Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 25–31 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 24.6% | 23.0–26.3% | 22.6–26.7% | 22.2–27.1% | 21.5–28.0% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 18.2% | 16.9–19.8% | 16.5–20.2% | 16.1–20.5% | 15.5–21.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 17.6% | 16.2–19.1% | 15.8–19.5% | 15.5–19.8% | 14.9–20.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 9.8% | 8.8–11.0% | 8.5–11.4% | 8.3–11.7% | 7.8–12.3% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6–9.7% | 7.3–10.0% | 7.1–10.3% | 6.7–10.9% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 6.5% | 5.7–7.6% | 5.5–7.8% | 5.3–8.1% | 4.9–8.6% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.1–6.3% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.1–5.4% | 2.8–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.2–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 42–47 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 39–51 |
| Høyre | 45 | 33 | 29–35 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 27–38 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 33 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 26–39 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| Rødt | 1 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 98% | |
| 42 | 9% | 96% | |
| 43 | 9% | 87% | |
| 44 | 35% | 78% | Median |
| 45 | 22% | 44% | |
| 46 | 8% | 21% | |
| 47 | 6% | 14% | |
| 48 | 3% | 7% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 17% | 97% | |
| 30 | 9% | 81% | |
| 31 | 11% | 71% | |
| 32 | 10% | 61% | |
| 33 | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 34 | 13% | 33% | |
| 35 | 14% | 21% | |
| 36 | 4% | 6% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 2% | 97% | |
| 30 | 9% | 94% | |
| 31 | 10% | 86% | |
| 32 | 15% | 76% | |
| 33 | 18% | 61% | Median |
| 34 | 16% | 43% | |
| 35 | 11% | 28% | |
| 36 | 14% | 16% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 9% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 9% | 90% | |
| 16 | 19% | 81% | |
| 17 | 29% | 62% | Median |
| 18 | 13% | 33% | |
| 19 | 11% | 20% | |
| 20 | 6% | 9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 12 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 9% | 94% | |
| 14 | 23% | 85% | |
| 15 | 29% | 61% | Median |
| 16 | 16% | 32% | |
| 17 | 10% | 16% | |
| 18 | 4% | 6% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 9 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 10 | 28% | 93% | |
| 11 | 22% | 65% | Median |
| 12 | 22% | 43% | |
| 13 | 13% | 20% | |
| 14 | 6% | 8% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 2% | 86% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 5 | 0% | 84% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 84% | |
| 7 | 25% | 84% | |
| 8 | 34% | 59% | Median |
| 9 | 19% | 25% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 39% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 61% | |
| 4 | 0% | 61% | |
| 5 | 0% | 61% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 61% | |
| 7 | 26% | 61% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 35% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 7% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 31% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 11% | 69% | |
| 3 | 34% | 58% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 24% | |
| 6 | 2% | 24% | |
| 7 | 19% | 22% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 110 | 100% | 107–116 | 105–116 | 104–117 | 103–120 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 103 | 100% | 100–108 | 99–109 | 98–110 | 97–112 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 103 | 100% | 99–107 | 97–108 | 95–109 | 94–111 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 100 | 100% | 96–104 | 94–105 | 93–105 | 91–108 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 92 | 99.8% | 89–96 | 88–97 | 87–98 | 85–100 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 91 | 97% | 87–95 | 86–96 | 84–97 | 82–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 88 | 81% | 83–92 | 82–93 | 81–94 | 78–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 81 | 16% | 76–85 | 75–86 | 74–88 | 72–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 62 | 78 | 2% | 74–82 | 73–83 | 72–84 | 69–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 77 | 0.6% | 74–81 | 74–83 | 72–83 | 71–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–72 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 56–64 | 55–65 | 54–67 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 58 | 0% | 53–62 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 49–66 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 54 | 0% | 50–59 | 49–60 | 49–61 | 47–63 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 49 | 0% | 45–53 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 41 | 0% | 36–47 | 35–48 | 34–49 | 32–50 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 42 | 0% | 36–46 | 35–47 | 34–48 | 33–49 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0% | 100% | |
| 98 | 0% | 100% | |
| 99 | 0% | 100% | |
| 100 | 0% | 100% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 102 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 103 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 104 | 2% | 98% | |
| 105 | 2% | 96% | |
| 106 | 3% | 94% | |
| 107 | 4% | 91% | |
| 108 | 6% | 87% | |
| 109 | 15% | 80% | |
| 110 | 17% | 66% | |
| 111 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 112 | 13% | 43% | |
| 113 | 8% | 30% | |
| 114 | 7% | 23% | |
| 115 | 4% | 16% | |
| 116 | 8% | 12% | |
| 117 | 3% | 4% | |
