Opinion Poll by Sentio for Amedia and Nettavisen, 8–13 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 27.4% 23.9% 22.2–25.7% 21.8–26.2% 21.4–26.6% 20.6–27.5%
Høyre 25.0% 21.9% 20.3–23.7% 19.8–24.1% 19.4–24.6% 18.7–25.4%
Senterpartiet 10.3% 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.7–22.1%
Fremskrittspartiet 15.2% 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.9–12.8%
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 6.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 3.2% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
Rødt 2.4% 4.8% 4.0–5.8% 3.8–6.1% 3.6–6.3% 3.3–6.8%
Kristelig Folkeparti 4.2% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Venstre 4.4% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet 49 44 41–46 40–47 40–48 38–49
Høyre 45 39 36–42 35–44 34–44 33–45
Senterpartiet 19 35 32–37 32–38 31–39 29–40
Fremskrittspartiet 27 18 15–20 15–21 14–22 13–23
Sosialistisk Venstreparti 11 12 11–15 10–15 10–15 9–17
Miljøpartiet De Grønne 1 9 7–11 7–11 2–12 2–12
Rødt 1 9 2–10 2–11 2–11 2–12
Kristelig Folkeparti 8 2 1–7 1–7 1–8 0–8
Venstre 8 2 1–2 1–2 1–6 0–8

Arbeiderpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0.3% 99.9%  
38 0.6% 99.7%  
39 2% 99.1%  
40 7% 98%  
41 9% 90%  
42 10% 81%  
43 13% 71%  
44 31% 58% Median
45 13% 28%  
46 6% 14%  
47 6% 8%  
48 1.3% 3%  
49 0.9% 1.3% Last Result
50 0.2% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Høyre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.7% 99.8%  
34 2% 99.1%  
35 6% 97%  
36 12% 91%  
37 14% 79%  
38 10% 65%  
39 12% 55% Median
40 13% 43%  
41 15% 30%  
42 6% 15%  
43 4% 9%  
44 3% 5%  
45 2% 2% Last Result
46 0.4% 0.5%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Senterpartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100% Last Result
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.6% 99.7%  
30 1.0% 99.1%  
31 2% 98%  
32 6% 96%  
33 10% 90%  
34 16% 80%  
35 26% 64% Median
36 21% 38%  
37 9% 17%  
38 5% 8%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.9% 1.4%  
41 0.3% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Fremskrittspartiet

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.5% 100%  
14 2% 99.4%  
15 11% 97%  
16 15% 86%  
17 14% 72%  
18 23% 57% Median
19 15% 34%  
20 10% 19%  
21 6% 10%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.8% 1.1%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0% Last Result

Sosialistisk Venstreparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 1.3% 99.8%  
10 7% 98.5%  
11 16% 91% Last Result
12 30% 76% Median
13 20% 46%  
14 15% 26%  
15 8% 11%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.5% 0.6%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Miljøpartiet De Grønne

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 3% 100%  
3 1.2% 97%  
4 0.5% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 6% 96%  
8 33% 90%  
9 30% 56% Median
10 15% 26%  
11 8% 11%  
12 3% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.4%  
14 0% 0%  

Rødt

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 14% 100%  
3 0% 86%  
4 0% 86%  
5 0% 86%  
6 0.1% 86%  
7 8% 86%  
8 27% 78%  
9 30% 51% Median
10 15% 21%  
11 5% 6%  
12 1.1% 1.2%  
13 0.1% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Kristelig Folkeparti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 35% 99.0%  
2 24% 64% Median
3 24% 40%  
4 0% 16%  
5 0% 16%  
6 0.9% 16%  
7 11% 15%  
8 4% 4% Last Result
9 0.3% 0.4%  
10 0% 0%  

Venstre

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 1.0% 100%  
1 12% 99.0%  
2 84% 87% Median
3 0.5% 3%  
4 0% 3%  
5 0% 3%  
6 0.1% 3%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 81 108 100% 104–111 102–112 101–113 99–114
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 88 102 100% 98–107 97–108 95–108 93–110
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne 80 100 100% 96–103 94–105 93–105 90–107
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt 80 99 100% 95–103 94–104 92–104 90–107
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 107 96 100% 93–100 92–101 91–103 89–105
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 79 91 98.6% 88–94 86–96 85–97 83–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti 77 90 94% 86–95 84–96 83–96 79–98
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti 76 81 18% 77–86 76–87 75–88 73–90
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet 68 78 1.2% 76–82 74–83 73–83 71–85
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt 62 73 0% 69–76 68–77 66–78 64–79
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 89 70 0% 66–74 65–75 65–77 62–79
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 88 61 0% 58–65 57–67 56–68 54–70
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre 80 59 0% 54–63 53–64 53–66 51–67
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet 72 57 0% 52–61 51–62 51–64 49–65
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti 60 56 0% 53–59 52–60 51–60 49–63
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 61 44 0% 40–47 39–49 38–50 37–51
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre 35 39 0% 36–45 35–45 35–45 33–48

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100% Last Result
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 100%  
93 0% 100%  
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 100%  
97 0.2% 99.9%  
98 0.2% 99.8%  
99 0.3% 99.6%  
100 2% 99.3%  
101 1.3% 98%  
102 2% 96%  
103 4% 94%  
104 6% 90%  
105 7% 84%  
106 8% 77%  
107 18% 69%  
108 12% 51%  
109 14% 39% Median
110 7% 25%  
111 9% 18%  
112 5% 9%  
113 2% 4%  
114 0.8% 1.2%  
115 0.3% 0.4%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
88 0% 100% Last Result
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 100%  
91 0.1% 100%  
92 0.3% 99.9%  
93 0.2% 99.6%  
94 0.6% 99.4%  
95 1.3% 98.8%  
96 2% 97%  
97 3% 96%  
98 4% 93%  
99 6% 89%  
100 12% 83%  
101 11% 70%  
102 13% 59% Median
103 9% 46%  
104 9% 36%  
105 10% 27%  
106 5% 17%  
107 4% 13%  
108 7% 9%  
109 1.2% 2%  
110 0.6% 1.1%  
111 0.3% 0.5%  
112 0.1% 0.2%  
113 0.1% 0.1%  
114 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.4% 99.9%  
91 0.2% 99.5%  
92 0.8% 99.3%  
93 1.4% 98%  
94 3% 97%  
95 3% 94%  
96 3% 91%  
97 8% 88%  
98 19% 80%  
99 6% 61%  
100 12% 55% Median
101 18% 43%  
102 10% 25%  
103 6% 15%  
104 3% 9%  
105 4% 6%  
106 0.6% 2%  
107 0.4% 0.9%  
108 0.3% 0.5%  
109 0.1% 0.1%  
110 0% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100% Last Result
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100% Majority
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.1% 99.9%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.3% 99.7%  
91 1.1% 99.4%  
92 1.4% 98%  
93 1.2% 97%  
94 4% 96%  
95 5% 92%  
96 7% 87%  
97 8% 79%  
98 15% 71%  
99 13% 56%  
100 14% 43% Median
101 9% 29%  
102 7% 19%  
103 6% 12%  
104 4% 6%  
105 1.2% 2%  
106 0.2% 0.9%  
107 0.5% 0.7%  
108 0.1% 0.1%  
109 0% 0.1%  
110 0% 0%  

Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.3% 99.7%  
90 0.6% 99.4%  
91 3% 98.8%  
92 4% 95%  
93 14% 91%  
94 4% 77%  
95 8% 73%  
96 18% 65% Median
97 12% 47%  
98 11% 35%  
99 10% 24%  
100 6% 14%  
101 3% 8%  
102 2% 4%  
103 0.9% 3%  
104 1.0% 2%  
105 0.5% 0.7%  
106 0.1% 0.2%  
107 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
108 0% 0.1%  
109 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100% Last Result
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0.1% 99.9%  
83 0.5% 99.8%  
84 0.7% 99.3%  
85 2% 98.6% Majority
86 2% 97%  
87 4% 94%  
88 7% 91%  
89 13% 83%  
90 16% 70%  
91 9% 54% Median
92 15% 45%  
93 12% 29%  
94 9% 18%  
95 3% 9%  
96 3% 6%  
97 2% 3%  
98 0.5% 0.9%  
99 0.1% 0.4%  
100 0.2% 0.3%  
101 0.1% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100% Last Result
78 0% 100%  
79 0.4% 99.9%  
80 0.2% 99.5%  
81 0.7% 99.3%  
82 1.1% 98.7%  
83 1.0% 98%  
84 2% 97%  
85 4% 94% Majority
86 4% 91%  
87 11% 87%  
88 16% 76%  
89 9% 60%  
90 8% 51% Median
91 11% 44%  
92 10% 32%  
93 7% 22%  
94 2% 14%  
95 4% 12%  
96 6% 8%  
97 1.1% 2%  
98 0.7% 1.1%  
99 0.2% 0.3%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0.1%  
102 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 1.0% 99.3%  
75 2% 98%  
76 2% 97% Last Result
77 8% 95%  
78 7% 87%  
79 12% 80%  
80 16% 68%  
81 11% 52% Median
82 9% 41%  
83 7% 32%  
84 7% 25%  
85 6% 18% Majority
86 4% 13%  
87 6% 9%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.3% 1.0%  
90 0.5% 0.6%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0.1% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100% Last Result
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.4% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.5%  
72 1.1% 99.1%  
73 1.3% 98%  
74 2% 97%  
75 4% 95%  
76 16% 91%  
77 10% 75%  
78 18% 65%  
79 12% 48% Median
80 12% 35%  
81 12% 23%  
82 5% 12%  
83 4% 6%  
84 0.7% 2%  
85 0.9% 1.2% Majority
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9% Last Result
63 0.1% 99.9%  
64 0.5% 99.8%  
65 1.0% 99.3%  
66 1.0% 98%  
67 2% 97%  
68 4% 95%  
69 6% 92%  
70 10% 86%  
71 12% 76%  
72 12% 65%  
73 18% 53%  
74 8% 35% Median
75 4% 26%  
76 14% 22%  
77 4% 9%  
78 3% 4%  
79 0.5% 1.0%  
80 0.2% 0.5%  
81 0.2% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.6% 99.8%  
63 0.3% 99.3%  
64 1.4% 99.0%  
65 4% 98%  
66 6% 94%  
67 7% 88%  
68 9% 80%  
69 14% 71%  
70 13% 57% Median
71 15% 44%  
72 8% 28%  
73 7% 20%  
74 5% 13%  
75 4% 8%  
76 1.2% 4%  
77 1.4% 3%  
78 1.1% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.3%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.3% 99.8%  
55 0.8% 99.5%  
56 3% 98.7%  
57 5% 96%  
58 9% 91%  
59 7% 82%  
60 14% 75%  
61 12% 60% Median
62 18% 48%  
63 8% 30%  
64 7% 22%  
65 6% 16%  
66 4% 9%  
67 2% 5%  
68 1.3% 4%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.3% 0.7%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.2% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Majority
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 1.2% 99.5%  
53 6% 98%  
54 4% 92%  
55 4% 88%  
56 10% 84%  
57 11% 74%  
58 6% 63%  
59 16% 57% Median
60 14% 41%  
61 10% 28%  
62 6% 18%  
63 5% 12%  
64 2% 7%  
65 2% 4%  
66 2% 3%  
67 0.3% 0.8%  
68 0.3% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.8%  
50 1.3% 99.5%  
51 6% 98%  
52 4% 92%  
53 3% 88%  
54 11% 85%  
55 11% 74%  
56 6% 62%  
57 13% 56% Median
58 16% 43%  
59 8% 27%  
60 8% 19%  
61 5% 12%  
62 3% 7%  
63 1.2% 4%  
64 2% 3%  
65 0.4% 0.8%  
66 0.2% 0.4%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 0.4% 99.8%  
50 1.1% 99.4%  
51 2% 98%  
52 3% 96%  
53 9% 93%  
54 12% 84%  
55 15% 72%  
56 15% 57% Median
57 13% 42%  
58 7% 29%  
59 15% 22%  
60 4% 6% Last Result
61 1.0% 2%  
62 0.5% 1.3%  
63 0.5% 0.8%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.6% 99.8%  
38 2% 99.2%  
39 3% 97%  
40 11% 94%  
41 11% 83%  
42 8% 72%  
43 14% 64% Median
44 12% 50%  
45 11% 38%  
46 12% 27%  
47 6% 15%  
48 4% 10%  
49 1.4% 5%  
50 2% 4%  
51 0.9% 1.3%  
52 0.2% 0.4%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.8% 99.7%  
34 1.2% 98.9%  
35 4% 98% Last Result
36 5% 94%  
37 11% 88%  
38 19% 78%  
39 14% 59% Median
40 8% 44%  
41 13% 37%  
42 6% 24%  
43 3% 17%  
44 4% 14%  
45 8% 10%  
46 0.9% 2%  
47 0.7% 1.5%  
48 0.3% 0.7%  
49 0.3% 0.4%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations