Opinion Poll by Norfakta for Klassekampen and Nationen, 7–8 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 27.4% | 24.0% | 22.1–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% | 21.2–27.0% | 20.3–27.9% |
| Høyre | 25.0% | 19.1% | 17.5–20.9% | 17.0–21.4% | 16.6–21.9% | 15.8–22.8% |
| Senterpartiet | 10.3% | 14.8% | 13.4–16.5% | 12.9–17.0% | 12.6–17.4% | 11.9–18.2% |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.4–13.3% | 10.1–13.7% | 9.7–14.1% | 9.1–14.9% |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1–9.5% | 6.8–9.9% | 6.5–10.2% | 6.0–10.9% |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.5–7.7% | 4.1–8.3% |
| Rødt | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.2–6.8% | 4.0–7.1% | 3.6–7.7% |
| Venstre | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.3% | 2.4–5.8% |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.5–5.0% | 2.2–5.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet | 49 | 44 | 41–48 | 40–49 | 39–50 | 38–52 |
| Høyre | 45 | 33 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–40 | 27–41 |
| Senterpartiet | 19 | 27 | 24–32 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 20–34 |
| Fremskrittspartiet | 27 | 21 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 15–25 | 15–27 |
| Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 11 | 14 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 9–19 |
| Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 1 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 7–15 |
| Rødt | 1 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 2–14 |
| Venstre | 8 | 2 | 2–8 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| Kristelig Folkeparti | 8 | 3 | 1–7 | 1–8 | 1–8 | 0–9 |
Arbeiderpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Arbeiderpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 3% | 97% | |
| 41 | 7% | 94% | |
| 42 | 18% | 87% | |
| 43 | 13% | 69% | |
| 44 | 22% | 56% | Median |
| 45 | 11% | 35% | |
| 46 | 8% | 24% | |
| 47 | 5% | 15% | |
| 48 | 3% | 10% | |
| 49 | 5% | 8% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Høyre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 3% | 97% | |
| 30 | 8% | 94% | |
| 31 | 18% | 87% | |
| 32 | 17% | 68% | |
| 33 | 11% | 51% | Median |
| 34 | 11% | 40% | |
| 35 | 9% | 29% | |
| 36 | 8% | 20% | |
| 37 | 5% | 12% | |
| 38 | 3% | 7% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 40 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Senterpartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98% | |
| 23 | 5% | 96% | |
| 24 | 11% | 91% | |
| 25 | 7% | 79% | |
| 26 | 7% | 72% | |
| 27 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 28 | 11% | 46% | |
| 29 | 14% | 35% | |
| 30 | 4% | 21% | |
| 31 | 5% | 16% | |
| 32 | 8% | 11% | |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Fremskrittspartiet
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fremskrittspartiet page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 3% | 97% | |
| 17 | 4% | 94% | |
| 18 | 7% | 90% | |
| 19 | 17% | 83% | |
| 20 | 16% | 66% | |
| 21 | 21% | 50% | Median |
| 22 | 10% | 29% | |
| 23 | 8% | 19% | |
| 24 | 7% | 11% | |
| 25 | 2% | 4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sosialistisk Venstreparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sosialistisk Venstreparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 10% | 95% | Last Result |
| 12 | 10% | 85% | |
| 13 | 16% | 76% | |
| 14 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 15 | 16% | 37% | |
| 16 | 10% | 21% | |
| 17 | 6% | 11% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Miljøpartiet De Grønne
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljøpartiet De Grønne page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 11% | 96% | |
| 9 | 20% | 85% | |
| 10 | 22% | 66% | Median |
| 11 | 22% | 44% | |
| 12 | 12% | 22% | |
| 13 | 8% | 10% | |
| 14 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Rødt
