Opinion Poll by Respons Analyse for Bergens Tidende and VG, 20–25 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet |
27.4% |
26.6% |
24.7–28.7% |
24.1–29.2% |
23.6–29.8% |
22.7–30.8% |
Høyre |
25.0% |
21.1% |
19.3–23.0% |
18.8–23.6% |
18.4–24.1% |
17.6–25.0% |
Senterpartiet |
10.3% |
11.9% |
10.5–13.4% |
10.1–13.9% |
9.8–14.3% |
9.2–15.1% |
Fremskrittspartiet |
15.2% |
9.4% |
8.2–10.8% |
7.8–11.2% |
7.5–11.6% |
7.0–12.3% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
6.0% |
6.7% |
5.7–8.0% |
5.4–8.4% |
5.2–8.7% |
4.8–9.3% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne |
3.2% |
6.7% |
5.7–8.0% |
5.4–8.4% |
5.2–8.7% |
4.8–9.3% |
Rødt |
2.4% |
5.2% |
4.4–6.4% |
4.1–6.7% |
3.9–7.0% |
3.5–7.6% |
Venstre |
4.4% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.6% |
3.4–5.9% |
3.3–6.2% |
2.9–6.7% |
Kristelig Folkeparti |
4.2% |
4.4% |
3.6–5.4% |
3.3–5.7% |
3.2–6.0% |
2.8–6.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
44 |
3% |
98% |
|
45 |
6% |
95% |
|
46 |
7% |
89% |
|
47 |
13% |
82% |
|
48 |
5% |
69% |
|
49 |
7% |
65% |
Last Result |
50 |
12% |
57% |
Median |
51 |
7% |
46% |
|
52 |
11% |
38% |
|
53 |
7% |
27% |
|
54 |
5% |
20% |
|
55 |
6% |
16% |
|
56 |
5% |
10% |
|
57 |
4% |
5% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
33 |
2% |
98% |
|
34 |
2% |
96% |
|
35 |
6% |
94% |
|
36 |
22% |
88% |
|
37 |
14% |
65% |
|
38 |
17% |
51% |
Median |
39 |
11% |
35% |
|
40 |
8% |
23% |
|
41 |
2% |
15% |
|
42 |
4% |
13% |
|
43 |
2% |
9% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
45 |
4% |
6% |
Last Result |
46 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
17 |
6% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
13% |
94% |
|
19 |
18% |
81% |
Last Result |
20 |
15% |
63% |
Median |
21 |
16% |
48% |
|
22 |
17% |
33% |
|
23 |
3% |
15% |
|
24 |
5% |
13% |
|
25 |
4% |
8% |
|
26 |
2% |
4% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
12 |
6% |
97% |
|
13 |
15% |
91% |
|
14 |
12% |
76% |
|
15 |
16% |
64% |
Median |
16 |
12% |
48% |
|
17 |
10% |
36% |
|
18 |
7% |
26% |
|
19 |
14% |
19% |
|
20 |
2% |
5% |
|
21 |
3% |
3% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
9 |
17% |
94% |
|
10 |
19% |
77% |
|
11 |
18% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
12 |
22% |
40% |
|
13 |
11% |
18% |
|
14 |
2% |
7% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
9 |
13% |
95% |
|
10 |
28% |
82% |
|
11 |
23% |
54% |
Median |
12 |
17% |
32% |
|
13 |
9% |
15% |
|
14 |
3% |
6% |
|
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
6 |
3% |
97% |
|
7 |
19% |
93% |
|
8 |
27% |
75% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
48% |
|
10 |
14% |
25% |
|
11 |
9% |
11% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
26% |
100% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
74% |
|
4 |
0% |
74% |
|
5 |
0.8% |
74% |
|
6 |
5% |
73% |
|
7 |
30% |
68% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
38% |
Last Result |
9 |
8% |
14% |
|
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
3% |
100% |
|
2 |
2% |
97% |
|
3 |
19% |
96% |
|
4 |
0% |
77% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
77% |
|
6 |
14% |
77% |
|
7 |
35% |
62% |
Median |
8 |
13% |
27% |
Last Result |
9 |
11% |
14% |
|
10 |
2% |
3% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
81 |
101 |
100% |
95–106 |
94–108 |
92–109 |
90–113 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
99 |
99.9% |
93–105 |
91–106 |
90–107 |
87–110 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
80 |