| 118 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 119 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 120 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 121 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 122 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 99 | 4% | 96% | |
| 100 | 6% | 93% | |
| 101 | 14% | 87% | |
| 102 | 7% | 73% | |
| 103 | 17% | 66% | Median |
| 104 | 10% | 49% | |
| 105 | 9% | 39% | |
| 106 | 9% | 30% | |
| 107 | 7% | 22% | |
| 108 | 9% | 15% | |
| 109 | 2% | 6% | |
| 110 | 3% | 4% | |
| 111 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 113 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 94 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 97 | 3% | 96% | |
| 98 | 3% | 93% | |
| 99 | 3% | 91% | |
| 100 | 16% | 87% | |
| 101 | 8% | 71% | |
| 102 | 9% | 63% | |
| 103 | 10% | 54% | Median |
| 104 | 7% | 45% | |
| 105 | 10% | 38% | |
| 106 | 12% | 28% | |
| 107 | 9% | 15% | |
| 108 | 3% | 7% | |
| 109 | 3% | 4% | |
| 110 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 93 | 3% | 98% | |
| 94 | 2% | 95% | |
| 95 | 3% | 94% | |
| 96 | 6% | 91% | |
| 97 | 5% | 84% | |
| 98 | 11% | 80% | |
| 99 | 18% | 68% | |
| 100 | 15% | 50% | Median |
| 101 | 7% | 35% | |
| 102 | 6% | 28% | |
| 103 | 10% | 21% | |
| 104 | 5% | 11% | |
| 105 | 3% | 6% | |
| 106 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 87 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 88 | 5% | 97% | |
| 89 | 9% | 93% | |
| 90 | 7% | 84% | |
| 91 | 16% | 77% | |
| 92 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 93 | 15% | 49% | |
| 94 | 7% | 35% | |
| 95 | 13% | 27% | |
| 96 | 7% | 15% | |
| 97 | 4% | 8% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 95% | |
| 87 | 6% | 93% | |
| 88 | 7% | 87% | |
| 89 | 13% | 79% | |
| 90 | 13% | 67% | |
| 91 | 8% | 54% | |
| 92 | 17% | 46% | |
| 93 | 4% | 29% | Median |
| 94 | 8% | 25% | |
| 95 | 8% | 16% | |
| 96 | 4% | 9% | |
| 97 | 3% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 100 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 81 | 2% | 98% | |
| 82 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 83 | 8% | 94% | |
| 84 | 5% | 86% | |
| 85 | 8% | 81% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 73% | |
| 87 | 6% | 65% | |
| 88 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 89 | 10% | 47% | |
| 90 | 8% | 37% | |
| 91 | 9% | 29% | |
| 92 | 11% | 20% | |
| 93 | 5% | 9% | |
| 94 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 95 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 96 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 6% | 94% | Last Result |
| 77 | 10% | 88% | |
| 78 | 9% | 78% | |
| 79 | 3% | 70% | |
| 80 | 12% | 67% | Median |
| 81 | 9% | 55% | |
| 82 | 11% | 46% | |
| 83 | 10% | 35% | |
| 84 | 9% | 25% | |
| 85 | 10% | 16% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 6% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 4% | 95% | |
| 74 | 8% | 91% | |
| 75 | 9% | 83% | |
| 76 | 4% | 74% | |
| 77 | 17% | 70% | |
| 78 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 79 | 13% | 45% | |
| 80 | 13% | 32% | |
| 81 | 7% | 20% | |
| 82 | 6% | 13% | |
| 83 | 3% | 7% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 2% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 97% | |
| 74 | 8% | 95% | |
| 75 | 11% | 87% | |
| 76 | 11% | 77% | |
| 77 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 78 | 15% | 48% | |
| 79 | 8% | 33% | |
| 80 | 10% | 25% | |
| 81 | 8% | 15% | |
| 82 | 2% | 7% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 96% | |
| 61 | 9% | 94% | |
| 62 | 7% | 85% | |
| 63 | 9% | 78% | |
| 64 | 9% | 69% | |
| 65 | 10% | 60% | |
| 66 | 17% | 50% | |
| 67 | 7% | 33% | |
| 68 | 13% | 26% | Median |
| 69 | 6% | 13% | |
| 70 | 3% | 7% | |
| 71 | 3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 8% | 97% | |
| 57 | 9% | 89% | |
| 58 | 13% | 80% | |
| 59 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 60 | 19% | 47% | Last Result |
| 61 | 9% | 28% | |
| 62 | 10% | 19% | |
| 63 | 3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | |
| 53 | 8% | 95% | |
| 54 | 4% | 87% | |
| 55 | 7% | 83% | |
| 56 | 8% | 76% | |
| 57 | 13% | 68% | |
| 58 | 6% | 56% | |
| 59 | 17% | 50% | |
| 60 | 15% | 33% | Median |
| 61 | 6% | 19% | |
| 62 | 4% | 13% | |
| 63 | 3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 50 | 7% | 95% | |
| 51 | 5% | 88% | |
| 52 | 9% | 83% | |
| 53 | 12% | 73% | |
| 54 | 12% | 61% | |
| 55 | 11% | 49% | |
| 56 | 6% | 38% | |
| 57 | 7% | 32% | Median |
| 58 | 10% | 25% | |
| 59 | 10% | 15% | |
| 60 | 2% | 5% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 11% | 97% | |
| 46 | 7% | 86% | |
| 47 | 11% | 79% | |
| 48 | 10% | 69% | |
| 49 | 11% | 58% | |
| 50 | 11% | 47% | Median |
| 51 | 12% | 36% | |
| 52 | 10% | 24% | |
| 53 | 7% | 14% | |
| 54 | 3% | 7% | |
| 55 | 2% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 3% | 97% | Last Result |
| 36 | 6% | 94% | |
| 37 | 5% | 88% | |
| 38 | 9% | 83% | |
| 39 | 4% | 74% | |
| 40 | 10% | 70% | |
| 41 | 11% | 60% | |
| 42 | 4% | 49% | |
| 43 | 7% | 45% | Median |
| 44 | 6% | 38% | |
| 45 | 8% | 32% | |
| 46 | 10% | 24% | |
| 47 | 7% | 14% | |
| 48 | 4% | 7% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 35 | 4% | 97% | |
| 36 | 6% | 92% | |
| 37 | 5% | 86% | |
| 38 | 10% | 81% | |
| 39 | 8% | 72% | |
| 40 | 7% | 64% | |
| 41 | 6% | 57% | |
| 42 | 11% | 51% | |
| 43 | 18% | 40% | Median |
| 44 | 9% | 22% | |
| 45 | 3% | 14% | |
| 46 | 3% | 10% | |
| 47 | 4% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 25–31 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1179
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.75%