Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 3–4 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.7% |
21.8–25.8% |
21.3–26.4% |
20.9–26.9% |
20.0–27.9% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.9% |
19.1–22.9% |
18.6–23.4% |
18.2–23.9% |
17.3–24.9% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
15.8% |
14.2–17.6% |
13.8–18.1% |
13.4–18.6% |
12.7–19.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.9% |
9.6–12.5% |
9.2–12.9% |
8.9–13.3% |
8.3–14.1% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.6% |
7.4–10.0% |
7.1–10.4% |
6.8–10.8% |
6.3–11.5% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
5.3% |
4.4–6.5% |
4.2–6.8% |
3.9–7.1% |
3.6–7.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.7% |
3.5–6.0% |
3.3–6.2% |
2.9–6.8% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.7% |
3.5–6.0% |
3.3–6.2% |
2.9–6.8% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
2.9% |
2.2–3.8% |
2.0–4.1% |
1.9–4.3% |
1.6–4.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
39 |
2% |
97% |
|
40 |
8% |
95% |
|
41 |
10% |
87% |
|
42 |
13% |
77% |
|
43 |
22% |
64% |
Median |
44 |
17% |
41% |
|
45 |
9% |
24% |
|
46 |
6% |
15% |
|
47 |
3% |
9% |
|
48 |
2% |
6% |
|
49 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
2% |
98% |
|
33 |
5% |
96% |
|
34 |
6% |
91% |
|
35 |
16% |
85% |
|
36 |
21% |
70% |
Median |
37 |
17% |
49% |
|
38 |
13% |
32% |
|
39 |
6% |
19% |
|
40 |
4% |
13% |
|
41 |
4% |
9% |
|
42 |
2% |
5% |
|
43 |
2% |
3% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
24 |
3% |
98% |
|
25 |
4% |
95% |
|
26 |
5% |
91% |
|
27 |
13% |
86% |
|
28 |
7% |
73% |
|
29 |
19% |
66% |
Median |
30 |
7% |
47% |
|
31 |
14% |
40% |
|
32 |
13% |
25% |
|
33 |
8% |
13% |
|
34 |
2% |
5% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
36 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
10% |
96% |
|
17 |
14% |
86% |
|
18 |
15% |
72% |
|
19 |
22% |
57% |
Median |
20 |
12% |
35% |
|
21 |
10% |
23% |
|
22 |
6% |
14% |
|
23 |
4% |
8% |
|
24 |
2% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
12 |
7% |
98% |
|
13 |
15% |
90% |
|
14 |
14% |
75% |
|
15 |
19% |
61% |
Median |
16 |
18% |
42% |
|
17 |
14% |
24% |
|
18 |
6% |
9% |
|
19 |
3% |
4% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
7 |
6% |
97% |
|
8 |
29% |
91% |
|
9 |
21% |
63% |
Median |
10 |
18% |
42% |
|
11 |
16% |
23% |
|
12 |
6% |
8% |
|
13 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
16% |
98.8% |
|
3 |
0.9% |
83% |
|
4 |
0.5% |
82% |
|
5 |
0% |
81% |
|
6 |
2% |
81% |
|
7 |
15% |
80% |
|
8 |
35% |
65% |
Median |
9 |
19% |
29% |
|
10 |
7% |
10% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
18% |
100% |
|
3 |
2% |
82% |
|
4 |
0% |
80% |
|
5 |
0% |
80% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
80% |
|
7 |
11% |
79% |
|
8 |
32% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
9 |
24% |
36% |
|
10 |
8% |
12% |
|
11 |
3% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
9% |
100% |
|
1 |
56% |
91% |
Median |
2 |
11% |
35% |
|
3 |
18% |
23% |
|
4 |
0% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
5% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
7 |
3% |
5% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
104 |
100% |
99–108 |
97–110 |
96–111 |
93–113 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
97 |
99.9% |
92–101 |
91–103 |
90–104 |
87–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
97 |
99.9% |
92–101 |
90–103 |
88–103 |
86–106 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
95 |
99.4% |
90–99 |
88–101 |
86–102 |
84–104 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
95 |
99.4% |
89–99 |
88–100 |
87–101 |
84–103 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
88 |
82% |
83–92 |
82–93 |
81–94 |
79–98 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
82 |
21% |
77–86 |
75–88 |
73–89 |
70–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
74 |
0.4% |
70–79 |