93 |
97% |
87–98 |
86–99 |
84–100 |
82–104 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
80 |
90 |
89% |
84–95 |
84–97 |
82–99 |
79–101 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti |
77 |
88 |
81% |
82–93 |
80–95 |
79–96 |
76–99 |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
107 |
86 |
71% |
82–92 |
80–93 |
79–95 |
77–97 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
79 |
82 |
28% |
76–86 |
76–88 |
74–89 |
72–92 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt |
62 |
81 |
18% |
74–86 |
73–87 |
72–88 |
69–91 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
89 |
77 |
6% |
71–83 |
70–85 |
69–85 |
66–88 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti |
76 |
77 |
5% |
71–83 |
70–85 |
68–85 |
66–87 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet |
68 |
71 |
0% |
65–76 |
64–78 |
63–78 |
62–80 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
88 |
66 |
0% |
61–72 |
60–74 |
58–74 |
56–77 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti |
60 |
61 |
0% |
56–67 |
55–67 |
55–68 |
52–70 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre |
80 |
60 |
0% |
55–65 |
53–67 |
53–68 |
51–70 |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet |
72 |
54 |
0% |
49–58 |
48–60 |
47–61 |
45–63 |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
61 |
50 |
0% |
46–56 |
44–59 |
43–59 |
41–62 |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti |
35 |
34 |
0% |
28–37 |
27–39 |
26–40 |
23–44 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
82 |
0% |
100% |
|
83 |
0% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
86 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
87 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
90 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
91 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
92 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
93 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
94 |
2% |
96% |
|
95 |
8% |
94% |
|
96 |
5% |
86% |
|
97 |
4% |
81% |
|
98 |
4% |
77% |
|
99 |
9% |
73% |
|
100 |
8% |
64% |
Median |
101 |
8% |
56% |
|
102 |
8% |
49% |
|
103 |
7% |
41% |
|
104 |
6% |
34% |
|
105 |
12% |
28% |
|
106 |
6% |
15% |
|
107 |
4% |
10% |
|
108 |
3% |
6% |
|
109 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
110 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
112 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
113 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
114 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
115 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
84 |
0% |
100% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
88 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
89 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
90 |
2% |
98% |
|
91 |
2% |
96% |
|
92 |
2% |
95% |
|
93 |
3% |
92% |
|
94 |
8% |
89% |
|
95 |
4% |
81% |
|
96 |
6% |
77% |
|
97 |
7% |
71% |
|
98 |
11% |
64% |
|
99 |
6% |
54% |
Median |
100 |
10% |
48% |
|
101 |
7% |
38% |
|
102 |
6% |
31% |
|
103 |
9% |
25% |
|
104 |
5% |
16% |
|
105 |
6% |
11% |
|
106 |
2% |
5% |
|
107 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
108 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
109 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
110 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
111 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
112 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
113 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
