Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 1–7 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
24.3% |
22.3–26.4% |
21.7–27.0% |
21.3–27.6% |
20.3–28.6% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
22.7% |
20.8–24.8% |
20.3–25.4% |
19.8–25.9% |
18.9–27.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
18.7% |
16.9–20.6% |
16.4–21.2% |
16.0–21.7% |
15.2–22.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.2% |
8.9–11.8% |
8.5–12.3% |
8.2–12.7% |
7.6–13.5% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.0% |
5.0–7.3% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.5–8.0% |
4.1–8.7% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.8% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.3–6.4% |
2.9–7.0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.8% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.3–6.4% |
2.9–7.0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.7% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.5–5.3% |
2.2–5.9% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
2.2% |
1.7–3.1% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.4–3.6% |
1.2–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
39 |
2% |
98% |
|
40 |
3% |
97% |
|
41 |
5% |
94% |
|
42 |
7% |
88% |
|
43 |
10% |
81% |
|
44 |
13% |
71% |
|
45 |
25% |
58% |
Median |
46 |
11% |
33% |
|
47 |
8% |
21% |
|
48 |
8% |
13% |
|
49 |
3% |
6% |
Last Result |
50 |
2% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
4% |
96% |
|
37 |
6% |
92% |
|
38 |
8% |
86% |
|
39 |
9% |
79% |
|
40 |
14% |
70% |
|
41 |
22% |
56% |
Median |
42 |
8% |
34% |
|
43 |
11% |
26% |
|
44 |
7% |
15% |
|
45 |
4% |
8% |
Last Result |
46 |
2% |
4% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
29 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
31 |
4% |
97% |
|
32 |
14% |
92% |
|
33 |
9% |
78% |
|
34 |
26% |
70% |
Median |
35 |
17% |
44% |
|
36 |
14% |
27% |
|
37 |
5% |
13% |
|
38 |
3% |
8% |
|
39 |
2% |
5% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
15 |
7% |
96% |
|
16 |
10% |
89% |
|
17 |
15% |
80% |
|
18 |
16% |
65% |
Median |
19 |
26% |
49% |
|
20 |
9% |
23% |
|
21 |
7% |
13% |
|
22 |
4% |
7% |
|
23 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
8 |
5% |
98% |
|
9 |
15% |
93% |
|
10 |
32% |
78% |
Median |
11 |
20% |
46% |
Last Result |
12 |
16% |
27% |
|
13 |
6% |
10% |
|
14 |
3% |
4% |
|
15 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
21% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0.3% |
79% |
|
4 |
0% |
79% |
|
5 |
0% |
79% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
79% |
|
7 |
17% |
78% |
|
8 |
14% |
61% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
47% |
|
10 |
18% |
24% |
|
11 |
4% |
5% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
12% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
3% |
88% |
|
4 |
2% |
85% |
|
5 |
0% |
83% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
83% |
|
7 |
15% |
83% |
|
8 |
32% |
68% |
Median |
9 |
20% |
36% |
|
10 |
10% |
16% |
|
11 |
4% |
6% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
18% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
20% |
81% |
|
3 |
29% |
61% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
32% |
|
5 |
0% |
32% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
32% |
|
7 |
13% |
31% |
|
8 |
14% |
18% |
Last Result |
9 |
4% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
17% |
100% |
|
1 |
36% |
83% |
Median |
2 |
46% |
47% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
105 |
100% |
100–110 |
98–111 |
96–112 |
93–114 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
101 |
100% |
97–107 |
95–108 |
94–109 |
90–110 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
107 |
98 |
100% |
94–103 |
92–105 |
91–107 |
89–110 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
97 |
99.9% |
92–102 |
90–103 |
89–105 |
86–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
97 |
99.9% |
93–102 |
91–103 |
90–104 |
