Opinion Poll by Kantar TNS for TV2, 1–6 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 23.3% | 22.0–24.7% | 21.7–25.1% | 21.4–25.4% | 20.7–26.1% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 19.4% | 18.2–20.7% | 17.9–21.0% | 17.6–21.4% | 17.0–22.0% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.4–15.7% | 11.9–16.3% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 10.9% | 10.0–11.9% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–13.0% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.6–10.5% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.2–11.0% | 7.8–11.5% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.6% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.2% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.5–6.2% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.5–6.2% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 42 | 41–45 | 41–45 | 41–46 | 39–47 |
| Høyre | 45 | 35 | 32–36 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 29–39 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 26 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 21–30 | 20–31 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 18 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 15 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Rødt | 1 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 7 | 6–9 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Venstre | 8 | 7 | 6–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 6 | 3–8 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 1–9 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 17% | 98% | |
| 42 | 40% | 81% | Median |
| 43 | 15% | 42% | |
| 44 | 16% | 26% | |
| 45 | 6% | 10% | |
| 46 | 3% | 5% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 32 | 7% | 96% | |
| 33 | 8% | 88% | |
| 34 | 11% | 81% | |
| 35 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 36 | 31% | 37% | |
| 37 | 3% | 6% | |
| 38 | 3% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 5% | 97% | |
| 23 | 9% | 92% | |
| 24 | 8% | 83% | |
| 25 | 16% | 75% | |
| 26 | 35% | 59% | Median |
| 27 | 9% | 24% | |
| 28 | 8% | 16% | |
| 29 | 4% | 8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 4% | 98% | |
| 17 | 35% | 94% | |
| 18 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 19 | 21% | 39% | |
| 20 | 8% | 19% | |
| 21 | 8% | 11% | |
| 22 | 2% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 12 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 13 | 2% | 97% | |
| 14 | 10% | 94% | |
| 15 | 39% | 84% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 46% | |
| 17 | 15% | 25% | |
| 18 | 5% | 10% | |
| 19 | 4% | 5% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 34% | 94% | |
| 9 | 31% | 60% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 29% | |
| 11 | 10% | 12% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 4 | 0% | 91% | |
| 5 | 0% | 91% | |
| 6 | 7% | 91% | |
| 7 | 44% | 84% | Median |
| 8 | 21% | 40% | |
| 9 | 15% | 19% | |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 4 | 0% | 92% | |
| 5 | 0% | 92% | |
| 6 | 9% | 92% | |
| 7 | 42% | 83% | Median |
| 8 | 26% | 41% | Last Result |
| 9 | 10% | 15% | |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 29% | 94% | |
| 4 | 0% | 64% | |
| 5 | 0% | 64% | |
| 6 | 32% | 64% | Median |
| 7 | 16% | 33% | |
| 8 | 15% | 17% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 81 | 99 | 100% | 96–105 | 96–106 | 95–106 | 92–108 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 96 | 100% | 92–101 | 90–102 | 90–102 | 88–105 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 92 | 99.7% | 90–97 | 89–99 | 87–99 | 86–101 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 90 | 99.0% | 87–95 | 87–96 | 85–97 | 83–98 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 91 | 98.5% | 88–94 | 87–95 | 86–96 | 84–98 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 83 | 34% | 81–88 | 80–89 | 79–89 | 77–91 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 81 | 12% | 76–85 | 75–86 | 73–87 | 71–89 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 62 | 74 | 0.1% | 71–79 | 70–80 | 69–80 | 67–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 74 | 0% | 70–77 | 68–78 | 68–80 | 65–81 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 72 | 0% | 69–77 | 68–77 | 67–79 | 64–82 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 68 | 0% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 64–73 | 61–75 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 65 | 0% | 63–69 | 61–70 | 60–71 | 57–73 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 60 | 0% | 57–63 | 56–65 | 55–65 | 53–67 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 58 | 0% | 56–61 | 56–62 | 55–63 | 54–64 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 53 | 0% | 50–56 | 49–57 | 48–58 | 47–59 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 48 | 0% | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–52 | 39–54 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 39 | 0% | 34–42 | 33–43 | 31–44 | 30–45 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 93 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 94 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 95 | 3% | 98% | |
| 96 | 6% | 95% | |
| 97 | 11% | 89% | |
| 98 | 23% | 78% | |
| 99 | 12% | 55% | Median |
| 100 | 5% | 43% | |
| 101 | 6% | 38% | |
| 102 | 7% | 31% | |
| 103 | 6% | 25% | |
| 104 | 6% | 19% | |
| 105 | 7% | 13% | |