84 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
97% |
Majority |
86 |
2% |
96% |
|
87 |
7% |
94% |
|
88 |
6% |
87% |
|
89 |
5% |
81% |
|
90 |
6% |
76% |
|
91 |
14% |
70% |
|
92 |
3% |
56% |
Median |
93 |
6% |
53% |
|
94 |
10% |
46% |
|
95 |
7% |
36% |
|
96 |
11% |
29% |
|
97 |
7% |
19% |
|
98 |
6% |
12% |
|
99 |
2% |
6% |
|
100 |
2% |
4% |
|
101 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
102 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
103 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
104 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
105 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
106 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
107 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
108 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
83 |
2% |
97% |
|
84 |
6% |
96% |
|
85 |
6% |
89% |
Majority |
86 |
6% |
83% |
|
87 |
5% |
77% |
|
88 |
8% |
72% |
|
89 |
7% |
64% |
Median |
90 |
7% |
57% |
|
91 |
7% |
50% |
|
92 |
7% |
43% |
|
93 |
11% |
35% |
|
94 |
9% |
25% |
|
95 |
6% |
16% |
|
96 |
4% |
10% |
|
97 |
3% |
6% |
|
98 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
99 |
2% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
101 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
78 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
79 |
2% |
98% |
|
80 |
2% |
96% |
|
81 |
2% |
95% |
|
82 |
5% |
93% |
|
83 |
4% |
88% |
|
84 |
3% |
84% |
|
85 |
8% |
81% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
73% |
|
87 |
8% |
64% |
|
88 |
10% |
56% |
Median |
89 |
8% |
47% |
|
90 |
8% |
38% |
|
91 |
10% |
30% |
|
92 |
7% |
20% |
|
93 |
4% |
13% |
|
94 |
4% |
9% |
|
95 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
96 |
2% |
4% |
|
97 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
98 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
99 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
77 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
79 |
2% |
98% |
|
80 |
3% |
96% |
|
81 |
3% |
94% |
|
82 |
5% |
91% |
|
83 |
9% |
86% |
|
84 |
5% |
77% |
|
85 |
10% |
71% |
Majority |
86 |
13% |
61% |
|
87 |
7% |
49% |
Median |
88 |
5% |
41% |
|
89 |
7% |
36% |
|
90 |
7% |
29% |
|
91 |
5% |
22% |
|
92 |
7% |
16% |
|
93 |
4% |
9% |
|
94 |
2% |
4% |
|
95 |
2% |
3% |
|
96 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
97 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
98 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
103 |
0% |
0% |
|
104 |
0% |
0% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
106 |
0% |
0% |
|
107 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
76 |
7% |
95% |
|
77 |
4% |
88% |
|
78 |
9% |
85% |
|
79 |
7% |
76% |
Last Result |
80 |
4% |
68% |
|
81 |
10% |
64% |
Median |
82 |
11% |
54% |
|
83 |
6% |
43% |
|
84 |
9% |
37% |
|
85 |
5% |
28% |
Majority |
86 |
13% |
23% |
|
87 |
3% |
10% |
|
88 |
2% |
7% |
|
89 |
3% |
5% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
91 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
92 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
73 |
5% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
93% |
|
75 |
3% |
89% |
|
76 |
5% |
86% |
|
77 |
11% |
81% |
|
78 |
8% |
70% |
|
79 |
3% |
63% |
|
80 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
81 |
6% |
52% |
|
82 |
7% |
45% |
|
83 |
11% |
39% |
|
84 |
9% |
27% |
|
85 |
4% |
18% |
Majority |
86 |
8% |
14% |
|
87 |
2% |
6% |
|
88 |
2% |
4% |
|
89 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
69 |
3% |
