Opinion Poll by Norstat for Aftenposten and NRK, 25–31 January 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 25.0% 22.8% 20.9–24.9% 20.3–25.5% 19.9–26.0% 19.0–27.1%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 22.0% 20.0–24.1% 19.5–24.6% 19.1–25.2% 18.2–26.2%
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 20.7% 18.8–22.7% 18.3–23.3% 17.8–23.8% 17.0–24.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 8.4% 7.1–9.8% 6.8–10.3% 6.5–10.6% 6.0–11.4%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 8.4% 7.1–9.8% 6.8–10.3% 6.5–10.6% 6.0–11.4%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 4.8% 3.9–6.0% 3.7–6.4% 3.5–6.7% 3.1–7.3%
Rødt 2.4% 4.0% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4% 2.8–5.7% 2.4–6.3%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 3.5% 2.8–4.6% 2.6–4.9% 2.4–5.2% 2.1–5.7%
Venstre 4.4% 2.4% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.6% 1.5–3.8% 1.3–4.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Høyre 45 40 36–46 35–47 35–48 33–50
Senterpartiet 19 41 37–44 36–45 36–45 35–48
Arbeiderpartiet 49 38 34–41 33–42 33–43 30–45
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 15 12–17 12–18 11–19 10–20
Fremskrittspartiet 27 15 12–18 12–18 11–19 10–21
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 9 3–11 2–11 2–12 2–13
Rødt 1 7 2–9 2–9 1–10 1–11
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 3 1–8 1–8 1–9 0–10
Venstre 8 2 1–2 0–2 0–3 0–7

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.9%  
34 0.5% 99.3%  
35 5% 98.8%  
36 5% 94%  
37 6% 89%  
38 14% 83%  
39 12% 69%  
40 14% 57% Median
41 9% 42%  
42 7% 33%  
43 5% 27%  
44 7% 22%  
45 4% 15% Last Result
46 5% 11%  
47 1.4% 5%  
48 2% 4%  
49 2% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100% Last Result
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.9%  
35 2% 99.6%  
36 4% 98%  
37 4% 94%  
38 8% 90%  
39 11% 82%  
40 16% 71%  
41 15% 55% Median
42 10% 40%  
43 13% 29%  
44 7% 16%  
45 7% 9%  
46 1.1% 2%  
47 0.8% 1.4%  
48 0.2% 0.6%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.1% 99.9%  
30 0.3% 99.8%  
31 0.8% 99.4%  
32 1.1% 98.7%  
33 4% 98%  
34 7% 94%  
35 5% 87%  
36 6% 82%  
37 16% 76%  
38 16% 61% Median
39 14% 45%  
40 12% 31%  
41 11% 20%  
42 5% 9%  
43 2% 4%  
44 1.0% 2%  
45 0.9% 1.4%  
46 0.2% 0.4%  
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0.1% 99.9%  
10 1.2% 99.8%  
11 2% 98.6% Last Result
12 10% 97%  
13 14% 87%  
14 17% 73%  
15 20% 56% Median
16 14% 37%  
17 15% 23%  
18 4% 8%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.2% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.7% 99.8%  
11 3% 99.1%  
12 11% 96%  
13 11% 85%  
14 17% 75%  
15 22% 57% Median
16 13% 36%  
17 11% 23%  
18 8% 12%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.3% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.7%  
22 0.2% 0.2%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0% Last Result

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100% Last Result
2 9% 99.7%  
3 3% 91%  
4 0.9% 87%  
5 0% 86%  
6 1.0% 86%  
7 10% 85%  
8 22% 75%  
9 24% 53% Median
10 18% 30%  
11 8% 11%  
12 3% 4%  
13 0.6% 0.7%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100% Last Result
2 43% 97%  
3 0% 54%  
4 0% 54%  
5 0% 54%  
6 1.1% 54%  
7 13% 53% Median
8 25% 40%  
9 11% 15%  
10 3% 4%  
11 1.3% 1.4%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100%  
1 24% 98%  
2 11% 74%  
3 34% 62% Median
4 0% 28%  
5 0% 28%  
6 2% 28%  
7 11% 26%  
8 11% 16% Last Result
9 4% 5%  
10 0.9% 1.0%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100%  
1 20% 93%  
2 70% 73% Median
3 1.0% 3%  
4 0% 2%  
5 0% 2%  
6 0.1% 2%  
7 1.3% 2%  
8 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 81 107 100% 102–113 100–113 99–115 96–116
