Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 24–30 November 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
22.1% |
20.3–24.1% |
19.8–24.6% |
19.3–25.1% |
18.5–26.1% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
20.3% |
18.6–22.3% |
18.1–22.8% |
17.7–23.3% |
16.9–24.2% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.2% |
18.5–22.1% |
18.0–22.7% |
17.6–23.1% |
16.8–24.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
8.8% |
7.6–10.2% |
7.3–10.6% |
7.0–11.0% |
6.5–11.7% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.0% |
6.9–9.4% |
6.6–9.8% |
6.3–10.1% |
5.8–10.8% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.4% |
5.4–7.7% |
5.1–8.0% |
4.9–8.3% |
4.5–9.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.9–5.6% |
2.5–6.2% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.3% |
2.9–5.6% |
2.5–6.2% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.3% |
2.6–4.2% |
2.4–4.5% |
2.2–4.7% |
2.0–5.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
37 |
8% |
96% |
|
38 |
6% |
88% |
|
39 |
10% |
82% |
|
40 |
12% |
72% |
|
41 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
42 |
11% |
47% |
|
43 |
13% |
36% |
|
44 |
12% |
23% |
|
45 |
8% |
11% |
|
46 |
2% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
2% |
98% |
|
32 |
3% |
96% |
|
33 |
4% |
93% |
|
34 |
3% |
89% |
|
35 |
15% |
85% |
|
36 |
12% |
71% |
|
37 |
12% |
59% |
Median |
38 |
8% |
47% |
|
39 |
12% |
39% |
|
40 |
11% |
27% |
|
41 |
8% |
15% |
|
42 |
3% |
8% |
|
43 |
4% |
5% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
31 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
32 |
4% |
97% |
|
33 |
7% |
93% |
|
34 |
14% |
86% |
|
35 |
21% |
72% |
|
36 |
17% |
51% |
Median |
37 |
10% |
34% |
|
38 |
10% |
24% |
|
39 |
4% |
14% |
|
40 |
3% |
10% |
|
41 |
3% |
7% |
|
42 |
2% |
3% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
12 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
13 |
10% |
95% |
|
14 |
13% |
85% |
|
15 |
15% |
71% |
|
16 |
23% |
57% |
Median |
17 |
18% |
33% |
|
18 |
8% |
16% |
|
19 |
5% |
8% |
|
20 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
4% |
98% |
Last Result |
12 |
15% |
94% |
|
13 |
19% |
79% |
|
14 |
24% |
60% |
Median |
15 |
12% |
36% |
|
16 |
10% |
24% |
|
17 |
8% |
14% |
|
18 |
5% |
6% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
13% |
96% |
|
10 |
19% |
83% |
|
11 |
25% |
64% |
Median |
12 |
17% |
39% |
|
13 |
12% |
22% |
|
14 |
5% |
10% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
33% |
95% |
|
3 |
11% |
63% |
|
4 |
0.2% |
51% |
|
5 |
0% |
51% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
51% |
|
7 |
14% |
51% |
Median |
8 |
26% |
37% |
|
9 |
8% |
11% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
39% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
6% |
60% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
55% |
|
5 |
0% |
55% |
|
6 |
2% |
55% |
|
7 |
21% |
53% |
Median |
8 |
22% |
32% |
Last Result |
9 |
7% |
10% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
33% |
98% |
|
2 |
11% |
65% |
|
3 |
37% |
54% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
17% |
|
5 |
0% |
17% |
|
6 |
1.2% |
17% |
|
7 |
11% |
16% |
|
8 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
109 |
100% |
104–113 |
103–114 |
102–116 |
100–118 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
104 |
100% |
99–109 |
98–110 |
97–111 |
95–113 |
Senterpartiet – Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
101 |
100% |
96–106 |
94–108 |
93–109 |
90–111 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
101 |
100% |
96–105 |
94–106 |
93–107 |
90–110 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
98 |
100% |
93–102 |
92–103 |
90–104 |