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rødt page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 98% | |
| 4 | 0% | 98% | |
| 5 | 0% | 98% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | |
| 7 | 10% | 96% | |
| 8 | 17% | 86% | |
| 9 | 27% | 69% | Median |
| 10 | 21% | 42% | |
| 11 | 16% | 21% | |
| 12 | 4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Venstre
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Venstre page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 99.6% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0% | 44% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 44% | |
| 6 | 7% | 44% | |
| 7 | 20% | 37% | |
| 8 | 13% | 16% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Kristelig Folkeparti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristelig Folkeparti page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 18% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 15% | 81% | |
| 3 | 42% | 66% | Median |
| 4 | 0% | 24% | |
| 5 | 0% | 24% | |
| 6 | 4% | 24% | |
| 7 | 14% | 21% | |
| 8 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 81 | 105 | 100% | 99–111 | 97–112 | 96–113 | 93–114 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 99 | 100% | 94–105 | 92–106 | 91–107 | 89–111 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne | 80 | 95 | 99.6% | 90–101 | 89–102 | 87–103 | 85–106 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt | 80 | 94 | 99.2% | 89–99 | 88–101 | 87–102 | 84–103 |
| Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 107 | 88 | 83% | 83–94 | 83–96 | 82–97 | 80–99 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti | 77 | 85 | 56% | 79–91 | 78–92 | 77–93 | 75–96 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 79 | 85 | 55% | 80–90 | 79–91 | 78–92 | 75–94 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt | 62 | 77 | 6% | 72–82 | 70–85 | 69–86 | 66–87 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti | 76 | 75 | 0.7% | 69–80 | 68–82 | 67–83 | 66–85 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 89 | 71 | 0.2% | 67–77 | 66–79 | 65–80 | 63–83 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet | 68 | 71 | 0% | 66–76 | 65–77 | 64–78 | 62–80 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 88 | 61 | 0% | 57–67 | 55–69 | 54–70 | 53–73 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre | 80 | 57 | 0% | 53–63 | 53–66 | 52–66 | 50–69 |
| Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti | 60 | 58 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–65 | 51–67 |
| Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet | 72 | 53 | 0% | 50–59 | 48–60 | 48–62 | 46–64 |
| Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 61 | 41 | 0% | 36–46 | 35–48 | 34–49 | 33–52 |
| Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti | 35 | 35 | 0% | 29–42 | 28–42 | 27–45 | 26–46 |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0% | 100% | |
| 84 | 0% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0% | 100% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0% | 100% | |
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0% | 100% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 93 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 94 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 95 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 97 | 2% | 96% | |
| 98 | 4% | 95% | |
| 99 | 5% | 91% | |
| 100 | 6% | 86% | |
| 101 | 10% | 80% | |
| 102 | 10% | 69% | |
| 103 | 5% | 60% | |
| 104 | 4% | 55% | Median |
| 105 | 9% | 51% | |
| 106 | 5% | 42% | |
| 107 | 5% | 37% | |
| 108 | 6% | 33% | |
| 109 | 9% | 27% | |
| 110 | 7% | 18% | |
| 111 | 4% | 11% | |
| 112 | 3% | 7% | |
| 113 | 2% | 4% | |
| 114 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 115 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 116 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 117 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 118 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 89 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 1.3% | 99.0% | |
