Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 29 March–7 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 25.0% | 24.4% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.1% | 21.0–28.0% |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.6–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.5–24.1% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 18.8% | 17.3–20.4% | 16.8–20.9% | 16.5–21.3% | 15.8–22.1% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 10.3% | 9.1–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre | 45 | 43 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–51 |
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 39 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–44 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 35 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 14–24 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 7 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–10 |
| Rødt | 1 | 2 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 1–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 3% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 12% | 88% | |
| 42 | 9% | 76% | |
| 43 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 44 | 12% | 49% | |
| 45 | 7% | 38% | Last Result |
| 46 | 16% | 31% | |
| 47 | 4% | 15% | |
| 48 | 6% | 12% | |
| 49 | 3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 2% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 5% | 95% | |
| 35 | 4% | 90% | |
| 36 | 6% | 86% | |
| 37 | 7% | 80% | |
| 38 | 17% | 73% | |
| 39 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 40 | 13% | 33% | |
| 41 | 11% | 20% | |
| 42 | 5% | 9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 2% | 97% | |
| 31 | 16% | 95% | |
| 32 | 6% | 80% | |
| 33 | 11% | 74% | |
| 34 | 10% | 63% | |
| 35 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 36 | 26% | 41% | |
| 37 | 6% | 15% | |
| 38 | 5% | 9% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 5% | 98% | |
| 16 | 9% | 93% | |
| 17 | 11% | 85% | |
| 18 | 15% | 74% | |
| 19 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 20 | 22% | 37% | |
| 21 | 7% | 15% | |
| 22 | 5% | 7% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 12 | 3% | 98% | |
| 13 | 9% | 95% | |
| 14 | 24% | 86% | |
| 15 | 21% | 62% | Median |
| 16 | 22% | 41% | |
| 17 | 9% | 19% | |
| 18 | 5% | 10% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 20% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 4% | 79% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 74% | |
| 5 | 0% | 73% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 7 | 11% | 73% | |
| 8 | 31% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 31% | |
| 10 | 5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 15% | 92% | |
| 3 | 24% | 77% | |
| 4 | 0% | 53% | |
| 5 | 0% | 53% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 53% | |
| 7 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 8 | 31% | 44% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 13% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 54% | 99.1% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 45% | |
| 4 | 0% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0% | 45% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 45% | |
| 7 | 10% | 45% | |
| 8 | 22% | 34% | |
| 9 | 10% | 12% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 31% | 93% | |
| 2 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 104 | 100% | 98–109 | 97–111 | 96–112 | 94–114 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 100 | 100% | 95–105 | 93–106 | 92–108 | 90–109 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 99 | 100% | 95–105 | 93–106 | 92–107 | 89–109 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 95 | 99.6% | 89–99 | 88–101 | 87–102 | 85–104 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 92 | 98% | 88–98 | 87–99 | 85–101 | 83–103 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 88 | 87% | 84–93 | 83–94 | 81–95 | 79–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 86 | 61% | 79–90 | 78–92 | 77–93 | 74–95 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 78 | 7% | 74–84 | 73–85 | 71–86 | 69–87 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 77 | 2% | 70–81 | 69–82 | 68–84 | 66–86 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 73 | 0% | 69–77 | 67–78 | 67–79 | 64–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 70 | 0% | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–77 | 59–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 64 | 0% | 59–68 | 57–70 | 56–71 | 54–74 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 63 | 0% | 58–67 | 56–68 | 55–70 | 52–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 54 | 0% | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–62 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 51 | 0% | 45–55 | 45–57 | 44–58 | 42–60 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 41 | 0% | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 33–51 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 95 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 96 | 2% | 98% | |
| 97 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 98 | 8% | 95% | |
| 99 | 3% | 87% | |
| 100 | 6% | 84% | |
| 101 | 3% | 78% | |
| 102 | 9% | 75% | |
| 103 | 7% | 65% | |
| 104 | 19% | 58% | |
| 105 | 3% | 39% | |
| 106 | 16% | 36% | Median |
| 107 | 4% | 20% | Last Result |
| 108 | 5% | 17% | |
| 109 | 5% | 12% | |
| 110 | 2% | 7% | |
| 111 | 3% | 6% | |
