Opinion Poll by Norstat for Vårt Land, 24–28 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 23.7% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.5–26.0% | 21.1–26.5% | 20.3–27.4% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.0–21.2% | 16.7–21.6% | 15.9–22.5% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.3–14.1% | 10.9–14.5% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.0–15.6% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.5% | 10.3–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.1–14.4% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 10.0% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.2–12.0% | 7.7–12.7% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.1–8.0% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.4% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.3–6.8% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.6% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.3–7.0% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.4–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 42 | 41–46 | 40–47 | 40–48 | 38–50 |
| Høyre | 45 | 35 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 21 | 20–25 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–29 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 20 | 18–22 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–26 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 18 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Rødt | 1 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 2–13 |
| Venstre | 8 | 8 | 7–10 | 2–10 | 2–11 | 2–12 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–8 | 1–9 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 26% | 94% | |
| 42 | 26% | 68% | Median |
| 43 | 18% | 43% | |
| 44 | 9% | 24% | |
| 45 | 4% | 15% | |
| 46 | 4% | 11% | |
| 47 | 3% | 6% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 3% | 98% | |
| 30 | 4% | 95% | |
| 31 | 5% | 91% | |
| 32 | 9% | 87% | |
| 33 | 11% | 77% | |
| 34 | 10% | 66% | |
| 35 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 36 | 33% | 41% | |
| 37 | 4% | 8% | |
| 38 | 3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 20 | 19% | 95% | |
| 21 | 27% | 76% | Median |
| 22 | 9% | 49% | |
| 23 | 18% | 40% | |
| 24 | 9% | 22% | |
| 25 | 3% | 13% | |
| 26 | 4% | 10% | |
| 27 | 4% | 5% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 6% | 98% | |
| 18 | 17% | 92% | |
| 19 | 15% | 74% | |
| 20 | 26% | 60% | Median |
| 21 | 17% | 34% | |
| 22 | 7% | 17% | |
| 23 | 5% | 10% | |
| 24 | 2% | 5% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 4% | 96% | |
| 15 | 9% | 92% | |
| 16 | 17% | 83% | |
| 17 | 13% | 65% | |
| 18 | 28% | 52% | Median |
| 19 | 10% | 24% | |
| 20 | 10% | 14% | |
| 21 | 3% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 11% | 98% | |
| 9 | 22% | 87% | |
| 10 | 23% | 66% | Median |
| 11 | 33% | 43% | |
| 12 | 6% | 10% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 7 | 9% | 98% | |
| 8 | 13% | 90% | |
| 9 | 37% | 77% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 40% | |
| 11 | 8% | 14% | |
| 12 | 6% | 6% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 94% | |
| 5 | 0% | 94% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 7 | 13% | 92% | |
| 8 | 32% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 29% | 48% | |
| 10 | 14% | 19% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 20% | 95% | |
| 3 | 42% | 75% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 34% | |
| 6 | 4% | 34% | |
| 7 | 16% | 30% | |
| 8 | 12% | 14% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 101 | 100% | 97–106 | 95–107 | 93–108 | 91–111 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 96 | 99.9% | 92–101 | 91–102 | 90–103 | 88–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 92 | 98.8% | 88–96 | 86–98 | 85–99 | 83–101 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 91 | 97% | 87–96 | 85–97 | 84–98 | 83–100 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 89 | 91% | 85–92 | 84–94 | 82–95 | 80–97 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 82 | 21% | 78–86 | 77–87 | 76–89 | 74–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 78 | 7% | 75–84 | 74–85 | 73–87 | 71–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 62 | 80 | 5% | 74–84 | 73–84 | 73–85 | 69–88 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 77 | 1.2% | 72–81 | 71–82 | 70–83 | 67–85 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 68 | 0% | 65–74 | 64–76 | 63–77 | 62–79 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 67 | 0% | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–74 | 57–76 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 64 | 0% | 61–69 | 61–70 | 60–72 | 59–74 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 62 | 0% | 58–66 | 57–68 | 55–68 | 53–70 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 60 | 0% | 57–63 | 56–64 | 55–65 | 54–67 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 54 | 0% | 51–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–61 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 47 | 0% | 42–51 | 41–52 | 39–53 | 36–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 34 | 0% | 31–39 | 30–40 | 28–41 | 25–44 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 92 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 93 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 94 | 2% | 97% | |
| 95 | 2% | 95% | |
| 96 | 2% | 93% | |
| 97 | 3% | 91% | |
| 98 | 7% | 88% | |
| 99 | 8% | 81% | |
| 100 | 10% | 73% | Median |
| 101 | 19% | 63% | |
| 102 | 11% | 45% | |
| 103 | 7% | 34% | |
| 104 | 6% | 26% | |
| 105 | 6% | 21% | |
| 106 | 6% | 15% | |
| 107 | 4% | 8% | |
| 108 | 2% | 5% | |
