Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagens Næringsliv, 22–28 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
26.9% |
24.9–29.1% |
24.3–29.7% |
23.8–30.2% |
22.9–31.3% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
19.5% |
17.7–21.4% |
17.2–22.0% |
16.8–22.5% |
15.9–23.4% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
15.0% |
13.4–16.8% |
13.0–17.3% |
12.6–17.8% |
11.9–18.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
11.6% |
10.2–13.3% |
9.8–13.7% |
9.5–14.1% |
8.9–15.0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.0% |
6.8–9.4% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.2–10.2% |
5.7–10.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
5.5% |
4.6–6.8% |
4.3–7.1% |
4.1–7.4% |
3.7–8.1% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.1% |
3.3–5.2% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.9–5.7% |
2.5–6.3% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.7% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.5–5.3% |
2.2–5.8% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.0% |
2.3–3.9% |
2.1–4.2% |
2.0–4.5% |
1.7–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
44 |
7% |
97% |
|
45 |
8% |
90% |
|
46 |
7% |
82% |
|
47 |
9% |
76% |
|
48 |
7% |
67% |
|
49 |
14% |
59% |
Last Result, Median |
50 |
17% |
46% |
|
51 |
5% |
29% |
|
52 |
10% |
24% |
|
53 |
4% |
14% |
|
54 |
5% |
10% |
|
55 |
2% |
6% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
29 |
2% |
98% |
|
30 |
4% |
96% |
|
31 |
4% |
92% |
|
32 |
8% |
88% |
|
33 |
7% |
81% |
|
34 |
12% |
74% |
|
35 |
13% |
62% |
Median |
36 |
24% |
49% |
|
37 |
6% |
25% |
|
38 |
8% |
19% |
|
39 |
5% |
11% |
|
40 |
2% |
6% |
|
41 |
2% |
4% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
22 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
23 |
2% |
98% |
|
24 |
6% |
95% |
|
25 |
12% |
90% |
|
26 |
9% |
78% |
|
27 |
23% |
69% |
Median |
28 |
14% |
46% |
|
29 |
8% |
32% |
|
30 |
8% |
24% |
|
31 |
3% |
16% |
|
32 |
8% |
13% |
|
33 |
3% |
6% |
|
34 |
2% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
17 |
5% |
98% |
|
18 |
9% |
93% |
|
19 |
12% |
84% |
|
20 |
10% |
72% |
|
21 |
18% |
62% |
Median |
22 |
18% |
44% |
|
23 |
11% |
26% |
|
24 |
8% |
15% |
|
25 |
4% |
7% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
28 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
3% |
98% |
Last Result |
12 |
13% |
95% |
|
13 |
29% |
82% |
|
14 |
13% |
53% |
Median |
15 |
15% |
40% |
|
16 |
8% |
25% |
|
17 |
9% |
17% |
|
18 |
6% |
9% |
|
19 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
20 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
98% |
|
4 |
0% |
98% |
|
5 |
0% |
98% |
|
6 |
0% |
98% |
|
7 |
3% |
98% |
|
8 |
12% |
96% |
|
9 |
19% |
84% |
|
10 |
28% |
65% |
Median |
11 |
18% |
37% |
|
12 |
13% |
19% |
|
13 |
4% |
7% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
30% |
93% |
|
3 |
4% |
63% |
|
4 |
0.9% |
59% |
|
5 |
0% |
58% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
58% |
|
7 |
11% |
58% |
Median |
8 |
30% |
47% |
|
9 |
11% |
17% |
|
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
64% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
5% |
34% |
|
4 |
0% |
29% |
|
5 |
0% |
29% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
29% |
|
7 |
8% |
28% |
|
8 |
13% |
20% |
Last Result |
9 |
6% |
7% |
|
10 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
7% |
100% |
|
1 |
45% |
93% |
Median |
2 |
14% |
49% |
|
3 |
27% |
35% |
|
4 |
0% |
8% |
|
5 |
0% |
8% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
7 |
4% |
7% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
107 |
100% |
102–112 |
100–113 |
99–114 |
96–116 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
101 |
100% |
95–107 |
94–108 |
93–109 |
91–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
99 |
100% |
93–104 |
92–105 |
91–106 |
89–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
97 |
99.7% |
91–102 |
90–103 |
89–104 |
86–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
91 |
95% |
86–97 |
84–97 |
83–98 |
81–101 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
90 |
89% |
84–95 |
83–97 |
82–98 |