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 106 100% 100–110 98–112 97–113 94–115
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 107 102 100% 97–107 95–108 93–110 92–113
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 80 102 100% 97–107 95–108 94–109 90–111
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 99 99.9% 94–105 93–106 91–108 88–108
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 94 99.4% 89–98 87–100 86–101 84–104
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 91 91% 85–96 83–97 82–98 79–100
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 83 35% 77–88 75–89 74–90 72–92
Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet 68 79 6% 74–84 72–85 72–85 70–89
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 89 69 0% 63–74 61–76 61–77 59–80
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 88 61 0% 56–66 54–68 53–69 52–72
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 57 0% 52–63 51–65 50–66 48–69
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 55 0% 51–61 49–63 48–64 47–67
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 53 0% 48–58 47–59 46–60 43–62
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 61 46 0% 41–51 40–53 38–55 38–56
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 35 46 0% 42–51 41–52 40–53 38–56

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0.2% 99.9%  
96 0.4% 99.7%  
97 0.9% 99.3%  
98 0.5% 98%  
99 2% 98%  
100 2% 96%  
101 3% 94%  
102 3% 91%  
103 7% 88%  
104 5% 81%  
105 7% 77%  
106 12% 70%  
107 10% 58%  
108 7% 47%  
109 12% 40%  
110 6% 28% Median
111 8% 22%  
112 3% 14%  
113 6% 10%  
114 1.0% 4%  
115 2% 3%  
116 0.8% 1.0%  
117 0.2% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100% Last Result
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.9%  
93 0.3% 99.9%  
94 0.2% 99.6%  
95 0.5% 99.4%  
96 0.9% 99.0%  
97 0.8% 98%  
98 4% 97%  
99 1.4% 93%  
100 2% 92%  
101 5% 90%  
102 7% 85%  
103 10% 78%  
104 4% 68%  
105 9% 65%  
106 15% 56% Median
107 10% 40%  
108 5% 31%  
109 7% 25%  
110 8% 18%  
111 3% 10%  
112 3% 7%  
113 1.2% 4%  
114 2% 2%  
115 0.3% 0.7%  
116 0.2% 0.3%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.2% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.7%  
92 0.4% 99.5%  
93 3% 99.2%  
94 0.9% 97%  
95 2% 96%  
96 3% 93%  
97 4% 91%  
98 8% 87%  
99 8% 78%  
100 8% 71%  
101 7% 63% Median
102 14% 56%  
103 8% 42%  
104 10% 33%  
105 8% 24%  
106 6% 16%  
107 4% 10% Last Result
108 2% 6%  
109 2% 5%  
110 2% 3%  
111 0.5% 1.3%  
112 0.2% 0.8%  
113 0.3% 0.5%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0.2% 99.9%  
90 0.2% 99.7%  
91 0.3% 99.5%  
92 0.5% 99.2%  
93 0.9% 98.7%  
94 1.3% 98%  
95 3% 97%  
96 2% 94%  
97 5% 92%  
98 4% 87%  
99 10% 82%  
100 6% 72%  
101 10% 66%  
102 11% 56%  
103 8% 45% Median
104 14% 37%  
105 6% 23%  
106 4% 18%  
107 7% 13%  
108 3% 7%  
109 2% 3%  
110 0.6% 2%  
111 0.8% 1.1%  
112 0.1% 0.3%  
113 0.1% 0.2%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9% Majority
86 0.1% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.8%  
88 0.5% 99.6%  
89 0.4% 99.1%  
90 0.7% 98.7%  
91 0.7% 98%  
92 2% 97%  
93 4% 95%  
94 4% 91%  
95 9% 88%  
96 8% 79%  
97 9% 71%  
98 6% 62%  
99 9% 56%  
100 11% 47%  
101 7% 36% Median
102 9% 29%  
103 4% 20%  
104 3% 16%  
105 7% 13%  
106 3% 7%  
107 0.6% 4%  
108 3% 3%  
109 0.3% 0.5%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0.1% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 0% 100%  
81 0.1% 99.9%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.3% 99.7%  
85 1.4% 99.4% Majority
86 2% 98%  
87 2% 96%  
88 2% 94%  
89 4% 92%  
90 4% 88%  
91 9% 83%  
92 7% 74%  
93 14% 68%  
94 11% 54% Median
95 11% 42%  
96 8% 31%  
97 7% 23%  
