | 6% | |
| 105 | 3% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 92 | 4% | 97% | |
| 93 | 5% | 93% | |
| 94 | 7% | 87% | |
| 95 | 8% | 80% | |
| 96 | 6% | 72% | Median |
| 97 | 8% | 66% | |
| 98 | 8% | 58% | |
| 99 | 10% | 51% | |
| 100 | 21% | 41% | |
| 101 | 7% | 20% | |
| 102 | 5% | 13% | |
| 103 | 3% | 7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 5% | |
| 105 | 2% | 3% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 5% | 95% | |
| 92 | 10% | 90% | |
| 93 | 4% | 80% | |
| 94 | 9% | 76% | |
| 95 | 8% | 67% | Median |
| 96 | 8% | 59% | |
| 97 | 9% | 51% | |
| 98 | 10% | 43% | |
| 99 | 18% | 32% | |
| 100 | 5% | 14% | |
| 101 | 4% | 9% | |
| 102 | 2% | 5% | |
| 103 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 89 | 3% | 98% | |
| 90 | 3% | 95% | |
| 91 | 4% | 93% | |
| 92 | 14% | 89% | |
| 93 | 12% | 75% | |
| 94 | 11% | 62% | |
| 95 | 4% | 52% | Median |
| 96 | 7% | 47% | |
| 97 | 6% | 40% | |
| 98 | 17% | 34% | |
| 99 | 6% | 17% | |
| 100 | 3% | 12% | |
| 101 | 7% | 9% | |
| 102 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 4% | 96% | |
| 83 | 7% | 91% | |
| 84 | 6% | 84% | |
| 85 | 11% | 78% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 67% | Median |
| 87 | 10% | 61% | |
| 88 | 10% | 52% | |
| 89 | 11% | 42% | |
| 90 | 17% | 31% | |
| 91 | 4% | 14% | |
| 92 | 5% | 10% | |
| 93 | 2% | 5% | |
| 94 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 80 | 2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 6% | 93% | |
| 82 | 9% | 87% | |
| 83 | 6% | 78% | |
| 84 | 9% | 72% | |
| 85 | 9% | 63% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 53% | |
| 87 | 8% | 44% | |
| 88 | 10% | 35% | |
| 89 | 15% | 25% | |
| 90 | 5% | 10% | |
| 91 | 2% | 5% | |
| 92 | 2% | 3% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 94 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 94% | |
| 80 | 4% | 91% | |
| 81 | 16% | 87% | |
| 82 | 10% | 71% | |
| 83 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 84 | 10% | 54% | |
| 85 | 11% | 44% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 33% | |
| 87 | 15% | 26% | |
| 88 | 4% | 11% | |
| 89 | 5% | 7% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 91 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 5% | 95% | |
| 78 | 4% | 90% | |
| 79 | 17% | 86% | |
| 80 | 11% | 69% | |
| 81 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 82 | 10% | 48% | |
| 83 | 6% | 39% | |
| 84 | 11% | 33% | |
| 85 | 6% | 22% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 16% | |
| 87 | 4% | 9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 4% | |
| 89 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 6% | 93% | |
| 70 | 4% | 87% | |
| 71 | 16% | 83% | |
| 72 | 12% | 67% | |
| 73 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 47% | |
| 75 | 9% | 35% | |
| 76 | 4% | 26% | Last Result |
| 77 | 14% | 22% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 4% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 95% | |
| 67 | 5% | 93% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | |
| 69 | 21% | 80% | |
| 70 | 10% | 59% | |
| 71 | 8% | 49% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 42% | |
| 73 | 6% | 34% | |
| 74 | 8% | 28% | |
| 75 | 7% | 20% | |
| 76 | 5% | 13% | |
| 77 | 4% | 7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 6% | 91% | |
| 68 | 12% | 84% | Last Result |
| 69 | 9% | 72% | |
| 70 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 50% | |
| 72 | 7% | 39% | |
| 73 | 6% | 32% | |
| 74 | 18% | 26% | |
| 75 | 3% | 8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | |
| 77 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 78 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 5% | 95% | |
| 65 | 7% | 90% | |
| 66 | 18% | 83% | |
| 67 | 6% | 65% | |
| 68 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 49% | |
| 70 | 8% | 37% | |
| 71 | 11% | 30% | |
| 72 | 6% | 19% | |
| 73 | 5% | 12% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 5% | 94% | |
| 63 | 8% | 89% | |
| 64 | 20% | 80% | |
| 65 | 8% | 60% | |
| 66 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 67 | 8% | 43% | |
| 68 | 11% | 34% | |
| 69 | 7% | 23% | |
| 70 | 6% | 16% | |
| 71 | 4% | 10% | |
| 72 | 4% | 6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 4% | 97% | |
| 57 | 6% | 93% | |
| 58 | 7% | 87% | |
| 59 | 12% | 81% | |
| 60 | 12% | 68% | Last Result |
| 61 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 47% | |
| 63 | 7% | 39% | |
| 64 | 9% | 32% | |
| 65 | 5% | 22% | |
| 66 | 14% | 18% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 96% | |
| 47 | 5% | 94% | |
| 48 | 9% | 89% | |
| 49 | 18% | 79% | |
| 50 | 16% | 62% | |
| 51 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 40% | |
| 53 | 5% | 34% | |
| 54 | 11% | 30% | |
| 55 | 4% | 18% | |
| 56 | 8% | 14% | |
| 57 | 2% | 6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 6% | 96% | |
| 26 | 9% | 90% | |
| 27 | 8% | 81% | |
| 28 | 22% | 73% | |
| 29 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 30 | 12% | 42% | |
| 31 | 7% | 30% | |
| 32 | 9% | 23% | |
| 33 | 6% | 14% | |
| 34 | 3% | 9% | |
| 35 | 3% | 6% | Last Result |
| 36 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos MMI
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 June 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 524,288
- Error estimate: 1.25%