Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 4–5 August 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 26.6% | 24.8–28.4% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 20.9–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 13.2% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.5–15.1% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.6–16.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 48 | 44–52 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–55 |
| Høyre | 45 | 41 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 36–48 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 23 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 19–30 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 22 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 18–26 | 18–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 13 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| Rødt | 1 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–7 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 3% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 96% | |
| 44 | 5% | 94% | |
| 45 | 8% | 88% | |
| 46 | 11% | 80% | |
| 47 | 15% | 69% | |
| 48 | 17% | 54% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 37% | Last Result |
| 50 | 4% | 22% | |
| 51 | 6% | 18% | |
| 52 | 8% | 12% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 14% | 93% | |
| 39 | 5% | 79% | |
| 40 | 8% | 74% | |
| 41 | 17% | 65% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 48% | |
| 43 | 8% | 41% | |
| 44 | 8% | 33% | |
| 45 | 12% | 25% | Last Result |
| 46 | 8% | 13% | |
| 47 | 3% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 20 | 6% | 97% | |
| 21 | 5% | 91% | |
| 22 | 12% | 86% | |
| 23 | 28% | 73% | Median |
| 24 | 25% | 45% | |
| 25 | 7% | 20% | |
| 26 | 7% | 13% | |
| 27 | 3% | 7% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 8% | 97% | |
| 20 | 16% | 90% | |
| 21 | 16% | 74% | |
| 22 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 23 | 11% | 43% | |
| 24 | 8% | 32% | |
| 25 | 16% | 24% | |
| 26 | 7% | 9% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 9% | 93% | Last Result |
| 12 | 27% | 83% | |
| 13 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 14 | 26% | 35% | |
| 15 | 6% | 10% | |
| 16 | 2% | 4% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 13% | 97% | |
| 10 | 29% | 84% | |
| 11 | 21% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 34% | |
| 13 | 7% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 43% | 96% | |
| 3 | 0% | 53% | |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0% | 53% | |
| 6 | 0% | 53% | |
| 7 | 27% | 53% | Median |
| 8 | 16% | 26% | |
| 9 | 9% | 11% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 17% | 99.5% | |
| 2 | 5% | 83% | |
| 3 | 51% | 78% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 27% | |
| 5 | 0% | 27% | |
| 6 | 0% | 27% | |
| 7 | 14% | 27% | |
| 8 | 11% | 13% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 46% | 91% | Median |
| 2 | 44% | 44% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 100 | 100% | 95–104 | 94–105 | 93–106 | 91–108 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 98 | 100% | 94–102 | 93–103 | 92–104 | 89–107 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 95 | 99.7% | 90–99 | 88–101 | 87–101 | 85–103 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 92 | 98% | 89–97 | 87–98 | 85–100 | 84–102 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 89 | 88% | 84–93 | 83–95 | 82–95 | 80–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 85 | 59% | 82–90 | 81–91 | 79–93 | 77–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 84 | 50% | 79–88 | 78–89 | 77–90 | 75–92 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 80 | 12% | 76–85 | 74–86 | 74–87 | 71–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 75 | 0.4% | 71–78 | 70–80 | 68–82 | 66–84 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 71 | 0% | 68–75 | 66–76 | 64–77 | 63–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 69 | 0% | 65–74 | 64–75 | 63–76 | 61–78 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 60–71 | 59–72 | 57–73 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 64 | 0% | 60–68 | 59–70 | 57–71 | 56–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 61 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 55–66 | 52–68 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 46 | 0% | 42–52 | 42–54 | 41–55 | 39–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 28 | 0% | 25–32 | 24–34 | 23–35 | 22–37 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98% | |
| 94 | 4% | 96% | |
| 95 | 7% | 92% | |
| 96 | 3% | 85% | |
| 97 | 9% | 81% | |
| 98 | 5% | 72% | |
| 99 | 8% | 67% | |
| 100 | 12% | 60% | |
| 101 | 15% | 48% | |
| 102 | 15% | 33% | Median |
| 103 | 6% | 18% | |
| 104 | 4% | 12% | |
| 105 | 4% | 8% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 4% | 94% | |
