Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 5–6 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 24.3% | 22.4–26.4% | 21.9–27.0% | 21.4–27.5% | 20.6–28.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 22.7% | 20.8–24.7% | 20.3–25.2% | 19.9–25.7% | 19.0–26.7% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 17.5% | 15.9–19.4% | 15.4–19.9% | 15.0–20.4% | 14.3–21.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.1% | 9.8–12.7% | 9.4–13.2% | 9.1–13.5% | 8.5–14.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1–9.6% | 6.7–10.0% | 6.5–10.3% | 6.0–11.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.6% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.2–6.2% | 2.9–6.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.1–4.5% | 1.8–5.0% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.6% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.8–4.1% | 1.5–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 44 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–51 | 36–52 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 43 | 39–46 | 37–46 | 36–48 | 34–50 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 32 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 27–38 | 26–40 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 21 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 15–27 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 8 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–11 | 1–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 0–10 |
| Rødt | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–8 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 39 | 3% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 94% | |
| 41 | 8% | 89% | |
| 42 | 13% | 81% | |
| 43 | 10% | 68% | |
| 44 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 45 | 15% | 50% | Last Result |
| 46 | 9% | 35% | |
| 47 | 7% | 26% | |
| 48 | 7% | 19% | |
| 49 | 7% | 12% | |
| 50 | 2% | 5% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 2% | 97% | |
| 38 | 4% | 95% | |
| 39 | 6% | 91% | |
| 40 | 13% | 85% | |
| 41 | 10% | 72% | |
| 42 | 6% | 61% | |
| 43 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 44 | 22% | 47% | |
| 45 | 11% | 25% | |
| 46 | 9% | 13% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 6% | 97% | |
| 29 | 6% | 91% | |
| 30 | 13% | 85% | |
| 31 | 12% | 72% | |
| 32 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 33 | 15% | 48% | |
| 34 | 12% | 33% | |
| 35 | 10% | 21% | |
| 36 | 5% | 10% | |
| 37 | 2% | 6% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 5% | 97% | |
| 18 | 10% | 92% | |
| 19 | 13% | 82% | |
| 20 | 18% | 68% | |
| 21 | 20% | 50% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 31% | |
| 23 | 12% | 20% | |
| 24 | 4% | 9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 12 | 6% | 98% | |
| 13 | 14% | 92% | |
| 14 | 22% | 78% | |
| 15 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 14% | 38% | |
| 17 | 16% | 24% | |
| 18 | 4% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 12% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 8% | 87% | |
| 4 | 5% | 79% | |
| 5 | 0% | 74% | |
| 6 | 0% | 74% | |
| 7 | 5% | 74% | |
| 8 | 29% | 69% | Median |
| 9 | 21% | 40% | |
| 10 | 13% | 18% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 35% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 39% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 21% | |
| 5 | 0% | 21% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 21% | |
| 7 | 5% | 21% | |
| 8 | 12% | 16% | Last Result |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 65% | 73% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 3% | 8% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 21% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 70% | 78% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 3% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 112 | 100% | 108–117 | 106–118 | 105–120 | 102–121 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 100 | 100% | 95–104 | 93–106 | 92–107 | 89–109 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 99 | 100% | 94–104 | 93–105 | 91–107 | 88–108 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 97 | 99.9% | 92–102 | 91–103 | 89–104 | 86–106 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 92 | 97% | 87–97 | 85–98 | 84–99 | 81–101 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 90 | 92% | 85–94 | 83–96 | 82–97 | 79–99 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 85 | 59% | 79–89 | 78–91 | 76–92 | 74–94 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 77 | 3% | 72–82 | 71–83 | 70–85 | 68–87 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 78 | 2% | 73–82 | 71–83 | 70–84 | 68–88 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet | 68 | 75 | 0.1% | 70–80 | 68–80 | 67–81 | 65–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 70 | 0% | 65–75 | 64–76 | 62–78 | 61–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 67 | 0% | 62–72 | 61–73 | 59–75 | 57–77 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 65 | 0% | 60–70 | 58–72 | 57–72 | 55–75 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 49 | 0% | 44–55 | 44–55 | 43–57 | 41–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 47 | 0% | 42–53 | 42–54 | 41–55 | 39–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 47 | 0% | 43–51 | 42–52 | 41–53 | 39–55 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 99.0% | |
| 104 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 98% | |
| 106 | 2% | 96% | |
| 107 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 108 | 8% | 92% | |
