Opinion Poll by InFact for Amedia and Nettavisen, 13 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 24.1% | 23.2–25.1% | 22.9–25.4% | 22.6–25.6% | 22.2–26.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 20.5% | 19.6–21.4% | 19.4–21.7% | 19.1–21.9% | 18.7–22.4% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 18.4% | 17.5–19.3% | 17.3–19.6% | 17.1–19.8% | 16.7–20.2% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1–9.4% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.5–10.0% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 8.6% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.4% | 7.7–9.6% | 7.4–10.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.3–6.4% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.8–6.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3–5.2% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.8% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8–2.5% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 43 | 41–44 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 38 | 37–40 | 36–41 | 36–42 | 35–43 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 33 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–39 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 3–10 |
| Rødt | 1 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 6% | 94% | |
| 42 | 20% | 88% | |
| 43 | 40% | 68% | Median |
| 44 | 18% | 27% | |
| 45 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 46 | 2% | 4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 6% | 98% | |
| 37 | 12% | 92% | |
| 38 | 30% | 80% | Median |
| 39 | 30% | 50% | |
| 40 | 11% | 20% | |
| 41 | 5% | 10% | |
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 7% | 96% | |
| 32 | 13% | 89% | |
| 33 | 42% | 76% | Median |
| 34 | 21% | 34% | |
| 35 | 7% | 13% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 37 | 3% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 38% | 94% | |
| 15 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 23% | 35% | |
| 17 | 11% | 12% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 18% | 93% | |
| 15 | 50% | 74% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 25% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 33% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 48% | 66% | Median |
| 11 | 13% | 17% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 0% | 98% | |
| 7 | 14% | 98% | |
| 8 | 50% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 32% | 35% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 37% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 63% | |
| 4 | 0% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 63% | |
| 7 | 51% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 10% | 11% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 82% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 15% | 15% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 106 | 100% | 103–108 | 102–110 | 101–110 | 99–111 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 104 | 100% | 103–108 | 102–108 | 101–109 | 99–111 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 102 | 100% | 99–105 | 98–106 | 98–107 | 97–108 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 96 | 100% | 95–99 | 94–100 | 93–101 | 91–103 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 92 | 100% | 89–95 | 88–96 | 87–97 | 86–99 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 90 | 99.4% | 88–92 | 87–93 | 86–94 | 84–95 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 86 | 92% | 85–89 | 84–90 | 83–91 | 81–92 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 80 | 2% | 78–82 | 77–83 | 76–84 | 74–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 77 | 0% | 74–80 | 73–81 | 72–82 | 70–83 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet | 68 | 72 | 0% | 70–74 | 69–75 | 68–76 | 67–77 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 67 | 0% | 64–70 | 63–71 | 62–71 | 61–72 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 59 | 0% | 57–61 | 56–62 | 55–63 | 54–64 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 58 | 0% | 56–60 | 55–61 | 53–62 | 53–63 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 52 | 0% | 50–54 | 49–55 | 48–56 | 46–57 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 48 | 0% | 46–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 48 | 0% | 46–50 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 42–53 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 100 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 2% | 98% | |
| 102 | 5% | 96% | |
| 103 | 4% | 90% | |
| 104 | 11% | 86% | |
| 105 | 13% | 75% | Median |
| 106 | 31% | 62% | |
| 107 | 16% | 32% | Last Result |
| 108 | 8% | 16% | |
| 109 | 2% | 7% | |
| 110 | 4% | 5% | |
| 111 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 101 | 3% | 98% | |
| 102 | 4% | 95% | |
| 103 | 27% | 91% | |
| 104 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 105 | 10% | 47% | |
| 106 | 14% | 36% | |
| 107 | 6% | 22% | |
| 108 | 12% | 16% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 98% | |
| 99 | 6% | 95% | |
| 100 | 13% | 88% | |
| 101 | 14% | 75% | |
| 102 | 35% | 61% | |
| 103 | 7% | 26% | Median |
| 104 | 6% | 20% | |
| 105 | 9% | 14% | |
| 106 | 2% | 5% | |
| 107 | 2% | 3% | |
| 108 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 93 | 3% | 98% | |
| 94 | 4% | 95% | |
| 95 | 34% | 91% | |
| 96 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 97 | 12% | 49% | |
| 98 | 16% | 37% | |
| 99 | 13% | 20% | |
| 100 | 4% | 8% | |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 88 | 6% | 97% | |
| 89 | 5% | 90% | |
| 90 | 10% | 85% | |
| 91 | 14% | 75% | |
| 92 | 13% | 61% | |
| 93 | 27% | 48% | Median |
| 94 | 6% | 20% | |
| 95 | 9% | 14% | |
| 96 | 2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 99 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 96% | |
| 88 | 9% | 93% | |
| 89 | 31% | 83% | Median |
| 90 | 25% | 52% | |
| 91 | 13% | 27% | |
| 92 | 7% | 14% | |
| 93 | 3% | 8% | |
| 94 | 3% | 4% | |
| 95 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 96 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 83 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 84 | 4% | 96% | |
| 85 | 14% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 32% | 77% | Median |
| 87 | 11% | 45% | |
| 88 | 13% | 34% | |
| 89 | 13% | 20% | |
| 90 | 3% | 7% | |
| 91 | 3% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 77 | 3% | 96% | |
| 78 | 9% | 92% | |
| 79 | 13% | 83% | Median |
| 80 | 43% | 70% | |
| 81 | 14% | 27% | |
| 82 | 7% | 13% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 9% | 95% | |
| 75 | 6% | 86% | |
| 76 | 27% | 80% | |
| 77 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 78 | 14% | 39% | |
| 79 | 10% | 24% | |
| 80 | 5% | 15% | |
| 81 | 6% | 10% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 13% | 93% | |
| 71 | 16% | 80% | Median |
| 72 | 42% | 64% | |
| 73 | 12% | 23% | |
| 74 | 5% | 11% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 9% | 95% | |
| 65 | 6% | 86% | |
| 66 | 7% | 80% | |
| 67 | 35% | 73% | Median |
| 68 | 14% | 39% | |
| 69 | 13% | 24% | |
| 70 | 6% | 12% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 4% | 96% | |
| 57 | 10% | 92% | |
| 58 | 14% | 82% | |
| 59 | 37% | 68% | Median |
| 60 | 9% | 30% | |
| 61 | 14% | 22% | |
| 62 | 4% | 8% | |
| 63 | 3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 11% | 91% | |
| 57 | 15% | 80% | |
| 58 | 36% | 65% | Median |
| 59 | 10% | 29% | |
| 60 | 13% | 19% | |
| 61 | 3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 8% | 93% | |
| 51 | 11% | 86% | |
| 52 | 35% | 75% | Median |
| 53 | 24% | 39% | |
| 54 | 7% | 15% | |
| 55 | 5% | 8% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 7% | 95% | |
| 47 | 36% | 88% | |
| 48 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 49 | 12% | 39% | |
| 50 | 12% | 27% | |
| 51 | 11% | 15% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 4% | 97% | |
| 46 | 10% | 93% | |
| 47 | 15% | 83% | Median |
| 48 | 46% | 68% | |
| 49 | 9% | 22% | |
| 50 | 6% | 13% | |
| 51 | 4% | 7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: InFact
- Commissioner(s): Amedia and Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 13 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3245
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.85%