Opinion Poll by Norstat for NRK, 25–31 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 24.7% | 22.9–26.5% | 22.4–27.0% | 22.0–27.5% | 21.2–28.4% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 21.2% | 19.6–23.0% | 19.1–23.5% | 18.7–23.9% | 18.0–24.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 17.0% | 15.5–18.7% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.7–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 10.7% | 9.5–12.1% | 9.2–12.5% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.4–13.5% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.3–9.7% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.2–8.1% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.2–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 40–52 | 39–53 |
| Høyre | 45 | 38 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–46 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 33 | 28–36 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 25–38 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 19 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 14–25 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| Rødt | 1 | 11 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 2–15 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 1–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–7 | 0–8 | 0–8 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 10% | 94% | |
| 42 | 10% | 84% | |
| 43 | 10% | 74% | |
| 44 | 21% | 64% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 43% | |
| 46 | 12% | 34% | |
| 47 | 6% | 22% | |
| 48 | 5% | 17% | |
| 49 | 5% | 12% | Last Result |
| 50 | 2% | 7% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 4% | 96% | |
| 35 | 14% | 92% | |
| 36 | 13% | 78% | |
| 37 | 9% | 65% | |
| 38 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 39 | 9% | 42% | |
| 40 | 8% | 33% | |
| 41 | 12% | 25% | |
| 42 | 5% | 13% | |
| 43 | 4% | 8% | |
| 44 | 2% | 5% | |
| 45 | 1.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 4% | 97% | |
| 28 | 5% | 93% | |
| 29 | 7% | 89% | |
| 30 | 8% | 82% | |
| 31 | 9% | 74% | |
| 32 | 12% | 64% | |
| 33 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 34 | 14% | 38% | |
| 35 | 13% | 24% | |
| 36 | 8% | 11% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 6% | 98% | |
| 17 | 11% | 91% | |
| 18 | 19% | 80% | |
| 19 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 20 | 13% | 47% | |
| 21 | 10% | 34% | |
| 22 | 12% | 24% | |
| 23 | 7% | 12% | |
| 24 | 4% | 5% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 13% | 94% | Last Result |
| 12 | 22% | 81% | |
| 13 | 25% | 59% | Median |
| 14 | 13% | 34% | |
| 15 | 13% | 21% | |
| 16 | 6% | 9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 9 | 21% | 94% | |
| 10 | 23% | 73% | |
| 11 | 26% | 51% | Median |
| 12 | 12% | 24% | |
| 13 | 9% | 12% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 25% | 98% | |
| 3 | 9% | 73% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 63% | |
| 5 | 0% | 63% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 63% | |
| 7 | 13% | 63% | |
| 8 | 29% | 50% | Median |
| 9 | 16% | 21% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 2 | 80% | 93% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 13% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 11% | |
| 5 | 0% | 11% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 7 | 6% | 11% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 100% | |
| 1 | 49% | 97% | Median |
| 2 | 22% | 48% | |