87–107 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
89 |
96% |
86–97 |
85–98 |
82–98 |
79–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
90 |
93% |
85–94 |
84–95 |
83–97 |
81–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
82 |
29% |
78–88 |
77–90 |
76–91 |
73–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
79 |
5% |
75–83 |
74–85 |
73–86 |
70–90 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
89 |
72 |
0.1% |
66–77 |
65–79 |
64–79 |
61–83 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
70 |
0% |
65–74 |
64–76 |
62–77 |
58–79 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
88 |
64 |
0% |
59–69 |
58–71 |
57–72 |
54–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
61 |
0% |
56–65 |
54–66 |
53–67 |
51–70 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
59 |
0% |
54–64 |
53–65 |
51–66 |
49–68 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
55 |
0% |
52–59 |
50–60 |
49–62 |
47–63 |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
61 |
46 |
0% |
41–51 |
40–52 |
39–53 |
38–55 |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre |
35 |
39 |
0% |
36–44 |
35–46 |
34–47 |
32–49 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
96 |
1.3% |
98.6% |
|
97 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
98 |
3% |
96% |
|
99 |
3% |
93% |
|
100 |
4% |
90% |
|
101 |
4% |
86% |
|
102 |
11% |
82% |
|
103 |
11% |
71% |
|
104 |
8% |
60% |
|
105 |
17% |
52% |
Median |
106 |
9% |
35% |
|
107 |
9% |
26% |
|
108 |
5% |
18% |
|
109 |
3% |
13% |
|
110 |
4% |
10% |
|
111 |
2% |
6% |
|
112 |
2% |
3% |
|
113 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
114 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
116 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
94 |
2% |
98% |
|
95 |
3% |
96% |
|
96 |
3% |
93% |
|
97 |
4% |
90% |
|
98 |
15% |
87% |
|
99 |
10% |
71% |
|
100 |
11% |
62% |
Median |
101 |
14% |
51% |
|
102 |
5% |
37% |
|
103 |
8% |
32% |
|
104 |
5% |
24% |
|
105 |
4% |
19% |
|
106 |
3% |
15% |
|
107 |
3% |
12% |
|
108 |
5% |
9% |
|
109 |
2% |
4% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
91 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
92 |
2% |
97% |
|
93 |
2% |
95% |
|
94 |
4% |
92% |
|
95 |
7% |
89% |
|
96 |
18% |
82% |
|
97 |
6% |
64% |
Median |
98 |
10% |
58% |
|
99 |
9% |
48% |
|
100 |
8% |
38% |
|
101 |
9% |
30% |
|
102 |
3% |
21% |
|
103 |
9% |
18% |
|
104 |
3% |
8% |
|
105 |
2% |
5% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.9% |
3% |
Last Result |
108 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
110 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
114 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
90 |
4% |
97% |
|
91 |
2% |
94% |
|
92 |
5% |
92% |
|
93 |
4% |
87% |
|
94 |
10% |
83% |
|
95 |
10% |
73% |
|
96 |
6% |
63% |
|
97 |
15% |
56% |
Median |
98 |
7% |
41% |
|
99 |
7% |
33% |
|
100 |
11% |
26% |
|
101 |
4% |
16% |
|
102 |
3% |
11% |
|
103 |
3% |
8% |
|
104 |
2% |
5% |
|
105 |
2% |
3% |
|
106 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
89 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
2% |
98% |
|
91 |
3% |
96% |
|
92 |
2% |
93% |
|
93 |
6% |
91% |
|
94 |
9% |
85% |
|
95 |
15% |
76% |
|
96 |
9% |
62% |
|
97 |
8% |
53% |
Median |
98 |
7% |
45% |
|
99 |
10% |
38% |
|
100 |
12% |
28% |
|
101 |
5% |
16% |
|
102 |
4% |
11% |
|
103 |
2% |
7% |
|
104 |
3% |
5% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
107 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
85 |
2% |
96% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
93% |
|
87 |
4% |
88% |
|
88 |
18% |
84% |
|
89 |
17% |
66% |
|
90 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
91 |
7% |
41% |
|
92 |
7% |
33% |
|
93 |
4% |
27% |
|
94 |
4% |
23% |
|
95 |
6% |
19% |
|
96 |
3% |
13% |
|
97 |
3% |
10% |
|
98 |
6% |
8% |
|
99 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
100 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
83 |
3% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