98 7% 16%  
99 1.2% 9%  
100 5% 8%  
101 1.2% 3%  
102 0.5% 2%  
103 0.2% 1.3%  
104 0.7% 1.1%  
105 0.1% 0.4%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
78 0.2% 99.8%  
79 0.2% 99.6%  
80 0.4% 99.3%  
81 0.6% 98.9%  
82 2% 98%  
83 2% 96%  
84 3% 94%  
85 5% 91% Majority
86 6% 86%  
87 4% 81%  
88 5% 77%  
89 11% 72%  
90 5% 61%  
91 9% 56% Median
92 9% 47%  
93 11% 38%  
94 7% 27%  
95 6% 20%  
96 5% 14%  
97 6% 10%  
98 2% 4%  
99 0.7% 1.4%  
100 0.3% 0.7%  
101 0.2% 0.4%  
102 0.1% 0.2%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0.4% 99.6%  
73 2% 99.3%  
74 2% 98%  
75 2% 96%  
76 2% 93% Last Result
77 4% 91%  
78 5% 87%  
79 4% 82%  
80 9% 78%  
81 6% 68%  
82 6% 62% Median
83 11% 57%  
84 11% 46%  
85 10% 35% Majority
86 5% 25%  
87 7% 19%  
88 7% 12%  
89 2% 6%  
90 2% 4%  
91 1.0% 2%  
92 0.5% 0.9%  
93 0.2% 0.4%  
94 0.1% 0.2%  
95 0% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet – Arbeiderpartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
69 0.2% 99.7%  
70 0.5% 99.5%  
71 1.4% 99.0%  
72 3% 98%  
73 2% 95%  
74 4% 93%  
75 4% 89%  
76 7% 85%  
77 10% 78%  
78 11% 68%  
79 13% 57% Median
80 9% 44%  
81 12% 35%  
82 9% 23%  
83 4% 14%  
84 4% 10%  
85 5% 6% Majority
86 0.7% 2%  
87 0.2% 1.0%  
88 0.2% 0.7%  
89 0.2% 0.5%  
90 0.3% 0.3%  
91 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.7%  
59 0.2% 99.6%  
60 0.7% 99.4%  
61 6% 98.7%  
62 0.9% 93%  
63 4% 92%  
64 8% 88%  
65 4% 80%  
66 5% 76%  
67 9% 71%  
68 5% 62%  
69 11% 57% Median
70 8% 46%  
71 5% 37%  
72 8% 32%  
73 6% 24%  
74 9% 18%  
75 3% 9%  
76 3% 6%  
77 2% 3%  
78 0.4% 2%  
79 0.4% 1.2%  
80 0.4% 0.8%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.2% 0.3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 2% 99.6%  
53 1.2% 98%  
54 3% 96%  
55 3% 93%  
56 8% 90%  
57 4% 82%  
58 9% 78%  
59 5% 70%  
60 12% 65% Median
61 7% 52%  
62 10% 45%  
63 11% 35%  
64 6% 25%  
65 5% 19%  
66 6% 14%  
67 2% 8%  
68 3% 6%  
69 1.2% 3%  
70 1.2% 2%  
71 0.2% 1.0%  
72 0.4% 0.7%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.3% 99.7%  
49 0.8% 99.4%  
50 2% 98.7%  
51 3% 97%  
52 5% 94%  
53 10% 89%  
54 6% 79%  
55 13% 73%  
56 7% 59%  
57 9% 52% Median
58 9% 44%  
59 8% 35%  
60 6% 26%  
61 2% 21%  
62 5% 18%  
63 5% 13%  
64 2% 8%  
65 3% 6%  
66 1.1% 3%  
67 0.5% 2%  
68 0.3% 1.3%  
69 0.9% 1.0%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.2% 99.8%  
47 0.8% 99.6%  
48 1.4% 98.8%  
49 3% 97%  
50 4% 94%  
51 6% 90%  
52 8% 84%  
53 15% 76%  
54 8% 61%  
55 9% 53% Median
56 9% 44%  
57 6% 35%  
58 8% 29%  
59 3% 21%  
60 2% 18%  
61 7% 16%  
62 3% 9%  
63 2% 6%  
64 2% 4%  
65 0.7% 2%  
66 0.3% 1.4%  
67 0.9% 1.1%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.4% 99.8%  
44 0.3% 99.5%  
45 0.8% 99.2%  
46 3% 98%  
47 2% 95%  
48 4% 93%  
49 8% 89%  
50 5% 81%  
51 8% 76%  
52 9% 68%  
53 17% 59% Median
54 11% 41%  
55 8% 30%  
56 4% 22%  
57 6% 18%  
58 6% 12%  
59 3% 6%  
60 2% 3% Last Result
61 0.8% 2%  
62 0.7% 1.1%  
63 0.3% 0.3%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.9%  
38 2% 99.7%  
39 2% 97%  
40 4% 96%  
41 3% 92%  
42 6% 89%  
43 8% 83%  
44 13% 75%  
45 8% 62% Median
46 8% 53%  
47 12% 45%  
48 12% 33%  
49 4% 22%  
50 6% 17%  
51 3% 11%  
52 2% 8%  
53 2% 5%  
54 1.2% 4%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.5% 0.9%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.7% 99.7%  
39 2% 99.1%  
40 2% 98%  
41 5% 96%  
42 7% 90%  
43 6% 83%  
44 10% 77%  
45 9% 67%  
46 9% 58% Median
47 11% 49%  
48 10% 38%  
49 10% 28%  
50 7% 19%  
51 3% 12%  
52 5% 9%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.7% 2%  
55 0.5% 1.1%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0.1% 0.2%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations