Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI for Dagbladet, 24–26 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
25.7% |
23.7–27.8% |
23.1–28.4% |
22.6–29.0% |
21.7–30.0% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
21.1% |
19.3–23.1% |
18.7–23.7% |
18.3–24.2% |
17.4–25.2% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
16.4% |
14.7–18.2% |
14.3–18.7% |
13.9–19.2% |
13.1–20.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.1% |
8.8–11.7% |
8.5–12.1% |
8.2–12.5% |
7.6–13.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
7.6% |
6.4–9.0% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.9–9.7% |
5.4–10.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.9% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.4–6.5% |
3.0–7.1% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.9–5.7% |
2.5–6.3% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.2–4.8% |
1.9–5.3% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.6–4.0% |
1.4–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
1.5% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
5% |
98% |
|
43 |
4% |
93% |
|
44 |
25% |
89% |
|
45 |
18% |
64% |
Median |
46 |
11% |
46% |
|
47 |
11% |
36% |
|
48 |
4% |
25% |
|
49 |
3% |
21% |
Last Result |
50 |
5% |
18% |
|
51 |
5% |
13% |
|
52 |
3% |
8% |
|
53 |
3% |
5% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
3% |
98% |
|
34 |
8% |
95% |
|
35 |
12% |
87% |
|
36 |
11% |
75% |
|
37 |
12% |
64% |
|
38 |
12% |
53% |
Median |
39 |
14% |
40% |
|
40 |
11% |
26% |
|
41 |
10% |
15% |
|
42 |
3% |
5% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
25 |
3% |
98% |
|
26 |
7% |
95% |
|
27 |
5% |
88% |
|
28 |
7% |
83% |
|
29 |
14% |
76% |
|
30 |
8% |
63% |
|
31 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
32 |
9% |
47% |
|
33 |
17% |
38% |
|
34 |
8% |
20% |
|
35 |
8% |
12% |
|
36 |
3% |
4% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
2% |
98% |
|
14 |
5% |
96% |
|
15 |
6% |
91% |
|
16 |
22% |
84% |
|
17 |
19% |
62% |
Median |
18 |
16% |
43% |
|
19 |
11% |
27% |
|
20 |
6% |
17% |
|
21 |
5% |
10% |
|
22 |
4% |
6% |
|
23 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
10 |
9% |
96% |
|
11 |
19% |
86% |
Last Result |
12 |
26% |
67% |
Median |
13 |
13% |
41% |
|
14 |
13% |
28% |
|
15 |
6% |
15% |
|
16 |
4% |
8% |
|
17 |
3% |
4% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
2% |
93% |
|
4 |
1.0% |
91% |
|
5 |
0% |
90% |
|
6 |
2% |
90% |
|
7 |
24% |
88% |
|
8 |
30% |
64% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
34% |
|
10 |
6% |
11% |
|
11 |
5% |
6% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
40% |
98% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
58% |
|
4 |
0% |
58% |
|
5 |
0% |
58% |
|
6 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
7 |
25% |
50% |
|
8 |
19% |
25% |
|
9 |
4% |
7% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
40% |
98% |
|
2 |
16% |
57% |
Median |
3 |
28% |
41% |
|
4 |
0% |
13% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
6 |
5% |
13% |
|
7 |
6% |
8% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
6% |
100% |
|
1 |
21% |
94% |
|
2 |
69% |
73% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
5% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
7 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
102 |
100% |
97–107 |
96–109 |
94–111 |
92–115 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
99 |
100% |
95–104 |
94–106 |
93–109 |
90–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
97 |
99.9% |
92–101 |
91–103 |
90–105 |
87–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
94 |
99.7% |
90–99 |
90–101 |
89–104 |
86–107 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
90 |
93% |
85–95 |
84–97 |
82–98 |
79–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
89 |
93% |
85–93 |
84–95 |
83–97 |
81–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
87 |
77% |
