Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 28 September–2 October 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
25.0% |
24.0% |
22.0–26.1% |
21.5–26.7% |
21.0–27.3% |
20.1–28.3% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
18.4% |
16.6–20.3% |
16.1–20.9% |
15.7–21.4% |
14.9–22.4% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
16.3% |
14.6–18.2% |
14.1–18.7% |
13.7–19.2% |
13.0–20.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.8% |
11.3–14.5% |
10.9–15.0% |
10.5–15.4% |
9.8–16.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.2% |
6.1–8.6% |
5.7–8.9% |
5.5–9.3% |
5.0–10.0% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.2% |
5.2–7.5% |
4.9–7.9% |
4.6–8.2% |
4.2–8.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
5.0% |
4.1–6.3% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.7–6.9% |
3.3–7.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.8% |
3.9–6.0% |
3.6–6.3% |
3.4–6.6% |
3.0–7.2% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.5% |
3.3–5.8% |
3.1–6.1% |
2.7–6.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
97% |
|
38 |
5% |
95% |
|
39 |
6% |
90% |
|
40 |
14% |
84% |
|
41 |
13% |
71% |
|
42 |
6% |
58% |
|
43 |
25% |
52% |
Median |
44 |
9% |
28% |
|
45 |
9% |
18% |
Last Result |
46 |
5% |
10% |
|
47 |
3% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
27 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
96% |
|
29 |
12% |
94% |
|
30 |
10% |
82% |
|
31 |
11% |
72% |
|
32 |
14% |
61% |
Median |
33 |
23% |
47% |
|
34 |
5% |
24% |
|
35 |
4% |
19% |
|
36 |
4% |
15% |
|
37 |
2% |
11% |
|
38 |
4% |
8% |
|
39 |
2% |
4% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
23 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
24 |
2% |
97% |
|
25 |
4% |
95% |
|
26 |
6% |
92% |
|
27 |
16% |
85% |
|
28 |
22% |
69% |
Median |
29 |
9% |
48% |
|
30 |
13% |
38% |
|
31 |
4% |
25% |
|
32 |
7% |
21% |
|
33 |
4% |
13% |
|
34 |
4% |
9% |
|
35 |
2% |
5% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
18 |
7% |
98% |
|
19 |
6% |
92% |
|
20 |
7% |
85% |
|
21 |
17% |
78% |
|
22 |
18% |
61% |
Median |
23 |
9% |
43% |
|
24 |
11% |
34% |
|
25 |
14% |
23% |
|
26 |
7% |
10% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
2% |
Last Result |
28 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
10 |
14% |
93% |
|
11 |
12% |
79% |
Last Result |
12 |
30% |
67% |
Median |
13 |
21% |
38% |
|
14 |
10% |
17% |
|
15 |
4% |
7% |
|
16 |
2% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
9% |
97% |
|
9 |
15% |
87% |
|
10 |
33% |
72% |
Median |
11 |
18% |
39% |
|
12 |
7% |
21% |
|
13 |
11% |
13% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
5% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
93% |
|
5 |
0% |
93% |
|
6 |
3% |
93% |
|
7 |
14% |
90% |
|
8 |
26% |
76% |
Last Result |
9 |
34% |
50% |
Median |
10 |
11% |
16% |
|
11 |
4% |
5% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
13% |
97% |
|
3 |
0.6% |
85% |
|
4 |
0% |
84% |
|
5 |
0% |
84% |
|
6 |
4% |
84% |
|
7 |
27% |
80% |
|
8 |
29% |
53% |
Median |
9 |
15% |
24% |
|
10 |
6% |
8% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
30% |
99.5% |
|
3 |
0% |
70% |
|
4 |
0% |
69% |
|
5 |
0% |
69% |
|
6 |
14% |
69% |
|
7 |
24% |
55% |
Median |
8 |
21% |
31% |
Last Result |
9 |
7% |
10% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
107 |
100% |
102–112 |
100–114 |
99–115 |
97–118 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
90 |
92% |
85–96 |
83–99 |
82–100 |
80–103 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
89 |
84% |
83–94 |
81–96 |
81–97 |
78–100 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
89 |
86 |
64% |
80–91 |
78–93 |
77–94 |
74–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
83 |
36% |
78–89 |
76–91 |
75–92 |
74–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
80 |
19% |
74–86 |
73–88 |
72–89 |
70–93 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
79 |
8% |
73–84 |
70–86 |
69–87 |
