Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 6–7 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.8% |
21.9–25.8% |
21.3–26.4% |
20.9–26.9% |
20.0–27.9% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.3% |
18.5–22.2% |
18.0–22.8% |
17.6–23.3% |
16.8–24.2% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
16.9% |
15.3–18.7% |
14.8–19.3% |
14.4–19.7% |
13.7–20.6% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.3% |
9.0–11.8% |
8.6–12.2% |
8.3–12.6% |
7.7–13.4% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.8% |
7.6–10.3% |
7.3–10.7% |
7.0–11.1% |
6.5–11.8% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
6.0% |
5.0–7.2% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.5–7.9% |
4.1–8.5% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.0% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.9–5.7% |
2.5–6.2% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
3.9% |
3.1–5.0% |
2.9–5.2% |
2.7–5.5% |
2.4–6.1% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.1% |
2.4–4.1% |
2.3–4.4% |
2.1–4.6% |
1.8–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
40 |
7% |
94% |
|
41 |
8% |
88% |
|
42 |
13% |
80% |
|
43 |
18% |
68% |
Median |
44 |
22% |
50% |
|
45 |
9% |
28% |
|
46 |
9% |
18% |
|
47 |
4% |
9% |
|
48 |
2% |
5% |
|
49 |
1.5% |
3% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
32 |
3% |
97% |
|
33 |
4% |
94% |
|
34 |
10% |
90% |
|
35 |
22% |
81% |
|
36 |
19% |
59% |
Median |
37 |
16% |
40% |
|
38 |
8% |
24% |
|
39 |
5% |
16% |
|
40 |
3% |
11% |
|
41 |
5% |
8% |
|
42 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
2% |
98% |
|
27 |
3% |
97% |
|
28 |
6% |
93% |
|
29 |
10% |
87% |
|
30 |
14% |
78% |
|
31 |
13% |
64% |
|
32 |
16% |
51% |
Median |
33 |
11% |
36% |
|
34 |
6% |
25% |
|
35 |
13% |
19% |
|
36 |
4% |
6% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
15 |
4% |
96% |
|
16 |
8% |
92% |
|
17 |
22% |
84% |
|
18 |
14% |
62% |
Median |
19 |
18% |
48% |
|
20 |
11% |
30% |
|
21 |
11% |
18% |
|
22 |
4% |
7% |
|
23 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
24 |
1.1% |
1.5% |
|
25 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
12 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
13 |
9% |
96% |
|
14 |
12% |
87% |
|
15 |
21% |
75% |
|
16 |
16% |
54% |
Median |
17 |
19% |
38% |
|
18 |
9% |
19% |
|
19 |
7% |
10% |
|
20 |
3% |
3% |
|
21 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
9 |
14% |
94% |
|
10 |
29% |
79% |
|
11 |
23% |
51% |
Median |
12 |
18% |
28% |
|
13 |
7% |
10% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
41% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
4% |
59% |
|
4 |
0% |
54% |
|
5 |
0% |
54% |
|
6 |
0.9% |
54% |
|
7 |
21% |
54% |
Median |
8 |
14% |
32% |
Last Result |
9 |
12% |
18% |
|
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
37% |
91% |
|
3 |
6% |
53% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
47% |
|
5 |
0% |
47% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
47% |
|
7 |
12% |
46% |
|
8 |
23% |
34% |
|
9 |
9% |
11% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
4% |
100% |
|
1 |
53% |
96% |
Median |
2 |
8% |
43% |
|
3 |
24% |
35% |
|
4 |
0% |
11% |
|
5 |
0% |
11% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
11% |
|
7 |
5% |
11% |
|
8 |
5% |
6% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
107 |
100% |
101–110 |
100–112 |
99–113 |
96–115 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
101 |
100% |
97–106 |
95–107 |
94–109 |
92–111 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
98 |
100% |
92–102 |
91–104 |
90–106 |
88–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
96 |
99.8% |
91–100 |
89–101 |
88–103 |
85–105 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
94 |
99.2% |
89–98 |
87–100 |
86–101 |
83–103 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
91 |
96% |
87–95 |
85–96 |
83–98 |
81–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
82 |
26% |
76–87 |
75–89 |
74–90 |
