Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 1–2 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 23.0% | 21.1–25.0% | 20.6–25.5% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.3–27.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 21.1% | 19.4–23.0% | 18.9–23.6% | 18.4–24.1% | 17.6–25.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 20.1% | 18.4–22.0% | 17.9–22.6% | 17.5–23.0% | 16.7–24.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.0–13.9% | 10.6–14.4% | 10.3–14.8% | 9.6–15.6% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1–8.5% | 5.8–8.8% | 5.6–9.2% | 5.1–9.8% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5–5.4% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.1–6.0% | 2.8–6.5% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.9–5.7% | 2.6–6.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.6–4.7% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.7–3.9% | 1.4–4.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 41 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 35–50 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 39 | 35–42 | 34–44 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 30–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 22 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 19–27 | 17–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 1–12 |
| Rødt | 1 | 7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–8 | 0–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 3% | 95% | |
| 38 | 6% | 92% | |
| 39 | 7% | 86% | |
| 40 | 13% | 79% | |
| 41 | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 42 | 13% | 46% | |
| 43 | 7% | 33% | |
| 44 | 8% | 26% | |
| 45 | 6% | 18% | Last Result |
| 46 | 3% | 11% | |
| 47 | 4% | 8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98% | |
| 34 | 4% | 96% | |
| 35 | 4% | 93% | |
| 36 | 10% | 89% | |
| 37 | 12% | 79% | |
| 38 | 10% | 67% | |
| 39 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 40 | 9% | 38% | |
| 41 | 13% | 30% | |
| 42 | 7% | 17% | |
| 43 | 4% | 10% | |
| 44 | 4% | 6% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 4% | 97% | |
| 34 | 11% | 93% | |
| 35 | 19% | 82% | |
| 36 | 12% | 63% | |
| 37 | 9% | 51% | Median |
| 38 | 12% | 42% | |
| 39 | 4% | 30% | |
| 40 | 5% | 26% | |
| 41 | 11% | 20% | |
| 42 | 5% | 9% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 19 | 6% | 98% | |
| 20 | 13% | 92% | |
| 21 | 15% | 78% | |
| 22 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 23 | 16% | 48% | |
| 24 | 8% | 32% | |
| 25 | 9% | 24% | |
| 26 | 6% | 15% | |
| 27 | 7% | 9% | Last Result |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 11% | 94% | Last Result |
| 12 | 22% | 82% | |
| 13 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 14 | 19% | 43% | |
| 15 | 11% | 24% | |
| 16 | 9% | 13% | |
| 17 | 3% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 16% | 98% | |
| 3 | 10% | 82% | |
| 4 | 5% | 72% | |
| 5 | 0% | 67% | |
| 6 | 0% | 67% | |
| 7 | 6% | 67% | |
| 8 | 29% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 19% | 32% | |
| 10 | 9% | 13% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 41% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0% | 57% | |
| 4 | 0% | 57% | |
| 5 | 0% | 57% | |
| 6 | 0% | 57% | |
| 7 | 7% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 30% | 49% | |
| 9 | 13% | 20% | |
| 10 | 5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 14% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 79% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 5% | |
| 7 | 2% | 5% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19% | 100% | |
| 1 | 61% | 81% | Median |
| 2 | 15% | 20% | |
| 3 | 3% | 5% | |