88–107 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
92 |
99.5% |
88–97 |
88–98 |
87–100 |
85–101 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
87 |
70% |
81–92 |
80–93 |
79–94 |
76–96 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
81 |
20% |
77–86 |
76–87 |
75–88 |
73–91 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet |
68 |
78 |
3% |
75–82 |
74–84 |
73–85 |
71–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
65 |
0% |
60–69 |
58–71 |
57–72 |
55–74 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
60 |
0% |
55–64 |
54–65 |
53–67 |
50–69 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
57 |
0% |
52–61 |
51–63 |
50–64 |
48–66 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
51 |
0% |
48–56 |
47–58 |
46–59 |
43–61 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
52 |
0% |
47–56 |
45–57 |
44–59 |
43–61 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
50 |
0% |
44–55 |
42–56 |
41–58 |
39–60 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
44 |
0% |
39–49 |
38–50 |
37–51 |
35–53 |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0% |
100% |
|
95 |
0% |
100% |
|
96 |
0% |
100% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
99 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
101 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
102 |
2% |
98% |
|
103 |
2% |
96% |
|
104 |
4% |
94% |
|
105 |
4% |
90% |
|
106 |
7% |
86% |
|
107 |
10% |
78% |
|
108 |
8% |
68% |
|
109 |
20% |
60% |
|
110 |
10% |
40% |
Median |
111 |
10% |
30% |
|
112 |
5% |
20% |
|
113 |
7% |
15% |
|
114 |
5% |
9% |
|
115 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
116 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
117 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
118 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
119 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
120 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
121 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
96 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
97 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
98 |
3% |
97% |
|
99 |
4% |
93% |
|
100 |
5% |
89% |
|
101 |
16% |
84% |
|
102 |
10% |
68% |
|
103 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
104 |
13% |
52% |
|
105 |
6% |
38% |
|
106 |
7% |
33% |
|
107 |
8% |
25% |
|
108 |
5% |
17% |
|
109 |
5% |
12% |
|
110 |
2% |
7% |
|
111 |
3% |
5% |
|
112 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
89 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
94 |
2% |
97% |
|
95 |
4% |
95% |
|
96 |
5% |
91% |
|
97 |
5% |
86% |
|
98 |
6% |
81% |
|
99 |
9% |
75% |
|
100 |
12% |
67% |
|
101 |
15% |
55% |
|
102 |
6% |
40% |
|
103 |
11% |
34% |
Median |
104 |
7% |
22% |
|
105 |
2% |
15% |
|
106 |
5% |
13% |
|
107 |
2% |
7% |
Last Result |
108 |
2% |
5% |
|
109 |
2% |
3% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
112 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
93 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
3% |
94% |
|
96 |
6% |
92% |
|
97 |
4% |
86% |
|
98 |
9% |
82% |
|
99 |
12% |
73% |
|
100 |
5% |
61% |
|
101 |
12% |
57% |
|
102 |
13% |
45% |
Median |
103 |
11% |
32% |
|
104 |
10% |
21% |
|
105 |
4% |
11% |
|
106 |
3% |
7% |
|
107 |
3% |
5% |
|
108 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
90 |
1.2% |
98.5% |
|
91 |
2% |
97% |
|
92 |
3% |
96% |
|
93 |
3% |
92% |
|
94 |
4% |
90% |
|
95 |
11% |
86% |
|
96 |
11% |
75% |
|
97 |
10% |
64% |
|
98 |
12% |
54% |
|
99 |
12% |
43% |
Median |
100 |
12% |
31% |
|
101 |
8% |
19% |
|
102 |
4% |
11% |
|
103 |
4% |
7% |
|
104 |
2% |
4% |
|
105 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
107 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