| 112 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 92 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 93 | 2% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 94% | |
| 95 | 3% | 92% | |
| 96 | 7% | 89% | |
| 97 | 7% | 82% | |
| 98 | 5% | 75% | |
| 99 | 8% | 70% | |
| 100 | 16% | 62% | |
| 101 | 8% | 46% | |
| 102 | 13% | 38% | |
| 103 | 7% | 25% | |
| 104 | 7% | 18% | Median |
| 105 | 4% | 11% | |
| 106 | 2% | 7% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 109 | 2% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 111 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 2% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 95% | |
| 95 | 3% | 91% | |
| 96 | 15% | 88% | |
| 97 | 6% | 73% | |
| 98 | 6% | 67% | |
| 99 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 100 | 6% | 42% | |
| 101 | 6% | 36% | |
| 102 | 7% | 30% | |
| 103 | 6% | 23% | |
| 104 | 7% | 17% | |
| 105 | 3% | 10% | |
| 106 | 4% | 7% | |
| 107 | 2% | 4% | |
| 108 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 4% | 96% | |
| 89 | 2% | 92% | |
| 90 | 7% | 90% | |
| 91 | 4% | 83% | |
| 92 | 5% | 79% | |
| 93 | 5% | 75% | |
| 94 | 14% | 69% | |
| 95 | 9% | 55% | |
| 96 | 10% | 46% | |
| 97 | 17% | 36% | Median |
| 98 | 5% | 19% | |
| 99 | 4% | 14% | |
| 100 | 4% | 10% | |
| 101 | 3% | 5% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 103 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 87 | 2% | 96% | |
| 88 | 12% | 94% | |
| 89 | 5% | 82% | |
| 90 | 14% | 77% | |
| 91 | 6% | 63% | Median |
| 92 | 10% | 57% | |
| 93 | 4% | 47% | |
| 94 | 6% | 43% | |
| 95 | 11% | 37% | |
| 96 | 6% | 25% | |
| 97 | 6% | 19% | |
| 98 | 3% | 13% | |
| 99 | 5% | 10% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 102 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 103 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 80 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 82 | 2% | 97% | |
| 83 | 3% | 95% | |
| 84 | 5% | 92% | |
| 85 | 5% | 87% | Majority |
| 86 | 15% | 82% | |
| 87 | 11% | 66% | |
| 88 | 19% | 55% | |
| 89 | 8% | 37% | Median |
| 90 | 10% | 29% | |
| 91 | 4% | 20% | |
| 92 | 5% | 16% | |
| 93 | 5% | 11% | |
| 94 | 2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 77 | 3% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 96% | |
| 79 | 4% | 93% | |
| 80 | 3% | 89% | |
| 81 | 5% | 86% | |
| 82 | 6% | 81% | |
| 83 | 6% | 75% | |
| 84 | 8% | 69% | |
| 85 | 10% | 61% | Majority |
| 86 | 25% | 51% | |
| 87 | 5% | 26% | |
| 88 | 4% | 22% | |
| 89 | 4% | 17% | Median |
| 90 | 4% | 13% | |
| 91 | 3% | 9% | |
| 92 | 2% | 6% | |
| 93 | 2% | 4% | |
| 94 | 2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 73 | 4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 3% | 91% | |
| 75 | 11% | 88% | |
| 76 | 7% | 77% | Last Result |
| 77 | 16% | 71% | |
| 78 | 15% | 54% | |
| 79 | 8% | 39% | |
| 80 | 7% | 32% | |
| 81 | 5% | 25% | Median |
| 82 | 5% | 20% | |
| 83 | 5% | 15% | |
| 84 | 4% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 87 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 5% | 94% | |
| 71 | 3% | 89% | |
| 72 | 7% | 86% | |
| 73 | 6% | 79% | |
| 74 | 11% | 73% | |
| 75 | 6% | 62% | |
| 76 | 4% | 55% | |
| 77 | 10% | 52% | |
| 78 | 6% | 42% | |
| 79 | 14% | 36% | Median |
| 80 | 4% | 22% | |
| 81 | 12% | 18% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 85 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 94% | Last Result |
| 69 | 3% | 91% | |
| 70 | 14% | 88% | |
| 71 | 9% | 73% | |
| 72 | 11% | 65% | |
| 73 | 8% | 54% | |
| 74 | 20% | 46% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 26% | |
| 76 | 5% | 20% | |
| 77 | 7% | 15% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 92% | |
| 65 | 7% | 89% | |
| 66 | 6% | 81% | |
| 67 | 7% | 76% | |
| 68 | 6% | 69% | |
| 69 | 6% | 63% | |
| 70 | 20% | 57% | |
| 71 | 6% | 38% | Median |
| 72 | 6% | 32% | |
| 73 | 15% | 26% | |
| 74 | 3% | 11% | |
| 75 | 3% | 8% | |
| 76 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 3% | 94% | |
| 59 | 3% | 91% | |
| 60 | 6% | 88% | |
| 61 | 6% | 81% | |
| 62 | 8% | 75% | |
| 63 | 8% | 67% | |
| 64 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 65 | 15% | 50% | |
| 66 | 5% | 35% | |
| 67 | 16% | 29% | |
| 68 | 4% | 14% | |
| 69 | 3% | 10% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 4% | 96% | |
| 57 | 2% | 92% | |
| 58 | 7% | 90% | |
| 59 | 5% | 84% | |
| 60 | 6% | 79% | |
| 61 | 8% | 73% | |
| 62 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 63 | 16% | 54% | |
| 64 | 6% | 38% | |
| 65 | 16% | 32% | |
| 66 | 6% | 17% | |
| 67 | 3% | 11% | |
| 68 | 3% | 8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 4% | 97% | |
| 49 | 4% | 93% | |
| 50 | 4% | 89% | |
| 51 | 4% | 86% | |
| 52 | 18% | 81% | |
| 53 | 7% | 63% | |
| 54 | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 55 | 21% | 44% | |
| 56 | 10% | 24% | |
| 57 | 7% | 14% | |
| 58 | 2% | 6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 45 | 9% | 97% | |
| 46 | 4% | 88% | |
| 47 | 5% | 84% | |
| 48 | 7% | 79% | |
| 49 | 4% | 73% | |
| 50 | 7% | 69% | |
| 51 | 20% | 61% | |
| 52 | 8% | 41% | Median |
| 53 | 18% | 34% | |
| 54 | 3% | 15% | |
| 55 | 4% | 13% | |
| 56 | 2% | 9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 7% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 98% | Last Result |
| 36 | 3% | 97% | |
| 37 | 9% | 94% | |
| 38 | 7% | 85% | |
| 39 | 6% | 78% | |
| 40 | 9% | 72% | |
| 41 | 25% | 63% | |
| 42 | 7% | 38% | |
| 43 | 5% | 31% | |
| 44 | 5% | 26% | Median |
| 45 | 8% | 21% | |
| 46 | 5% | 13% | |
| 47 | 4% | 8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 29 March–7 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.13%