Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco, 1–8 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Høyre |
25.0% |
22.8% |
20.9–25.0% |
20.3–25.6% |
19.9–26.1% |
19.0–27.2% |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
22.7% |
20.8–24.8% |
20.2–25.4% |
19.7–26.0% |
18.8–27.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
20.7% |
18.8–22.8% |
18.3–23.4% |
17.8–23.9% |
17.0–24.9% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
9.2% |
7.9–10.7% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.3–11.6% |
6.7–12.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.8% |
6.6–9.2% |
6.3–9.6% |
6.0–10.0% |
5.5–10.7% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.9% |
4.0–6.1% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.5–6.8% |
3.1–7.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.2% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.9–5.9% |
2.6–6.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
2.9% |
2.2–3.9% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.9–4.4% |
1.6–4.9% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.2% |
1.6–3.0% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.3–3.5% |
1.1–4.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
2% |
96% |
|
37 |
4% |
94% |
|
38 |
8% |
90% |
|
39 |
12% |
82% |
|
40 |
17% |
70% |
|
41 |
9% |
53% |
Median |
42 |
13% |
44% |
|
43 |
13% |
31% |
|
44 |
5% |
18% |
|
45 |
3% |
12% |
Last Result |
46 |
3% |
9% |
|
47 |
4% |
6% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
36 |
4% |
97% |
|
37 |
3% |
93% |
|
38 |
5% |
90% |
|
39 |
5% |
86% |
|
40 |
17% |
81% |
|
41 |
14% |
64% |
Median |
42 |
15% |
50% |
|
43 |
11% |
34% |
|
44 |
10% |
24% |
|
45 |
3% |
14% |
|
46 |
6% |
11% |
|
47 |
3% |
6% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
34 |
5% |
97% |
|
35 |
10% |
92% |
|
36 |
19% |
82% |
|
37 |
11% |
64% |
|
38 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
39 |
10% |
40% |
|
40 |
13% |
30% |
|
41 |
5% |
17% |
|
42 |
6% |
12% |
|
43 |
3% |
6% |
|
44 |
2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
5% |
98% |
|
14 |
10% |
93% |
|
15 |
16% |
83% |
|
16 |
23% |
68% |
Median |
17 |
16% |
45% |
|
18 |
11% |
29% |
|
19 |
11% |
18% |
|
20 |
3% |
7% |
|
21 |
3% |
4% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
7% |
97% |
Last Result |
12 |
14% |
90% |
|
13 |
22% |
77% |
|
14 |
20% |
55% |
Median |
15 |
15% |
35% |
|
16 |
11% |
20% |
|
17 |
6% |
9% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
4 |
0% |
90% |
|
5 |
0% |
90% |
|
6 |
0% |
90% |
|
7 |
7% |
90% |
|
8 |
26% |
83% |
|
9 |
22% |
57% |
Median |
10 |
20% |
35% |
|
11 |
10% |
15% |
|
12 |
3% |
4% |
|
13 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
24% |
97% |
|
3 |
6% |
73% |
|
4 |
2% |
67% |
|
5 |
0% |
65% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
65% |
|
7 |
11% |
64% |
|
8 |
20% |
54% |
Median |
9 |
21% |
34% |
|
10 |
11% |
13% |
|
11 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
10% |
100% |
|
1 |
54% |
90% |
Median |
2 |
15% |
35% |
|
3 |
15% |
21% |
|
4 |
0% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
6% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
7 |
3% |
6% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
23% |
100% |
|
1 |
37% |
77% |
Median |
2 |
39% |
40% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
108 |
100% |
103–113 |
102–114 |
100–115 |
98–117 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
102 |
100% |
97–107 |
96–108 |
95–110 |
92–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
102 |
100% |
96–106 |
95–108 |
94–109 |
91–111 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
98 |
100% |
94–104 |
93–106 |