72–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
77 |
3% |
73–82 |
71–83 |
70–85 |
68–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
75 |
0.5% |
70–79 |
69–81 |
68–82 |
65–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
75 |
0.2% |
71–80 |
69–81 |
68–82 |
66–83 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
68 |
0% |
62–71 |
61–73 |
59–75 |
57–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
62 |
0% |
58–67 |
56–68 |
55–69 |
53–72 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
60 |
0% |
55–65 |
54–67 |
53–67 |
51–69 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
59 |
0% |
56–63 |
54–65 |
53–66 |
52–69 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
54 |
0% |
50–59 |
49–61 |
48–62 |
46–64 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
44 |
0% |
39–49 |
38–50 |
37–51 |
36–54 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
40 |
0% |
33–44 |
32–45 |
31–47 |
29–50 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
98 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
99 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
100 |
3% |
97% |
|
101 |
4% |
94% |
|
102 |
5% |
90% |
|
103 |
9% |
85% |
|
104 |
7% |
76% |
|
105 |
8% |
69% |
Median |
106 |
5% |
61% |
|
107 |
18% |
56% |
|
108 |
12% |
38% |
|
109 |
8% |
26% |
|
110 |
8% |
17% |
|
111 |
3% |
10% |
|
112 |
2% |
7% |
|
113 |
2% |
4% |
|
114 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
115 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
116 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
117 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
118 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
93 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
94 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
95 |
2% |
97% |
|
96 |
3% |
95% |
|
97 |
3% |
92% |
|
98 |
4% |
89% |
|
99 |
12% |
84% |
|
100 |
12% |
73% |
|
101 |
16% |
60% |
|
102 |
9% |
44% |
Median |
103 |
6% |
35% |
|
104 |
6% |
29% |
|
105 |
11% |
24% |
|
106 |
3% |
12% |
|
107 |
5% |
9% |
|
108 |
2% |
4% |
|
109 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0.1% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
89 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
91 |
2% |
97% |
|
92 |
5% |
95% |
|
93 |
8% |
90% |
|
94 |
3% |
82% |
|
95 |
5% |
79% |
Median |
96 |
5% |
74% |
|
97 |
16% |
69% |
|
98 |
8% |
53% |
|
99 |
5% |
45% |
|
100 |
15% |
40% |
|
101 |
10% |
26% |
|
102 |
7% |
16% |
|
103 |
3% |
9% |
|
104 |
3% |
7% |
|
105 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
106 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
88 |
2% |
98% |
|
89 |
2% |
96% |
|
90 |
5% |
95% |
|
91 |
6% |
90% |
|
92 |
7% |
84% |
|
93 |
7% |
77% |
|
94 |
5% |
70% |
Median |
95 |
6% |
65% |
|
96 |
16% |
59% |
|
97 |
11% |
43% |
|
98 |
8% |
32% |
|
99 |
9% |
24% |
|
100 |
7% |
15% |
|
101 |
4% |
8% |
|
102 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
103 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
105 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
Majority |
86 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
87 |
3% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
95% |
|
89 |
3% |
92% |
|
90 |
11% |
89% |
|
91 |
5% |
78% |
|
92 |
12% |
73% |
|
93 |
10% |
61% |
|
94 |
10% |
51% |
Median |
95 |
5% |
42% |
|
96 |
9% |
37% |
|
97 |
13% |
28% |
|
98 |
7% |
15% |
|
99 |
3% |
9% |
|
100 |
2% |
6% |
|
101 |
3% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.5% |
1.4% |
|
103 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
104 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
83 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
85 |
3% |
96% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
93% |
|
87 |
3% |
91% |
|
88 |
12% |
88% |
|
89 |
13% |
76% |
|
90 |
11% |
63% |
|
91 |
14% |
52% |
Median |
92 |
7% |
39% |
|
93 |
7% |
31% |
|
94 |
9% |
24% |
|
95 |
5% |
15% |
|
96 |
5% |
10% |
|
97 |
2% |
5% |
|
98 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
