Opinion Poll by Opinion Perduco for Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse, 3–8 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 22.6% | 20.7–24.7% | 20.2–25.3% | 19.8–25.8% | 18.9–26.8% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 21.1% | 19.3–23.2% | 18.8–23.8% | 18.3–24.3% | 17.5–25.3% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 19.2% | 17.5–21.2% | 17.0–21.8% | 16.5–22.3% | 15.7–23.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 9.3% | 8.0–10.8% | 7.7–11.2% | 7.4–11.6% | 6.8–12.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.7–10.4% | 7.3–10.8% | 7.0–11.2% | 6.5–11.9% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.4–6.2% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.3–6.0% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.1–5.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–48 | 34–50 |
| Høyre | 45 | 38 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 33–45 | 32–46 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 36 | 32–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 29–44 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 17 | 13–20 | 13–21 | 12–21 | 11–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 16 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| Rødt | 1 | 2 | 2–9 | 1–9 | 1–10 | 1–11 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 2 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 | 1–10 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 39 | 6% | 94% | |
| 40 | 13% | 88% | |
| 41 | 21% | 76% | |
| 42 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 43 | 6% | 40% | |
| 44 | 18% | 34% | |
| 45 | 9% | 16% | |
| 46 | 3% | 8% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 7% | 94% | |
| 35 | 14% | 87% | |
| 36 | 10% | 74% | |
| 37 | 9% | 64% | |
| 38 | 6% | 55% | Median |
| 39 | 11% | 49% | |
| 40 | 14% | 38% | |
| 41 | 8% | 24% | |
| 42 | 7% | 15% | |
| 43 | 4% | 8% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 46 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 95% | |
| 33 | 4% | 90% | |
| 34 | 7% | 86% | |
| 35 | 15% | 79% | |
| 36 | 20% | 64% | Median |
| 37 | 19% | 43% | |
| 38 | 8% | 24% | |
| 39 | 8% | 16% | |
| 40 | 4% | 8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 7% | 96% | |
| 14 | 8% | 88% | |
| 15 | 10% | 80% | |
| 16 | 19% | 70% | |
| 17 | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 18 | 8% | 33% | |
| 19 | 12% | 25% | |
| 20 | 9% | 14% | |
| 21 | 3% | 5% | |
| 22 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 12 | 4% | 97% | |
| 13 | 7% | 93% | |
| 14 | 10% | 85% | |
| 15 | 26% | 76% | |
| 16 | 14% | 50% | Median |
| 17 | 8% | 36% | |
| 18 | 14% | 28% | |
| 19 | 7% | 14% | |
| 20 | 5% | 6% | |
| 21 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 15% | 93% | |
| 3 | 30% | 78% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 48% | |
| 5 | 0% | 48% | |
| 6 | 4% | 48% | |
| 7 | 20% | 44% | |
| 8 | 14% | 24% | Last Result |
| 9 | 6% | 11% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 53% | 95% | Median |
| 3 | 0.5% | 42% | |
| 4 | 0% | 42% | |
| 5 | 0% | 42% | |
| 6 | 2% | 42% | |
| 7 | 11% | 40% | |
| 8 | 14% | 28% | |
| 9 | 11% | 15% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 51% | 99.6% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 49% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 41% | |
| 5 | 0% | 41% | |
| 6 | 2% | 41% | |
| 7 | 10% | 39% | |
| 8 | 19% | 30% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 10% | |
| 10 | 2% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 15% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 2 | 48% | 85% | Median |
| 3 | 5% | 37% | |
| 4 | 4% | 32% | |
| 5 | 0% | 28% | |
| 6 | 2% | 28% | |
| 7 | 10% | 26% | |
| 8 | 12% | 16% | |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 88 | 103 | 100% | 98–108 | 96–109 | 94–111 | 92–114 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 102 | 100% | 97–108 | 95–110 | 94–111 | 92–113 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 107 | 101 | 100% | 95–107 | 93–108 | 92–110 | 89–112 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 98 | 100% | 93–105 | 91–107 | 90–108 | 88–110 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 97 | 99.9% | 93–103 | 91–104 | 90–106 | 86–108 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 94 | 98% | 90–99 | 88–101 | 86–102 | 84–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 77 | 87 | 72% | 81–92 | 80–94 | 78–95 | 