| 3 | 18% | 26% | |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 7 | 5% | 7% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 106 | 100% | 101–112 | 100–113 | 99–113 | 97–115 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 101 | 100% | 95–105 | 94–107 | 92–109 | 91–111 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 98 | 100% | 93–103 | 91–104 | 90–105 | 88–107 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 96 | 99.9% | 91–101 | 89–102 | 88–103 | 86–105 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 95 | 99.6% | 89–100 | 87–101 | 86–102 | 85–103 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 90 | 92% | 85–94 | 84–96 | 82–97 | 80–100 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 85 | 56% | 80–90 | 78–91 | 77–92 | 74–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 79 | 7% | 74–83 | 73–85 | 72–86 | 70–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 77 | 1.2% | 72–81 | 71–82 | 70–84 | 68–86 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 68 | 0% | 63–74 | 61–75 | 60–77 | 58–78 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 62 | 0% | 57–68 | 56–69 | 55–70 | 53–72 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 60 | 0% | 55–65 | 54–66 | 53–67 | 51–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 57 | 0% | 53–62 | 53–64 | 52–65 | 50–66 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 57 | 0% | 53–63 | 52–64 | 51–65 | 49–67 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 43 | 0% | 38–47 | 38–49 | 37–50 | 35–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 37 | 0% | 32–41 | 31–42 | 30–44 | 29–46 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 97 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 98 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 99 | 2% | 98% | |
| 100 | 4% | 96% | |
| 101 | 4% | 93% | |
| 102 | 4% | 88% | |
| 103 | 8% | 84% | |
| 104 | 8% | 76% | |
| 105 | 11% | 68% | |
| 106 | 8% | 57% | |
| 107 | 8% | 49% | |
| 108 | 9% | 41% | |
| 109 | 10% | 32% | Median |
| 110 | 8% | 23% | |
| 111 | 3% | 15% | |
| 112 | 4% | 12% | |
| 113 | 5% | 8% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 115 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 116 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 94 | 3% | 96% | |
| 95 | 6% | 93% | |
| 96 | 5% | 87% | |
| 97 | 6% | 82% | |
| 98 | 6% | 75% | |
| 99 | 8% | 70% | |
| 100 | 11% | 61% | |
| 101 | 13% | 51% | Median |
| 102 | 8% | 38% | |
| 103 | 8% | 30% | |
| 104 | 7% | 22% | |
| 105 | 6% | 15% | |
| 106 | 2% | 9% | |
| 107 | 2% | 7% | |
| 108 | 2% | 5% | |
| 109 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 110 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 3% | 94% | |
| 93 | 4% | 91% | |
| 94 | 7% | 87% | |
| 95 | 8% | 80% | |
| 96 | 9% | 72% | |
| 97 | 8% | 63% | |
| 98 | 9% | 56% | |
| 99 | 9% | 46% | Median |
| 100 | 10% | 37% | |
| 101 | 10% | 27% | |
| 102 | 5% | 17% | |
| 103 | 6% | 12% | |
| 104 | 2% | 6% | |
| 105 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 106 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 89 | 3% | 97% | |
| 90 | 2% | 94% | |
| 91 | 6% | 92% | |
| 92 | 8% | 86% | |
| 93 | 6% | 78% | |
| 94 | 8% | 72% | |
| 95 | 9% | 64% | |
| 96 | 10% | 56% | |
| 97 | 9% | 45% | |
| 98 | 8% | 36% | Median |
| 99 | 11% | 28% | |
| 100 | 6% | 18% | |
| 101 | 3% | 11% | |
| 102 | 5% | 8% | |
| 103 | 2% | 3% | |
| 104 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.4% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 97% | |
| 88 | 5% | 95% | |
| 89 | 4% | 90% | |
| 90 | 5% | 86% | |
| 91 | 5% | 81% | |
| 92 | 7% | 76% | |
| 93 | 7% | 69% | Median |
| 94 | 6% | 62% | |
| 95 | 16% | 56% | |
| 96 | 6% | 40% | |
| 97 | 7% | 34% | |
| 98 | 9% | 28% | |
| 99 | 8% | 19% | |
| 100 | 6% | 11% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 82 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 3% | 95% | |
| 85 | 5% | 92% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 88% | |
| 87 | 6% | 80% | |
| 88 | 7% | 74% | |
| 89 | 12% | 67% | |
| 90 | 13% | 55% | Median |
| 91 | 10% | 42% | |
