Opinion Poll by Ipsos MMI for Dagbladet, 23–25 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
23.6% |
21.7–25.6% |
21.2–26.2% |
20.7–26.7% |
19.9–27.7% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
20.0% |
18.2–21.9% |
17.8–22.5% |
17.3–23.0% |
16.5–23.9% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
12.6% |
11.2–14.2% |
10.8–14.7% |
10.4–15.1% |
9.8–15.9% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
12.6% |
11.2–14.2% |
10.8–14.7% |
10.4–15.1% |
9.8–15.9% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
9.7% |
8.5–11.2% |
8.2–11.7% |
7.8–12.0% |
7.3–12.8% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.3% |
5.3–7.5% |
5.0–7.9% |
4.8–8.2% |
4.3–8.9% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.7% |
3.6–6.1% |
3.4–6.3% |
3.0–6.9% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
3.5% |
2.8–4.5% |
2.5–4.7% |
2.4–5.0% |
2.1–5.5% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
2.6% |
2.0–3.5% |
1.8–3.7% |
1.7–3.9% |
1.4–4.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
3% |
98% |
|
40 |
5% |
95% |
|
41 |
16% |
90% |
|
42 |
20% |
74% |
|
43 |
13% |
54% |
Median |
44 |
14% |
41% |
|
45 |
11% |
27% |
|
46 |
5% |
16% |
|
47 |
5% |
11% |
|
48 |
2% |
6% |
|
49 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
50 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
31 |
2% |
97% |
|
32 |
4% |
95% |
|
33 |
3% |
90% |
|
34 |
9% |
87% |
|
35 |
16% |
78% |
|
36 |
34% |
62% |
Median |
37 |
11% |
29% |
|
38 |
8% |
18% |
|
39 |
3% |
10% |
|
40 |
2% |
7% |
|
41 |
2% |
5% |
|
42 |
2% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
3% |
97% |
|
19 |
6% |
94% |
Last Result |
20 |
12% |
88% |
|
21 |
20% |
76% |
|
22 |
16% |
56% |
Median |
23 |
13% |
40% |
|
24 |
9% |
26% |
|
25 |
7% |
18% |
|
26 |
4% |
11% |
|
27 |
3% |
6% |
|
28 |
3% |
4% |
|
29 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
6% |
97% |
|
19 |
6% |
90% |
|
20 |
15% |
85% |
|
21 |
11% |
69% |
|
22 |
14% |
58% |
Median |
23 |
12% |
45% |
|
24 |
17% |
33% |
|
25 |
9% |
16% |
|
26 |
3% |
8% |
|
27 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
28 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
12 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
5% |
97% |
|
14 |
10% |
92% |
|
15 |
11% |
82% |
|
16 |
18% |
71% |
|
17 |
21% |
52% |
Median |
18 |
18% |
31% |
|
19 |
7% |
13% |
|
20 |
3% |
6% |
|
21 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
10% |
98.8% |
|
9 |
13% |
88% |
|
10 |
22% |
76% |
|
11 |
22% |
53% |
Median |
12 |
15% |
31% |
|
13 |
11% |
16% |
|
14 |
4% |
6% |
|
15 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
18% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
0% |
81% |
|
4 |
0% |
81% |
|
5 |
0% |
81% |
|
6 |
3% |
81% |
|
7 |
14% |
78% |
|
8 |
23% |
64% |
Median |
9 |
24% |
41% |
|
10 |
14% |
17% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
2 |
72% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
1.0% |
27% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
26% |
|
5 |
0% |
26% |
|
6 |
3% |
26% |
|
7 |
15% |
23% |
|
8 |
6% |
8% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
21% |
100% |
|
1 |
39% |
79% |
Median |
2 |
21% |
40% |
|
3 |
17% |
19% |
|
4 |
0% |
2% |
|
5 |
0% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
7 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
81 |
100 |
100% |
94–106 |
92–107 |
91–108 |
88–112 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
94 |
98% |
89–99 |
87–101 |
85–102 |
84–105 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
80 |
92 |
97% |
87–98 |
86–99 |
84–101 |
82–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
89 |
82% |
82–95 |
81–96 |
80–97 |
78–99 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
85 |
54% |
80–90 |
79–91 |
77–92 |
75–95 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
81 |
24% |
77–86 |
76–88 |
74–90 |
73–93 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
77 |
4% |
73–82 |
71–84 |
70–85 |
69–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt |
62 |
78 |
5% |
72–83 |
71–84 |
70–85 |
67–88 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
73 |
0.4% |
68–79 |
66–81 |
66–82 |
64–84 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
67 |
0% |
62–71 |
61–73 |
60–74 |
59–76 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
