Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 9–14 March 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 22.7% | 21.1–24.5% | 20.6–25.0% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.4–26.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 39–49 | 37–51 |
| Høyre | 45 | 42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–47 | 35–49 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 35 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 30–40 | 28–41 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Rødt | 1 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–8 | 0–8 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 5% | 98% | |
| 40 | 7% | 93% | |
| 41 | 15% | 87% | |
| 42 | 17% | 72% | |
| 43 | 16% | 55% | Median |
| 44 | 10% | 39% | |
| 45 | 7% | 28% | |
| 46 | 6% | 21% | |
| 47 | 6% | 15% | |
| 48 | 4% | 9% | |
| 49 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 38 | 6% | 97% | |
| 39 | 9% | 91% | |
| 40 | 13% | 82% | |
| 41 | 11% | 69% | |
| 42 | 16% | 58% | Median |
| 43 | 10% | 42% | |
| 44 | 12% | 32% | |
| 45 | 7% | 20% | Last Result |
| 46 | 4% | 13% | |
| 47 | 7% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98% | |
| 31 | 6% | 95% | |
| 32 | 6% | 89% | |
| 33 | 15% | 84% | |
| 34 | 14% | 69% | |
| 35 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 36 | 14% | 43% | |
| 37 | 7% | 29% | |
| 38 | 11% | 22% | |
| 39 | 5% | 11% | |
| 40 | 4% | 6% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 6% | 97% | |
| 20 | 8% | 91% | |
| 21 | 20% | 82% | |
| 22 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 23 | 16% | 41% | |
| 24 | 13% | 25% | |
| 25 | 5% | 12% | |
| 26 | 4% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 12 | 6% | 98% | |
| 13 | 14% | 91% | |
| 14 | 24% | 77% | |
| 15 | 24% | 53% | Median |
| 16 | 18% | 29% | |
| 17 | 5% | 11% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 40% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 59% | |
| 4 | 0% | 58% | |
| 5 | 0% | 58% | |
| 6 | 0% | 58% | |
| 7 | 4% | 58% | |
| 8 | 32% | 55% | Median |
| 9 | 16% | 23% | |
| 10 | 6% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 22% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 2 | 52% | 77% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 26% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 18% | |
| 5 | 0% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0% | 17% | |
| 7 | 3% | 17% | |
| 8 | 11% | 13% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 10% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 84% | 90% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 4% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | |
| 1 | 51% | 66% | Median |
| 2 | 12% | 15% | |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 102 | 100% | 97–108 | 96–109 | 95–110 | 93–112 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 102 | 100% | 97–106 | 96–107 | 95–108 | 92–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 99 | 100% | 94–103 | 93–104 | 91–105 | 89–107 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 96 | 100% | 92–101 | 91–102 | 90–103 | 88–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 95 | 100% | 91–100 | 90–101 | 90–103 | 87–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 93 | 99.1% | 88–98 | 87–99 | 86–100 | 84–102 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 82 | 23% | 78–86 | 76–88 | 75–89 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 79 | 6% | 75–83 | 73–85 | 73–86 | 71–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 78 | 3% | 74–83 | 72–84 | 72–85 | 70–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 70 | 0% | 66–75 | 65–76 | 64–78 | 61–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 67 | 0% | 63–72 | 62–73 | 61–74 | 59–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 66 | 0% | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–73 | 58–75 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 64 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–69 | 58–71 | 56–73 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 57 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 51–67 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 45 | 0% | 41–50 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 38–55 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 38 | 0% | 34–42 | 33–43 | 32–43 | 31–45 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 95 | 3% | 98% | |
| 96 | 2% | 96% | |
| 97 | 5% | 93% | |
| 98 | 5% | 88% | |
| 99 | 5% | 83% | |
| 100 | 8% | 78% | |
| 101 | 7% | 70% | |
| 102 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 103 | 6% | 44% | |
| 104 | 11% | 37% | |
| 105 | 4% | 26% | |
| 106 | 8% | 22% | |
| 107 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 108 | 6% | 12% | |
| 109 | 2% | 5% | |
| 110 | 2% | 3% | |
| 111 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 112 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 95 | 2% | 98% | |
| 96 | 2% | 95% | |
| 97 | 6% | 94% | |
| 98 | 5% | 87% | |
| 99 | 8% | 83% | |
| 100 | 15% | 75% | |
| 101 | 6% | 60% | |
| 102 | 12% | 54% | |