66–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
77 |
5% |
71–82 |
69–84 |
69–85 |
67–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
73 |
0.6% |
69–79 |
66–81 |
65–82 |
65–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
70 |
0% |
65–74 |
63–77 |
63–78 |
61–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
70 |
0% |
65–75 |
63–78 |
61–78 |
59–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
64 |
0% |
59–70 |
58–71 |
57–71 |
54–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
61 |
0% |
57–67 |
55–69 |
55–70 |
54–72 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
56 |
0% |
51–61 |
49–62 |
48–63 |
44–65 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
45 |
0% |
40–49 |
39–51 |
38–51 |
36–53 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
43 |
0% |
38–48 |
37–50 |
36–51 |
33–53 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
99 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
100 |
2% |
97% |
|
101 |
4% |
95% |
|
102 |
5% |
90% |
|
103 |
3% |
85% |
|
104 |
3% |
82% |
|
105 |
6% |
79% |
|
106 |
5% |
74% |
|
107 |
28% |
69% |
Last Result |
108 |
9% |
41% |
|
109 |
7% |
32% |
Median |
110 |
5% |
25% |
|
111 |
4% |
20% |
|
112 |
7% |
16% |
|
113 |
2% |
10% |
|
114 |
3% |
7% |
|
115 |
2% |
4% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
117 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
118 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
119 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
120 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
121 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
122 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
82 |
1.5% |
98.9% |
|
83 |
4% |
97% |
|
84 |
2% |
94% |
|
85 |
4% |
92% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
88% |
|
87 |
5% |
83% |
|
88 |
3% |
78% |
|
89 |
10% |
75% |
|
90 |
19% |
65% |
Median |
91 |
10% |
46% |
|
92 |
5% |
36% |
|
93 |
6% |
31% |
|
94 |
5% |
25% |
|
95 |
7% |
20% |
|
96 |
4% |
13% |
|
97 |
2% |
10% |
|
98 |
2% |
8% |
|
99 |
3% |
6% |
|
100 |
2% |
3% |
|
101 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
81 |
4% |
98% |
|
82 |
3% |
94% |
|
83 |
4% |
91% |
|
84 |
3% |
87% |
|
85 |
4% |
84% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
81% |
|
87 |
15% |
73% |
|
88 |
6% |
58% |
Last Result |
89 |
16% |
52% |
Median |
90 |
6% |
36% |
|
91 |
9% |
30% |
|
92 |
5% |
21% |
|
93 |
4% |
16% |
|
94 |
3% |
12% |
|
95 |
4% |
9% |
|
96 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
101 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
77 |
2% |
98% |
|
78 |
4% |
96% |
|
79 |
2% |
92% |
|
80 |
5% |
90% |
|
81 |
6% |
86% |
|
82 |
6% |
79% |
|
83 |
4% |
74% |
|
84 |
6% |
70% |
|
85 |
7% |
64% |
Majority |
86 |
20% |
57% |
|
87 |
10% |
37% |
|
88 |
9% |
27% |
|
89 |
2% |
18% |
Last Result, Median |
90 |
5% |
15% |
|
91 |
3% |
10% |
|
92 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
93 |
2% |
6% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
2% |
96% |
|
77 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
78 |
3% |
93% |
|
79 |
5% |
90% |
|
80 |
2% |
85% |
Last Result |
81 |
9% |
82% |
|
82 |
10% |
73% |
Median |
83 |
20% |
63% |
|
84 |
7% |
43% |
|
85 |
6% |
36% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
30% |
|
87 |
6% |
26% |
|
88 |
6% |
21% |
|
89 |
5% |
14% |
|
90 |
2% |
10% |
|
91 |
4% |
8% |
|
92 |
2% |
4% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
73 |
2% |
97% |
|
74 |
5% |
95% |
|
75 |
2% |
90% |
|
76 |
5% |
88% |
|
77 |
3% |
83% |
|
78 |
11% |
80% |
|
79 |
12% |
69% |
|
80 |
16% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
81 |
7% |
41% |
|
82 |
7% |
34% |
|
83 |
5% |
27% |
|
84 |
3% |
22% |
|
85 |
4% |
19% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
15% |
|
87 |
2% |
9% |
|
88 |
3% |
7% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
69 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
70 |
3% |
97% |
|
71 |
2% |