65 |
0% |
61–70 |
60–71 |
59–73 |
58–75 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
62 |
0% |
57–68 |
56–69 |
55–71 |
53–74 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
61 |
0% |
56–67 |
55–68 |
54–69 |
52–72 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
60 |
0% |
56–63 |
55–65 |
54–66 |
52–68 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
58 |
0% |
54–62 |
53–64 |
51–65 |
50–67 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
40 |
0% |
37–45 |
35–46 |
34–48 |
33–50 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
27 |
0% |
24–31 |
23–32 |
22–34 |
20–37 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
90 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
91 |
2% |
98% |
|
92 |
3% |
96% |
|
93 |
3% |
94% |
|
94 |
6% |
91% |
|
95 |
5% |
85% |
|
96 |
5% |
80% |
|
97 |
5% |
76% |
|
98 |
5% |
70% |
|
99 |
8% |
65% |
|
100 |
13% |
56% |
|
101 |
10% |
44% |
Median |
102 |
6% |
34% |
|
103 |
4% |
28% |
|
104 |
8% |
24% |
|
105 |
4% |
16% |
|
106 |
5% |
12% |
|
107 |
3% |
7% |
|
108 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
109 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
110 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
112 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
113 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
82 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
84 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
98% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
97% |
|
87 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
88 |
4% |
94% |
Last Result |
89 |
2% |
91% |
|
90 |
7% |
89% |
|
91 |
6% |
82% |
|
92 |
16% |
76% |
|
93 |
9% |
60% |
|
94 |
7% |
51% |
Median |
95 |
7% |
44% |
|
96 |
11% |
37% |
|
97 |
7% |
26% |
|
98 |
4% |
19% |
|
99 |
6% |
14% |
|
100 |
2% |
8% |
|
101 |
2% |
6% |
|
102 |
2% |
4% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
105 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
106 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
108 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
109 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
99.2% |
|
84 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
4% |
93% |
|
88 |
5% |
90% |
|
89 |
5% |
84% |
|
90 |
10% |
80% |
|
91 |
12% |
70% |
|
92 |
12% |
58% |
|
93 |
9% |
47% |
Median |
94 |
7% |
38% |
|
95 |
7% |
31% |
|
96 |
7% |
24% |
|
97 |
6% |
17% |
|
98 |
5% |
11% |
|
99 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
100 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
101 |
2% |
4% |
|
102 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
104 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
105 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
80 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
81 |
2% |
97% |
|
82 |
5% |
95% |
|
83 |
5% |
90% |
|
84 |
3% |
85% |
|
85 |
3% |
82% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
79% |
|
87 |
7% |
71% |
|
88 |
6% |
65% |
|
89 |
9% |
59% |
|
90 |
8% |
49% |
Median |
91 |
7% |
42% |
|
92 |
8% |
35% |
|
93 |
11% |
27% |
|
94 |
6% |
16% |
|
95 |
5% |
11% |
|
96 |
3% |
6% |
|
97 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
98 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
99 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
77 |
1.2% |
98.6% |
|
78 |
2% |
97% |
|
79 |
4% |
95% |
|
80 |
4% |
92% |
|
81 |
8% |
88% |
|
82 |
10% |
80% |
|
83 |
9% |
70% |
Median |
84 |
8% |
61% |
|
85 |
9% |
54% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
44% |
|
87 |
12% |
36% |
|
88 |
9% |
25% |
|
89 |
5% |
16% |
|
90 |
4% |
11% |
|
91 |
3% |
7% |
|
92 |
2% |
4% |
|
93 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
95 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
96 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
97 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
99 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
100 |
0% |
0% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
76 |
2% |
95% |
|
77 |
3% |
93% |
|
78 |
7% |
90% |
|
79 |
8% |
83% |
Last Result |
80 |
15% |
75% |
|
81 |
10% |
60% |
|
82 |
7% |
50% |
Median |
83 |
10% |
43% |
|
84 |
9% |
33% |
|
85 |
11% |
24% |
Majority |
86 |
4% |
14% |
|
87 |
3% |
10% |
|
88 |