69–81 |
68–82 |
65–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
74 |
0.4% |
70–79 |
68–81 |
67–82 |
65–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
73 |
0% |
68–77 |
67–78 |
66–79 |
63–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
72 |
0.1% |
67–76 |
66–78 |
64–79 |
62–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
64 |
0% |
60–70 |
59–71 |
57–72 |
55–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
63 |
0% |
58–67 |
57–69 |
56–70 |
54–73 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
58 |
0% |
55–62 |
54–63 |
53–65 |
51–67 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
55 |
0% |
52–60 |
50–62 |
50–63 |
48–65 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
46 |
0% |
41–49 |
40–51 |
38–52 |
37–55 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
38 |
0% |
33–43 |
32–44 |
31–46 |
28–48 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
95 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
96 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
97 |
2% |
97% |
|
98 |
3% |
95% |
|
99 |
5% |
92% |
|
100 |
4% |
87% |
|
101 |
9% |
83% |
|
102 |
9% |
74% |
|
103 |
7% |
65% |
|
104 |
9% |
58% |
Median |
105 |
13% |
49% |
|
106 |
9% |
36% |
|
107 |
11% |
27% |
|
108 |
7% |
16% |
|
109 |
2% |
9% |
|
110 |
3% |
7% |
|
111 |
2% |
4% |
|
112 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
113 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
114 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
115 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
117 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
89 |
1.1% |
98.6% |
|
90 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
91 |
5% |
96% |
|
92 |
2% |
91% |
|
93 |
9% |
89% |
|
94 |
4% |
79% |
|
95 |
9% |
75% |
|
96 |
9% |
66% |
Median |
97 |
13% |
57% |
|
98 |
11% |
44% |
|
99 |
9% |
33% |
|
100 |
10% |
24% |
|
101 |
5% |
14% |
|
102 |
3% |
9% |
|
103 |
2% |
6% |
|
104 |
2% |
4% |
|
105 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
106 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
108 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
88 |
1.4% |
98% |
Last Result |
89 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
90 |
2% |
95% |
|
91 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
92 |
4% |
92% |
|
93 |
8% |
88% |
|
94 |
8% |
80% |
|
95 |
7% |
72% |
|
96 |
13% |
65% |
Median |
97 |
13% |
52% |
|
98 |
10% |
39% |
|
99 |
7% |
29% |
|
100 |
7% |
22% |
|
101 |
6% |
14% |
|
102 |
3% |
8% |
|
103 |
3% |
5% |
|
104 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
107 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
108 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
110 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
3% |
93% |
|
90 |
2% |
90% |
|
91 |
3% |
88% |
|
92 |
9% |
85% |
|
93 |
12% |
76% |
|
94 |
8% |
64% |
|
95 |
11% |
56% |
Median |
96 |
11% |
45% |
|
97 |
10% |
34% |
|
98 |
7% |
24% |
|
99 |
9% |
17% |
|
100 |
3% |
8% |
|
101 |
2% |
5% |
|
102 |
2% |
3% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
104 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.6% |
98.7% |
|
87 |
2% |
98% |
|
88 |
2% |
96% |
|
89 |
4% |
93% |
|
90 |
6% |
90% |
|
91 |
8% |
84% |
|
92 |
10% |
76% |
|
93 |
8% |
66% |
Median |
94 |
7% |
58% |
|
95 |
21% |
51% |
|
96 |
9% |
29% |
|
97 |
4% |
20% |
|
98 |
5% |
16% |
|
99 |
3% |
11% |
|
100 |
4% |
7% |
|
101 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
102 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
104 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
80 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
81 |
2% |
98% |
|
82 |
2% |
96% |
|
83 |
5% |
94% |
|
84 |
8% |
89% |
|
85 |
9% |
82% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
73% |
|
87 |
13% |
64% |
Median |
88 |
8% |
51% |
|
89 |
11% |
43% |
|
90 |
12% |
32% |
|
91 |
9% |
21% |
|
92 |
4% |
11% |
|
93 |
3% |
7% |
|
94 |
3% |
4% |
|
