Opinion Poll by Norstat for Dagens Næringsliv, 6–11 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
24.1% |
22.2–26.1% |
21.6–26.7% |
21.2–27.2% |
20.3–28.2% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
19.1% |
17.4–21.0% |
16.9–21.5% |
16.5–22.0% |
15.7–22.9% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
16.1% |
14.5–17.9% |
14.1–18.4% |
13.7–18.8% |
13.0–19.7% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
10.1% |
8.9–11.6% |
8.5–12.1% |
8.2–12.4% |
7.6–13.2% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
8.6% |
7.4–10.0% |
7.1–10.4% |
6.8–10.8% |
6.3–11.5% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
5.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
4.7–7.5% |
4.5–7.8% |
4.1–8.5% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.6% |
3.7–5.7% |
3.5–6.0% |
3.3–6.2% |
3.0–6.8% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.4% |
3.3–5.7% |
3.1–6.0% |
2.7–6.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.1% |
2.3–4.4% |
2.1–4.6% |
1.9–5.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
40 |
2% |
98% |
|
41 |
7% |
96% |
|
42 |
9% |
88% |
|
43 |
17% |
79% |
|
44 |
38% |
62% |
Median |
45 |
6% |
24% |
|
46 |
5% |
17% |
|
47 |
4% |
13% |
|
48 |
3% |
8% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
5% |
Last Result |
50 |
2% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
29 |
2% |
98% |
|
30 |
4% |
96% |
|
31 |
5% |
93% |
|
32 |
20% |
87% |
|
33 |
13% |
68% |
|
34 |
21% |
55% |
Median |
35 |
14% |
34% |
|
36 |
11% |
20% |
|
37 |
4% |
9% |
|
38 |
2% |
5% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
25 |
2% |
98% |
|
26 |
4% |
96% |
|
27 |
6% |
91% |
|
28 |
9% |
85% |
|
29 |
16% |
77% |
|
30 |
8% |
61% |
|
31 |
12% |
53% |
Median |
32 |
20% |
41% |
|
33 |
8% |
20% |
|
34 |
7% |
13% |
|
35 |
3% |
6% |
|
36 |
2% |
3% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
13 |
3% |
98% |
|
14 |
6% |
95% |
|
15 |
7% |
89% |
|
16 |
11% |
82% |
|
17 |
24% |
71% |
Median |
18 |
23% |
47% |
|
19 |
10% |
25% |
|
20 |
7% |
14% |
|
21 |
4% |
7% |
|
22 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
11 |
6% |
97% |
Last Result |
12 |
10% |
91% |
|
13 |
24% |
82% |
|
14 |
22% |
58% |
Median |
15 |
10% |
36% |
|
16 |
11% |
26% |
|
17 |
10% |
15% |
|
18 |
4% |
5% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
1.5% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
20% |
95% |
|
9 |
18% |
75% |
|
10 |
23% |
57% |
Median |
11 |
20% |
34% |
|
12 |
8% |
14% |
|
13 |
4% |
5% |
|
14 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
86% |
|
4 |
0% |
86% |
|
5 |
0% |
86% |
|
6 |
6% |
86% |
|
7 |
26% |
81% |
|
8 |
31% |
54% |
Median |
9 |
18% |
23% |
|
10 |
4% |
5% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
17% |
100% |
|
3 |
2% |
83% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
81% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
81% |
|
6 |
4% |
81% |
|
7 |
29% |
77% |
Median |
8 |
29% |
47% |
Last Result |
9 |
13% |
19% |
|
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
|
1 |
34% |
97% |
|
2 |
11% |
63% |
|
3 |
39% |
52% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
13% |
|
5 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
6 |
5% |
12% |
|
7 |
5% |
7% |
|
8 |
1.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
106 |
100% |
101–110 |
98–112 |
97–114 |
95–117 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
101 |
100% |
96–106 |
95–108 |
93–110 |
92–113 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
98 |
100% |
94–103 |
92–105 |
90–106 |
89–110 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
96 |
99.8% |
91–100 |
89–101 |
88–102 |
85–104 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
91 |
95% |
85–95 |
84–96 |
83–98 |
78–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
88 |
91% |
85–92 |
82–94 |
82–95 |
80–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
86 |
72% |
82–91 |
81–93 |
79–94 |
77–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
77 |
2% |
73–81 |
72–82 |
70–84 |
68–86 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
75 |
1.3% |
70–80 |
69–83 |
68–84 |
65–85 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
75 |
0.1% |
71–78 |
69–79 |
68–80 |
66–82 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
70 |
0% |
65–75 |
63–76 |
62–79 |
60–81 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
61 |
0% |
55–65 |
54–66 |