| 109 | 6% | 84% | |
| 110 | 10% | 77% | |
| 111 | 11% | 67% | |
| 112 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 113 | 6% | 48% | |
| 114 | 10% | 42% | |
| 115 | 11% | 32% | |
| 116 | 8% | 21% | |
| 117 | 5% | 13% | |
| 118 | 3% | 8% | |
| 119 | 2% | 5% | |
| 120 | 2% | 3% | |
| 121 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 122 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 123 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 124 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 125 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 93 | 3% | 97% | |
| 94 | 2% | 94% | |
| 95 | 6% | 92% | |
| 96 | 3% | 86% | |
| 97 | 10% | 83% | |
| 98 | 8% | 73% | |
| 99 | 8% | 65% | |
| 100 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 101 | 11% | 48% | |
| 102 | 10% | 36% | |
| 103 | 11% | 26% | |
| 104 | 6% | 15% | |
| 105 | 4% | 9% | |
| 106 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 95% | |
| 94 | 3% | 92% | |
| 95 | 7% | 89% | |
| 96 | 7% | 82% | |
| 97 | 9% | 75% | |
| 98 | 14% | 66% | |
| 99 | 5% | 52% | |
| 100 | 9% | 47% | Median |
| 101 | 8% | 38% | |
| 102 | 11% | 30% | |
| 103 | 5% | 19% | |
| 104 | 6% | 14% | |
| 105 | 4% | 9% | |
| 106 | 2% | 4% | |
| 107 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 91 | 3% | 95% | |
| 92 | 4% | 92% | |
| 93 | 7% | 88% | |
| 94 | 7% | 81% | |
| 95 | 8% | 74% | |
| 96 | 13% | 65% | |
| 97 | 7% | 52% | |
| 98 | 6% | 45% | Median |
| 99 | 9% | 39% | |
| 100 | 12% | 30% | |
| 101 | 6% | 18% | |
| 102 | 5% | 11% | |
| 103 | 3% | 6% | |
| 104 | 2% | 3% | |
| 105 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 95% | |
| 87 | 7% | 92% | |
| 88 | 4% | 85% | |
| 89 | 9% | 81% | |
| 90 | 8% | 72% | |
| 91 | 8% | 64% | |
| 92 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 93 | 10% | 47% | |
| 94 | 11% | 37% | |
| 95 | 8% | 26% | |
| 96 | 7% | 18% | |
| 97 | 5% | 11% | |
| 98 | 2% | 6% | |
| 99 | 2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 96% | |
| 84 | 3% | 95% | |
| 85 | 7% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 84% | |
| 87 | 8% | 79% | |
| 88 | 9% | 72% | |
| 89 | 9% | 62% | |
| 90 | 8% | 54% | Median |
| 91 | 10% | 46% | |
| 92 | 12% | 36% | |
| 93 | 9% | 24% | |
| 94 | 6% | 15% | |
| 95 | 3% | 9% | |
| 96 | 4% | 7% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 78 | 4% | 96% | |
| 79 | 2% | 91% | |
| 80 | 4% | 89% | |
| 81 | 6% | 85% | |
| 82 | 4% | 79% | |
| 83 | 7% | 76% | |
| 84 | 10% | 69% | |
| 85 | 12% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 13% | 47% | |
| 87 | 5% | 35% | |
| 88 | 12% | 30% | |
| 89 | 8% | 18% | |
| 90 | 4% | 10% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 7% | 89% | |
| 74 | 8% | 81% | |
| 75 | 12% | 74% | |
| 76 | 10% | 62% | |
| 77 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 78 | 8% | 43% | |
| 79 | 8% | 35% | |
| 80 | 9% | 28% | |
| 81 | 4% | 19% | |
| 82 | 7% | 15% | |
| 83 | 3% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 94% | |
| 73 | 7% | 93% | |
| 74 | 3% | 85% | |
| 75 | 9% | 82% | |
| 76 | 10% | 73% | Last Result |
| 77 | 12% | 63% | Median |
| 78 | 7% | 52% | |
| 79 | 10% | 44% | |
| 80 | 13% | 34% | |
| 81 | 6% | 21% | |
| 82 | 8% | 16% | |
| 83 | 4% | 8% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 69 | 4% | 95% | |
| 70 | 7% | 91% | |
| 71 | 3% | 85% | |
| 72 | 8% | 81% | |
| 73 | 8% | 73% | |
| 74 | 10% | 65% | |
| 75 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 76 | 8% | 43% | |
| 77 | 7% | 35% | |
| 78 | 14% | 28% | |
| 79 | 3% | 14% | |
| 80 | 6% | 10% | |
| 81 | 3% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 6% | 91% | |
| 66 | 5% | 85% | |
| 67 | 11% | 81% | |
| 68 | 9% | 69% | |
| 69 | 9% | 61% | Median |
| 70 | 5% | 52% | |
| 71 | 14% | 47% | |
| 72 | 9% | 34% | |
| 73 | 7% | 25% | |
| 74 | 7% | 17% | |
| 75 | 3% | 10% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 4% | 92% | |
| 63 | 5% | 88% | |
| 64 | 11% | 83% | |
| 65 | 9% | 72% | |
| 66 | 13% | 63% | |
| 67 | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 68 | 8% | 43% | |
| 69 | 9% | 35% | |
| 70 | 10% | 26% | |
| 71 | 3% | 16% | |
| 72 | 6% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 95% | |
| 60 | 3% | 93% | |
| 61 | 5% | 90% | |
| 62 | 13% | 84% | |
| 63 | 10% | 71% | |
| 64 | 11% | 62% | |
| 65 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 66 | 10% | 44% | |
| 67 | 6% | 34% | |
| 68 | 11% | 28% | |
| 69 | 4% | 17% | |
| 70 | 5% | 13% | |
| 71 | 3% | 8% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 95% | |
| 45 | 5% | 89% | |
| 46 | 13% | 84% | |
| 47 | 5% | 71% | |
| 48 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 49 | 11% | 57% | |
| 50 | 9% | 46% | |
| 51 | 9% | 37% | |
| 52 | 9% | 28% | |
| 53 | 5% | 19% | |
| 54 | 4% | 14% | |
| 55 | 6% | 11% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 5% | 95% | |
| 43 | 5% | 90% | |
| 44 | 12% | 85% | |
| 45 | 6% | 73% | |
| 46 | 5% | 67% | |
| 47 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 48 | 14% | 50% | |
| 49 | 9% | 36% | |
| 50 | 10% | 27% | |
| 51 | 2% | 17% | |
| 52 | 3% | 15% | |
| 53 | 5% | 13% | |
| 54 | 3% | 8% | |
| 55 | 4% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 7% | 94% | |
| 44 | 8% | 87% | |
| 45 | 10% | 79% | |
| 46 | 9% | 69% | |
| 47 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 48 | 10% | 48% | |
| 49 | 13% | 38% | |
| 50 | 13% | 25% | |
| 51 | 5% | 12% | |
| 52 | 3% | 7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 5–6 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 781
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%