| 92 | 9% | 32% | |
| 93 | 8% | 23% | |
| 94 | 7% | 16% | |
| 95 | 3% | 9% | |
| 96 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 97 | 3% | 5% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 99 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 97% | |
| 79 | 3% | 94% | |
| 80 | 5% | 91% | |
| 81 | 7% | 87% | |
| 82 | 9% | 79% | |
| 83 | 6% | 70% | |
| 84 | 8% | 64% | |
| 85 | 10% | 56% | Majority |
| 86 | 10% | 46% | Median |
| 87 | 8% | 36% | |
| 88 | 11% | 28% | |
| 89 | 5% | 17% | |
| 90 | 5% | 12% | |
| 91 | 3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 2% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 6% | 95% | |
| 75 | 7% | 89% | |
| 76 | 8% | 82% | Last Result |
| 77 | 7% | 74% | |
| 78 | 13% | 68% | Median |
| 79 | 12% | 55% | |
| 80 | 13% | 43% | |
| 81 | 8% | 30% | |
| 82 | 6% | 22% | |
| 83 | 6% | 15% | |
| 84 | 2% | 9% | |
| 85 | 3% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 71 | 4% | 97% | |
| 72 | 3% | 93% | |
| 73 | 6% | 89% | |
| 74 | 8% | 84% | |
| 75 | 10% | 76% | |
| 76 | 13% | 66% | |
| 77 | 9% | 53% | Median |
| 78 | 13% | 44% | |
| 79 | 10% | 31% | |
| 80 | 7% | 21% | |
| 81 | 6% | 14% | |
| 82 | 4% | 9% | |
| 83 | 2% | 5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0.7% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 3% | 92% | |
| 64 | 6% | 89% | |
| 65 | 7% | 83% | |
| 66 | 8% | 75% | |
| 67 | 8% | 67% | |
| 68 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 69 | 11% | 46% | |
| 70 | 8% | 35% | |
| 71 | 5% | 28% | |
| 72 | 6% | 22% | |
| 73 | 5% | 17% | |
| 74 | 6% | 12% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 6% | 97% | |
| 57 | 5% | 91% | |
| 58 | 3% | 86% | |
| 59 | 8% | 83% | |
| 60 | 10% | 75% | Median |
| 61 | 9% | 65% | |
| 62 | 8% | 56% | |
| 63 | 8% | 48% | |
| 64 | 10% | 40% | |
| 65 | 8% | 30% | |
| 66 | 8% | 22% | |
| 67 | 3% | 14% | |
| 68 | 4% | 10% | |
| 69 | 4% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 7% | 95% | |
| 56 | 6% | 88% | |
| 57 | 4% | 82% | |
| 58 | 14% | 77% | |
| 59 | 10% | 63% | Median |
| 60 | 6% | 53% | |
| 61 | 10% | 47% | |
| 62 | 7% | 37% | |
| 63 | 6% | 30% | |
| 64 | 9% | 24% | |
| 65 | 5% | 15% | |
| 66 | 5% | 10% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 7% | 95% | |
| 54 | 9% | 88% | |
| 55 | 12% | 79% | |
| 56 | 9% | 68% | |
| 57 | 14% | 58% | Median |
| 58 | 7% | 44% | |
| 59 | 8% | 38% | |
| 60 | 6% | 30% | Last Result |
| 61 | 7% | 24% | |
| 62 | 7% | 17% | |
| 63 | 3% | 10% | |
| 64 | 2% | 7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 95% | |
| 53 | 8% | 92% | |
| 54 | 8% | 84% | |
| 55 | 5% | 76% | |
| 56 | 14% | 71% | |
| 57 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 58 | 6% | 47% | |
| 59 | 8% | 41% | |
| 60 | 7% | 33% | |
| 61 | 6% | 26% | |
| 62 | 7% | 20% | |
| 63 | 5% | 13% | |
| 64 | 5% | 9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 37 | 3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 8% | 96% | |
| 39 | 9% | 88% | |
| 40 | 7% | 78% | |
| 41 | 7% | 71% | Median |
| 42 | 14% | 64% | |
| 43 | 8% | 50% | |
| 44 | 9% | 42% | |
| 45 | 12% | 33% | |
| 46 | 6% | 20% | |
| 47 | 6% | 14% | |
| 48 | 2% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 6% | |
| 50 | 2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 2% | 97% | |
| 32 | 6% | 94% | |
| 33 | 7% | 89% | |
| 34 | 7% | 82% | |
| 35 | 10% | 75% | Last Result |
| 36 | 9% | 65% | Median |
| 37 | 12% | 55% | |
| 38 | 10% | 43% | |
| 39 | 14% | 34% | |
| 40 | 6% | 20% | |
| 41 | 5% | 14% | |
| 42 | 4% | 9% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 44 | 2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): NRK
- Fieldwork period: 25–31 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 953
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.51%