| 103 | 14% | 42% | Median |
| 104 | 9% | 28% | |
| 105 | 8% | 19% | |
| 106 | 5% | 11% | |
| 107 | 4% | 7% | |
| 108 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 91 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 92 | 2% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 95% | |
| 94 | 5% | 92% | |
| 95 | 7% | 86% | |
| 96 | 6% | 79% | |
| 97 | 7% | 73% | |
| 98 | 13% | 66% | |
| 99 | 9% | 53% | |
| 100 | 8% | 43% | |
| 101 | 12% | 35% | Median |
| 102 | 9% | 23% | |
| 103 | 6% | 14% | |
| 104 | 3% | 8% | |
| 105 | 3% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 108 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 90 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 5% | 94% | |
| 93 | 5% | 89% | |
| 94 | 11% | 84% | |
| 95 | 10% | 73% | |
| 96 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 97 | 10% | 48% | |
| 98 | 9% | 38% | |
| 99 | 8% | 30% | |
| 100 | 7% | 21% | |
| 101 | 8% | 15% | |
| 102 | 2% | 7% | |
| 103 | 2% | 5% | |
| 104 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 90 | 3% | 98% | |
| 91 | 5% | 94% | |
| 92 | 9% | 90% | |
| 93 | 7% | 81% | |
| 94 | 8% | 74% | |
| 95 | 16% | 66% | Median |
| 96 | 9% | 50% | |
| 97 | 9% | 41% | |
| 98 | 10% | 32% | |
| 99 | 5% | 22% | |
| 100 | 7% | 17% | |
| 101 | 5% | 9% | |
| 102 | 2% | 4% | |
| 103 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 99.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 3% | 95% | |
| 88 | 3% | 92% | |
| 89 | 6% | 89% | |
| 90 | 8% | 83% | |
| 91 | 9% | 75% | |
| 92 | 9% | 66% | |
| 93 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 94 | 7% | 41% | |
| 95 | 8% | 34% | |
| 96 | 9% | 25% | |
| 97 | 5% | 16% | |
| 98 | 4% | 11% | |
| 99 | 4% | 7% | |
| 100 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 102 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 103 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 97% | |
| 77 | 4% | 95% | Last Result |
| 78 | 5% | 91% | |
| 79 | 9% | 86% | |
| 80 | 7% | 77% | |
| 81 | 16% | 70% | Median |
| 82 | 12% | 54% | |
| 83 | 11% | 42% | |
| 84 | 8% | 31% | |
| 85 | 9% | 23% | Majority |
| 86 | 4% | 14% | |
| 87 | 4% | 9% | |
| 88 | 3% | 6% | |
| 89 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 5% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 93% | |
| 75 | 5% | 90% | |
| 76 | 7% | 85% | Last Result |
| 77 | 9% | 78% | |
| 78 | 10% | 69% | |
| 79 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 80 | 14% | 47% | |
| 81 | 10% | 33% | |
| 82 | 6% | 23% | |
| 83 | 8% | 17% | |
| 84 | 3% | 9% | |
| 85 | 2% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 3% | 91% | |
| 75 | 11% | 88% | |
| 76 | 5% | 76% | |
| 77 | 10% | 71% | |
| 78 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 79 | 14% | 48% | |
| 80 | 8% | 34% | |
| 81 | 8% | 25% | |
| 82 | 6% | 17% | |
| 83 | 6% | 11% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 4% | 95% | |
| 66 | 6% | 91% | |
| 67 | 9% | 85% | |
| 68 | 12% | 76% | |
| 69 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 70 | 9% | 56% | |
| 71 | 13% | 46% | |
| 72 | 7% | 33% | |
| 73 | 6% | 26% | |
| 74 | 7% | 20% | |
| 75 | 5% | 13% | |
| 76 | 3% | 8% | |
| 77 | 2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 4% | 97% | |
| 63 | 5% | 93% | |
| 64 | 8% | 88% | |
| 65 | 9% | 80% | |
| 66 | 14% | 71% | |
| 67 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 68 | 6% | 45% | |
| 69 | 15% | 39% | |
| 70 | 8% | 24% | |
| 71 | 4% | 16% | |
| 72 | 6% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 94% | |
| 63 | 7% | 89% | |
| 64 | 11% | 83% | |
| 65 | 10% | 72% | |
| 66 | 14% | 62% | Median |
| 67 | 13% | 48% | |
| 68 | 8% | 35% | |
| 69 | 9% | 27% | |
| 70 | 5% | 18% | |
| 71 | 6% | 12% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 4% | 93% | |
| 61 | 8% | 89% | |
| 62 | 10% | 82% | |
| 63 | 11% | 71% | |
| 64 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 65 | 14% | 48% | |
| 66 | 8% | 33% | |
| 67 | 9% | 26% | |
| 68 | 6% | 17% | |
| 69 | 6% | 11% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 5% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 92% | |
| 55 | 10% | 88% | |
| 56 | 7% | 78% | |
| 57 | 22% | 70% | |
| 58 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 59 | 9% | 39% | |
| 60 | 8% | 29% | Last Result |
| 61 | 8% | 22% | |
| 62 | 5% | 13% | |
| 63 | 4% | 8% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 8% | 96% | |
| 42 | 9% | 88% | |
| 43 | 12% | 79% | |
| 44 | 11% | 67% | |
| 45 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 46 | 12% | 43% | |
| 47 | 9% | 31% | |
| 48 | 9% | 22% | |
| 49 | 3% | 14% | |
| 50 | 7% | 10% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 4% | 97% | |
| 34 | 5% | 93% | |
| 35 | 8% | 89% | Last Result |
| 36 | 14% | 81% | |
| 37 | 12% | 67% | |
| 38 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 39 | 14% | 45% | |
| 40 | 8% | 31% | |
| 41 | 11% | 23% | |
| 42 | 6% | 12% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Sentio
- Commissioner(s): Amedia and Nettavisen
- Fieldwork period: 9–14 March 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.29%