Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI for Dagbladet, 26–28 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.6% |
21.6–25.7% |
21.1–26.3% |
20.6–26.8% |
19.7–27.8% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.4% |
18.6–22.4% |
18.1–23.0% |
17.6–23.5% |
16.8–24.5% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
17.5% |
15.8–19.4% |
15.3–20.0% |
14.9–20.5% |
14.2–21.4% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
9.5% |
8.2–11.0% |
7.8–11.4% |
7.5–11.8% |
7.0–12.6% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.5% |
7.3–10.0% |
7.0–10.4% |
6.7–10.7% |
6.1–11.5% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.2–6.3% |
2.9–6.9% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.8–5.7% |
2.4–6.2% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.9% |
2.9–5.2% |
2.7–5.5% |
2.3–6.1% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.7% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.5–5.3% |
2.2–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
39 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
40 |
6% |
97% |
|
41 |
9% |
91% |
|
42 |
8% |
81% |
|
43 |
16% |
73% |
|
44 |
37% |
58% |
Median |
45 |
8% |
21% |
|
46 |
5% |
13% |
|
47 |
4% |
8% |
|
48 |
2% |
5% |
|
49 |
1.3% |
3% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
33 |
6% |
94% |
|
34 |
15% |
89% |
|
35 |
24% |
73% |
Median |
36 |
18% |
49% |
|
37 |
6% |
31% |
|
38 |
6% |
25% |
|
39 |
8% |
19% |
|
40 |
4% |
11% |
|
41 |
4% |
7% |
|
42 |
2% |
3% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
28 |
3% |
98% |
|
29 |
3% |
94% |
|
30 |
9% |
92% |
|
31 |
8% |
83% |
|
32 |
9% |
75% |
|
33 |
10% |
66% |
|
34 |
17% |
56% |
Median |
35 |
16% |
38% |
|
36 |
13% |
22% |
|
37 |
6% |
9% |
|
38 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
4% |
98% |
|
13 |
8% |
94% |
|
14 |
11% |
86% |
|
15 |
19% |
75% |
|
16 |
21% |
55% |
Median |
17 |
16% |
34% |
|
18 |
10% |
18% |
|
19 |
3% |
8% |
|
20 |
2% |
5% |
|
21 |
2% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.1% |
|
11 |
8% |
96% |
Last Result |
12 |
7% |
87% |
|
13 |
26% |
80% |
|
14 |
14% |
53% |
Median |
15 |
15% |
39% |
|
16 |
9% |
24% |
|
17 |
6% |
15% |
|
18 |
6% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
21% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
78% |
|
4 |
0% |
78% |
|
5 |
0% |
78% |
|
6 |
8% |
78% |
|
7 |
26% |
70% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
44% |
|
9 |
14% |
20% |
|
10 |
4% |
6% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
11% |
100% |
|
2 |
5% |
89% |
|
3 |
34% |
85% |
|
4 |
0% |
50% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
50% |
|
6 |
9% |
50% |
Median |
7 |
26% |
42% |
|
8 |
9% |
15% |
Last Result |
9 |
4% |
6% |
|
10 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
32% |
93% |
|
3 |
5% |
61% |
|
4 |
2% |
56% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
53% |
|
6 |
7% |
53% |
Median |
7 |
32% |
47% |
|
8 |
10% |
15% |
|
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
58% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
6% |
41% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
35% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
35% |
|
6 |
9% |
34% |
|
7 |
16% |
26% |
|
8 |
7% |
10% |
Last Result |
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
88 |
101 |
100% |
95–106 |
94–108 |
93–110 |
89–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
103 |
100% |
97–108 |
94–108 |
93–110 |
92–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
98 |
99.9% |
92–102 |
91–104 |
90–106 |
87–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
96 |
99.7% |
90–101 |
89–102 |
87–103 |
85–106 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
94 |
99.2% |
89–100 |
87–101 |
86–103 |
84–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
91 |
97% |
87–95 |
85–97 |
84–99 |
81–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
