Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI for Dagbladet, 25–27 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 25.3% | 23.4–27.5% | 22.8–28.1% | 22.3–28.6% | 21.4–29.7% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 21.4% | 19.5–23.4% | 19.0–24.0% | 18.6–24.5% | 17.7–25.5% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 20.4% | 18.6–22.5% | 18.1–23.0% | 17.7–23.5% | 16.8–24.5% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 9.5% | 8.3–11.1% | 7.9–11.5% | 7.6–11.9% | 7.0–12.7% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6–9.2% | 6.3–9.6% | 6.0–9.9% | 5.5–10.7% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.9–7.2% | 3.5–7.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.6–4.8% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.3–4.3% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.0% | 0.8–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 46 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 38–54 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–46 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 38 | 33–41 | 33–42 | 32–43 | 30–45 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–21 | 12–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 10–19 |
| Rødt | 1 | 10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 2–13 | 2–14 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 1 | 0–3 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–8 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 95% | |
| 42 | 6% | 92% | |
| 43 | 5% | 86% | |
| 44 | 8% | 81% | |
| 45 | 17% | 73% | Last Result |
| 46 | 17% | 56% | Median |
| 47 | 7% | 39% | |
| 48 | 10% | 32% | |
| 49 | 7% | 22% | |
| 50 | 7% | 15% | |
| 51 | 4% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 35 | 3% | 96% | |
| 36 | 13% | 93% | |
| 37 | 10% | 80% | |
| 38 | 15% | 70% | |
| 39 | 8% | 55% | Median |
| 40 | 10% | 47% | |
| 41 | 18% | 37% | |
| 42 | 5% | 20% | |
| 43 | 6% | 15% | |
| 44 | 5% | 8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 3% | 98% | |
| 33 | 6% | 95% | |
| 34 | 8% | 89% | |
| 35 | 9% | 81% | |
| 36 | 12% | 72% | |
| 37 | 8% | 60% | |
| 38 | 8% | 52% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 44% | |
| 40 | 13% | 31% | |
| 41 | 11% | 18% | |
| 42 | 3% | 7% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 5% | 98% | |
| 15 | 13% | 92% | |
| 16 | 14% | 79% | |
| 17 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 18 | 23% | 47% | |
| 19 | 10% | 25% | |
| 20 | 9% | 15% | |
| 21 | 4% | 6% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 5% | 98.5% | Last Result |
| 12 | 10% | 94% | |
| 13 | 19% | 84% | |
| 14 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 15 | 20% | 41% | |
| 16 | 11% | 21% | |
| 17 | 6% | 10% | |
| 18 | 2% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 96% | |
| 4 | 0% | 96% | |
| 5 | 0% | 96% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 7 | 2% | 96% | |
| 8 | 18% | 94% | |
| 9 | 19% | 76% | |
| 10 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 38% | |
| 12 | 9% | 14% | |
| 13 | 3% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | |
| 1 | 56% | 87% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 32% | |
| 3 | 14% | 19% | |
| 4 | 0% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 7 | 3% | 5% | |
| 8 | 1.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 24% | 96% | |
| 2 | 67% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50% | 100% | |
| 1 | 48% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 106 | 100% | 101–111 | 100–112 | 98–114 | 96–116 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 101 | 100% | 97–106 | 95–107 | 94–108 | 91–110 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 101 | 100% | 96–105 | 94–106 | 93–107 | 91–109 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 88 | 93 | 99.3% | 88–98 | 87–99 | 87–100 | 84–103 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 91 | 98% | 87–96 | 86–97 | 85–98 | 82–101 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 91 | 97% | 86–95 | 85–97 | 84–97 | 81–100 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 77 | 79 | 6% | 74–84 | 73–85 | 72–86 | 70–88 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 79 | 5% | 74–83 | 73–84 | 72–85 | 69–88 |
| Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet | 68 | 77 | 1.0% | 72–81 | 71–82 | 70–84 | 68–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 89 | 67 | 0% | 63–72 | 61–73 | 60–74 | 58–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 60–72 | 60–74 | 57–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 65 | 0% | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–72 | 55–74 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 63 | 0% | 59–68 | 57–69 | 55–70 | 53–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 52 | 0% | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 42–60 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 49 | 0% | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 41–58 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 42 | 0% | 39–47 | 38–48 | 37–49 | 35–53 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 97 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 100 | 2% | 95% | |
| 101 | 4% | 93% | |
| 102 | 6% | 89% | |
| 103 | 9% | 83% | |
| 104 | 9% | 74% | |
| 105 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 106 | 10% | 54% | |
| 107 | 10% | 44% | Last Result |
| 108 | 9% | 34% | |
| 109 | 6% | 24% | |
| 110 | 6% | 18% | |
| 111 | 6% | 12% | |