76–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 83 | 39% | 78–88 | 77–89 | 75–91 | 73–93 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 78 | 3% | 74–82 | 73–83 | 71–86 | 68–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 89 | 67 | 0% | 62–74 | 60–75 | 60–77 | 58–79 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 62 | 66 | 0% | 60–72 | 59–73 | 58–75 | 56–77 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 88 | 64 | 0% | 59–71 | 57–71 | 56–73 | 54–76 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 59 | 0% | 54–66 | 52–68 | 51–68 | 49–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 57 | 0% | 54–63 | 53–64 | 51–65 | 49–68 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 55 | 0% | 49–60 | 48–62 | 47–63 | 46–66 |
| Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 61 | 48 | 0% | 42–53 | 40–54 | 40–56 | 38–59 |
| Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre | 35 | 46 | 0% | 40–52 | 39–53 | 38–55 | 35–57 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 96 | 2% | 96% | |
| 97 | 3% | 94% | |
| 98 | 5% | 91% | |
| 99 | 11% | 86% | Median |
| 100 | 5% | 74% | |
| 101 | 7% | 70% | |
| 102 | 12% | 63% | |
| 103 | 9% | 51% | |
| 104 | 11% | 42% | |
| 105 | 7% | 31% | |
| 106 | 7% | 25% | |
| 107 | 6% | 18% | |
| 108 | 4% | 12% | |
| 109 | 3% | 8% | |
| 110 | 2% | 5% | |
| 111 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 113 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 114 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 115 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 94 | 2% | 98% | |
| 95 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 96 | 3% | 95% | |
| 97 | 11% | 91% | |
| 98 | 9% | 81% | Median |
| 99 | 6% | 72% | |
| 100 | 4% | 66% | |
| 101 | 5% | 62% | |
| 102 | 7% | 57% | |
| 103 | 10% | 50% | |
| 104 | 7% | 40% | |
| 105 | 7% | 33% | |
| 106 | 11% | 26% | |
| 107 | 4% | 16% | |
| 108 | 3% | 12% | |
| 109 | 3% | 9% | |
| 110 | 4% | 7% | |
| 111 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 112 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 113 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 114 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 116 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 90 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 91 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 92 | 2% | 98% | |
| 93 | 2% | 96% | |
| 94 | 3% | 94% | |
| 95 | 4% | 91% | |
| 96 | 6% | 86% | Median |
| 97 | 5% | 80% | |
| 98 | 7% | 75% | |
| 99 | 9% | 68% | |
| 100 | 8% | 59% | |
| 101 | 12% | 51% | |
| 102 | 11% | 39% | |
| 103 | 6% | 28% | |
| 104 | 4% | 22% | |
| 105 | 4% | 18% | |
| 106 | 2% | 14% | |
| 107 | 6% | 12% | Last Result |
| 108 | 2% | 6% | |
| 109 | 2% | 4% | |
| 110 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 111 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 112 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 113 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 89 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 97% | |
| 92 | 3% | 95% | |
| 93 | 2% | 92% | |
| 94 | 5% | 90% | |
| 95 | 14% | 85% | |
| 96 | 10% | 72% | Median |
| 97 | 10% | 62% | |
| 98 | 5% | 52% | |
| 99 | 6% | 47% | |
| 100 | 7% | 41% | |
| 101 | 6% | 34% | |
| 102 | 6% | 28% | |
| 103 | 5% | 22% | |
| 104 | 7% | 17% | |
| 105 | 3% | 10% | |
| 106 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 107 | 3% | 6% | |
| 108 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 109 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 90 | 2% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 3% | 94% | |
| 93 | 3% | 91% | |
| 94 | 5% | 88% | |
| 95 | 14% | 83% | |
| 96 | 13% | 69% | Median |
| 97 | 10% | 56% | |
| 98 | 7% | 46% | |
| 99 | 6% | 39% | |
| 100 | 5% | 33% | |
| 101 | 10% | 28% | |
| 102 | 6% | 18% | |
| 103 | 5% | 12% | |
| 104 | 3% | 7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 4% | |
| 106 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 107 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 109 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 98% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 88 | 3% | 96% | |
| 89 | 3% | 93% | |
| 90 | 5% | 90% | |
| 91 | 4% | 85% | |
| 92 | 10% | 82% | |
| 93 | 18% | 72% | |
| 94 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 95 | 14% | 41% | |
| 96 | 7% | 27% | |
| 97 | 3% | 20% | |
| 98 | 3% | 17% | |
| 99 | 5% | 14% | |
| 100 | 3% | 10% | |