77 |
87 |
70% |
81–92 |
80–94 |
78–95 |
75–96 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
81 |
25% |
77–87 |
75–88 |
74–89 |
72–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
77 |
0.9% |
73–80 |
71–82 |
70–83 |
68–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre |
89 |
65 |
0% |
61–71 |
59–73 |
57–75 |
55–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
60 |
0% |
55–67 |
54–69 |
54–70 |
52–72 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
57 |
0% |
54–62 |
53–64 |
52–65 |
50–66 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
55 |
0% |
51–61 |
50–63 |
50–64 |
48–67 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
51 |
0% |
48–57 |
47–59 |
46–59 |
45–62 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
44 |
0% |
40–50 |
38–52 |
37–53 |
36–56 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
41 |
0% |
37–49 |
36–49 |
34–50 |
32–54 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
92 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
94 |
4% |
96% |
|
95 |
4% |
93% |
|
96 |
3% |
88% |
|
97 |
6% |
85% |
|
98 |
5% |
79% |
|
99 |
5% |
74% |
|
100 |
13% |
69% |
|
101 |
18% |
56% |
|
102 |
12% |
38% |
|
103 |
8% |
27% |
|
104 |
4% |
19% |
Median |
105 |
2% |
14% |
|
106 |
3% |
12% |
|
107 |
2% |
9% |
|
108 |
3% |
7% |
|
109 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
110 |
2% |
3% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
113 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
93 |
2% |
98% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
95% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
96 |
2% |
93% |
|
97 |
3% |
92% |
|
98 |
8% |
89% |
|
99 |
4% |
81% |
|
100 |
7% |
76% |
|
101 |
9% |
70% |
|
102 |
6% |
61% |
|
103 |
12% |
54% |
|
104 |
7% |
42% |
|
105 |
15% |
36% |
Median |
106 |
6% |
21% |
|
107 |
4% |
15% |
|
108 |
6% |
10% |
|
109 |
2% |
5% |
|
110 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
111 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
112 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
114 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
90 |
3% |
98% |
|
91 |
3% |
95% |
|
92 |
3% |
92% |
|
93 |
3% |
89% |
|
94 |
5% |
86% |
|
95 |
7% |
82% |
|
96 |
13% |
75% |
|
97 |
5% |
61% |
|
98 |
18% |
56% |
|
99 |
11% |
38% |
Median |
100 |
8% |
27% |
|
101 |
7% |
19% |
|
102 |
4% |
12% |
|
103 |
2% |
8% |
|
104 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
105 |
2% |
5% |
|
106 |
2% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
108 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
110 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
87 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
89 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
90 |
5% |
95% |
|
91 |
4% |
90% |
|
92 |
7% |
86% |
|
93 |
8% |
79% |
|
94 |
6% |
70% |
|
95 |
10% |
65% |
|
96 |
10% |
55% |
|
97 |
4% |
45% |
|
98 |
17% |
40% |
Median |
99 |
9% |
24% |
|
100 |
3% |
14% |
|
101 |
5% |
12% |
|
102 |
3% |
7% |
|
103 |
2% |
4% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
87 |
3% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
94% |
|
89 |
5% |
92% |
|
90 |
18% |
86% |
|
91 |
5% |
69% |
|
92 |
6% |
63% |
|
93 |
5% |
57% |
Median |
94 |
7% |
52% |
|
95 |
6% |
45% |
|
96 |
10% |
39% |
|
97 |
9% |
30% |
|
98 |
5% |
20% |
|
99 |
4% |
15% |
|
100 |
4% |
11% |
|
101 |
2% |
7% |
|
102 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
103 |
2% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
105 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
83 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
84 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
85 |
4% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
93% |
|
87 |
2% |
91% |
|
88 |
12% |
89% |
|
89 |
6% |
77% |
|
90 |
10% |
71% |
|
91 |
24% |
61% |
|
92 |
12% |
37% |
Median |
93 |