99 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
2% |
97% |
|
76 |
6% |
94% |
|
77 |
3% |
88% |
Last Result |
78 |
7% |
85% |
|
79 |
5% |
78% |
Median |
80 |
5% |
73% |
|
81 |
7% |
68% |
|
82 |
11% |
61% |
|
83 |
8% |
50% |
|
84 |
15% |
41% |
|
85 |
10% |
26% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
16% |
|
87 |
4% |
12% |
|
88 |
3% |
8% |
|
89 |
2% |
6% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
93 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
95 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
2% |
96% |
|
72 |
3% |
94% |
|
73 |
4% |
91% |
|
74 |
11% |
87% |
|
75 |
6% |
76% |
|
76 |
16% |
70% |
Last Result, Median |
77 |
9% |
54% |
|
78 |
9% |
44% |
|
79 |
6% |
35% |
|
80 |
11% |
30% |
|
81 |
5% |
19% |
|
82 |
5% |
14% |
|
83 |
5% |
9% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
3% |
98% |
|
69 |
2% |
95% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
7% |
89% |
|
72 |
15% |
82% |
|
73 |
9% |
67% |
Median |
74 |
5% |
58% |
|
75 |
10% |
53% |
|
76 |
10% |
43% |
|
77 |
12% |
33% |
|
78 |
4% |
22% |
|
79 |
9% |
17% |
|
80 |
3% |
8% |
|
81 |
2% |
6% |
|
82 |
2% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
69 |
3% |
96% |
|
70 |
2% |
93% |
|
71 |
4% |
91% |
|
72 |
7% |
87% |
|
73 |
15% |
80% |
|
74 |
13% |
65% |
|
75 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
76 |
8% |
40% |
|
77 |
7% |
32% |
|
78 |
4% |
25% |
|
79 |
10% |
22% |
|
80 |
4% |
11% |
|
81 |
4% |
7% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
60 |
2% |
97% |
|
61 |
3% |
95% |
|
62 |
5% |
93% |
|
63 |
4% |
87% |
|
64 |
12% |
83% |
|
65 |
6% |
72% |
Median |
66 |
6% |
66% |
|
67 |
9% |
60% |
|
68 |
15% |
51% |
|
69 |
12% |
36% |
|
70 |
11% |
24% |
|
71 |
4% |
13% |
|
72 |
3% |
9% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
2% |
98% |
|
56 |
2% |
97% |
|
57 |
4% |
94% |
|
58 |
4% |
90% |
|
59 |
8% |
87% |
|
60 |
9% |
78% |
|
61 |
12% |
69% |
|
62 |
18% |
57% |
Median |
63 |
5% |
39% |
|
64 |
7% |
33% |
|
65 |
6% |
27% |
|
66 |
8% |
21% |
|
67 |
4% |
12% |
|
68 |
3% |
8% |
|
69 |
2% |
5% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
96% |
|
55 |
4% |
92% |
|
56 |
5% |
89% |
|
57 |
7% |
84% |
|
58 |
12% |
77% |
|
59 |
14% |
66% |
|
60 |
10% |
52% |
|
61 |
12% |
42% |
Median |
62 |
4% |
30% |
|
63 |
6% |
26% |
|
64 |
9% |
20% |
|
65 |
4% |
11% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
7% |
|
67 |
3% |
5% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
98.7% |
|
54 |
3% |
97% |
|
55 |
3% |
95% |
|
56 |
6% |
91% |
|
57 |
10% |
85% |
|
58 |
9% |
75% |
|
59 |
27% |
66% |
Median |
60 |
12% |
39% |
Last Result |
61 |
10% |
27% |
|
62 |
4% |
17% |
|
63 |
4% |
13% |
|
64 |
3% |
9% |
|
65 |
3% |
6% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
49 |
4% |
97% |
|
50 |
4% |
93% |
|
51 |
5% |
90% |
|
52 |
13% |
84% |
|
53 |
6% |
71% |
|
54 |
15% |
65% |
Median |
55 |
11% |
49% |
|
56 |
11% |
39% |
|
57 |
7% |
28% |
|
58 |
10% |
21% |
|
59 |
4% |
11% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
61 |
3% |
6% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
3% |
97% |
|
39 |
5% |
94% |
|
40 |
11% |
89% |
|
41 |
8% |
79% |
|
42 |
8% |
70% |
|
43 |
6% |
62% |
|
44 |
10% |
56% |
Median |
45 |
19% |
46% |
|
46 |
8% |
28% |
|
47 |
6% |
20% |
|
48 |
3% |
14% |
|
49 |
4% |
11% |
|
50 |
2% |
7% |
|
51 |
3% |
5% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
31 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
32 |
6% |
97% |
|
33 |
4% |
91% |
|
34 |
4% |
87% |
|
35 |
4% |
83% |
Last Result |
36 |
6% |
79% |
|
37 |
8% |
73% |
|
38 |
5% |
65% |
|
39 |
8% |
60% |
|
40 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
41 |
6% |
40% |
|
42 |
10% |
33% |
|
43 |
11% |
23% |
|
44 |
4% |
12% |
|
45 |
3% |
8% |
|
46 |
2% |
5% |
|
47 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 6–7 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 770
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.37%