83–92 |
81–94 |
80–95 |
76–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
79 |
8% |
75–84 |
74–86 |
73–87 |
71–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
77 |
1.3% |
73–81 |
72–82 |
71–83 |
68–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
72 |
0.3% |
67–76 |
65–78 |
64–80 |
62–84 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
67 |
0% |
63–71 |
62–73 |
60–75 |
57–79 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
58 |
0% |
55–64 |
54–66 |
53–67 |
52–69 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
59 |
0% |
55–64 |
54–66 |
53–67 |
51–71 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
57 |
0% |
53–61 |
52–62 |
50–64 |
49–67 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
55 |
0% |
51–59 |
50–60 |
49–62 |
47–65 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
42 |
0% |
38–46 |
37–48 |
36–49 |
35–51 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
35 |
0% |
30–40 |
29–41 |
28–43 |
26–45 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
93 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
95 |
2% |
97% |
|
96 |
2% |
96% |
|
97 |
5% |
94% |
|
98 |
4% |
89% |
|
99 |
6% |
85% |
|
100 |
8% |
79% |
|
101 |
8% |
71% |
|
102 |
17% |
63% |
Median |
103 |
15% |
46% |
|
104 |
6% |
31% |
|
105 |
8% |
26% |
|
106 |
6% |
18% |
|
107 |
5% |
12% |
|
108 |
2% |
7% |
|
109 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
110 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
111 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
112 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
117 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
118 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
92 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
93 |
2% |
98% |
|
94 |
3% |
96% |
|
95 |
4% |
93% |
|
96 |
7% |
89% |
|
97 |
9% |
82% |
|
98 |
14% |
73% |
Median |
99 |
15% |
59% |
|
100 |
8% |
44% |
|
101 |
7% |
36% |
|
102 |
9% |
29% |
|
103 |
7% |
20% |
|
104 |
5% |
13% |
|
105 |
2% |
8% |
|
106 |
2% |
6% |
|
107 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
108 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
109 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
110 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
115 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
90 |
2% |
98% |
|
91 |
4% |
96% |
|
92 |
3% |
92% |
|
93 |
4% |
89% |
|
94 |
5% |
84% |
|
95 |
11% |
79% |
|
96 |
9% |
68% |
Median |
97 |
12% |
58% |
|
98 |
12% |
47% |
|
99 |
8% |
34% |
|
100 |
12% |
26% |
|
101 |
5% |
15% |
|
102 |
3% |
9% |
|
103 |
2% |
6% |
|
104 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
105 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
89 |
2% |
98% |
|
90 |
7% |
95% |
|
91 |
7% |
88% |
|
92 |
7% |
81% |
|
93 |
14% |
74% |
|
94 |
11% |
60% |
Median |
95 |
14% |
49% |
|
96 |
8% |
35% |
|
97 |
8% |
27% |
|
98 |
8% |
18% |
|
99 |
2% |
10% |
|
100 |
2% |
8% |
|
101 |
2% |
6% |
|
102 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
105 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
107 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
82 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
83 |
2% |
97% |
|
84 |
3% |
95% |
|
85 |
5% |
93% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
88% |
|
87 |
8% |
83% |
|
88 |
7% |
75% |
|
89 |
10% |
68% |
|
90 |
14% |
58% |
Median |
91 |
8% |
44% |
|
92 |
12% |
35% |
|
93 |
6% |
24% |
|
94 |
5% |
18% |
|
95 |
6% |
13% |
|
96 |
2% |
7% |
|
97 |
2% |
5% |
|
98 |
2% |
4% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0% |
100% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
83 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
84 |
3% |
96% |
|
85 |
5% |
93% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
88% |
|
87 |
12% |
84% |
|
88 |
9% |
72% |
Median |
89 |
13% |
63% |
|
90 |
13% |
50% |
|
91 |
15% |
37% |
|
92 |
8% |
22% |
|
93 |
5% |
14% |
|
94 |
2% |
9% |
|
95 |
2% |
7% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
97 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
100 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
81 |
4% |
97% |
|
82 |
1.5% |
93% |
|
83 |
7% |
91% |
|
84 |
8% |
85% |
|
85 |
11% |
77% |
Majority |
86 |
10% |
66% |
Median |
87 |
13% |
56% |
|
88 |
11% |
44% |
|
89 |
7% |
33% |
|
90 |
8% |
26% |
|
91 |
6% |
19% |
|
92 |
4% |
13% |
|
93 |
3% |
8% |
|
94 |
2% |
5% |
|
95 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
98 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
74 |
3% |
97% |
|
75 |
5% |
94% |
|
76 |
7% |
89% |
Last Result |
77 |
15% |
82% |
|
78 |
7% |
67% |
Median |
79 |
15% |
61% |
|
80 |
11% |
46% |
|
81 |
9% |
35% |
|
82 |
7% |
26% |
|
83 |
7% |
19% |
|
84 |
4% |
12% |
|
85 |
2% |
8% |
Majority |
86 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
72 |
3% |
96% |
|
73 |
8% |
93% |
|
74 |
8% |
85% |
|
75 |
11% |
78% |
|
76 |
10% |
67% |
Median |
77 |
10% |
57% |
|
78 |
16% |
46% |
|
79 |
9% |
31% |
|
80 |
9% |
22% |
|
81 |
6% |
13% |
|
82 |
3% |
7% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
2% |
94% |
|
67 |
7% |
92% |
|
68 |
8% |
85% |
|
69 |
9% |
77% |
|
70 |
10% |
68% |
|
71 |
7% |
59% |
Median |
72 |
16% |
52% |
|
73 |
8% |
36% |
|
74 |
8% |
28% |
|
75 |
6% |
20% |
|
76 |
5% |
14% |
|
77 |
3% |
9% |
|
78 |
2% |
7% |
|
79 |
2% |
5% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
84 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
61 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
62 |
4% |
95% |
|
63 |
9% |
92% |
|
64 |
9% |
83% |
|
65 |
9% |
74% |
|
66 |
10% |
65% |
|
67 |
15% |
55% |
Median |
68 |
10% |
41% |
|
69 |
8% |
30% |
|
70 |
6% |
23% |
|
71 |
8% |
16% |
|
72 |
4% |
9% |
|
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
53 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
54 |
5% |
97% |
|
55 |
6% |
91% |
|
56 |
18% |
85% |
|
57 |
13% |
67% |
Median |
58 |
13% |
55% |
|
59 |
9% |
42% |
|
60 |
6% |
33% |
Last Result |
61 |
5% |
27% |
|
62 |
6% |
22% |
|
63 |
5% |
16% |
|
64 |
3% |
11% |
|
65 |
3% |
8% |
|
66 |
2% |
5% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
5% |
96% |
|
55 |
6% |
91% |
|
56 |
8% |
85% |
|
57 |
6% |
77% |
|
58 |
13% |
71% |
|
59 |
17% |
58% |
Median |
60 |
9% |
41% |
|
61 |
5% |
32% |
|
62 |
9% |
27% |
|
63 |
5% |
18% |
|
64 |
4% |
12% |
|
65 |
3% |
8% |
|
66 |
2% |
5% |
|
67 |
2% |
4% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
51 |
2% |
97% |
|
52 |
5% |
95% |
|
53 |
4% |
90% |
|
54 |
9% |
86% |
|
55 |
11% |
76% |
|
56 |
9% |
66% |
|
57 |
19% |
56% |
Median |
58 |
9% |
37% |
|
59 |
10% |
29% |
|
60 |
6% |
19% |
|
61 |
7% |
13% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
2% |
98% |
|
50 |
4% |
96% |
|
51 |
4% |
91% |
|
52 |
11% |
88% |
|
53 |
9% |
77% |
|
54 |
7% |
68% |
|
55 |
16% |
60% |
Median |
56 |
13% |
44% |
|
57 |
12% |
31% |
|
58 |
6% |
19% |
|
59 |
6% |
13% |
|
60 |
3% |
7% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
37 |
4% |
96% |
|
38 |
10% |
92% |
|
39 |
7% |
82% |
|
40 |
10% |
75% |
|
41 |
8% |
65% |
|
42 |
17% |
58% |
Median |
43 |
11% |
41% |
|
44 |
13% |
31% |
|
45 |
6% |
18% |
|
46 |
5% |
12% |
|
47 |
2% |
8% |
|
48 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
49 |
2% |
4% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
29 |
2% |
96% |
|
30 |
4% |
94% |
|
31 |
6% |
89% |
|
32 |
11% |
84% |
|
33 |
7% |
73% |
|
34 |
8% |
66% |
|
35 |
13% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
36 |
10% |
45% |
|
37 |
11% |
35% |
|
38 |
7% |
24% |
|
39 |
6% |
17% |
|
40 |
4% |
11% |
|
41 |
2% |
7% |
|
42 |
2% |
5% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos MMI
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 24–26 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 740
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.84%