52–68 |
49–71 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
58 |
0% |
52–62 |
51–64 |
50–65 |
48–67 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
58 |
0% |
54–62 |
54–64 |
53–64 |
51–68 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
51 |
0% |
47–55 |
46–57 |
45–58 |
44–61 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
43 |
0% |
39–47 |
37–48 |
35–49 |
33–52 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
40 |
0% |
35–44 |
32–45 |
30–47 |
28–49 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0% |
100% |
|
89 |
0% |
100% |
|
90 |
0% |
100% |
|
91 |
0% |
100% |
|
92 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
95 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
96 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
97 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
98 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
99 |
2% |
95% |
|
100 |
2% |
92% |
|
101 |
11% |
90% |
|
102 |
6% |
79% |
|
103 |
6% |
73% |
|
104 |
9% |
67% |
|
105 |
8% |
58% |
|
106 |
4% |
50% |
|
107 |
11% |
46% |
Median |
108 |
10% |
34% |
|
109 |
11% |
24% |
|
110 |
5% |
13% |
|
111 |
3% |
9% |
|
112 |
2% |
6% |
|
113 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
114 |
2% |
3% |
|
115 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
116 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
117 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
118 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
119 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
120 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
88 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
91 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
94 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
95 |
3% |
96% |
|
96 |
4% |
93% |
|
97 |
11% |
89% |
|
98 |
7% |
78% |
|
99 |
11% |
71% |
|
100 |
7% |
60% |
|
101 |
9% |
53% |
|
102 |
9% |
44% |
Median |
103 |
7% |
35% |
|
104 |
12% |
28% |
|
105 |
5% |
16% |
|
106 |
3% |
11% |
|
107 |
2% |
8% |
|
108 |
3% |
6% |
|
109 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
110 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
111 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
113 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
114 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
116 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
92 |
2% |
96% |
|
93 |
2% |
94% |
|
94 |
10% |
91% |
|
95 |
8% |
81% |
|
96 |
8% |
74% |
|
97 |
5% |
66% |
|
98 |
13% |
61% |
|
99 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
100 |
7% |
41% |
|
101 |
17% |
34% |
|
102 |
4% |
17% |
|
103 |
5% |
13% |
|
104 |
2% |
8% |
|
105 |
3% |
6% |
|
106 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
107 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
108 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
111 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
112 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
100% |
|
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
Majority |
86 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
89 |
2% |
97% |
|
90 |
4% |
95% |
|
91 |
3% |
91% |
|
92 |
5% |
87% |
|
93 |
11% |
82% |
|
94 |
9% |
71% |
|
95 |
10% |
62% |
|
96 |
4% |
52% |
|
97 |
14% |
48% |
Median |
98 |
15% |
33% |
|
99 |
7% |
19% |
|
100 |
4% |
12% |
|
101 |
3% |
8% |
|
102 |
3% |
5% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
104 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
81 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
98.5% |
|
83 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
97% |
|
85 |
6% |
95% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
89% |
|
87 |
3% |
86% |
|
88 |
6% |
83% |
|
89 |
5% |
77% |
|
90 |
10% |
72% |
|
91 |
17% |
63% |
|
92 |
15% |
46% |
Median |
93 |
10% |
31% |
|
94 |
11% |
21% |
|
95 |
3% |
10% |
|
96 |
2% |
7% |
|
97 |
2% |
5% |
|
98 |
2% |
3% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
100 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
80 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
83 |
2% |
95% |
|
84 |
2% |
93% |
|
85 |
3% |
91% |
Majority |
86 |
15% |
87% |
|
87 |
11% |
73% |
|
88 |
13% |
62% |
|
89 |
5% |
49% |
Median |
90 |
20% |
44% |
|
91 |
9% |
24% |
|
92 |
7% |
15% |
|
93 |
4% |
9% |
|
94 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
95 |
2% |
4% |
|