| 106 | 3% | 5% | |
| 107 | 2% | 2% | |
| 108 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 109 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 111 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 112 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.7% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 4% | 98% | |
| 91 | 2% | 94% | |
| 92 | 3% | 92% | |
| 93 | 5% | 89% | |
| 94 | 12% | 85% | |
| 95 | 6% | 72% | |
| 96 | 25% | 66% | Median |
| 97 | 9% | 41% | |
| 98 | 9% | 32% | |
| 99 | 8% | 23% | |
| 100 | 5% | 16% | |
| 101 | 4% | 10% | |
| 102 | 4% | 6% | |
| 103 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 105 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 106 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 4% | 96% | |
| 90 | 11% | 92% | |
| 91 | 25% | 81% | |
| 92 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 93 | 7% | 42% | |
| 94 | 7% | 35% | |
| 95 | 6% | 28% | |
| 96 | 7% | 22% | |
| 97 | 6% | 15% | |
| 98 | 4% | 9% | |
| 99 | 3% | 5% | |
| 100 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 101 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 99.0% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 87 | 7% | 96% | |
| 88 | 8% | 89% | |
| 89 | 6% | 81% | |
| 90 | 30% | 75% | Median |
| 91 | 11% | 45% | |
| 92 | 7% | 34% | |
| 93 | 6% | 28% | |
| 94 | 8% | 21% | |
| 95 | 5% | 13% | |
| 96 | 5% | 8% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 98.5% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 98% | |
| 87 | 2% | 95% | |
| 88 | 6% | 93% | |
| 89 | 12% | 87% | |
| 90 | 7% | 76% | |
| 91 | 33% | 68% | |
| 92 | 8% | 35% | Median |
| 93 | 9% | 27% | |
| 94 | 11% | 18% | |
| 95 | 3% | 7% | |
| 96 | 2% | 4% | |
| 97 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 98 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 99 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 80 | 3% | 96% | |
| 81 | 11% | 93% | |
| 82 | 6% | 82% | |
| 83 | 33% | 76% | Median |
| 84 | 8% | 43% | |
| 85 | 10% | 34% | Majority |
| 86 | 8% | 25% | |
| 87 | 7% | 17% | |
| 88 | 5% | 10% | |
| 89 | 3% | 5% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 91 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 73 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 3% | 93% | |
| 77 | 6% | 90% | Last Result |
| 78 | 4% | 83% | |
| 79 | 10% | 80% | |
| 80 | 9% | 70% | |
| 81 | 30% | 61% | Median |
| 82 | 5% | 32% | |
| 83 | 9% | 27% | |
| 84 | 6% | 18% | |
| 85 | 4% | 12% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 6% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 91% | |
| 72 | 28% | 87% | |
| 73 | 6% | 59% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 53% | |
| 75 | 13% | 45% | |
| 76 | 8% | 32% | |
| 77 | 4% | 24% | |
| 78 | 7% | 20% | |
| 79 | 4% | 13% | |
| 80 | 6% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 68 | 3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 5% | 91% | |
| 71 | 8% | 87% | |
| 72 | 13% | 79% | |
| 73 | 8% | 66% | |
| 74 | 28% | 58% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 31% | |
| 76 | 9% | 23% | Last Result |
| 77 | 5% | 14% | |
| 78 | 4% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 4% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 7% | 88% | |
| 71 | 8% | 81% | |
| 72 | 29% | 73% | |
| 73 | 15% | 44% | Median |
| 74 | 7% | 29% | |
| 75 | 5% | 22% | |
| 76 | 4% | 17% | |
| 77 | 8% | 13% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 4% | 98% | |
| 65 | 6% | 94% | |
| 66 | 10% | 88% | |
| 67 | 9% | 77% | |
| 68 | 31% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 69 | 12% | 37% | |
| 70 | 7% | 25% | |
| 71 | 7% | 17% | |
| 72 | 6% | 11% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 95% | |
| 63 | 6% | 91% | |
| 64 | 13% | 85% | |
| 65 | 30% | 72% | |
| 66 | 16% | 42% | Median |
| 67 | 7% | 26% | |
| 68 | 6% | 19% | |
| 69 | 3% | 13% | |
| 70 | 5% | 9% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 1.5% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 2% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 3% | 93% | |
| 58 | 8% | 90% | |
| 59 | 25% | 81% | |
| 60 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 61 | 14% | 41% | |
| 62 | 8% | 26% | |
| 63 | 8% | 18% | |
| 64 | 3% | 10% | |
| 65 | 4% | 6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 12% | 96% | |
| 57 | 32% | 84% | Median |
| 58 | 14% | 52% | |
| 59 | 14% | 38% | |
| 60 | 8% | 24% | Last Result |
| 61 | 7% | 16% | |
| 62 | 5% | 9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 94% | |
| 51 | 8% | 90% | |
| 52 | 29% | 82% | |
| 53 | 12% | 53% | Median |
| 54 | 18% | 41% | |
| 55 | 9% | 23% | |
| 56 | 5% | 13% | |
| 57 | 4% | 8% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 43 | 4% | 97% | |
| 44 | 4% | 92% | |
| 45 | 8% | 88% | |
| 46 | 15% | 80% | |
| 47 | 13% | 65% | |
| 48 | 31% | 52% | Median |
| 49 | 5% | 21% | |
| 50 | 6% | 17% | |
| 51 | 3% | 11% | |
| 52 | 6% | 8% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 33 | 4% | 96% | |
| 34 | 2% | 92% | |
| 35 | 7% | 89% | Last Result |
| 36 | 6% | 82% | |
| 37 | 15% | 76% | |
| 38 | 8% | 60% | |
| 39 | 26% | 52% | Median |
| 40 | 12% | 27% | |
| 41 | 3% | 15% | |
| 42 | 6% | 12% | |
| 43 | 2% | 6% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar TNS
- Commissioner(s): TV2
- Fieldwork period: 1–6 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1686
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.99%