| 95 | 7% | 90% | |
| 96 | 9% | 83% | |
| 97 | 7% | 74% | |
| 98 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 99 | 8% | 47% | |
| 100 | 7% | 39% | |
| 101 | 11% | 32% | |
| 102 | 12% | 22% | |
| 103 | 5% | 10% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 3% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 94% | |
| 90 | 3% | 90% | |
| 91 | 4% | 87% | |
| 92 | 8% | 83% | |
| 93 | 10% | 75% | |
| 94 | 8% | 65% | |
| 95 | 18% | 57% | Median |
| 96 | 4% | 39% | |
| 97 | 8% | 35% | |
| 98 | 10% | 27% | |
| 99 | 9% | 17% | |
| 100 | 2% | 8% | |
| 101 | 3% | 5% | |
| 102 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 88 | 4% | 95% | |
| 89 | 3% | 91% | |
| 90 | 16% | 88% | Median |
| 91 | 19% | 73% | |
| 92 | 6% | 53% | |
| 93 | 14% | 47% | |
| 94 | 4% | 34% | |
| 95 | 6% | 30% | |
| 96 | 9% | 24% | |
| 97 | 6% | 15% | |
| 98 | 5% | 9% | |
| 99 | 2% | 5% | |
| 100 | 2% | 3% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 81 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 7% | 95% | |
| 85 | 5% | 88% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 83% | |
| 87 | 6% | 75% | |
| 88 | 13% | 70% | |
| 89 | 14% | 56% | |
| 90 | 10% | 42% | |
| 91 | 4% | 33% | Median |
| 92 | 16% | 28% | |
| 93 | 3% | 12% | |
| 94 | 4% | 9% | |
| 95 | 3% | 5% | |
| 96 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.6% | 98.7% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 80 | 2% | 97% | |
| 81 | 4% | 95% | |
| 82 | 7% | 91% | |
| 83 | 4% | 84% | |
| 84 | 20% | 80% | |
| 85 | 12% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 47% | |
| 87 | 8% | 42% | |
| 88 | 13% | 34% | |
| 89 | 4% | 22% | |
| 90 | 10% | 17% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 78 | 4% | 97% | |
| 79 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 80 | 3% | 89% | |
| 81 | 7% | 86% | |
| 82 | 12% | 79% | |
| 83 | 10% | 67% | |
| 84 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 85 | 15% | 50% | Majority |
| 86 | 14% | 35% | |
| 87 | 10% | 21% | |
| 88 | 4% | 11% | |
| 89 | 3% | 7% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 74 | 3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 4% | 95% | |
| 76 | 3% | 91% | |
| 77 | 16% | 88% | |
| 78 | 4% | 72% | Median |
| 79 | 10% | 67% | |
| 80 | 14% | 58% | |
| 81 | 13% | 44% | |
| 82 | 6% | 30% | |
| 83 | 7% | 25% | |
| 84 | 5% | 17% | |
| 85 | 7% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 88 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 4% | 96% | |
| 71 | 4% | 92% | |
| 72 | 7% | 87% | |
| 73 | 11% | 81% | |
| 74 | 16% | 70% | Median |
| 75 | 9% | 53% | |
| 76 | 16% | 45% | Last Result |
| 77 | 5% | 29% | |
| 78 | 13% | 23% | |
| 79 | 3% | 10% | |
| 80 | 2% | 7% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 96% | |
| 67 | 3% | 93% | |
| 68 | 8% | 90% | Last Result |
| 69 | 9% | 82% | |
| 70 | 15% | 73% | |
| 71 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 40% | |
| 73 | 12% | 34% | |
| 74 | 6% | 22% | |
| 75 | 9% | 16% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 4% | 92% | |
| 66 | 6% | 88% | |
| 67 | 15% | 82% | Median |
| 68 | 15% | 67% | |
| 69 | 12% | 52% | |
| 70 | 8% | 40% | |
| 71 | 5% | 33% | |
| 72 | 9% | 28% | |
| 73 | 3% | 19% | |
| 74 | 7% | 15% | |
| 75 | 4% | 8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 92% | |
| 62 | 2% | 89% | |
| 63 | 10% | 87% | |
| 64 | 18% | 77% | Median |
| 65 | 13% | 59% | |
| 66 | 13% | 46% | |
| 67 | 11% | 33% | |
| 68 | 7% | 22% | |
| 69 | 6% | 16% | |
| 70 | 2% | 9% | |
| 71 | 4% | 8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 59 | 5% | 96% | |
| 60 | 3% | 91% | |
| 61 | 9% | 89% | |
| 62 | 8% | 80% | |
| 63 | 21% | 73% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 52% | |
| 65 | 16% | 43% | |
| 66 | 6% | 27% | |
| 67 | 9% | 21% | |
| 68 | 3% | 12% | |
| 69 | 2% | 9% | |
| 70 | 4% | 7% | |
| 71 | 3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 6% | 95% | |
| 57 | 5% | 89% | |
| 58 | 6% | 84% | |
| 59 | 16% | 78% | |
| 60 | 9% | 62% | Last Result |
| 61 | 5% | 53% | Median |
| 62 | 24% | 48% | |
| 63 | 8% | 24% | |
| 64 | 9% | 15% | |
| 65 | 3% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 12% | 97% | |
| 43 | 7% | 85% | |
| 44 | 4% | 77% | |
| 45 | 9% | 74% | Median |
| 46 | 15% | 65% | |
| 47 | 9% | 50% | |
| 48 | 6% | 41% | |
| 49 | 10% | 35% | |
| 50 | 7% | 24% | |
| 51 | 5% | 17% | |
| 52 | 3% | 12% | |
| 53 | 2% | 8% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 55 | 4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 3% | 97% | |
| 25 | 8% | 94% | |
| 26 | 4% | 87% | |
| 27 | 20% | 83% | Median |
| 28 | 18% | 62% | |
| 29 | 15% | 45% | |
| 30 | 5% | 29% | |
| 31 | 7% | 24% | |
| 32 | 7% | 17% | |
| 33 | 4% | 10% | |
| 34 | 2% | 6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 4–5 August 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1001
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.20%