| 91 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 92 | 4% | 97% | |
| 93 | 3% | 93% | |
| 94 | 8% | 90% | |
| 95 | 6% | 83% | |
| 96 | 11% | 76% | |
| 97 | 5% | 66% | |
| 98 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 99 | 9% | 54% | |
| 100 | 6% | 45% | |
| 101 | 7% | 39% | |
| 102 | 7% | 32% | |
| 103 | 9% | 25% | |
| 104 | 4% | 16% | |
| 105 | 6% | 12% | |
| 106 | 2% | 6% | |
| 107 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 108 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 109 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 110 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 111 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 112 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 113 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 87 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 88 | 2% | 97% | |
| 89 | 3% | 95% | |
| 90 | 3% | 92% | |
| 91 | 7% | 89% | |
| 92 | 11% | 82% | |
| 93 | 10% | 71% | |
| 94 | 7% | 61% | |
| 95 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 96 | 7% | 49% | |
| 97 | 6% | 42% | |
| 98 | 6% | 36% | |
| 99 | 9% | 30% | |
| 100 | 9% | 20% | |
| 101 | 3% | 12% | |
| 102 | 4% | 8% | |
| 103 | 2% | 4% | |
| 104 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 105 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 106 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 107 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 100% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 1.1% | 98.6% | |
| 87 | 2% | 98% | |
| 88 | 3% | 96% | |
| 89 | 5% | 93% | |
| 90 | 6% | 88% | |
| 91 | 10% | 82% | |
| 92 | 10% | 71% | |
| 93 | 7% | 62% | |
| 94 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 95 | 6% | 48% | |
| 96 | 9% | 42% | |
| 97 | 6% | 34% | |
| 98 | 5% | 28% | |
| 99 | 14% | 23% | |
| 100 | 3% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 5% | |
| 102 | 2% | 3% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Senterpartiet – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 83 | 8% | 96% | |
| 84 | 5% | 89% | |
| 85 | 3% | 83% | Majority |
| 86 | 5% | 80% | Median |
| 87 | 15% | 76% | |
| 88 | 11% | 60% | |
| 89 | 10% | 50% | |
| 90 | 6% | 39% | |
| 91 | 8% | 33% | |
| 92 | 9% | 26% | |
| 93 | 2% | 16% | |
| 94 | 6% | 14% | |
| 95 | 3% | 9% | |
| 96 | 2% | 5% | |
| 97 | 2% | 3% | |
| 98 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 99 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 77 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 96% | |
| 79 | 6% | 95% | |
| 80 | 6% | 89% | |
| 81 | 5% | 84% | |
| 82 | 6% | 78% | |
| 83 | 7% | 72% | |
| 84 | 9% | 65% | Median |
| 85 | 9% | 56% | Majority |
| 86 | 11% | 47% | |
| 87 | 5% | 36% | |
| 88 | 9% | 31% | |
| 89 | 8% | 22% | |
| 90 | 3% | 14% | |
| 91 | 6% | 11% | |
| 92 | 2% | 5% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 96 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 98 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 78 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 79 | 4% | 97% | Last Result |
| 80 | 4% | 94% | |
| 81 | 9% | 90% | |
| 82 | 6% | 81% | |
| 83 | 10% | 75% | |
| 84 | 9% | 65% | |
| 85 | 9% | 55% | Median, Majority |
| 86 | 9% | 47% | |
| 87 | 9% | 38% | |
| 88 | 4% | 29% | |
| 89 | 10% | 25% | |
| 90 | 8% | 15% | |
| 91 | 3% | 7% | |
| 92 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Rødt
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 2% | 95% | |
| 72 | 6% | 93% | |
| 73 | 8% | 87% | |
| 74 | 9% | 80% | |
| 75 | 10% | 70% | |
| 76 | 3% | 60% | |
| 77 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 78 | 10% | 48% | |
| 79 | 8% | 38% | |
| 80 | 4% | 30% | |
| 81 | 5% | 25% | |
| 82 | 12% | 20% | |
| 83 | 2% | 9% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 7% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 6% | Majority |
