Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 16–20 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
22.7% |
20.9–24.7% |
20.4–25.3% |
20.0–25.7% |
19.1–26.7% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
19.8% |
18.0–21.6% |
17.6–22.2% |
17.1–22.6% |
16.4–23.6% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
13.0% |
11.6–14.6% |
11.2–15.1% |
10.8–15.5% |
10.2–16.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
9.5% |
8.3–11.0% |
8.0–11.4% |
7.7–11.7% |
7.1–12.5% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
9.3% |
8.1–10.7% |
7.7–11.1% |
7.5–11.5% |
6.9–12.2% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
5.9% |
5.0–7.1% |
4.7–7.5% |
4.5–7.8% |
4.1–8.4% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
5.1% |
4.2–6.2% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.7–6.8% |
3.4–7.4% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.5% |
3.4–5.8% |
3.2–6.1% |
2.9–6.7% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.4% |
2.6–4.7% |
2.4–5.0% |
2.1–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
|
39 |
3% |
98% |
|
40 |
8% |
96% |
|
41 |
7% |
88% |
|
42 |
24% |
81% |
|
43 |
19% |
57% |
Median |
44 |
16% |
38% |
|
45 |
5% |
22% |
|
46 |
6% |
17% |
|
47 |
6% |
11% |
|
48 |
2% |
5% |
|
49 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
30 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
31 |
3% |
97% |
|
32 |
5% |
94% |
|
33 |
7% |
89% |
|
34 |
11% |
81% |
|
35 |
24% |
70% |
Median |
36 |
26% |
47% |
|
37 |
7% |
21% |
|
38 |
5% |
13% |
|
39 |
2% |
8% |
|
40 |
2% |
6% |
|
41 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
4% |
96% |
Last Result |
20 |
7% |
93% |
|
21 |
8% |
85% |
|
22 |
14% |
77% |
|
23 |
7% |
63% |
|
24 |
9% |
56% |
Median |
25 |
15% |
47% |
|
26 |
9% |
33% |
|
27 |
10% |
24% |
|
28 |
6% |
14% |
|
29 |
4% |
9% |
|
30 |
2% |
4% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
4% |
98% |
Last Result |
12 |
7% |
94% |
|
13 |
5% |
87% |
|
14 |
9% |
82% |
|
15 |
24% |
73% |
Median |
16 |
31% |
48% |
|
17 |
8% |
17% |
|
18 |
6% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
11 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
12 |
3% |
95% |
|
13 |
6% |
92% |
|
14 |
16% |
86% |
|
15 |
13% |
71% |
|
16 |
21% |
58% |
Median |
17 |
18% |
37% |
|
18 |
12% |
19% |
|
19 |
4% |
7% |
|
20 |
2% |
3% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
6 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
7 |
9% |
96% |
|
8 |
20% |
87% |
|
9 |
37% |
66% |
Median |
10 |
19% |
30% |
|
11 |
8% |
11% |
|
12 |
3% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
2% |
95% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
5 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
6 |
15% |
93% |
|
7 |
35% |
77% |
Median |
8 |
20% |
42% |
|
9 |
14% |
23% |
|
10 |
7% |
9% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
20% |
100% |
|
3 |
1.4% |
80% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
78% |
|
5 |
1.2% |
78% |
|
6 |
20% |
77% |
|
7 |
41% |
57% |
Median |
8 |
9% |
16% |
Last Result |
9 |
6% |
7% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
13% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
24% |
87% |
|
3 |
38% |
62% |
Median |
4 |
0% |
24% |
|
5 |
3% |
24% |
|
6 |
14% |
22% |
|
7 |
6% |
8% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
2% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
81 |
98 |
100% |
94–103 |
93–105 |
91–106 |
88–108 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
93 |
98.7% |
88–98 |
87–99 |
86–100 |
83–102 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
91 |
97% |
87–96 |
86–97 |
84–98 |
82–100 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
89 |
94% |
85–94 |
84–96 |
83–97 |
80–99 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
84 |
42% |
80–89 |
79–90 |
77–91 |
75–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
82 |
27% |
78–87 |
77–88 |
76–89 |
74–91 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
78 |
6% |
73–83 |
71–85 |
70–86 |
68–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
62 |
75 |
0.2% |
70–79 |