| 4 | 0% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 105 | 100% | 99–110 | 98–112 | 97–114 | 95–116 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 102 | 100% | 96–106 | 95–107 | 94–108 | 92–111 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 97 | 99.9% | 92–102 | 91–103 | 89–104 | 87–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 96 | 99.7% | 91–101 | 90–102 | 88–103 | 85–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 95 | 99.6% | 89–100 | 88–101 | 87–102 | 85–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 89 | 91% | 85–94 | 83–96 | 82–97 | 80–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 84 | 45% | 78–88 | 77–90 | 76–91 | 73–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 77 | 3% | 73–82 | 71–83 | 70–85 | 69–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 76 | 0.8% | 72–80 | 70–82 | 69–83 | 67–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 74 | 0.3% | 69–80 | 68–81 | 67–82 | 65–84 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 67 | 0% | 63–73 | 62–74 | 61–75 | 58–77 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 66 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 57–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 64 | 0% | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–72 | 55–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 52 | 0% | 48–56 | 46–58 | 46–58 | 43–60 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 44 | 0% | 41–50 | 40–51 | 39–52 | 38–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 40 | 0% | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 33–50 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 97 | 2% | 98% | |
| 98 | 5% | 97% | |
| 99 | 6% | 92% | |
| 100 | 3% | 85% | |
| 101 | 7% | 82% | |
| 102 | 10% | 75% | |
| 103 | 5% | 66% | Median |
| 104 | 6% | 61% | |
| 105 | 11% | 55% | |
| 106 | 12% | 44% | |
| 107 | 8% | 32% | Last Result |
| 108 | 6% | 24% | |
| 109 | 5% | 18% | |
| 110 | 4% | 14% | |
| 111 | 2% | 10% | |
| 112 | 3% | 7% | |
| 113 | 2% | 5% | |
| 114 | 2% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 116 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 3% | 96% | |
| 96 | 5% | 93% | |
| 97 | 4% | 88% | |
| 98 | 11% | 84% | |
| 99 | 5% | 73% | |
| 100 | 7% | 68% | |
| 101 | 8% | 61% | |
| 102 | 9% | 52% | |
| 103 | 9% | 44% | |
| 104 | 10% | 35% | Median |
| 105 | 11% | 25% | |
| 106 | 7% | 14% | |
| 107 | 4% | 6% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 89 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 91 | 5% | 96% | |
| 92 | 8% | 91% | |
| 93 | 3% | 83% | |
| 94 | 5% | 80% | |
| 95 | 8% | 76% | |
| 96 | 10% | 68% | |
| 97 | 11% | 58% | |
| 98 | 13% | 47% | Median |
| 99 | 10% | 34% | |
| 100 | 8% | 24% | |
| 101 | 4% | 16% | |
| 102 | 5% | 12% | |
| 103 | 3% | 7% | |
| 104 | 2% | 4% | |
| 105 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 106 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 108 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 90 | 5% | 96% | |
| 91 | 5% | 91% | |
| 92 | 6% | 85% | |
| 93 | 5% | 80% | |
| 94 | 8% | 74% | |
| 95 | 8% | 66% | |
| 96 | 15% | 58% | |
| 97 | 10% | 43% | Median |
| 98 | 10% | 33% | |
| 99 | 6% | 23% | |
| 100 | 5% | 16% | |
| 101 | 5% | 11% | |
| 102 | 3% | 6% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 3% | 96% | |
| 89 | 6% | 93% | |
| 90 | 3% | 88% | |
| 91 | 6% | 84% | |
| 92 | 7% | 78% | |
| 93 | 6% | 72% | |
| 94 | 12% | 66% | |
| 95 | 8% | 54% | |
| 96 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 97 | 11% | 36% | |
| 98 | 9% | 25% | |
| 99 | 6% | 16% | |
| 100 | 3% | 10% | |
| 101 | 3% | 7% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 95% | |
| 85 | 5% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 86% | |
| 87 | 10% | 76% | |
| 88 | 10% | 66% | |
| 89 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 90 | 11% | 43% | |
| 91 | 6% | 31% | |
| 92 | 7% | 25% | |