| 86 | 2% | 5% | |
| 87 | 2% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 6% | 94% | |
| 70 | 5% | 88% | |
| 71 | 4% | 83% | |
| 72 | 8% | 79% | |
| 73 | 11% | 71% | |
| 74 | 9% | 60% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 51% | |
| 76 | 9% | 43% | Last Result |
| 77 | 5% | 34% | |
| 78 | 7% | 29% | |
| 79 | 9% | 21% | |
| 80 | 5% | 12% | |
| 81 | 2% | 8% | |
| 82 | 2% | 6% | |
| 83 | 2% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.8% | 1.5% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Miljøpartiet De Grønne – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 97% | |
| 67 | 4% | 93% | |
| 68 | 5% | 88% | |
| 69 | 9% | 84% | Median |
| 70 | 19% | 75% | |
| 71 | 13% | 56% | |
| 72 | 8% | 43% | |
| 73 | 8% | 35% | |
| 74 | 4% | 27% | |
| 75 | 6% | 22% | |
| 76 | 3% | 16% | |
| 77 | 4% | 13% | |
| 78 | 2% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Senterpartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 2% | 96% | |
| 66 | 5% | 95% | |
| 67 | 8% | 90% | |
| 68 | 5% | 82% | Last Result |
| 69 | 7% | 78% | |
| 70 | 9% | 70% | |
| 71 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 10% | 47% | |
| 73 | 11% | 37% | |
| 74 | 5% | 26% | |
| 75 | 4% | 21% | |
| 76 | 12% | 17% | |
| 77 | 2% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 96% | |
| 56 | 3% | 93% | |
| 57 | 5% | 91% | |
| 58 | 6% | 86% | |
| 59 | 10% | 80% | Median |
| 60 | 16% | 70% | |
| 61 | 11% | 54% | |
| 62 | 7% | 43% | |
| 63 | 8% | 36% | |
| 64 | 9% | 29% | |
| 65 | 5% | 20% | |
| 66 | 3% | 15% | |
| 67 | 3% | 13% | |
| 68 | 3% | 9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet – Venstre
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 7% | 96% | |
| 54 | 6% | 90% | |
| 55 | 8% | 84% | |
| 56 | 13% | 76% | Median |
| 57 | 13% | 63% | |
| 58 | 16% | 50% | |
| 59 | 6% | 33% | |
| 60 | 5% | 27% | |
| 61 | 4% | 22% | |
| 62 | 5% | 18% | |
| 63 | 3% | 13% | |
| 64 | 2% | 10% | |
| 65 | 2% | 8% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Arbeiderpartiet – Sosialistisk Venstreparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 5% | 94% | |
| 55 | 9% | 89% | |
| 56 | 9% | 80% | |
| 57 | 15% | 71% | |
| 58 | 20% | 56% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 36% | |
| 60 | 9% | 24% | Last Result |
| 61 | 4% | 15% | |
| 62 | 5% | 11% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 6% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Høyre – Fremskrittspartiet
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 94% | |
| 50 | 10% | 91% | |
| 51 | 16% | 81% | |
| 52 | 9% | 65% | |
| 53 | 8% | 57% | |
| 54 | 11% | 49% | Median |
| 55 | 9% | 38% | |
| 56 | 12% | 29% | |
| 57 | 4% | 17% | |
| 58 | 3% | 13% | |
| 59 | 3% | 11% | |
| 60 | 3% | 8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Høyre – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 35 | 4% | 95% | |
| 36 | 3% | 91% | |
| 37 | 9% | 89% | |
| 38 | 7% | 80% | Median |
| 39 | 10% | 73% | |
| 40 | 6% | 62% | |
| 41 | 14% | 57% | |
| 42 | 7% | 42% | |
| 43 | 11% | 36% | |
| 44 | 6% | 25% | |
| 45 | 5% | 19% | |
| 46 | 6% | 14% | |
| 47 | 4% | 9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 5% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Senterpartiet – Venstre – Kristelig Folkeparti
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 28 | 4% | 96% | |
| 29 | 3% | 92% | |
| 30 | 3% | 89% | |
| 31 | 6% | 86% | |
| 32 | 8% | 80% | Median |
| 33 | 8% | 72% | |
| 34 | 9% | 64% | |
| 35 | 5% | 54% | Last Result |
| 36 | 13% | 49% | |
| 37 | 9% | 36% | |
| 38 | 7% | 27% | |
| 39 | 3% | 20% | |
| 40 | 4% | 18% | |
| 41 | 3% | 14% | |
| 42 | 6% | 11% | |
| 43 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Norfakta
- Commissioner(s): Klassekampen and Nationen
- Fieldwork period: 7–8 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 843
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.30%