69–80 |
67–81 |
66–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
71 |
0% |
66–76 |
64–77 |
63–78 |
61–81 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
67 |
0% |
63–72 |
61–74 |
60–75 |
59–76 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
68 |
0% |
62–72 |
61–73 |
60–75 |
58–77 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
61 |
0% |
54–64 |
53–66 |
52–68 |
51–70 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
58 |
0% |
55–62 |
54–63 |
53–64 |
50–67 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
57 |
0% |
52–61 |
51–63 |
49–64 |
48–67 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
51 |
0% |
47–55 |
46–56 |
45–58 |
43–60 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
45 |
0% |
40–49 |
38–50 |
37–51 |
36–54 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
33 |
0% |
29–39 |
27–40 |
25–42 |
23–43 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
100% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
89 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
91 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
92 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
93 |
2% |
96% |
|
94 |
4% |
93% |
|
95 |
10% |
89% |
|
96 |
7% |
79% |
|
97 |
17% |
73% |
|
98 |
10% |
55% |
Median |
99 |
6% |
45% |
|
100 |
9% |
39% |
|
101 |
9% |
30% |
|
102 |
6% |
21% |
|
103 |
6% |
15% |
|
104 |
3% |
10% |
|
105 |
3% |
7% |
|
106 |
2% |
4% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
108 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
109 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
110 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
111 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
85 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
98% |
|
87 |
3% |
96% |
|
88 |
4% |
93% |
Last Result |
89 |
3% |
89% |
|
90 |
15% |
86% |
|
91 |
9% |
72% |
|
92 |
9% |
62% |
Median |
93 |
9% |
53% |
|
94 |
11% |
44% |
|
95 |
8% |
32% |
|
96 |
7% |
25% |
|
97 |
7% |
18% |
|
98 |
4% |
11% |
|
99 |
3% |
7% |
|
100 |
2% |
4% |
|
101 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
103 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
104 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
84 |
2% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.1% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
3% |
96% |
|
87 |
6% |
93% |
|
88 |
7% |
87% |
|
89 |
7% |
80% |
|
90 |
16% |
73% |
|
91 |
15% |
56% |
Median |
92 |
7% |
42% |
|
93 |
8% |
35% |
|
94 |
9% |
27% |
|
95 |
6% |
18% |
|
96 |
3% |
11% |
|
97 |
5% |
8% |
|
98 |
2% |
4% |
|
99 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
100 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
101 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
83 |
2% |
98% |
|
84 |
2% |
96% |
|
85 |
6% |
94% |
Majority |
86 |
5% |
87% |
|
87 |
7% |
82% |
|
88 |
15% |
75% |
|
89 |
12% |
59% |
Median |
90 |
8% |
47% |
|
91 |
10% |
39% |
|
92 |
7% |
29% |
|
93 |
8% |
22% |
|
94 |
5% |
14% |
|
95 |
3% |
10% |
|
96 |
3% |
6% |
|
97 |
2% |
4% |
|
98 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0% |
100% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
98.7% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
78 |
2% |
97% |
|
79 |
5% |
95% |
|
80 |
5% |
90% |
|
81 |
7% |
86% |
|
82 |
6% |
79% |
|
83 |
11% |
73% |
|
84 |
20% |
62% |
|
85 |
7% |
42% |
Median, Majority |
86 |
6% |
35% |
|
87 |
10% |
28% |
|
88 |
5% |
18% |
|
89 |
6% |
14% |
|
90 |
4% |
7% |
|
91 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
92 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
97 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
98 |
0% |
0% |
|
99 |
0% |
0% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
76 |
2% |
98% |
|
77 |
3% |
96% |
|
78 |
5% |
92% |
|
79 |
4% |
87% |
Last Result |
80 |
11% |
83% |
|
81 |
15% |
72% |
|
82 |
12% |
57% |
Median |
83 |
8% |
45% |
|
84 |
10% |
37% |
|
85 |
11% |
27% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
16% |
|
87 |
4% |
11% |
|
88 |
3% |
7% |
|
89 |
2% |
4% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
71 |
3% |