| 93 | 5% | 19% | |
| 94 | 6% | 13% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 6% | |
| 97 | 3% | 4% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 100 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | |
| 77 | 6% | 96% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 90% | |
| 79 | 3% | 87% | |
| 80 | 4% | 83% | |
| 81 | 7% | 79% | |
| 82 | 7% | 72% | |
| 83 | 9% | 66% | |
| 84 | 13% | 57% | |
| 85 | 6% | 45% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 39% | |
| 87 | 13% | 29% | |
| 88 | 8% | 16% | |
| 89 | 3% | 8% | |
| 90 | 2% | 5% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 92 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 93% | |
| 73 | 9% | 91% | |
| 74 | 6% | 82% | |
| 75 | 12% | 76% | |
| 76 | 7% | 64% | Last Result |
| 77 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 78 | 7% | 46% | |
| 79 | 14% | 39% | |
| 80 | 8% | 24% | |
| 81 | 4% | 16% | |
| 82 | 4% | 12% | |
| 83 | 4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 69 | 1.4% | 98.7% | |
| 70 | 4% | 97% | |
| 71 | 3% | 94% | |
| 72 | 6% | 90% | |
| 73 | 9% | 84% | |
| 74 | 11% | 75% | |
| 75 | 8% | 63% | |
| 76 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 77 | 8% | 45% | |
| 78 | 13% | 36% | |
| 79 | 8% | 23% | |
| 80 | 6% | 15% | |
| 81 | 2% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 7% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 6% | 89% | |
| 71 | 9% | 83% | |
| 72 | 11% | 74% | |
| 73 | 10% | 63% | |
| 74 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 75 | 12% | 45% | |
| 76 | 6% | 33% | |
| 77 | 7% | 28% | |
| 78 | 6% | 21% | |
| 79 | 3% | 15% | |
| 80 | 6% | 12% | |
| 81 | 3% | 6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 98.5% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 7% | 93% | |
| 64 | 12% | 86% | |
| 65 | 10% | 74% | |
| 66 | 9% | 64% | Median |
| 67 | 9% | 56% | |
| 68 | 8% | 47% | |
| 69 | 7% | 38% | |
| 70 | 5% | 32% | |
| 71 | 11% | 26% | |
| 72 | 4% | 16% | |
| 73 | 5% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 61 | 5% | 96% | |
| 62 | 7% | 92% | |
| 63 | 13% | 84% | |
| 64 | 7% | 71% | |
| 65 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 53% | |
| 67 | 7% | 47% | |
| 68 | 9% | 40% | |
| 69 | 5% | 30% | |
| 70 | 11% | 25% | |
| 71 | 3% | 15% | |
| 72 | 6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 3% | 6% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 5% | 96% | |
| 60 | 4% | 91% | |
| 61 | 17% | 87% | |
| 62 | 8% | 70% | |
| 63 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 64 | 6% | 51% | |
| 65 | 8% | 46% | |
| 66 | 8% | 38% | |
| 67 | 5% | 31% | |
| 68 | 12% | 25% | |
| 69 | 3% | 14% | |
| 70 | 5% | 11% | |
| 71 | 3% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 95% | |
| 48 | 7% | 91% | |
| 49 | 5% | 84% | |
| 50 | 10% | 78% | |
| 51 | 12% | 68% | |
| 52 | 14% | 57% | Median |
| 53 | 10% | 43% | |
| 54 | 6% | 33% | |
| 55 | 13% | 26% | |
| 56 | 6% | 14% | |
| 57 | 3% | 8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 5% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 95% | |
| 41 | 5% | 93% | |
| 42 | 11% | 88% | |
| 43 | 8% | 77% | |
| 44 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 45 | 14% | 50% | |
| 46 | 8% | 35% | |
| 47 | 6% | 27% | |
| 48 | 6% | 21% | |
| 49 | 5% | 15% | |
| 50 | 4% | 10% | |
| 51 | 3% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 36 | 6% | 96% | |
| 37 | 9% | 90% | |
| 38 | 15% | 81% | |
| 39 | 13% | 66% | |
| 40 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 41 | 10% | 44% | |
| 42 | 4% | 33% | |
| 43 | 4% | 29% | |
| 44 | 12% | 25% | |
| 45 | 6% | 13% | |
| 46 | 3% | 7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 1–2 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 810
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.67%