95 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
98 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
72 |
1.5% |
99.0% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
75 |
2% |
96% |
|
76 |
3% |
93% |
|
77 |
4% |
90% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
86% |
|
79 |
6% |
81% |
|
80 |
14% |
75% |
|
81 |
6% |
61% |
Median |
82 |
14% |
54% |
|
83 |
13% |
40% |
|
84 |
6% |
27% |
|
85 |
8% |
21% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
13% |
|
87 |
2% |
8% |
|
88 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
89 |
3% |
5% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
3% |
95% |
|
70 |
7% |
92% |
|
71 |
7% |
85% |
|
72 |
8% |
78% |
|
73 |
10% |
70% |
Median |
74 |
10% |
60% |
|
75 |
14% |
50% |
|
76 |
11% |
36% |
Last Result |
77 |
7% |
25% |
|
78 |
6% |
17% |
|
79 |
3% |
11% |
|
80 |
4% |
9% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
68 |
2% |
97% |
|
69 |
4% |
95% |
|
70 |
4% |
91% |
|
71 |
6% |
86% |
|
72 |
5% |
80% |
|
73 |
9% |
75% |
|
74 |
21% |
66% |
|
75 |
7% |
45% |
Median |
76 |
7% |
38% |
|
77 |
9% |
31% |
|
78 |
8% |
22% |
|
79 |
5% |
14% |
|
80 |
4% |
9% |
|
81 |
2% |
6% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
4% |
97% |
|
68 |
4% |
93% |
Last Result |
69 |
10% |
89% |
|
70 |
7% |
79% |
|
71 |
6% |
72% |
|
72 |
10% |
66% |
Median |
73 |
14% |
56% |
|
74 |
15% |
42% |
|
75 |
6% |
27% |
|
76 |
8% |
21% |
|
77 |
7% |
13% |
|
78 |
2% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
4% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
2% |
95% |
|
67 |
4% |
93% |
|
68 |
6% |
89% |
|
69 |
11% |
84% |
|
70 |
9% |
72% |
|
71 |
12% |
63% |
|
72 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
73 |
9% |
38% |
|
74 |
8% |
30% |
|
75 |
3% |
21% |
|
76 |
9% |
18% |
|
77 |
2% |
9% |
|
78 |
4% |
7% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
58 |
2% |
97% |
|
59 |
3% |
95% |
|
60 |
2% |
92% |
|
61 |
8% |
90% |
|
62 |
12% |
82% |
|
63 |
11% |
70% |
|
64 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
65 |
9% |
47% |
|
66 |
7% |
37% |
|
67 |
8% |
30% |
|
68 |
9% |
22% |
|
69 |
3% |
13% |
|
70 |
4% |
10% |
|
71 |
2% |
6% |
|
72 |
2% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
2% |
98% |
|
57 |
3% |
96% |
|
58 |
4% |
92% |
|
59 |
5% |
89% |
|
60 |
6% |
84% |
|
61 |
12% |
77% |
|
62 |
11% |
65% |
|
63 |
15% |
54% |
Median |
64 |
9% |
39% |
|
65 |
9% |
31% |
|
66 |
6% |
22% |
|
67 |
6% |
16% |
|
68 |
3% |
9% |
|
69 |
2% |
7% |
|
70 |
2% |
4% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
5% |
96% |
|
55 |
10% |
91% |
|
56 |
11% |
81% |
|
57 |
12% |
70% |
|
58 |
14% |
59% |
Median |
59 |
12% |
44% |
|
60 |
10% |
32% |
Last Result |
61 |
8% |
22% |
|
62 |
5% |
14% |
|
63 |
5% |
9% |
|
64 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
4% |
98% |
|
51 |
3% |
94% |
|
52 |
4% |
91% |
|
53 |
13% |
87% |
|
54 |
17% |
74% |
|
55 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
56 |
7% |
47% |
|
57 |
16% |
40% |
|
58 |
8% |
24% |
|
59 |
3% |
16% |
|
60 |
4% |
14% |
|
61 |
3% |
9% |
|
62 |
4% |
7% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
2% |
97% |
|
40 |
4% |
95% |
|
41 |
2% |
91% |
|
42 |
5% |
89% |
|
43 |
8% |
84% |
|
44 |
8% |
76% |
|
45 |
16% |
68% |
Median |
46 |
13% |
52% |
|
47 |
11% |
39% |
|
48 |
8% |
28% |
|
49 |
11% |
20% |
|
50 |
4% |
9% |
|
51 |
2% |
6% |
|
52 |
2% |
4% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
32 |
5% |
97% |
|
33 |
4% |
92% |
|
34 |
5% |
88% |
|
35 |
5% |
83% |
Last Result |
36 |
5% |
78% |
|
37 |
8% |
72% |
|
38 |
16% |
64% |
Median |
39 |
9% |
48% |
|
40 |
8% |
40% |
|
41 |
12% |
32% |
|
42 |
9% |
20% |
|
43 |
3% |
10% |
|
44 |
3% |
7% |
|
45 |
2% |
5% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
47 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 3–4 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 771
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.34%