97% |
|
72 |
3% |
94% |
|
73 |
3% |
90% |
|
74 |
13% |
87% |
|
75 |
7% |
75% |
|
76 |
6% |
68% |
|
77 |
7% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
11% |
55% |
|
79 |
12% |
43% |
|
80 |
7% |
31% |
|
81 |
7% |
24% |
|
82 |
2% |
18% |
|
83 |
5% |
15% |
|
84 |
4% |
10% |
|
85 |
3% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
88 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
98.5% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
69 |
5% |
96% |
|
70 |
3% |
91% |
|
71 |
3% |
89% |
|
72 |
11% |
85% |
|
73 |
8% |
74% |
|
74 |
15% |
66% |
Median |
75 |
18% |
51% |
|
76 |
10% |
33% |
|
77 |
8% |
23% |
|
78 |
5% |
16% |
|
79 |
3% |
11% |
|
80 |
3% |
7% |
|
81 |
2% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
84 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
2% |
98% |
|
64 |
2% |
96% |
|
65 |
3% |
94% |
|
66 |
3% |
91% |
|
67 |
16% |
87% |
|
68 |
7% |
72% |
|
69 |
6% |
65% |
|
70 |
5% |
59% |
Median |
71 |
11% |
54% |
|
72 |
16% |
43% |
|
73 |
5% |
26% |
|
74 |
4% |
21% |
|
75 |
5% |
17% |
|
76 |
5% |
13% |
Last Result |
77 |
3% |
8% |
|
78 |
2% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
61 |
4% |
97% |
|
62 |
3% |
93% |
|
63 |
4% |
90% |
|
64 |
7% |
86% |
|
65 |
15% |
78% |
|
66 |
11% |
63% |
|
67 |
5% |
52% |
Median |
68 |
9% |
47% |
Last Result |
69 |
10% |
38% |
|
70 |
9% |
27% |
|
71 |
5% |
19% |
|
72 |
5% |
13% |
|
73 |
3% |
9% |
|
74 |
3% |
5% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
77 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
60 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
61 |
3% |
97% |
|
62 |
4% |
94% |
|
63 |
5% |
89% |
|
64 |
6% |
84% |
|
65 |
8% |
78% |
|
66 |
8% |
70% |
|
67 |
8% |
62% |
|
68 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
69 |
13% |
43% |
|
70 |
10% |
30% |
|
71 |
8% |
20% |
|
72 |
5% |
12% |
|
73 |
2% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
5% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
53 |
2% |
97% |
|
54 |
5% |
95% |
|
55 |
4% |
90% |
|
56 |
2% |
86% |
|
57 |
6% |
84% |
|
58 |
11% |
78% |
|
59 |
6% |
67% |
|
60 |
10% |
61% |
|
61 |
7% |
52% |
Median |
62 |
18% |
44% |
|
63 |
7% |
27% |
|
64 |
10% |
20% |
|
65 |
3% |
10% |
|
66 |
2% |
7% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
53 |
2% |
98% |
|
54 |
3% |
96% |
|
55 |
5% |
92% |
|
56 |
12% |
87% |
|
57 |
14% |
76% |
|
58 |
17% |
62% |
Median |
59 |
17% |
44% |
|
60 |
10% |
28% |
Last Result |
61 |
5% |
18% |
|
62 |
5% |
13% |
|
63 |
4% |
8% |
|
64 |
2% |
4% |
|
65 |
2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
51 |
5% |
96% |
|
52 |
5% |
91% |
|
53 |
5% |
86% |
|
54 |
5% |
81% |
|
55 |
13% |
76% |
|
56 |
6% |
63% |
|
57 |
8% |
57% |
|
58 |
11% |
49% |
Median |
59 |
11% |
38% |
|
60 |
15% |
27% |
|
61 |
5% |
12% |
|
62 |
3% |
8% |
|
63 |
2% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
45 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
46 |
6% |
97% |
|
47 |
5% |
90% |
|
48 |
8% |
86% |
|
49 |
13% |
78% |
|
50 |
7% |
65% |
|
51 |
11% |
58% |
Median |
52 |
10% |
47% |
|
53 |
20% |
37% |
|
54 |
6% |
17% |
|
55 |
5% |
11% |
|
56 |
2% |
6% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
38 |
3% |
97% |
|
39 |
3% |
94% |
|
40 |
5% |
92% |
|
41 |
5% |
86% |
|
42 |
6% |
81% |
|
43 |
8% |
75% |
|
44 |
10% |
67% |
|
45 |
18% |
57% |
Median |
46 |
15% |
39% |
|
47 |
8% |
24% |
|
48 |
4% |
16% |
|
49 |
5% |
12% |
|
50 |
2% |
6% |
|
51 |
2% |
4% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
26 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
27 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
28 |
4% |
94% |
|
29 |
4% |
90% |
|
30 |
6% |
86% |
|
31 |
18% |
79% |
|
32 |
7% |
62% |
|
33 |
9% |
55% |
|
34 |
10% |
46% |
Median |
35 |
5% |
36% |
Last Result |
36 |
6% |
31% |
|
37 |
11% |
25% |
|
38 |
3% |
14% |
|
39 |
6% |
11% |
|
40 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
42 |
2% |
3% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 16–20 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 810
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.51%