Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 2–6 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 23.5% | 21.9–25.3% | 21.4–25.9% | 21.0–26.3% | 20.2–27.2% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 18.2% | 16.7–19.9% | 16.3–20.4% | 15.9–20.8% | 15.2–21.6% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 16.4% | 14.9–18.0% | 14.5–18.4% | 14.2–18.8% | 13.5–19.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.6–11.3% | 7.1–12.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.5–9.9% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.2% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.5–9.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 42–45 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 38–50 |
| Høyre | 45 | 33 | 29–35 | 29–36 | 28–36 | 26–38 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 31 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–36 | 25–37 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–21 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 13 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 9–19 |
| Rødt | 1 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 7 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 3–7 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2–6 | 1–7 | 1–8 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 96% | |
| 42 | 15% | 93% | |
| 43 | 9% | 78% | |
| 44 | 53% | 69% | Median |
| 45 | 7% | 16% | |
| 46 | 4% | 9% | |
| 47 | 2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 9% | 97% | |
| 30 | 5% | 88% | |
| 31 | 13% | 83% | |
| 32 | 11% | 70% | |
| 33 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 34 | 26% | 46% | |
| 35 | 14% | 19% | |
| 36 | 5% | 6% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 27 | 3% | 96% | |
| 28 | 3% | 93% | |
| 29 | 7% | 90% | |
| 30 | 18% | 83% | |
| 31 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 32 | 13% | 42% | |
| 33 | 11% | 29% | |
| 34 | 7% | 18% | |
| 35 | 6% | 11% | |
| 36 | 4% | 5% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 9% | 97% | |
| 13 | 9% | 88% | |
| 14 | 14% | 80% | |
| 15 | 35% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 9% | 30% | |
| 17 | 14% | 21% | |
| 18 | 4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 9% | 96% | Last Result |
| 12 | 9% | 87% | |
| 13 | 33% | 78% | Median |
| 14 | 27% | 45% | |
| 15 | 8% | 18% | |
| 16 | 4% | 10% | |
| 17 | 3% | 6% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 10% | 94% | |
| 11 | 20% | 84% | |
| 12 | 36% | 65% | Median |
| 13 | 18% | 28% | |
| 14 | 6% | 11% | |
| 15 | 3% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 13% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 4% | 87% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 6 | 9% | 83% | |
| 7 | 39% | 73% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 34% | |
| 9 | 7% | 10% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 94% | |
| 3 | 51% | 92% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 42% | |
| 5 | 0% | 42% | |
| 6 | 13% | 42% | |
| 7 | 24% | 29% | |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 89% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 7% | |
| 6 | 4% | 7% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 107 | 100% | 103–110 | 101–112 | 100–113 | 98–115 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 100 | 100% | 97–104 | 95–106 | 95–106 | 92–109 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 99 | 100% | 96–104 | 94–105 | 93–106 | 91–108 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 95 | 99.9% | 91–99 | 89–100 | 89–101 | 86–103 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 88 | 93% | 85–92 | 84–93 | 82–95 | 81–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 85 | 76% | 82–91 | 80–92 | 78–93 | 75–94 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 85 | 69% | 82–90 | 80–91 | 79–92 | 76–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 79 | 8% | 75–84 | 74–85 | 73–87 | 70–88 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 62 | 76 | 0.8% | 71–79 | 70–81 | 70–83 | 68–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 75 | 0% | 72–79 | 70–80 | 69–81 | 67–83 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 89 | 61 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 53–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 57 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–65 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 54 | 0% | 51–58 | 50–59 | 48–61 | 46–63 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–56 | 43–59 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 48 | 0% | 44–50 | 43–52 | 43–53 | 40–55 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 39 | 0% | 36–43 | 34–44 | 34–45 | 32–47 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 38 | 0% | 34–42 | 32–44 | 31–45 | 29–47 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0% | 100% | |
| 93 | 0% | 100% | |
| 94 | 0% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0% | 100% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 100 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 101 | 4% | 97% | |
| 102 | 3% | 94% | |
| 103 | 5% | 91% | |
| 104 | 7% | 86% | |
| 105 | 8% | 79% | |
| 106 | 10% | 71% | |
| 107 | 23% | 61% | Median |
| 108 | 8% | 38% | |
| 109 | 13% | 30% | |
| 110 | 7% | 16% | |
| 111 | 3% | 10% | |
| 112 | 3% | 6% | |
| 113 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 114 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 118 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 119 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 95 | 3% | 98% | |