96 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
97 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
98 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
99 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
98.5% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
81 |
4% |
96% |
|
82 |
3% |
92% |
|
83 |
5% |
89% |
|
84 |
12% |
84% |
|
85 |
14% |
72% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
58% |
|
87 |
5% |
50% |
|
88 |
8% |
44% |
Median |
89 |
9% |
37% |
|
90 |
14% |
28% |
|
91 |
5% |
14% |
|
92 |
3% |
8% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
1.3% |
|
97 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
70 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
72 |
4% |
95% |
|
73 |
5% |
91% |
|
74 |
4% |
86% |
|
75 |
10% |
82% |
|
76 |
17% |
71% |
Last Result |
77 |
9% |
55% |
|
78 |
13% |
46% |
Median |
79 |
15% |
33% |
|
80 |
5% |
18% |
|
81 |
6% |
13% |
|
82 |
2% |
7% |
|
83 |
2% |
5% |
|
84 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
4% |
96% |
|
70 |
4% |
93% |
|
71 |
7% |
88% |
|
72 |
14% |
81% |
|
73 |
5% |
67% |
|
74 |
6% |
62% |
|
75 |
11% |
56% |
|
76 |
9% |
45% |
Median |
77 |
13% |
36% |
|
78 |
5% |
23% |
|
79 |
7% |
18% |
|
80 |
2% |
11% |
|
81 |
2% |
9% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
83 |
2% |
6% |
|
84 |
3% |
5% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
98% |
Last Result |
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
4% |
95% |
|
71 |
6% |
91% |
|
72 |
9% |
85% |
|
73 |
15% |
76% |
|
74 |
9% |
61% |
|
75 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
76 |
16% |
38% |
|
77 |
10% |
23% |
|
78 |
5% |
13% |
|
79 |
5% |
8% |
|
80 |
2% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
63 |
2% |
97% |
|
64 |
2% |
95% |
|
65 |
5% |
93% |
|
66 |
3% |
88% |
|
67 |
5% |
85% |
|
68 |
8% |
79% |
|
69 |
8% |
71% |
|
70 |
14% |
63% |
|
71 |
16% |
49% |
Median |
72 |
12% |
33% |
|
73 |
4% |
21% |
|
74 |
4% |
17% |
|
75 |
6% |
12% |
|
76 |
2% |
7% |
|
77 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
78 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
52 |
1.5% |
98.8% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
3% |
95% |
|
55 |
4% |
93% |
|
56 |
3% |
88% |
|
57 |
6% |
86% |
|
58 |
6% |
80% |
|
59 |
10% |
74% |
|
60 |
13% |
64% |
|
61 |
13% |
52% |
Median |
62 |
17% |
39% |
|
63 |
3% |
22% |
|
64 |
6% |
18% |
|
65 |
5% |
13% |
|
66 |
3% |
8% |
|
67 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
68 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
98.6% |
|
50 |
2% |
98% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
52 |
4% |
94% |
|
53 |
4% |
90% |
|
54 |
4% |
86% |
|
55 |
6% |
82% |
|
56 |
8% |
75% |
|
57 |
15% |
68% |
|
58 |
7% |
53% |
Median |
59 |
13% |
46% |
|
60 |
9% |
33% |
|
61 |
12% |
24% |
|
62 |
2% |
12% |
|
63 |
4% |
10% |
|
64 |
3% |
6% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
7% |
96% |
|
55 |
5% |
88% |
|
56 |
12% |
83% |
|
57 |
16% |
71% |
|
58 |
19% |
55% |
Median |
59 |
9% |
36% |
|
60 |
6% |
27% |
Last Result |
61 |
9% |
21% |
|
62 |
5% |
13% |
|
63 |
3% |
8% |
|
64 |
3% |
5% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
2% |
98% |
|
46 |
3% |
97% |
|
47 |
6% |
93% |
|
48 |
8% |
88% |
|
49 |
18% |
79% |
|
50 |
6% |
61% |
|
51 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
52 |
19% |
46% |
|
53 |
7% |
27% |
|
54 |
7% |
21% |
|
55 |
4% |
14% |
|
56 |
4% |
10% |
|
57 |
3% |
6% |
|
58 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
36 |
2% |
97% |
|
37 |
2% |
95% |
|
38 |
2% |
93% |
|
39 |
4% |
91% |
|
40 |
4% |
87% |
|
41 |
5% |
82% |
|
42 |
14% |
77% |
|
43 |
17% |
63% |
|
44 |
18% |
46% |
Median |
45 |
9% |
28% |
|
46 |
7% |
19% |
|
47 |
5% |
13% |
|
48 |
4% |
8% |
|
49 |
2% |
4% |
|
50 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
30 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
33 |
2% |
95% |
|
34 |
2% |
93% |
|
35 |
4% |
91% |
Last Result |
36 |
5% |
86% |
|
37 |
6% |
81% |
|
38 |
6% |
76% |
|
39 |
17% |
70% |
|
40 |
6% |
53% |
|
41 |
9% |
47% |
Median |
42 |
11% |
38% |
|
43 |
14% |
27% |
|
44 |
5% |
13% |
|
45 |
3% |
8% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
47 |
2% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Dagens Næringsliv
- Fieldwork period: 6–11 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 790
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.69%