| 109 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 110 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 111 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 113 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 114 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 115 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 91 | 3% | 97% | |
| 92 | 6% | 94% | |
| 93 | 9% | 88% | |
| 94 | 5% | 79% | Median |
| 95 | 18% | 74% | |
| 96 | 11% | 56% | |
| 97 | 6% | 45% | |
| 98 | 15% | 38% | |
| 99 | 8% | 23% | |
| 100 | 6% | 16% | |
| 101 | 3% | 10% | |
| 102 | 3% | 7% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 104 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 105 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 110 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 98.8% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 96% | |
| 87 | 3% | 95% | |
| 88 | 4% | 92% | |
| 89 | 6% | 88% | |
| 90 | 14% | 82% | |
| 91 | 5% | 68% | Median |
| 92 | 23% | 63% | |
| 93 | 12% | 40% | |
| 94 | 6% | 29% | |
| 95 | 7% | 23% | |
| 96 | 7% | 16% | |
| 97 | 3% | 9% | |
| 98 | 2% | 6% | |
| 99 | 2% | 4% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 3% | 97% | Majority |
| 86 | 3% | 94% | |
| 87 | 3% | 91% | |
| 88 | 7% | 88% | |
| 89 | 7% | 81% | |
| 90 | 19% | 74% | Median |
| 91 | 9% | 54% | |
| 92 | 8% | 45% | |
| 93 | 13% | 37% | |
| 94 | 6% | 24% | |
| 95 | 3% | 17% | |
| 96 | 7% | 14% | |
| 97 | 3% | 7% | |
| 98 | 2% | 4% | |
| 99 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 100 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 101 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 4% | 95% | |
| 85 | 8% | 91% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 83% | |
| 87 | 6% | 75% | Median |
| 88 | 11% | 69% | |
| 89 | 20% | 57% | |
| 90 | 13% | 37% | |
| 91 | 7% | 25% | |
| 92 | 8% | 18% | |
| 93 | 3% | 10% | |
| 94 | 3% | 6% | |
| 95 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 97 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 77 | 4% | 97% | |
| 78 | 4% | 93% | |
| 79 | 8% | 89% | Last Result |
| 80 | 8% | 80% | |
| 81 | 20% | 72% | Median |
| 82 | 13% | 52% | |
| 83 | 10% | 39% | |
| 84 | 8% | 29% | |
| 85 | 5% | 21% | Majority |
| 86 | 7% | 16% | |
| 87 | 4% | 9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 5% | |
| 89 | 2% | 3% | |
| 90 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 74 | 6% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 90% | |
| 76 | 6% | 87% | Median |
| 77 | 17% | 81% | Last Result |
| 78 | 16% | 65% | |
| 79 | 8% | 48% | |
| 80 | 13% | 41% | |
| 81 | 7% | 28% | |
| 82 | 5% | 21% | |
| 83 | 5% | 16% | |
| 84 | 5% | 11% | |
| 85 | 2% | 7% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 87 | 3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 73 | 5% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 93% | |
| 75 | 3% | 90% | |
| 76 | 6% | 86% | |
| 77 | 9% | 80% | |
| 78 | 8% | 71% | |
| 79 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 80 | 17% | 51% | |
| 81 | 11% | 34% | |
| 82 | 5% | 23% | |
| 83 | 7% | 18% | |
| 84 | 6% | 11% | |
| 85 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 5% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 90% | |
| 73 | 8% | 85% | |
| 74 | 4% | 77% | |
| 75 | 7% | 73% | |
| 76 | 13% | 66% | Median |
| 77 | 8% | 53% | |
| 78 | 7% | 45% | |
| 79 | 18% | 37% | |
| 80 | 7% | 19% | |
| 81 | 7% | 13% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 5% | 97% | |
| 65 | 5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 16% | 87% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 71% | |
| 68 | 10% | 59% | |
| 69 | 9% | 49% | |
| 70 | 11% | 40% | |
| 71 | 6% | 28% | |
| 72 | 5% | 22% | |
| 73 | 4% | 17% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 3% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 5% | 92% | |
| 63 | 9% | 87% | |
| 64 | 7% | 78% | |
| 65 | 7% | 71% | |
| 66 | 8% | 64% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 56% | |
| 68 | 18% | 46% | |
| 69 | 9% | 27% | |
| 70 | 6% | 18% | |
| 71 | 6% | 12% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 9% | 97% | |
| 62 | 9% | 88% | |
| 63 | 21% | 79% | Median |
| 64 | 14% | 58% | |
| 65 | 7% | 44% | |
| 66 | 11% | 37% | |
| 67 | 9% | 26% | |
| 68 | 5% | 17% | Last Result |
| 69 | 4% | 12% | |
| 70 | 3% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 93% | |
| 59 | 7% | 89% | |
| 60 | 8% | 82% | |
| 61 | 15% | 74% | |
| 62 | 11% | 59% | |
| 63 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 64 | 10% | 40% | |
| 65 | 17% | 31% | |
| 66 | 4% | 13% | |
| 67 | 4% | 9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 5% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 6% | 96% | |
| 57 | 8% | 91% | |
| 58 | 9% | 83% | |
| 59 | 14% | 73% | |
| 60 | 22% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 61 | 14% | 37% | |
| 62 | 7% | 23% | |
| 63 | 8% | 17% | |
| 64 | 4% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 95% | |
| 51 | 8% | 91% | |
| 52 | 7% | 83% | |
| 53 | 15% | 76% | |
| 54 | 14% | 61% | |
| 55 | 11% | 46% | Median |
| 56 | 20% | 36% | |
| 57 | 5% | 16% | |
| 58 | 4% | 10% | |
| 59 | 3% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 41 | 3% | 96% | |
| 42 | 7% | 93% | |
| 43 | 3% | 85% | |
| 44 | 5% | 82% | |
| 45 | 8% | 78% | |
| 46 | 15% | 70% | Median |
| 47 | 10% | 55% | |
| 48 | 19% | 45% | |
| 49 | 5% | 26% | |
| 50 | 9% | 20% | |
| 51 | 5% | 11% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 29 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 30 | 3% | 95% | |
| 31 | 4% | 92% | |
| 32 | 10% | 88% | Median |
| 33 | 27% | 78% | |
| 34 | 5% | 51% | |
| 35 | 9% | 46% | Last Result |
| 36 | 11% | 37% | |
| 37 | 10% | 26% | |
| 38 | 6% | 17% | |
| 39 | 3% | 11% | |
| 40 | 3% | 8% | |
| 41 | 3% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norstat
- Commissioner(s): Vårt Land
- Fieldwork period: 24–28 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 962
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.46%