98% |
|
70 |
4% |
96% |
|
71 |
3% |
92% |
|
72 |
4% |
89% |
|
73 |
5% |
85% |
|
74 |
6% |
80% |
|
75 |
11% |
73% |
|
76 |
10% |
63% |
|
77 |
7% |
53% |
|
78 |
10% |
46% |
Median |
79 |
7% |
36% |
|
80 |
7% |
29% |
|
81 |
6% |
22% |
|
82 |
3% |
15% |
|
83 |
4% |
12% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
85 |
4% |
6% |
Majority |
86 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
70 |
2% |
95% |
|
71 |
5% |
94% |
|
72 |
5% |
88% |
|
73 |
4% |
83% |
|
74 |
5% |
79% |
|
75 |
9% |
74% |
|
76 |
7% |
65% |
Last Result |
77 |
10% |
58% |
Median |
78 |
7% |
48% |
|
79 |
11% |
40% |
|
80 |
6% |
30% |
|
81 |
10% |
24% |
|
82 |
3% |
14% |
|
83 |
4% |
11% |
|
84 |
2% |
7% |
|
85 |
3% |
5% |
Majority |
86 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
63 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
4% |
97% |
|
65 |
5% |
93% |
|
66 |
3% |
88% |
|
67 |
3% |
85% |
|
68 |
6% |
82% |
Last Result |
69 |
17% |
75% |
|
70 |
8% |
59% |
Median |
71 |
7% |
51% |
|
72 |
7% |
44% |
|
73 |
7% |
36% |
|
74 |
13% |
29% |
|
75 |
6% |
17% |
|
76 |
2% |
10% |
|
77 |
2% |
8% |
|
78 |
4% |
6% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
60 |
5% |
96% |
|
61 |
5% |
92% |
|
62 |
5% |
86% |
|
63 |
7% |
81% |
|
64 |
14% |
74% |
|
65 |
7% |
61% |
|
66 |
6% |
54% |
|
67 |
9% |
47% |
Median |
68 |
10% |
38% |
|
69 |
8% |
29% |
|
70 |
7% |
21% |
|
71 |
3% |
14% |
|
72 |
3% |
11% |
|
73 |
2% |
8% |
|
74 |
4% |
6% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
77 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
55 |
4% |
98% |
|
56 |
6% |
94% |
|
57 |
12% |
88% |
|
58 |
5% |
76% |
|
59 |
9% |
71% |
|
60 |
5% |
61% |
Last Result |
61 |
7% |
56% |
Median |
62 |
10% |
49% |
|
63 |
8% |
40% |
|
64 |
9% |
32% |
|
65 |
8% |
22% |
|
66 |
4% |
15% |
|
67 |
6% |
10% |
|
68 |
2% |
4% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
3% |
98% |
|
54 |
4% |
95% |
|
55 |
6% |
91% |
|
56 |
6% |
85% |
|
57 |
11% |
79% |
|
58 |
9% |
68% |
|
59 |
7% |
59% |
|
60 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
61 |
9% |
46% |
|
62 |
12% |
37% |
|
63 |
7% |
25% |
|
64 |
4% |
17% |
|
65 |
4% |
14% |
|
66 |
2% |
9% |
|
67 |
5% |
8% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
|
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
48 |
4% |
97% |
|
49 |
6% |
94% |
|
50 |
8% |
88% |
|
51 |
11% |
80% |
|
52 |
8% |
69% |
|
53 |
7% |
61% |
Median |
54 |
9% |
54% |
|
55 |
20% |
45% |
|
56 |
6% |
25% |
|
57 |
7% |
19% |
|
58 |
3% |
12% |
|
59 |
2% |
9% |
|
60 |
5% |
7% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
44 |
2% |
97% |
|
45 |
3% |
95% |
|
46 |
3% |
92% |
|
47 |
11% |
88% |
|
48 |
8% |
78% |
|
49 |
10% |
70% |
|
50 |
13% |
60% |
|
51 |
9% |
47% |
|
52 |
8% |
38% |
Median |
53 |
11% |
30% |
|
54 |
7% |
19% |
|
55 |
2% |
12% |
|
56 |
3% |
10% |
|
57 |
2% |
8% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
59 |
3% |
5% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
26 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
27 |
3% |
97% |
|
28 |
9% |
95% |
|
29 |
7% |
85% |
|
30 |
6% |
79% |
|
31 |
4% |
72% |
|
32 |
8% |
68% |
|
33 |
10% |
60% |
|
34 |
9% |
50% |
Median |
35 |
12% |
41% |
Last Result |
36 |
9% |
29% |
|
37 |
10% |
20% |
|
38 |
4% |
9% |
|
39 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Respons Analyse
- Commissioner(s): Bergens Tidende and VG
- Fieldwork period: 20–25 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 801
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.69%