91–108 |
89–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
100 |
100% |
95–104 |
93–106 |
92–107 |
89–109 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
93 |
99.4% |
89–98 |
88–100 |
87–101 |
84–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
87 |
80% |
83–93 |
81–94 |
79–95 |
77–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
81 |
19% |
77–86 |
76–88 |
75–89 |
72–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
79 |
6% |
76–84 |
74–85 |
73–86 |
71–89 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
67 |
0% |
62–72 |
60–72 |
59–74 |
56–77 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
60 |
0% |
56–65 |
55–67 |
54–68 |
52–71 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
59 |
0% |
54–63 |
53–65 |
52–66 |
50–69 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
57 |
0% |
53–62 |
52–64 |
50–65 |
48–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
55 |
0% |
51–60 |
49–62 |
49–62 |
46–65 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
44 |
0% |
40–48 |
39–50 |
38–51 |
36–53 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
41 |
0% |
38–45 |
36–47 |
35–48 |
34–51 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0% |
100% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
100 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
101 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
102 |
4% |
95% |
|
103 |
3% |
92% |
|
104 |
5% |
89% |
|
105 |
6% |
84% |
|
106 |
8% |
78% |
|
107 |
7% |
70% |
|
108 |
16% |
63% |
|
109 |
11% |
48% |
|
110 |
10% |
36% |
Median |
111 |
9% |
27% |
|
112 |
6% |
17% |
|
113 |
5% |
11% |
|
114 |
4% |
7% |
|
115 |
2% |
3% |
|
116 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
117 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
118 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
94 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
95 |
2% |
98% |
|
96 |
2% |
96% |
|
97 |
6% |
94% |
|
98 |
5% |
88% |
|
99 |
12% |
83% |
|
100 |
8% |
71% |
|
101 |
8% |
63% |
|
102 |
13% |
54% |
Median |
103 |
11% |
42% |
|
104 |
5% |
30% |
|
105 |
8% |
25% |
|
106 |
6% |
17% |
|
107 |
5% |
11% |
|
108 |
2% |
6% |
|
109 |
2% |
4% |
|
110 |
2% |
3% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
94 |
3% |
98% |
|
95 |
3% |
95% |
|
96 |
3% |
93% |
|
97 |
4% |
90% |
|
98 |
4% |
86% |
|
99 |
10% |
82% |
|
100 |
8% |
72% |
|
101 |
14% |
64% |
|
102 |
13% |
50% |
Median |
103 |
10% |
37% |
|
104 |
8% |
26% |
|
105 |
6% |
19% |
|
106 |
4% |
13% |
|
107 |
2% |
9% |
|
108 |
3% |
6% |
|
109 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
110 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
91 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
92 |
2% |
97% |
|
93 |
5% |
95% |
|
94 |
4% |
91% |
|
95 |
8% |
86% |
|
96 |
13% |
79% |
|
97 |
13% |
66% |
Median |
98 |
7% |
53% |
|
99 |
12% |
47% |
|
100 |
7% |
35% |
|
101 |
7% |
28% |
|
102 |
4% |
21% |
|
103 |
6% |
17% |
|
104 |
3% |
11% |
|
105 |
3% |
8% |
|
106 |
2% |
5% |
|
107 |
1.1% |
4% |
Last Result |
108 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
109 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
110 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
91 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
92 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
93 |
4% |
97% |
|
94 |
2% |
93% |
|
95 |
4% |
91% |
|
96 |
6% |
87% |
|
97 |
5% |
81% |
|
98 |
10% |
76% |
|
99 |
9% |
66% |
|
100 |
16% |
57% |
|
101 |
11% |
41% |
Median |
102 |
8% |
29% |
|
103 |
7% |
22% |
|
104 |
6% |
15% |
|
105 |
4% |
9% |
|
106 |
2% |
5% |
|
107 |
2% |
4% |
|
108 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
109 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