Majority |
86 |
1.3% |
98.9% |
|
87 |
3% |
98% |
|
88 |
5% |
95% |
|
89 |
5% |
90% |
|
90 |
7% |
85% |
|
91 |
16% |
78% |
|
92 |
15% |
62% |
Median |
93 |
12% |
47% |
|
94 |
9% |
35% |
|
95 |
11% |
27% |
|
96 |
5% |
16% |
|
97 |
3% |
11% |
|
98 |
4% |
8% |
|
99 |
2% |
5% |
|
100 |
2% |
3% |
|
101 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
79 |
2% |
98% |
|
80 |
3% |
96% |
|
81 |
6% |
93% |
|
82 |
2% |
87% |
|
83 |
4% |
85% |
|
84 |
10% |
80% |
|
85 |
5% |
70% |
Majority |
86 |
13% |
65% |
|
87 |
9% |
52% |
|
88 |
16% |
44% |
Median |
89 |
7% |
28% |
|
90 |
6% |
20% |
|
91 |
4% |
14% |
|
92 |
5% |
10% |
|
93 |
2% |
5% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
3% |
96% |
Last Result |
77 |
6% |
93% |
|
78 |
10% |
87% |
|
79 |
7% |
77% |
|
80 |
13% |
70% |
|
81 |
9% |
57% |
Median |
82 |
11% |
48% |
|
83 |
9% |
37% |
|
84 |
8% |
28% |
|
85 |
7% |
20% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
12% |
|
87 |
3% |
6% |
|
88 |
2% |
4% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
2% |
98% |
|
74 |
4% |
96% |
|
75 |
7% |
92% |
|
76 |
6% |
86% |
|
77 |
19% |
80% |
|
78 |
12% |
61% |
Median |
79 |
16% |
49% |
|
80 |
10% |
32% |
|
81 |
7% |
23% |
|
82 |
8% |
15% |
|
83 |
2% |
7% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
58 |
3% |
97% |
|
59 |
3% |
94% |
|
60 |
5% |
91% |
|
61 |
6% |
86% |
|
62 |
8% |
80% |
|
63 |
8% |
72% |
|
64 |
6% |
64% |
|
65 |
14% |
58% |
|
66 |
7% |
44% |
|
67 |
9% |
38% |
|
68 |
15% |
28% |
|
69 |
4% |
13% |
Median |
70 |
4% |
9% |
|
71 |
3% |
5% |
|
72 |
2% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
54 |
2% |
96% |
|
55 |
6% |
95% |
|
56 |
7% |
89% |
|
57 |
6% |
82% |
|
58 |
10% |
76% |
|
59 |
10% |
66% |
|
60 |
20% |
56% |
|
61 |
8% |
36% |
|
62 |
9% |
28% |
Median |
63 |
7% |
19% |
|
64 |
4% |
12% |
|
65 |
4% |
9% |
|
66 |
2% |
5% |
|
67 |
2% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
50 |
2% |
98% |
|
51 |
3% |
96% |
|
52 |
3% |
93% |
|
53 |
5% |
89% |
|
54 |
7% |
84% |
|
55 |
11% |
77% |
|
56 |
9% |
66% |
|
57 |
18% |
57% |
|
58 |
10% |
38% |
|
59 |
9% |
28% |
Median |
60 |
7% |
20% |
|
61 |
5% |
13% |
|
62 |
2% |
8% |
|
63 |
2% |
6% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
46 |
2% |
98% |
|
47 |
5% |
96% |
|
48 |
8% |
92% |
|
49 |
10% |
84% |
|
50 |
14% |
74% |
|
51 |
13% |
60% |
|
52 |
13% |
47% |
Median |
53 |
11% |
34% |
|
54 |
5% |
23% |
|
55 |
7% |
18% |
|
56 |
3% |
11% |
|
57 |
2% |
8% |
|
58 |
2% |
5% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
45 |
3% |
96% |
|
46 |
2% |
94% |
|
47 |
3% |
91% |
|
48 |
5% |
88% |
|
49 |
11% |
83% |
|
50 |
6% |
73% |
|
51 |
15% |
66% |
Median |
52 |
11% |
51% |
|
53 |
18% |
40% |
|
54 |
7% |
22% |
|
55 |
4% |
14% |
|
56 |
3% |
10% |
|
57 |
3% |
8% |
|
58 |
2% |
5% |
|
59 |
2% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
61 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
3% |
98% |
|
42 |
3% |
96% |
|
43 |
3% |
93% |
|
44 |
3% |
91% |
|
45 |
7% |
87% |
|
46 |
6% |
80% |
|
47 |
7% |
74% |
|
48 |
10% |
67% |
|
49 |
6% |
57% |
|
50 |
15% |
52% |
|
51 |
6% |
37% |
Median |
52 |
5% |
30% |
|
53 |
9% |
26% |
|
54 |
5% |
16% |
|
55 |
4% |
11% |
|
56 |
3% |
7% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
1.4% |
98.7% |
|
38 |
4% |
97% |
|
39 |
4% |
93% |
|
40 |
4% |
89% |
|
41 |
10% |
85% |
|
42 |
3% |
75% |
|
43 |
15% |
72% |
|
44 |
17% |
57% |
|
45 |
9% |
40% |
|
46 |
8% |
31% |
Median |
47 |
8% |
24% |
|
48 |
5% |
16% |
|
49 |
3% |
11% |
|
50 |
4% |
8% |
|
51 |
2% |
4% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 24–30 November 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 797
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.72%