4% |
93% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
89% |
|
87 |
15% |
81% |
|
88 |
9% |
66% |
|
89 |
8% |
58% |
Median |
90 |
11% |
50% |
|
91 |
8% |
39% |
|
92 |
12% |
32% |
|
93 |
8% |
20% |
|
94 |
3% |
12% |
|
95 |
4% |
9% |
|
96 |
2% |
5% |
|
97 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
102 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
76 |
1.2% |
98% |
Last Result |
77 |
2% |
97% |
|
78 |
5% |
95% |
|
79 |
6% |
90% |
|
80 |
15% |
84% |
|
81 |
6% |
69% |
|
82 |
15% |
64% |
Median |
83 |
10% |
49% |
|
84 |
10% |
39% |
|
85 |
4% |
29% |
Majority |
86 |
7% |
24% |
|
87 |
3% |
17% |
|
88 |
5% |
14% |
|
89 |
3% |
10% |
|
90 |
5% |
7% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
94 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
69 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
99.0% |
|
73 |
2% |
98% |
|
74 |
3% |
96% |
|
75 |
4% |
93% |
|
76 |
9% |
89% |
|
77 |
18% |
80% |
|
78 |
8% |
62% |
|
79 |
11% |
55% |
Median |
80 |
12% |
43% |
|
81 |
11% |
31% |
|
82 |
8% |
20% |
|
83 |
4% |
12% |
|
84 |
3% |
8% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
2% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
96% |
|
66 |
4% |
93% |
|
67 |
4% |
90% |
|
68 |
5% |
86% |
|
69 |
11% |
81% |
|
70 |
7% |
70% |
|
71 |
7% |
62% |
Median |
72 |
15% |
55% |
|
73 |
6% |
40% |
|
74 |
10% |
34% |
|
75 |
9% |
24% |
|
76 |
4% |
15% |
|
77 |
4% |
11% |
|
78 |
2% |
7% |
|
79 |
3% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
98% |
Last Result |
63 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
64 |
2% |
95% |
|
65 |
3% |
93% |
|
66 |
10% |
90% |
|
67 |
4% |
79% |
|
68 |
9% |
76% |
|
69 |
9% |
67% |
|
70 |
9% |
58% |
|
71 |
10% |
48% |
Median |
72 |
6% |
38% |
|
73 |
18% |
33% |
|
74 |
6% |
15% |
|
75 |
3% |
9% |
|
76 |
2% |
6% |
|
77 |
2% |
4% |
|
78 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
3% |
95% |
|
59 |
5% |
92% |
|
60 |
3% |
88% |
|
61 |
5% |
85% |
|
62 |
9% |
79% |
|
63 |
9% |
70% |
Median |
64 |
16% |
61% |
|
65 |
8% |
44% |
|
66 |
11% |
36% |
|
67 |
11% |
25% |
|
68 |
4% |
15% |
|
69 |
3% |
11% |
|
70 |
2% |
8% |
|
71 |
2% |
6% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
96% |
|
55 |
3% |
94% |
|
56 |
5% |
91% |
|
57 |
7% |
86% |
|
58 |
5% |
79% |
|
59 |
14% |
73% |
|
60 |
6% |
59% |
Median |
61 |
22% |
53% |
|
62 |
6% |
31% |
|
63 |
6% |
24% |
|
64 |
8% |
18% |
|
65 |
5% |
10% |
|
66 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
67 |
2% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
52 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
53 |
3% |
96% |
|
54 |
4% |
93% |
|
55 |
5% |
89% |
|
56 |
8% |
84% |
|
57 |
8% |
76% |
|
58 |
7% |
68% |
|
59 |
15% |
61% |
Median |
60 |
19% |
46% |
|
61 |
4% |
26% |
|
62 |
8% |
22% |
|
63 |
4% |
14% |
|
64 |
5% |
10% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
2% |
98% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
4% |
94% |
|
52 |
8% |
90% |
|
53 |
9% |
82% |
|
54 |
12% |
73% |
|
55 |
20% |
61% |
Median |
56 |
10% |
41% |
|
57 |
9% |
31% |
|
58 |
7% |
22% |
|
59 |
8% |
15% |
|
60 |
2% |
7% |
Last Result |
61 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
62 |
2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
40 |
3% |
97% |
|
41 |
4% |
94% |
|
42 |
6% |
90% |
|
43 |
7% |
84% |
|
44 |
8% |
77% |
|
45 |
15% |
68% |
Median |
46 |
14% |
53% |
|
47 |
8% |
39% |
|
48 |
9% |
32% |
|
49 |
6% |
23% |
|
50 |
7% |
17% |
|
51 |
4% |
11% |
|
52 |
3% |
6% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
35 |
2% |
97% |
Last Result |
36 |
14% |
94% |
|
37 |
12% |
80% |
|
38 |
12% |
69% |
Median |
39 |
13% |
56% |
|
40 |
8% |
43% |
|
41 |
7% |
36% |
|
42 |
7% |
28% |
|
43 |
5% |
21% |
|
44 |
7% |
17% |
|
45 |
4% |
9% |
|
46 |
3% |
6% |
|
47 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 1–7 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 713
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.37%