2% |
6% |
|
89 |
2% |
4% |
|
90 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
93 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
71 |
2% |
97% |
|
72 |
2% |
95% |
|
73 |
6% |
93% |
|
74 |
8% |
87% |
|
75 |
9% |
79% |
|
76 |
10% |
70% |
|
77 |
11% |
60% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
11% |
49% |
|
79 |
12% |
39% |
|
80 |
6% |
26% |
|
81 |
4% |
20% |
|
82 |
5% |
15% |
|
83 |
3% |
10% |
|
84 |
3% |
7% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
70 |
2% |
98% |
|
71 |
4% |
96% |
|
72 |
4% |
92% |
|
73 |
5% |
88% |
|
74 |
6% |
83% |
|
75 |
6% |
77% |
|
76 |
9% |
70% |
|
77 |
9% |
62% |
|
78 |
9% |
53% |
|
79 |
11% |
43% |
Median |
80 |
7% |
33% |
|
81 |
8% |
26% |
|
82 |
7% |
17% |
|
83 |
3% |
11% |
|
84 |
3% |
8% |
|
85 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
88 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
4% |
98% |
|
67 |
3% |
95% |
|
68 |
7% |
92% |
|
69 |
4% |
85% |
|
70 |
10% |
81% |
|
71 |
5% |
70% |
|
72 |
8% |
65% |
Median |
73 |
10% |
57% |
|
74 |
9% |
48% |
|
75 |
6% |
39% |
|
76 |
11% |
33% |
|
77 |
4% |
23% |
|
78 |
4% |
19% |
|
79 |
7% |
15% |
|
80 |
3% |
8% |
|
81 |
2% |
5% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
61 |
2% |
97% |
|
62 |
6% |
95% |
|
63 |
5% |
89% |
|
64 |
11% |
85% |
|
65 |
8% |
74% |
|
66 |
13% |
66% |
Median |
67 |
10% |
53% |
|
68 |
15% |
42% |
|
69 |
9% |
27% |
|
70 |
3% |
18% |
|
71 |
5% |
14% |
|
72 |
4% |
10% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
4% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
77 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
3% |
98% |
|
60 |
3% |
96% |
|
61 |
4% |
93% |
|
62 |
9% |
89% |
|
63 |
11% |
80% |
|
64 |
10% |
69% |
|
65 |
12% |
59% |
Median |
66 |
10% |
46% |
|
67 |
11% |
36% |
|
68 |
9% |
25% |
Last Result |
69 |
4% |
15% |
|
70 |
3% |
11% |
|
71 |
4% |
8% |
|
72 |
2% |
4% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
2% |
98% |
|
56 |
3% |
96% |
|
57 |
5% |
94% |
|
58 |
4% |
88% |
|
59 |
5% |
84% |
|
60 |
12% |
80% |
|
61 |
11% |
68% |
Median |
62 |
8% |
57% |
|
63 |
8% |
49% |
|
64 |
8% |
41% |
|
65 |
8% |
34% |
|
66 |
6% |
26% |
|
67 |
5% |
20% |
|
68 |
6% |
15% |
|
69 |
4% |
8% |
|
70 |
2% |
5% |
|
71 |
2% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
4% |
96% |
|
56 |
6% |
93% |
|
57 |
6% |
87% |
|
58 |
10% |
81% |
|
59 |
9% |
71% |
|
60 |
10% |
62% |
Median |
61 |
10% |
53% |
|
62 |
7% |
43% |
|
63 |
5% |
36% |
|
64 |
5% |
31% |
|
65 |
7% |
25% |
|
66 |
5% |
19% |
|
67 |
7% |
14% |
|
68 |
3% |
7% |
|
69 |
2% |
4% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
99.3% |
|
54 |
2% |
98% |
|
55 |
3% |
96% |
|
56 |
4% |
93% |
|
57 |
13% |
89% |
|
58 |
10% |
76% |
|
59 |
14% |
67% |
|
60 |
15% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
61 |
14% |
37% |
|
62 |
6% |
22% |
|
63 |
7% |
17% |
|
64 |
4% |
9% |
|
65 |
3% |
5% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
51 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
52 |
2% |
97% |
|
53 |
4% |
95% |
|
54 |
6% |
91% |
|
55 |
7% |
85% |
|
56 |
11% |
78% |
|
57 |
12% |
67% |
|
58 |
13% |
55% |
Median |
59 |
12% |
42% |
|
60 |
11% |
30% |
|
61 |
5% |
18% |
|
62 |
6% |
13% |
|
63 |
2% |
8% |
|
64 |
2% |
5% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
33 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
34 |
3% |
98% |
|
35 |
2% |
95% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
37 |
7% |
92% |
|
38 |
12% |
85% |
|
39 |
15% |
72% |
Median |
40 |
15% |
58% |
|
41 |
6% |
43% |
|
42 |
6% |
37% |
|
43 |
9% |
31% |
|
44 |
5% |
22% |
|
45 |
7% |
16% |
|
46 |
5% |
9% |
|
47 |
2% |
5% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
49 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
99.0% |
|
22 |
2% |
98% |
|
23 |
5% |
96% |
|
24 |
12% |
91% |
|
25 |
16% |
78% |
Median |
26 |
11% |
62% |
|
27 |
10% |
52% |
|
28 |
15% |
42% |
|
29 |
9% |
27% |
|
30 |
6% |
19% |
|
31 |
5% |
12% |
|
32 |
2% |
7% |
|
33 |
2% |
5% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
2% |
Last Result |
36 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos MMI
- Commissioner(s): Dagbladet
- Fieldwork period: 23–25 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 780
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.20%