110 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
88 |
4% |
97% |
|
89 |
6% |
93% |
|
90 |
6% |
87% |
|
91 |
16% |
81% |
|
92 |
6% |
65% |
|
93 |
16% |
59% |
Median |
94 |
7% |
43% |
|
95 |
9% |
36% |
|
96 |
7% |
26% |
|
97 |
7% |
20% |
|
98 |
4% |
13% |
|
99 |
3% |
9% |
|
100 |
2% |
5% |
|
101 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
98.5% |
|
80 |
2% |
97% |
|
81 |
2% |
95% |
|
82 |
3% |
93% |
|
83 |
4% |
90% |
|
84 |
6% |
86% |
|
85 |
8% |
80% |
Majority |
86 |
9% |
73% |
|
87 |
16% |
63% |
|
88 |
6% |
47% |
Median |
89 |
11% |
41% |
|
90 |
7% |
30% |
|
91 |
9% |
23% |
|
92 |
4% |
15% |
|
93 |
5% |
11% |
|
94 |
2% |
6% |
|
95 |
2% |
4% |
|
96 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
3% |
96% |
Last Result |
77 |
8% |
93% |
|
78 |
6% |
85% |
|
79 |
13% |
79% |
|
80 |
12% |
66% |
Median |
81 |
8% |
54% |
|
82 |
13% |
45% |
|
83 |
8% |
33% |
|
84 |
5% |
25% |
|
85 |
8% |
19% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
11% |
|
87 |
4% |
9% |
|
88 |
2% |
5% |
|
89 |
2% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
74 |
3% |
97% |
|
75 |
2% |
94% |
|
76 |
10% |
92% |
|
77 |
7% |
82% |
|
78 |
19% |
75% |
|
79 |
9% |
56% |
Median |
80 |
10% |
48% |
|
81 |
14% |
38% |
|
82 |
7% |
24% |
|
83 |
5% |
18% |
|
84 |
6% |
12% |
|
85 |
2% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
2% |
97% |
|
61 |
3% |
94% |
|
62 |
5% |
92% |
|
63 |
6% |
86% |
|
64 |
9% |
80% |
|
65 |
6% |
72% |
|
66 |
12% |
66% |
|
67 |
12% |
55% |
Median |
68 |
8% |
43% |
|
69 |
8% |
35% |
|
70 |
12% |
27% |
|
71 |
4% |
15% |
|
72 |
6% |
11% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
4% |
96% |
|
56 |
5% |
92% |
|
57 |
6% |
87% |
|
58 |
10% |
80% |
|
59 |
10% |
70% |
Median |
60 |
11% |
60% |
|
61 |
16% |
49% |
|
62 |
7% |
34% |
|
63 |
8% |
27% |
|
64 |
6% |
19% |
|
65 |
4% |
14% |
|
66 |
2% |
9% |
|
67 |
3% |
7% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
52 |
2% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
96% |
|
54 |
4% |
93% |
|
55 |
7% |
89% |
|
56 |
7% |
82% |
|
57 |
11% |
75% |
|
58 |
11% |
64% |
Median |
59 |
16% |
53% |
|
60 |
8% |
37% |
|
61 |
8% |
29% |
|
62 |
8% |
21% |
|
63 |
3% |
13% |
|
64 |
3% |
10% |
|
65 |
3% |
7% |
|
66 |
2% |
4% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
50 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
51 |
2% |
97% |
|
52 |
2% |
95% |
|
53 |
5% |
93% |
|
54 |
7% |
88% |
|
55 |
9% |
82% |
|
56 |
8% |
73% |
|
57 |
17% |
65% |
Median |
58 |
15% |
48% |
|
59 |
7% |
33% |
|
60 |
7% |
26% |
|
61 |
6% |
19% |
|
62 |
4% |
13% |
|
63 |
4% |
9% |
|
64 |
2% |
5% |
|
65 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
49 |
3% |
98% |
|
50 |
3% |
95% |
|
51 |
6% |
92% |
|
52 |
6% |
86% |
|
53 |
9% |
80% |
|
54 |
9% |
71% |
|
55 |
17% |
62% |
Median |
56 |
11% |
45% |
|
57 |
8% |
34% |
|
58 |
8% |
26% |
|
59 |
5% |
18% |
|
60 |
3% |
13% |
Last Result |
61 |
3% |
9% |
|
62 |
4% |
7% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
98.5% |
|
39 |
3% |
97% |
|
40 |
7% |
94% |
|
41 |
12% |
87% |
|
42 |
11% |
75% |
|
43 |
9% |
64% |
Median |
44 |
11% |
55% |
|
45 |
17% |
44% |
|
46 |
6% |
27% |
|
47 |
4% |
21% |
|
48 |
8% |
18% |
|
49 |
4% |
9% |
|
50 |
2% |
5% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
36 |
3% |
97% |
|
37 |
4% |
94% |
|
38 |
10% |
90% |
|
39 |
18% |
80% |
|
40 |
10% |
62% |
Median |
41 |
14% |
51% |
|
42 |
11% |
37% |
|
43 |
7% |
26% |
|
44 |
5% |
19% |
|
45 |
4% |
14% |
|
46 |
3% |
9% |
|
47 |
2% |
6% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–8 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 696
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.31%