Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 3–4 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 24.7% | 23.0–26.5% | 22.5–27.0% | 22.1–27.5% | 21.3–28.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 23.4% | 21.7–25.2% | 21.3–25.7% | 20.9–26.1% | 20.1–27.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 17.7% | 16.2–19.3% | 15.8–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.8–21.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 40–51 | 37–52 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 38–48 | 36–50 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 33 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 28–37 | 27–39 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 21 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–27 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 12 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 |
| Rødt | 1 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 3 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–7 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 6% | 95% | |
| 42 | 8% | 89% | |
| 43 | 13% | 80% | |
| 44 | 10% | 68% | |
| 45 | 15% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 46 | 16% | 43% | |
| 47 | 8% | 27% | |
| 48 | 8% | 19% | |
| 49 | 4% | 11% | |
| 50 | 3% | 7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 4% | |
| 52 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 38 | 3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 94% | |
| 40 | 11% | 90% | |
| 41 | 13% | 79% | |
| 42 | 15% | 67% | |
| 43 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 44 | 15% | 36% | |
| 45 | 11% | 21% | |
| 46 | 3% | 11% | |
| 47 | 3% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 6% | 95% | |
| 30 | 7% | 89% | |
| 31 | 10% | 82% | |
| 32 | 12% | 73% | |
| 33 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 34 | 25% | 46% | |
| 35 | 10% | 21% | |
| 36 | 6% | 11% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 4% | 98% | |
| 18 | 10% | 94% | |
| 19 | 16% | 84% | |
| 20 | 15% | 68% | |
| 21 | 19% | 53% | Median |
| 22 | 16% | 34% | |
| 23 | 7% | 18% | |
| 24 | 7% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 12% | 98% | |
| 11 | 21% | 86% | Last Result |
| 12 | 25% | 66% | Median |
| 13 | 23% | 41% | |
| 14 | 11% | 18% | |
| 15 | 4% | 7% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 33% | 99.2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 66% | |
| 4 | 0% | 66% | |
| 5 | 0% | 66% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 66% | |
| 7 | 11% | 66% | |
| 8 | 29% | 55% | Median |
| 9 | 17% | 26% | |
| 10 | 9% | 10% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 34% | 97% | |
| 3 | 13% | 62% | Median |
| 4 | 0.7% | 50% | |
| 5 | 0% | 49% | |
| 6 | 0% | 49% | |
| 7 | 8% | 49% | |
| 8 | 28% | 41% | |
| 9 | 11% | 13% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 30% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 34% | 69% | Median |
| 3 | 19% | 35% | |
| 4 | 0% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0% | 16% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 7 | 5% | 15% | |
| 8 | 9% | 11% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 34% | 93% | |
| 2 | 58% | 59% | Median |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 103 | 100% | 98–107 | 97–109 | 96–111 | 94–113 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 99 | 100% | 94–104 | 93–105 | 91–106 | 88–108 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 95 | 100% | 90–102 | 89–104 | 88–105 | 87–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 94 | 99.0% | 89–99 | 88–99 | 86–100 | 83–103 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 92 | 99.3% | 88–98 | 86–100 | 85–100 | 84–103 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 87 | 77% | 83–92 | 82–95 | 81–96 | 79–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 83 | 38% | 78–89 | 76–92 | 75–93 | 74–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 78 | 10% | 73–84 | 72–86 | 71–87 | 70–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 75 | 0.8% | 71–80 | 70–82 | 69–83 | 67–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 75 | 1.0% | 70–80 | 69–81 | 69–83 | 66–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–76 | 63–78 | 61–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–73 | 60–75 | 58–77 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 66 | 0% | 60–70 | 59–72 | 58–74 | 56–75 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 54 | 0% | 51–59 | 50–60 | 50–61 | 48–63 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 45–55 | 44–56 | 42–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 37 | 0% | 33–42 | 32–44 | 32–45 | 30–46 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 96 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 97 | 2% | 97% | |
| 98 | 5% | 95% | |
| 99 | 8% | 89% | |
| 100 | 10% | 82% | |
| 101 | 9% | 72% | |
| 102 | 7% | 62% | |
| 103 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 104 | 17% | 46% | |
| 105 | 9% | 29% | |
| 106 | 4% | 20% | |
| 107 | 6% | 16% | Last Result |
| 108 | 3% | 10% | |
| 109 | 2% | 7% | |
| 110 | 2% | 5% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 113 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 4% | 95% | |
| 94 | 5% | 91% | |
| 95 | 4% | 87% | |