94% |
|
72 |
2% |
92% |
|
73 |
4% |
90% |
|
74 |
7% |
87% |
|
75 |
5% |
80% |
|
76 |
6% |
75% |
|
77 |
5% |
69% |
|
78 |
10% |
64% |
|
79 |
19% |
54% |
|
80 |
10% |
35% |
|
81 |
3% |
25% |
Median |
82 |
5% |
22% |
|
83 |
5% |
17% |
|
84 |
4% |
12% |
|
85 |
2% |
8% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
6% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
3% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
95% |
|
71 |
5% |
93% |
|
72 |
2% |
88% |
|
73 |
6% |
85% |
|
74 |
16% |
79% |
|
75 |
6% |
63% |
|
76 |
4% |
57% |
|
77 |
15% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
9% |
38% |
|
79 |
7% |
29% |
|
80 |
7% |
22% |
|
81 |
4% |
15% |
|
82 |
2% |
11% |
|
83 |
2% |
9% |
|
84 |
2% |
7% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
3% |
97% |
|
67 |
2% |
95% |
|
68 |
2% |
93% |
|
69 |
5% |
91% |
|
70 |
8% |
86% |
|
71 |
10% |
79% |
|
72 |
8% |
69% |
Median |
73 |
21% |
61% |
|
74 |
6% |
40% |
|
75 |
6% |
34% |
|
76 |
7% |
28% |
|
77 |
4% |
21% |
|
78 |
6% |
17% |
|
79 |
4% |
11% |
Last Result |
80 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
4% |
98% |
|
64 |
2% |
94% |
|
65 |
5% |
92% |
|
66 |
7% |
87% |
|
67 |
13% |
79% |
|
68 |
7% |
66% |
|
69 |
7% |
60% |
Median |
70 |
18% |
53% |
|
71 |
7% |
34% |
|
72 |
8% |
27% |
|
73 |
6% |
19% |
|
74 |
4% |
13% |
|
75 |
2% |
9% |
|
76 |
2% |
7% |
Last Result |
77 |
3% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
1.5% |
98.6% |
|
62 |
2% |
97% |
|
63 |
2% |
96% |
|
64 |
2% |
94% |
|
65 |
5% |
92% |
|
66 |
4% |
86% |
|
67 |
6% |
83% |
|
68 |
8% |
76% |
|
69 |
8% |
68% |
|
70 |
17% |
60% |
|
71 |
7% |
43% |
|
72 |
11% |
35% |
Median |
73 |
4% |
24% |
|
74 |
5% |
20% |
|
75 |
4% |
14% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
77 |
3% |
9% |
|
78 |
4% |
6% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
3% |
96% |
|
59 |
4% |
94% |
|
60 |
5% |
89% |
|
61 |
3% |
85% |
|
62 |
7% |
81% |
|
63 |
10% |
75% |
|
64 |
17% |
65% |
|
65 |
13% |
48% |
Median |
66 |
10% |
35% |
|
67 |
8% |
24% |
|
68 |
4% |
17% |
|
69 |
2% |
13% |
|
70 |
3% |
10% |
|
71 |
6% |
7% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
73 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
4% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
94% |
|
57 |
4% |
92% |
|
58 |
8% |
88% |
|
59 |
14% |
80% |
|
60 |
9% |
66% |
Median |
61 |
18% |
56% |
|
62 |
4% |
39% |
|
63 |
11% |
35% |
|
64 |
5% |
24% |
|
65 |
5% |
19% |
|
66 |
4% |
14% |
|
67 |
2% |
10% |
|
68 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
69 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
70 |
2% |
4% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
98.7% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
49 |
3% |
97% |
|
50 |
2% |
93% |
|
51 |
5% |
92% |
|
52 |
5% |
87% |
|
53 |
6% |
82% |
|
54 |
7% |
76% |
|
55 |
11% |
69% |
|
56 |
9% |
58% |
|
57 |
10% |
48% |
|
58 |
17% |
39% |
|
59 |
4% |
22% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
18% |
|
61 |
3% |
11% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
8% |
|
63 |
3% |
5% |
|
64 |
2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
2% |
98% |
|
39 |
3% |
96% |
|
40 |
7% |
93% |
|
41 |
6% |
87% |
|
42 |
9% |
81% |
|
43 |
10% |
72% |
|
44 |
8% |
62% |
Median |
45 |
24% |
54% |
|
46 |
11% |
30% |
|
47 |
4% |
19% |
|
48 |
3% |
15% |
|
49 |
2% |
12% |
|
50 |
4% |
10% |
|
51 |
4% |
6% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
36 |
2% |
98% |
|
37 |
2% |
96% |
|
38 |
6% |
94% |
|
39 |
8% |
89% |
|
40 |
4% |
81% |
|
41 |
13% |
77% |
|
42 |
11% |
64% |
|
43 |
17% |
53% |
|
44 |
7% |
36% |
Median |
45 |
4% |
29% |
|
46 |
7% |
25% |
|
47 |
3% |
18% |
|
48 |
7% |
15% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
8% |
|
50 |
3% |
6% |
|
51 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 28 September–2 October 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 713
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.35%