7% |
25% |
|
94 |
6% |
18% |
|
95 |
3% |
12% |
|
96 |
3% |
10% |
|
97 |
3% |
7% |
|
98 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
100 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
79 |
2% |
97% |
|
80 |
4% |
95% |
|
81 |
2% |
91% |
|
82 |
5% |
89% |
|
83 |
8% |
84% |
|
84 |
6% |
76% |
|
85 |
4% |
70% |
Majority |
86 |
9% |
66% |
|
87 |
13% |
57% |
|
88 |
15% |
44% |
|
89 |
8% |
29% |
|
90 |
5% |
21% |
Median |
91 |
4% |
16% |
|
92 |
4% |
12% |
|
93 |
2% |
8% |
|
94 |
2% |
6% |
|
95 |
2% |
4% |
|
96 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
4% |
94% |
Last Result |
77 |
3% |
90% |
|
78 |
6% |
87% |
|
79 |
5% |
81% |
|
80 |
12% |
76% |
|
81 |
17% |
64% |
|
82 |
6% |
47% |
|
83 |
9% |
41% |
|
84 |
7% |
32% |
Median |
85 |
5% |
25% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
20% |
|
87 |
7% |
13% |
|
88 |
3% |
7% |
|
89 |
2% |
4% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
69 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
71 |
3% |
97% |
|
72 |
3% |
94% |
|
73 |
8% |
91% |
|
74 |
6% |
83% |
|
75 |
9% |
77% |
|
76 |
10% |
68% |
|
77 |
9% |
58% |
|
78 |
17% |
49% |
Median |
79 |
11% |
32% |
|
80 |
12% |
21% |
|
81 |
4% |
9% |
|
82 |
3% |
5% |
|
83 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
58 |
2% |
97% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
60 |
3% |
94% |
|
61 |
8% |
91% |
|
62 |
7% |
83% |
|
63 |
19% |
77% |
|
64 |
7% |
58% |
|
65 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
66 |
7% |
46% |
|
67 |
11% |
39% |
|
68 |
6% |
28% |
|
69 |
3% |
22% |
|
70 |
6% |
19% |
|
71 |
4% |
13% |
|
72 |
3% |
9% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
98.9% |
|
54 |
6% |
98% |
|
55 |
3% |
92% |
|
56 |
14% |
89% |
|
57 |
4% |
75% |
|
58 |
6% |
71% |
|
59 |
5% |
64% |
Median |
60 |
12% |
60% |
|
61 |
10% |
47% |
|
62 |
5% |
37% |
|
63 |
7% |
32% |
|
64 |
5% |
24% |
|
65 |
5% |
19% |
|
66 |
4% |
14% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
68 |
4% |
9% |
|
69 |
2% |
5% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
2% |
98% |
|
53 |
3% |
96% |
|
54 |
3% |
93% |
|
55 |
12% |
90% |
|
56 |
9% |
78% |
|
57 |
26% |
68% |
|
58 |
14% |
42% |
Median |
59 |
7% |
28% |
|
60 |
6% |
21% |
Last Result |
61 |
4% |
15% |
|
62 |
2% |
10% |
|
63 |
3% |
8% |
|
64 |
2% |
6% |
|
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
50 |
4% |
98% |
|
51 |
6% |
93% |
|
52 |
4% |
87% |
|
53 |
23% |
83% |
Median |
54 |
9% |
60% |
|
55 |
7% |
51% |
|
56 |
5% |
44% |
|
57 |
11% |
39% |
|
58 |
5% |
28% |
|
59 |
5% |
24% |
|
60 |
6% |
19% |
|
61 |
4% |
13% |
|
62 |
3% |
9% |
|
63 |
2% |
6% |
|
64 |
2% |
4% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
2% |
98% |
|
47 |
4% |
97% |
|
48 |
10% |
93% |
|
49 |
9% |
83% |
|
50 |
7% |
73% |
|
51 |
25% |
66% |
Median |
52 |
8% |
42% |
|
53 |
6% |
33% |
|
54 |
5% |
28% |
|
55 |
8% |
23% |
|
56 |
3% |
15% |
|
57 |
6% |
12% |
|
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
3% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
38 |
4% |
97% |
|
39 |
2% |
93% |
|
40 |
5% |
91% |
|
41 |
13% |
86% |
|
42 |
4% |
73% |
|
43 |
9% |
69% |
Median |
44 |
12% |
60% |
|
45 |
5% |
48% |
|
46 |
9% |
43% |
|
47 |
10% |
34% |
|
48 |
5% |
24% |
|
49 |
5% |
19% |
|
50 |
4% |
14% |
|
51 |
4% |
10% |
|
52 |
2% |
6% |
|
53 |
2% |
4% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
97% |
Last Result |
36 |
2% |
96% |
|
37 |
6% |
94% |
|
38 |
6% |
88% |
|
39 |
21% |
82% |
|
40 |
6% |
61% |
|
41 |
6% |
55% |
|
42 |
6% |
49% |
Median |
43 |
5% |
44% |
|
44 |
6% |
39% |
|
45 |
9% |
33% |
|
46 |
6% |
24% |
|
47 |
4% |
18% |
|
48 |
4% |
14% |
|
49 |
7% |
11% |
|
50 |
2% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos MMI
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 26–28 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 730
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.25%