| 96 | 3% | 94% | |
| 97 | 4% | 91% | |
| 98 | 10% | 87% | |
| 99 | 8% | 77% | |
| 100 | 27% | 70% | Median |
| 101 | 18% | 43% | |
| 102 | 7% | 25% | |
| 103 | 6% | 18% | |
| 104 | 4% | 12% | |
| 105 | 2% | 7% | |
| 106 | 3% | 5% | |
| 107 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98% | |
| 94 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 95 | 3% | 95% | |
| 96 | 7% | 91% | |
| 97 | 8% | 84% | |
| 98 | 20% | 76% | Median |
| 99 | 12% | 56% | |
| 100 | 9% | 44% | |
| 101 | 8% | 35% | |
| 102 | 8% | 27% | |
| 103 | 7% | 19% | |
| 104 | 5% | 12% | |
| 105 | 5% | 8% | |
| 106 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 109 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 89 | 4% | 98% | |
| 90 | 3% | 94% | |
| 91 | 3% | 91% | |
| 92 | 5% | 87% | |
| 93 | 10% | 82% | |
| 94 | 9% | 72% | |
| 95 | 22% | 63% | Median |
| 96 | 13% | 41% | |
| 97 | 8% | 28% | |
| 98 | 8% | 20% | |
| 99 | 6% | 12% | |
| 100 | 2% | 5% | |
| 101 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 102 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 3% | 96% | |
| 85 | 5% | 93% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 89% | |
| 87 | 14% | 81% | |
| 88 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 89 | 15% | 43% | |
| 90 | 7% | 27% | |
| 91 | 7% | 20% | |
| 92 | 5% | 13% | |
| 93 | 4% | 9% | |
| 94 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 95 | 2% | 3% | |
| 96 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 78 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 2% | 95% | |
| 81 | 2% | 93% | |
| 82 | 6% | 91% | |
| 83 | 5% | 85% | |
| 84 | 4% | 80% | |
| 85 | 27% | 76% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 12% | 49% | |
| 87 | 8% | 38% | |
| 88 | 5% | 30% | |
| 89 | 6% | 25% | |
| 90 | 4% | 19% | |
| 91 | 7% | 14% | |
| 92 | 4% | 7% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 94 | 2% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 80 | 3% | 97% | |
| 81 | 3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 5% | 91% | |
| 83 | 11% | 86% | |
| 84 | 6% | 75% | Median |
| 85 | 23% | 69% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 46% | |
| 87 | 9% | 41% | |
| 88 | 10% | 32% | |
| 89 | 11% | 22% | |
| 90 | 5% | 11% | |
| 91 | 2% | 6% | |
| 92 | 2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 75 | 4% | 94% | |
| 76 | 5% | 90% | Last Result |
| 77 | 12% | 85% | |
| 78 | 21% | 73% | Median |
| 79 | 8% | 51% | |
| 80 | 8% | 44% | |
| 81 | 6% | 36% | |
| 82 | 6% | 29% | |
| 83 | 10% | 23% | |
| 84 | 6% | 14% | |
| 85 | 3% | 8% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 4% | |
| 87 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 88 | 2% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 70 | 3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 7% | 95% | |
| 72 | 4% | 88% | |
| 73 | 10% | 83% | |
| 74 | 9% | 74% | |
| 75 | 9% | 65% | |
| 76 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 77 | 15% | 35% | |
| 78 | 6% | 21% | |
| 79 | 6% | 15% | |
| 80 | 4% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 6% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 96% | |
| 71 | 3% | 94% | |
| 72 | 7% | 91% | |
| 73 | 7% | 84% | |
| 74 | 18% | 76% | |
| 75 | 23% | 59% | Median |
| 76 | 11% | 35% | |
| 77 | 7% | 24% | |
| 78 | 5% | 17% | |
| 79 | 5% | 12% | |
| 80 | 4% | 7% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 95% | |
| 57 | 4% | 93% | |
| 58 | 5% | 89% | |
| 59 | 12% | 84% | |
| 60 | 11% | 72% | Median |
| 61 | 26% | 60% | |
| 62 | 9% | 35% | |
| 63 | 6% | 26% | |
| 64 | 9% | 20% | |
| 65 | 5% | 11% | |
| 66 | 2% | 6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 7% | 91% | |
| 56 | 18% | 85% | |
| 57 | 36% | 67% | Median |
| 58 | 17% | 31% | |
| 59 | 4% | 14% | |
| 60 | 3% | 10% | Last Result |
| 61 | 2% | 7% | |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 11% | 93% | |
| 52 | 6% | 81% | |
| 53 | 11% | 75% | Median |
| 54 | 22% | 64% | |
| 55 | 12% | 42% | |
| 56 | 4% | 31% | |
| 57 | 10% | 27% | |
| 58 | 7% | 17% | |
| 59 | 5% | 9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 5% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 5% | 95% | |
| 47 | 6% | 90% | |
| 48 | 15% | 84% | |
| 49 | 10% | 69% | |
| 50 | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 51 | 24% | 46% | |
| 52 | 9% | 22% | |
| 53 | 4% | 13% | |
| 54 | 4% | 8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 6% | 95% | |
| 45 | 7% | 89% | |
| 46 | 17% | 82% | |
| 47 | 10% | 66% | |
| 48 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 49 | 23% | 41% | |
| 50 | 8% | 18% | |
| 51 | 4% | 10% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98% | |
| 35 | 3% | 94% | |
| 36 | 7% | 91% | |
| 37 | 8% | 84% | |
| 38 | 9% | 76% | Median |
| 39 | 22% | 67% | |
| 40 | 12% | 45% | |
| 41 | 7% | 33% | |
| 42 | 9% | 26% | |
| 43 | 9% | 17% | |
| 44 | 5% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 2% | 97% | |
| 33 | 2% | 95% | |
| 34 | 4% | 93% | |
| 35 | 8% | 88% | Last Result |
| 36 | 19% | 81% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 62% | |
| 38 | 8% | 53% | |
| 39 | 11% | 46% | |
| 40 | 8% | 34% | |
| 41 | 10% | 26% | |
| 42 | 7% | 17% | |
| 43 | 3% | 9% | |
| 44 | 3% | 6% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 2–6 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 977
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.75%