79–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
85 |
53% |
79–90 |
78–91 |
76–92 |
73–94 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
78 |
6% |
73–83 |
73–85 |
71–87 |
69–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
79 |
9% |
73–84 |
72–86 |
71–87 |
68–89 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
77 |
1.0% |
72–82 |
70–82 |
69–84 |
67–86 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
68 |
0% |
62–73 |
60–75 |
60–75 |
57–78 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
63 |
0% |
58–68 |
57–69 |
56–70 |
55–73 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
62 |
0% |
57–67 |
56–69 |
55–70 |
52–73 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
60 |
0% |
55–65 |
53–66 |
52–68 |
51–70 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
57 |
0% |
51–61 |
50–62 |
49–63 |
47–65 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
41 |
0% |
36–46 |
35–47 |
34–48 |
33–51 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
33 |
0% |
28–39 |
28–41 |
27–43 |
25–45 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
100% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
97 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
98 |
0.8% |
98.5% |
|
99 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
100 |
3% |
96% |
|
101 |
2% |
93% |
|
102 |
7% |
91% |
|
103 |
5% |
84% |
|
104 |
7% |
79% |
|
105 |
9% |
72% |
|
106 |
9% |
63% |
|
107 |
12% |
55% |
Median |
108 |
10% |
43% |
|
109 |
12% |
33% |
|
110 |
5% |
21% |
|
111 |
5% |
15% |
|
112 |
5% |
11% |
|
113 |
2% |
5% |
|
114 |
2% |
3% |
|
115 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
116 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
117 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
118 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
119 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
91 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
92 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
93 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
94 |
3% |
97% |
|
95 |
4% |
94% |
|
96 |
4% |
90% |
|
97 |
5% |
86% |
|
98 |
7% |
81% |
|
99 |
13% |
74% |
|
100 |
9% |
60% |
Median |
101 |
8% |
52% |
|
102 |
8% |
43% |
|
103 |
7% |
35% |
|
104 |
6% |
28% |
|
105 |
6% |
22% |
|
106 |
4% |
15% |
|
107 |
5% |
12% |
|
108 |
2% |
7% |
|
109 |
3% |
5% |
|
110 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
112 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
113 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
90 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
92 |
2% |
97% |
|
93 |
5% |
95% |
|
94 |
4% |
90% |
|
95 |
5% |
86% |
|
96 |
9% |
81% |
|
97 |
7% |
72% |
|
98 |
8% |
66% |
Median |
99 |
18% |
57% |
|
100 |
10% |
39% |
|
101 |
8% |
30% |
|
102 |
7% |
22% |
|
103 |
4% |
15% |
|
104 |
3% |
10% |
|
105 |
4% |
8% |
|
106 |
2% |
3% |
|
107 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
111 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
88 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
89 |
2% |
98% |
|
90 |
2% |
96% |
|
91 |
5% |
94% |
|
92 |
4% |
89% |
|
93 |
7% |
85% |
|
94 |
7% |
79% |
|
95 |
8% |
71% |
|
96 |
8% |
63% |
|
97 |
12% |
55% |
Median |
98 |
11% |
43% |
|
99 |
11% |
32% |
|
100 |
6% |
21% |
|
101 |
5% |
15% |
|
102 |
5% |
10% |
|
103 |
2% |
5% |
|
104 |
2% |
4% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
83 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
85 |
3% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
91% |
|
87 |
6% |
87% |
|
88 |
5% |
81% |
|
89 |
10% |
76% |
|
90 |
14% |
66% |
Median |
91 |
11% |
52% |
|
92 |
7% |
42% |
|
93 |
9% |
34% |
|
94 |
6% |
25% |
|
95 |
3% |
19% |
|
96 |
4% |
16% |
|
97 |
8% |
12% |
|
98 |
2% |
4% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
|
77 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
82 |
2% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
96% |
|
84 |
4% |
94% |
|
85 |
8% |
89% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
81% |
Median |
87 |
7% |
79% |
|
88 |
10% |
72% |
|
89 |
12% |
62% |
|
90 |
9% |
50% |
|
91 |
7% |
42% |
|
92 |
9% |
34% |
|
93 |
8% |
25% |
|