| 101 | 3% | 6% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 105 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 78 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 80 | 4% | 96% | |
| 81 | 5% | 93% | |
| 82 | 3% | 87% | |
| 83 | 2% | 84% | Median |
| 84 | 9% | 81% | |
| 85 | 8% | 72% | Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 65% | |
| 87 | 12% | 55% | |
| 88 | 9% | 44% | |
| 89 | 9% | 35% | |
| 90 | 8% | 26% | |
| 91 | 7% | 18% | |
| 92 | 4% | 11% | |
| 93 | 2% | 8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 5% | |
| 95 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 96 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 98 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 77 | 3% | 96% | |
| 78 | 5% | 93% | |
| 79 | 4% | 88% | |
| 80 | 7% | 84% | |
| 81 | 10% | 77% | Median |
| 82 | 8% | 66% | |
| 83 | 9% | 58% | |
| 84 | 10% | 49% | |
| 85 | 11% | 39% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 28% | |
| 87 | 5% | 19% | |
| 88 | 5% | 15% | |
| 89 | 5% | 9% | |
| 90 | 2% | 4% | |
| 91 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 93 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 97% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 5% | 94% | |
| 75 | 6% | 89% | |
| 76 | 11% | 83% | |
| 77 | 10% | 72% | |
| 78 | 16% | 62% | Median |
| 79 | 10% | 46% | |
| 80 | 14% | 35% | |
| 81 | 9% | 21% | |
| 82 | 5% | 12% | |
| 83 | 3% | 8% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 3% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 4% | 92% | Median |
| 63 | 4% | 88% | |
| 64 | 5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 9% | 79% | |
| 66 | 8% | 70% | |
| 67 | 14% | 62% | |
| 68 | 7% | 48% | |
| 69 | 6% | 41% | |
| 70 | 4% | 35% | |
| 71 | 5% | 30% | |
| 72 | 8% | 26% | |
| 73 | 7% | 18% | |
| 74 | 4% | 11% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 97% | |
| 60 | 9% | 94% | |
| 61 | 4% | 85% | |
| 62 | 9% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 63 | 5% | 72% | |
| 64 | 6% | 67% | |
| 65 | 4% | 61% | |
| 66 | 7% | 57% | |
| 67 | 7% | 50% | |
| 68 | 11% | 43% | |
| 69 | 8% | 32% | |
| 70 | 7% | 24% | |
| 71 | 4% | 17% | |
| 72 | 3% | 12% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 6% | 91% | |
| 60 | 5% | 85% | Median |
| 61 | 5% | 80% | |
| 62 | 7% | 76% | |
| 63 | 11% | 69% | |
| 64 | 9% | 58% | |
| 65 | 13% | 49% | |
| 66 | 10% | 36% | |
| 67 | 6% | 26% | |
| 68 | 4% | 21% | |
| 69 | 3% | 17% | |
| 70 | 3% | 14% | |
| 71 | 6% | 11% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 96% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 4% | 91% | |
| 55 | 4% | 87% | |
| 56 | 10% | 83% | |
| 57 | 8% | 73% | Median |
| 58 | 14% | 65% | |
| 59 | 6% | 51% | |
| 60 | 7% | 45% | |
| 61 | 12% | 38% | |
| 62 | 4% | 26% | |
| 63 | 5% | 23% | |
| 64 | 5% | 18% | |
| 65 | 2% | 13% | |
| 66 | 2% | 11% | |
| 67 | 2% | 9% | |
| 68 | 5% | 7% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 53 | 4% | 96% | |
| 54 | 6% | 92% | |
| 55 | 7% | 86% | |
| 56 | 13% | 79% | |
| 57 | 17% | 66% | |
| 58 | 8% | 50% | Median |
| 59 | 11% | 42% | |
| 60 | 9% | 31% | Last Result |
| 61 | 6% | 22% | |
| 62 | 5% | 16% | |
| 63 | 4% | 10% | |
| 64 | 3% | 7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 5% | 97% | |
| 49 | 7% | 93% | |
| 50 | 5% | 86% | |
| 51 | 5% | 80% | |
| 52 | 5% | 75% | |
| 53 | 8% | 70% | |
| 54 | 9% | 62% | |
| 55 | 8% | 53% | Median |
| 56 | 11% | 45% | |
| 57 | 5% | 33% | |
| 58 | 7% | 28% | |
| 59 | 7% | 22% | |
| 60 | 6% | 14% | |
| 61 | 3% | 8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 93% | |
| 43 | 4% | 90% | Median |
| 44 | 9% | 86% | |
| 45 | 6% | 77% | |
| 46 | 10% | 71% | |
| 47 | 9% | 62% | |
| 48 | 13% | 53% | |
| 49 | 8% | 39% | |
| 50 | 7% | 32% | |
| 51 | 7% | 24% | |
| 52 | 5% | 18% | |
| 53 | 4% | 13% | |
| 54 | 4% | 8% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 36 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 96% | |
| 40 | 5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 5% | 88% | Median |
| 42 | 7% | 83% | |
| 43 | 7% | 75% | |
| 44 | 9% | 68% | |
| 45 | 7% | 59% | |
| 46 | 12% | 52% | |
| 47 | 8% | 40% | |
| 48 | 8% | 32% | |
| 49 | 5% | 24% | |
| 50 | 4% | 19% | |
| 51 | 4% | 15% | |
| 52 | 5% | 11% | |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Opinion Perduco
- Commissioner(s): Avisenes Nyhetsbyrå, Dagsavisen and FriFagbevegelse
- Fieldwork period: 3–8 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 733
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.11%