| 112 | 2% | 7% | |
| 113 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 114 | 2% | 3% | |
| 115 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 116 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 117 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 3% | 96% | |
| 96 | 3% | 93% | |
| 97 | 5% | 90% | |
| 98 | 8% | 85% | |
| 99 | 11% | 77% | |
| 100 | 10% | 66% | |
| 101 | 8% | 57% | |
| 102 | 15% | 48% | Median |
| 103 | 6% | 34% | |
| 104 | 12% | 28% | |
| 105 | 5% | 16% | |
| 106 | 3% | 11% | |
| 107 | 5% | 8% | |
| 108 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 94 | 3% | 97% | |
| 95 | 3% | 94% | |
| 96 | 3% | 91% | |
| 97 | 9% | 88% | |
| 98 | 6% | 79% | |
| 99 | 10% | 73% | |
| 100 | 9% | 62% | |
| 101 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 102 | 12% | 43% | |
| 103 | 12% | 31% | |
| 104 | 6% | 19% | |
| 105 | 3% | 13% | |
| 106 | 5% | 10% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.3% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 87 | 3% | 98% | |
| 88 | 5% | 95% | Last Result |
| 89 | 9% | 90% | |
| 90 | 9% | 81% | |
| 91 | 8% | 72% | |
| 92 | 12% | 65% | |
| 93 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 94 | 7% | 46% | |
| 95 | 10% | 39% | |
| 96 | 8% | 28% | |
| 97 | 9% | 20% | |
| 98 | 4% | 11% | |
| 99 | 3% | 7% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 96% | |
| 87 | 6% | 92% | |
| 88 | 8% | 87% | |
| 89 | 12% | 79% | |
| 90 | 7% | 67% | |
| 91 | 12% | 60% | |
| 92 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 93 | 10% | 39% | |
| 94 | 7% | 30% | |
| 95 | 8% | 23% | |
| 96 | 8% | 15% | |
| 97 | 3% | 7% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 102 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 6% | 94% | |
| 87 | 6% | 88% | |
| 88 | 8% | 83% | |
| 89 | 11% | 75% | |
| 90 | 7% | 64% | |
| 91 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 92 | 10% | 44% | |
| 93 | 10% | 34% | |
| 94 | 6% | 25% | |
| 95 | 10% | 19% | |
| 96 | 3% | 9% | |
| 97 | 3% | 6% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 5% | 94% | |
| 75 | 10% | 89% | |
| 76 | 8% | 80% | |
| 77 | 10% | 71% | Last Result |
| 78 | 6% | 61% | |
| 79 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 44% | |
| 81 | 8% | 35% | |
| 82 | 10% | 26% | |
| 83 | 7% | 17% | |
| 84 | 4% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 96% | |
| 74 | 4% | 90% | |
| 75 | 9% | 86% | |
| 76 | 11% | 77% | Last Result |
| 77 | 8% | 66% | |
| 78 | 4% | 58% | Median |
| 79 | 17% | 54% | |
| 80 | 6% | 37% | |
| 81 | 10% | 30% | |
| 82 | 10% | 21% | |
| 83 | 3% | 11% | |
| 84 | 3% | 7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 98.5% | |
| 71 | 3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 6% | 94% | |
| 73 | 5% | 88% | |
| 74 | 10% | 83% | |
| 75 | 11% | 73% | |
| 76 | 8% | 62% | |
| 77 | 7% | 53% | Median |
| 78 | 16% | 46% | |
| 79 | 8% | 30% | |
| 80 | 8% | 23% | |
| 81 | 8% | 15% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 1.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 95% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 8% | 90% | |
| 64 | 5% | 82% | |
| 65 | 7% | 78% | |
| 66 | 12% | 70% | |
| 67 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 68 | 9% | 45% | |
| 69 | 8% | 36% | |
| 70 | 8% | 27% | |
| 71 | 6% | 19% | |
| 72 | 8% | 14% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 94% | |
| 62 | 6% | 93% | |
| 63 | 6% | 86% | |
| 64 | 6% | 80% | |
| 65 | 12% | 74% | |
| 66 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 67 | 13% | 54% | |
| 68 | 8% | 41% | |
| 69 | 9% | 33% | |
| 70 | 8% | 23% | |
| 71 | 7% | 15% | |
| 72 | 4% | 9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 3% | 92% | |
| 61 | 6% | 90% | |
| 62 | 8% | 84% | |
| 63 | 7% | 75% | |
| 64 | 13% | 68% | |
| 65 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 66 | 11% | 47% | |
| 67 | 9% | 36% | |
| 68 | 7% | 26% | |
| 69 | 7% | 20% | |
| 70 | 7% | 12% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 2% | 93% | |
| 59 | 7% | 91% | |
| 60 | 4% | 84% | |
| 61 | 10% | 80% | |
| 62 | 12% | 70% | |
| 63 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 64 | 12% | 49% | |
| 65 | 8% | 37% | |
| 66 | 7% | 29% | |
| 67 | 8% | 22% | |
| 68 | 7% | 13% | |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 96% | |
| 47 | 6% | 95% | |
| 48 | 6% | 88% | |
| 49 | 11% | 82% | |
| 50 | 8% | 71% | |
| 51 | 8% | 63% | |
| 52 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 53 | 15% | 45% | |
| 54 | 10% | 30% | |
| 55 | 7% | 21% | |
| 56 | 7% | 14% | |
| 57 | 3% | 7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 4% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 4% | 97% | |
| 45 | 5% | 92% | |
| 46 | 4% | 87% | |
| 47 | 10% | 84% | |
| 48 | 15% | 74% | |
| 49 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 50 | 8% | 42% | |
| 51 | 8% | 35% | |
| 52 | 7% | 27% | |
| 53 | 10% | 21% | |
| 54 | 5% | 11% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 36 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 4% | 95% | |
| 39 | 8% | 91% | |
| 40 | 9% | 83% | |
| 41 | 14% | 74% | |
| 42 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 43 | 10% | 49% | |
| 44 | 14% | 39% | |
| 45 | 6% | 25% | |
| 46 | 7% | 19% | |
| 47 | 5% | 12% | |
| 48 | 3% | 7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos MMI
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 25–27 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 734
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.55%