| 96 | 4% | 83% | |
| 97 | 4% | 78% | |
| 98 | 13% | 74% | |
| 99 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 100 | 20% | 47% | |
| 101 | 7% | 28% | |
| 102 | 7% | 21% | |
| 103 | 2% | 13% | |
| 104 | 4% | 12% | |
| 105 | 4% | 8% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 3% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 89 | 3% | 96% | |
| 90 | 5% | 93% | |
| 91 | 10% | 89% | |
| 92 | 7% | 79% | |
| 93 | 10% | 72% | Median |
| 94 | 9% | 62% | |
| 95 | 5% | 53% | |
| 96 | 7% | 48% | |
| 97 | 5% | 40% | |
| 98 | 8% | 35% | |
| 99 | 8% | 27% | |
| 100 | 4% | 19% | |
| 101 | 5% | 15% | |
| 102 | 3% | 10% | |
| 103 | 2% | 7% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 105 | 3% | 4% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 2% | 96% | |
| 89 | 4% | 93% | |
| 90 | 6% | 90% | |
| 91 | 6% | 83% | |
| 92 | 17% | 77% | |
| 93 | 8% | 60% | |
| 94 | 8% | 52% | |
| 95 | 5% | 44% | |
| 96 | 17% | 39% | Median |
| 97 | 5% | 22% | |
| 98 | 7% | 17% | |
| 99 | 5% | 10% | |
| 100 | 3% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 3% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 3% | 94% | |
| 88 | 6% | 91% | |
| 89 | 7% | 85% | |
| 90 | 7% | 78% | |
| 91 | 13% | 71% | Median |
| 92 | 12% | 58% | |
| 93 | 6% | 46% | |
| 94 | 6% | 40% | |
| 95 | 7% | 35% | |
| 96 | 8% | 28% | |
| 97 | 6% | 20% | |
| 98 | 6% | 15% | |
| 99 | 3% | 8% | |
| 100 | 3% | 5% | |
| 101 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 1.5% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 82 | 3% | 97% | |
| 83 | 8% | 94% | |
| 84 | 10% | 87% | |
| 85 | 6% | 77% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 70% | |
| 87 | 14% | 63% | |
| 88 | 14% | 49% | Median |
| 89 | 6% | 36% | |
| 90 | 8% | 29% | |
| 91 | 7% | 21% | |
| 92 | 6% | 15% | |
| 93 | 2% | 9% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 95 | 0.9% | 5% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 78 | 6% | 91% | |
| 79 | 5% | 86% | |
| 80 | 9% | 81% | |
| 81 | 8% | 71% | Median |
| 82 | 13% | 64% | |
| 83 | 7% | 51% | |
| 84 | 5% | 44% | |
| 85 | 5% | 38% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 33% | |
| 87 | 8% | 28% | |
| 88 | 7% | 19% | |
| 89 | 3% | 13% | |
| 90 | 3% | 10% | |
| 91 | 2% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 9% | 94% | |
| 74 | 7% | 85% | |
| 75 | 6% | 78% | |
| 76 | 6% | 72% | Last Result |
| 77 | 7% | 65% | |
| 78 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 47% | |
| 80 | 8% | 33% | |
| 81 | 6% | 26% | |
| 82 | 3% | 20% | |
| 83 | 5% | 16% | |
| 84 | 2% | 12% | |
| 85 | 2% | 10% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 7% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 69 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 70 | 6% | 96% | |
| 71 | 5% | 90% | |
| 72 | 9% | 85% | |
| 73 | 6% | 75% | |
| 74 | 7% | 70% | |
| 75 | 12% | 62% | |
| 76 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 77 | 8% | 40% | |
| 78 | 13% | 31% | |
| 79 | 8% | 18% | |
| 80 | 3% | 11% | |
| 81 | 3% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 5% | 95% | |
| 71 | 7% | 90% | |
| 72 | 5% | 83% | |
| 73 | 17% | 78% | Median |
| 74 | 5% | 61% | |
| 75 | 8% | 56% | |
| 76 | 8% | 48% | |
| 77 | 17% | 39% | |
| 78 | 6% | 23% | |
| 79 | 6% | 17% | |
| 80 | 4% | 10% | |
| 81 | 2% | 7% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 4% | 92% | |
| 66 | 2% | 88% | |
| 67 | 7% | 86% | |
| 68 | 7% | 79% | |
| 69 | 20% | 72% | |
| 70 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 39% | |
| 72 | 4% | 26% | |
| 73 | 4% | 21% | |
| 74 | 4% | 17% | |
| 75 | 5% | 13% | |
| 76 | 4% | 9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 6% | 94% | |
| 63 | 5% | 88% | |
| 64 | 7% | 83% | |
| 65 | 5% | 76% | |
| 66 | 9% | 71% | |
| 67 | 13% | 62% | |
| 68 | 15% | 49% | Median |
| 69 | 11% | 34% | |
| 70 | 6% | 23% | |
| 71 | 5% | 17% | |
| 72 | 5% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 5% | 95% | |
| 61 | 6% | 90% | |
| 62 | 6% | 84% | |
| 63 | 5% | 78% | |
| 64 | 7% | 73% | |
| 65 | 8% | 66% | |
| 66 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 67 | 9% | 40% | |
| 68 | 12% | 31% | |
| 69 | 5% | 19% | |
| 70 | 5% | 14% | |
| 71 | 4% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 5% | 98% | |
| 51 | 5% | 93% | |
| 52 | 6% | 89% | |
| 53 | 17% | 82% | |
| 54 | 18% | 66% | |
| 55 | 11% | 47% | Median |
| 56 | 9% | 36% | |
| 57 | 10% | 27% | |
| 58 | 7% | 18% | |
| 59 | 3% | 10% | |
| 60 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 44 | 3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 7% | 95% | |
| 46 | 5% | 88% | |
| 47 | 9% | 83% | |
| 48 | 19% | 74% | |
| 49 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 50 | 15% | 46% | |
| 51 | 7% | 31% | |
| 52 | 8% | 23% | |
| 53 | 6% | 16% | |
| 54 | 2% | 10% | |
| 55 | 4% | 7% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 32 | 5% | 98% | |
| 33 | 5% | 92% | |
| 34 | 9% | 87% | |
| 35 | 7% | 78% | Last Result |
| 36 | 13% | 71% | |
| 37 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 38 | 18% | 44% | |
| 39 | 7% | 27% | |
| 40 | 5% | 20% | |
| 41 | 4% | 15% | |
| 42 | 2% | 11% | |
| 43 | 3% | 9% | |
| 44 | 2% | 5% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 3–4 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.40%