94 |
5% |
17% |
|
95 |
4% |
12% |
|
96 |
3% |
9% |
|
97 |
3% |
5% |
|
98 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
77 |
1.4% |
97% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
96% |
|
79 |
7% |
93% |
|
80 |
4% |
86% |
|
81 |
7% |
82% |
|
82 |
5% |
75% |
|
83 |
7% |
70% |
|
84 |
11% |
63% |
Median |
85 |
10% |
53% |
Majority |
86 |
15% |
43% |
|
87 |
8% |
28% |
|
88 |
4% |
20% |
|
89 |
4% |
16% |
|
90 |
4% |
12% |
|
91 |
3% |
8% |
|
92 |
3% |
5% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
97% |
|
73 |
6% |
95% |
|
74 |
3% |
90% |
|
75 |
4% |
87% |
|
76 |
5% |
83% |
Last Result |
77 |
11% |
78% |
Median |
78 |
21% |
67% |
|
79 |
6% |
47% |
|
80 |
7% |
40% |
|
81 |
9% |
33% |
|
82 |
5% |
25% |
|
83 |
10% |
20% |
|
84 |
4% |
10% |
|
85 |
2% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
87 |
2% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
72 |
3% |
97% |
|
73 |
4% |
93% |
|
74 |
4% |
89% |
|
75 |
5% |
85% |
|
76 |
8% |
81% |
|
77 |
10% |
73% |
|
78 |
9% |
63% |
|
79 |
8% |
54% |
|
80 |
12% |
47% |
Median |
81 |
9% |
35% |
|
82 |
7% |
25% |
|
83 |
2% |
18% |
|
84 |
7% |
16% |
|
85 |
4% |
9% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
5% |
|
87 |
2% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
69 |
1.5% |
98.6% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
4% |
95% |
|
72 |
6% |
91% |
|
73 |
5% |
85% |
|
74 |
4% |
81% |
|
75 |
9% |
76% |
|
76 |
16% |
67% |
Median |
77 |
14% |
52% |
|
78 |
9% |
38% |
|
79 |
4% |
29% |
|
80 |
8% |
25% |
|
81 |
5% |
17% |
|
82 |
8% |
12% |
|
83 |
2% |
4% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
98.8% |
|
60 |
4% |
98% |
|
61 |
2% |
94% |
|
62 |
5% |
92% |
|
63 |
5% |
87% |
|
64 |
7% |
82% |
|
65 |
6% |
75% |
|
66 |
8% |
69% |
Median |
67 |
8% |
61% |
|
68 |
8% |
53% |
|
69 |
8% |
45% |
|
70 |
13% |
37% |
|
71 |
7% |
24% |
|
72 |
4% |
17% |
|
73 |
4% |
13% |
|
74 |
4% |
9% |
|
75 |
3% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
4% |
97% |
|
58 |
4% |
94% |
|
59 |
7% |
90% |
|
60 |
7% |
83% |
Last Result |
61 |
6% |
76% |
|
62 |
14% |
70% |
|
63 |
10% |
56% |
Median |
64 |
8% |
46% |
|
65 |
9% |
37% |
|
66 |
7% |
28% |
|
67 |
7% |
21% |
|
68 |
6% |
14% |
|
69 |
3% |
8% |
|
70 |
2% |
5% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
98.9% |
|
55 |
3% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
95% |
|
57 |
6% |
93% |
|
58 |
5% |
87% |
|
59 |
6% |
82% |
Median |
60 |
12% |
76% |
|
61 |
10% |
64% |
|
62 |
12% |
54% |
|
63 |
9% |
42% |
|
64 |
8% |
33% |
|
65 |
7% |
25% |
|
66 |
5% |
19% |
|
67 |
6% |
14% |
|
68 |
2% |
8% |
|
69 |
2% |
5% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
4% |
95% |
|
55 |
4% |
91% |
|
56 |
4% |
87% |
|
57 |
6% |
83% |
|
58 |
8% |
76% |
Median |
59 |
14% |
68% |
|
60 |
17% |
55% |
|
61 |
5% |
38% |
|
62 |
9% |
32% |
|
63 |
6% |
24% |
|
64 |
6% |
17% |
|
65 |
4% |
11% |
|
66 |
2% |
7% |
|
67 |
2% |
5% |
|
68 |
2% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
2% |
98% |
|
50 |
4% |
97% |
|
51 |
4% |
93% |
|
52 |
8% |
89% |
|
53 |
6% |
81% |
|
54 |
8% |
75% |
|
55 |
7% |
67% |
|
56 |
10% |
60% |
Median |
57 |
13% |
50% |
|
58 |
15% |
38% |
|
59 |
5% |
23% |
|
60 |
6% |
17% |
|
61 |
4% |
11% |
|
62 |
3% |
7% |
|
63 |
2% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
35 |
3% |
97% |
|
36 |
5% |
95% |
|
37 |
6% |
90% |
|
38 |
9% |
84% |
Median |
39 |
13% |
76% |
|
40 |
11% |
63% |
|
41 |
9% |
52% |
|
42 |
11% |
42% |
|
43 |
9% |
31% |
|
44 |
5% |
22% |
|
45 |
7% |
17% |
|
46 |
3% |
10% |
|
47 |
3% |
7% |
|
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
27 |
3% |
98% |
|
28 |
6% |
95% |
|
29 |
4% |
89% |
|
30 |
11% |
85% |
Median |
31 |
11% |
74% |
|
32 |
8% |
63% |
|
33 |
7% |
55% |
|
34 |
9% |
48% |
|
35 |
8% |
40% |
Last Result |
36 |
9% |
31% |
|
37 |
6% |
22% |
|
38 |
4% |
16% |
|
39 |
4% |
13% |
|
40 |
2% |
9% |
|
41 |
3% |
7% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
43 |
2% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Næringsliv
- Fieldwork period: 22–28 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 740
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.06%